Napkin maf

Piranhaswarm · 2021-10-24T11:13:43+00:00

Don’t need 100% locked to moon. Once the direction is clear ONE big hedgie will panic and shit self in public. Moon starts then

MalleMellow · 2021-10-24T11:32:36+00:00

Europoor here. I’m waiting for my first share to land in CS. Next I’ll send in the cavalry.

no_alt_facts_plz · 2021-10-24T11:11:51+00:00

[removed]

DennisFlonasal · 2021-10-24T11:38:38+00:00

can you write on actual napkin and re-upload pls

Bodigglerz · 2021-10-24T11:36:33+00:00

I personally know 5 peoples that DRS into CS. They’ve never posted on Reddit. Total of a couple hundred shares I’m guessing. How many apes you know like that?

BinBender · 2021-10-24T12:37:55+00:00

Just one small correction; the total number of outstanding shares is ~75 million. The public float is ~63 million. RC’s 9 million is then already subtracted from the outstanding shares.

billium12 · 2021-10-24T12:53:52+00:00

DRSing about 80 percent of my shares for the first time Monday, after some amazing apes helped me with my phone anxiety yesterday!

SirGallahadnt · 2021-10-24T12:26:11+00:00

Not to mention those who have already bought will probably buy more as time goes on, driving the average share per ape even higher!! BULLISH 🚀🚀

MrStormz · 2021-10-24T12:47:40+00:00

Fucking 25th of Jan wouldn't that be poetic justice if it starts on that date

Realitygives0fucks · 2021-10-24T12:11:52+00:00

There are a total of 76.49 million shares issued by Gamestop, with approximately 14 million owned by Insiders (Including Ryan Cohen's 9m.)

So the float is approximately 62 million, if we want to completely exclude the Institutionally owned shares, as even if they are long on GME, if they aren't DRSd, then the DTCC is probably using them for fuckery. However we know there are a few whales out there like DFV, who probably won't be filling out the DRSBOT stats. So I suspect we won't need to get to the full 62m.

bosh023 · 2021-10-24T12:51:47+00:00

I think the broker processes have slowed down what would have been a much bigger surge. I think particularly as euro bottle necks are cleared the will be a significant uplift in numbers. Some euros taking over a month, plus 30 day settle time broker to broker when trans to IBKR before transfer out to CS. I also see apes tending to send smaller initial amounts, almost a test transaction or not allowing too many shares to be bottle necked, however I think when CS accounts have been created there will be masses of additional transfers and direct buying on top of that too. I foresee this situation flipping right round on its head I.e any concerns on delays to lock float will be replaced by bystander fomo panic as they realise far more shares have been DRS than first thought, the issue then becomes a rush to register before CS close the transfer window. Those bystanders who wait to commence transfers may end up not having the DRS option

canadian-brasilian · 2021-10-24T12:26:52+00:00

We need another round of communication .. we gotta push the moon for December! XMAS TIME!

Niante · 2021-10-24T11:16:26+00:00

If mods would lower the karma requirements you’d see a huge escalation of posts

Viking_Undertaker · 2021-10-24T12:40:07+00:00

Remember other insiders, in one of GameStops Q announcements, they said they had an internal task force, making sure insider shares were locked up in some way, think they called it anti hedging policy.

Also ETF holds 6 mio shares

kolob-brighamYoung · 2021-10-24T13:07:21+00:00

Ok too of this it’s now possible to DRS IRA shares: https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/qe6wfu/drs_my_ira_shares_yes_i_believe_i_did/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf

Every ape needs to do this

IwillDecide · 2021-10-24T12:51:51+00:00

There is already a back log so once us Europoors start to pour in, it could fly up. Also surely DFV registered a shit load of shares, like in the millis? 🚀🦧🔥

xJwaadx · 2021-10-24T12:52:41+00:00

I’m STILL waiting on mine. 1st request (E*TRADE) 9/28; 2nd request (Fidelity) 10/15

And before anyone asks: Yes, I transferred completely out of E*TRADE to Fidelity. And, yes Fidelity is dragging their feet also 🤷‍♂️

dubl_x · 2021-10-24T14:18:03+00:00

Gotta remember most people only DRS a few shares to begin with, then once they've gone through ok they move the rest of their GME over. Accounts at the beginning of the DRS push may have long started with x or xx shares to test it then moved over XXX/xxxx+

So as that happens the average per account will only go up :)

thisonehereone · 2021-10-24T12:58:11+00:00

So, I know we don't have a running pinned links page or anything, but I have been checking this page daily. Maybe it needs to be more widely known.

https://www.computershared.net/

I think we may be somewhere in between the OP post and the link. Link is showing 10 weeks remaining at OPs current rate.

joeker13 · 2021-10-24T13:18:13+00:00

Me Europoor. DRS way slow. We’ll get there soon. Brace for impact. 💥 🚀

CannadaFarmGuy · 2021-10-24T13:35:23+00:00

I think a lot of apes started with less than 20%.

The tsunami of second transfers is coming

CatoMulligan · 2021-10-24T16:13:56+00:00

You wouldn't need all 75 million shares to launch MOASS, but the more thee are DRSed then the higher the probability of liftoff. The more shares are DRSed the more pressure it puts on the market, and the more we should see prices trending upwards. Eventually it will get high enough that scarcity triggers liftoff, but the more shares that Cede is holding the less likely the price is to get there.

My only question is what would actually happen if all of the shares were DRSed at CS. At that point with the tens or hundreds of millions of synthetics floating around out there, they'll obviously still be trading them somehow. I'm really curious what having concrete evidence of 100% direct registration will do. What will actually happen in the market. AFAIK it's never happened before.

Piefke_ · 2021-10-24T11:23:06+00:00

Nice

Yolobabyshark247 · 2021-10-24T12:40:33+00:00

Can we get the drs bot stats over time on a graph for these projections?

chaunm11 · 2021-10-24T15:16:27+00:00

I believe if RC and GameStop choosed CS as their Transfer Agent in the official website, then ALL the insider shares are Registered. Moreover, there will be lurking whales just see post, transfer, buy and DRS without showing their account information. Apes will get there way SOONER than we thought 🎮

RemoveDear · 2021-10-24T17:48:31+00:00

I don’t understand any of this. I want a Lambo.

TheTangoFox · 2021-10-24T11:07:37+00:00

~~We still haven't seen the vote count from 6/9~~

I'm full of shit. CandyBarsJ has the link below.

aZamaryk · 2021-10-24T13:49:56+00:00

All the Lambo people will be broke within 1 year of receiving their tendies! There is more to life than some fucking car. Perhaps think about investing in your community, city, area to help other less fortunate people? Greed will make you just like the shit hedgies and billionaires youre railing against!

DarthBooooom · 2021-10-24T12:54:16+00:00

Bullish

Beneon83 · 2021-10-24T13:30:47+00:00

www computershared.net

DOGEtoAdollar · 2021-10-24T14:24:47+00:00

Almost all of my friends own shares and exactly 0 of them have posted or told DRSbot. I'm in the same boat. Together we'd add XXXX. I'm sure there's thousands like me

kidkadian99 · 2021-10-24T14:35:03+00:00

I am just going to point out that my palm reader said we will be retired by Feb

mazingerz021 · 2021-10-24T17:01:12+00:00

There are also people who are hesitant to post their positions without anonymity. Can we do that?

DevinCauley-Towns · 2021-10-24T17:07:28+00:00

I like the idea of this, though I see 2 major issues with your assumptions.

191 share average is based on posts here and does not necessarily accurately reflect the true average without any bias. Could easily be 10% of what’s posted.
This assumes a consistent rate of 10k/week, which is a huge assumption with no justification given.

That being said, as some other commenters have mentioned, I doubt we’ll have to wait for there entire float to be locked up. The constant DRS flow should increasingly be adding pressure to shorts and make the MOASS more likely to pop off soon. Anyways, just thought I’d give some feedback on your “napkin maf”, I understand this is not supposed to be an ironclad analysis.

MD-pounding-puss · 2021-10-24T17:48:03+00:00

Just started the DRS process from Holland. 420 shares on their way.

DrGepetto · 2021-10-25T01:30:32+00:00

I think your account estimate is too low and shares/ shareholdereven too high though the average from the sample on this thread is 191 per shareholder.

My personal estimate I think is 5x what you have and say 300k-ish accounts, I'd say 50 shares per shareholder. Even in that simulation though it's still nuts to a higher total amount and would be 15,000,000 shares locked up. That's low end in my book. I would not be surprised if each shareholder is closer to 150 if not more shares, that's closer to 45,000,000.

Moment of truth soon

rutoca · 2021-10-25T03:12:08+00:00

Lambo? Nah. I'm play to help educate people who can't pay for it

ShinkenChokuto · 2021-10-24T13:01:08+00:00

Sooner than 29 weeks when taking into account we are probably nowhere near the peak of the adoption curve, but closer to the beginning.

Hot_Dog_Dudeson · 2021-10-24T13:20:41+00:00

Ape like dis maf

amandashartstein · 2021-10-24T13:35:32+00:00

I feel that the computer share average needs to be lower. I don’t know the percentage, but some apes have different account numbers. I have drs three times but all have the same account number. I truly believe the DRSBOT average but think we are a little less than the mod 11 number

TomsCardoso · 2021-10-24T13:35:33+00:00

Assuming a steady rhythm of 10k new accounts per week is probably very wrong. It will steadily decrease as time goes by I'd say, as the people more likely to DRS will have done it as soon as possible

erttuli · 2021-10-24T14:14:23+00:00

even faster if ppl buy more on CS

lock2sender · 2021-10-24T15:20:43+00:00

OMW 😘

avahannah · 2021-10-24T16:24:20+00:00

I was thinking xmas

Braaapp-717 · 2021-10-24T16:30:38+00:00

I think this estimate is low. I haven't submitted an actual screenshot of all my shares but between my cash account and retirement that's high XXX.

BUY 📈 DRS 💻 HOLD 🚀🚀🍻

yateslife · 2021-10-24T16:53:30+00:00

If 75% of Superstonk subs registered 191 shares on average, that would exceed 90 million shares.

What if the real Superstonk community is 250k? 47m.

The first 4000 accounts... those are interesting. They would average 2250 shares IF RC was the only holder with more than one share!

GoPhotoshopYourself · 2021-10-24T17:05:47+00:00

And this is essentially just one subreddit on the Internet…

Imagine if the masses started hopping on the DRS train…

SuperStonk alone, with enough time and dedication, can guarantee that HEDGIES’R’FUKD

🌎🧑‍🚀🔫🧑‍🚀

Suske10 · 2021-10-24T17:26:27+00:00

You are being extremely conservative

Takenforganite · 2021-10-24T17:28:20+00:00

Moon day my bday, very apeish

Truffluscious · 2021-10-24T17:28:39+00:00

Yes please AFTER I sell my house while the market is good.

InternationalPenHere · 2021-10-24T17:38:36+00:00

Nice!

bvttfvcker · 2021-10-24T17:43:00+00:00

Even being a pessimist, we really only started DRS’ing in august. This is also taking the average number from investors like me (be broke, fat, and have no real education) that had at the most 20k to play with. I put in 11k on January 18th-19th at 92, the rest after the dump Down to 40.

Obviously that’s also not including known biggies like RC/DFV. That alone plus what we have puts us to about the full float. Then you’ve got Europoors, it’s very likely the amount of Euro investors and positions is double or even triple US/CAN- it’s hard to say wether that should be included because of difficulty to DRS.

We already own the float. Probably more over.

Icy_Rhubarb2857 · 2021-10-24T17:43:11+00:00

It would be so fucking beautiful if we moon on the 87th of November

NHNE · 2021-10-24T18:18:18+00:00

it'll take a month still for my 100 to arrive. im sorry i got late on the bandwagon.

CheetoBandito11 · 2021-10-24T18:20:01+00:00

I'm waiting for my verification code, then will start sending the rest and buying more on CS

haidachigg · 2021-10-24T18:47:33+00:00

I feel like computershared.net is the better dataset.

SirHawrk · 2021-10-24T18:53:15+00:00

Why only 1/10th of the account numbers for the number of accounts?

Neeyakos · 2021-10-24T18:54:31+00:00

We moon on my birthday ?!

TheRagenator · 2021-10-24T19:28:06+00:00

Would you look at that, my birthday would be a moon day :)

PornstarVirgin · 2021-10-24T19:31:43+00:00

Mod 11 is fud, there are many more accounts than that

blondboii · 2021-10-24T19:52:55+00:00

And if they drop the price it happens faster

tjlin72 · 2021-10-24T20:12:58+00:00

I can just imagine DFV screaming at us to hurry up so all the whales come to beach at CS

whalecatcher · 2021-10-24T20:36:57+00:00

I‘m waiting to add europoor Stonks to napkin maf ….

MEMartizzle · 2021-10-24T20:59:28+00:00

Maybe E*Trade will have found my shares by then.

No_Progress_7706 · 2021-10-24T21:45:41+00:00

I’m buying on the first and 15th of every month to make sure I’m as close to that 191 share average as possible 🙌🏼

lamdog330 · 2021-10-24T23:15:53+00:00

Much sooner once the flood happens

jharms1983 · 2021-10-25T00:02:48+00:00

I eat crayons

Zerokelvin99 · 2021-10-25T00:56:46+00:00

I think 10k accounts per week could easily change, considering a lot of brokers are not transferring quickly. Isn't fidelity one of the few only taking 3 days to complete the transfer

b_lurky · 2021-10-25T01:21:14+00:00

Lots of late Jan speculation lately.

jackier26 · 2021-10-25T03:55:00+00:00

Can’t wait for my karma to increase so I can post my purple circle as well

Zensen1 · 2021-10-24T13:00:11+00:00

This is linear growth. At one point, it could get exponential… 10 turns into 20k a week. 2m turns into 4m a week.

mmhs401 · 2021-10-24T12:09:18+00:00

Average share is too high. Even at average cost of 100$ per share, you are assuming on average everyone has almost 20K invested. That is simply not realistic. I would prefer to be cautious with the figures we use than be overly optimistic

reilly2231 · 2021-10-24T14:56:04+00:00

You're on crack if you think they average amount of shares DRS per account is 200 lmao.

dudesonly69 · 2021-10-24T13:36:29+00:00

I don't like these counting posts

Aeveras · 2021-10-24T18:45:35+00:00

May 15th is a significant date for me.

So the 16th of May would be acceptable.

AfterTheTruth7 · 2021-10-24T13:08:54+00:00

Nothing but guesses. I'm over the hype. Not even looking at this stuff anymore. I'll know when it happens. Prob not for a long time.

Thesearchoftheshite · 2021-10-24T14:15:19+00:00

I don't believe in this mod11 crap, never have, never will. Sorry, not sorry. DRS. Hold.

illuminenyc · 2021-10-24T13:07:47+00:00

[deleted]

Kostelnik · 2021-10-24T13:37:39+00:00

You can see the curve of the total accounts begin to taper. This isn't a straight line. It's going to slow down as people can only DRS as much as they have.

Unqualified2Multiply · 2021-10-24T16:01:02+00:00

Mod11 is fud

fortus_gaming · 2021-10-24T20:04:01+00:00

This might not be a popular opinion and I would understand those not wanting to hear it since it doesnt go with this post, but I feel the need to rein in expectations;

I still think XXX shares per person is too large for most people, if we assume that most are XX and X, then anything above 100 which is XXX is too much. 100 shares at $150 is already $15k, I would argue average most post people is between $150-$250, so $20k per 100 shares is pretty damn high. Not everyone can afford that, the people posting are generally on the higher spectrum, I have no way of proving that, but I would imagine most people with 10-40 shares wont really be posting, which skews and biases our "average". I havent posted my own for reasons, but I most definitely I'm not an XXX, and most of the people I have involved are not XXX either. Again, I dont think most people who arent ALL-IN have put more than a few thousands, which again doesnt put most people at the XXX mark.

I hope to be wrong, and my understanding is that 98% of people on reddit are lurkers, who dont even have an account, I know a few people in my circle who are happy lurkers on reddit, tikktok and other media, they are used to "passive entertainment" so they are perfectly fine being on the "sidelines" soaking all this "entertainment", so these kind of calculations are just too difficult to truly gauge.

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