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[–]NoNameKetchupChips 1410 points1411 points  (384 children)

The problem is for those people waiting for their 2nd dose.

[–]grassytoes 32 points33 points  (1 child)

According to this vaccine tracker, we've used about 73% of the doses we've got. I don't know how that breaks down for Pfizer, but there's probably still a lot left to use for people's 2nd dose instead of 1st doses.

[–]Into-the-stream 6 points7 points  (0 children)

And they’ve already given some second doses, so if they pivot immediately, maybe it will be ok?

[–]AC_Roxy 709 points710 points  (248 children)

This is what I am highly concerned about. Did we just waste all the doses we have received because people will be getting their second doses too late and negatively impacting the effectiveness of the vaccine??

ETA: scrolling through all the comments below reinforces my concerns. Everyone is quoting different efficacy numbers, and using more abstract language saying things like should, and probably. That’s exactly my point. We can make hypotheses about this but this is not the conditions the vaccines were tested in so we can’t be certain this isn’t a problem. We just don’t know.

[–]Cornet6Ontario 518 points519 points  (152 children)

They're probably not a complete waste. They'll likely still work, just less effectively. In reality, we don't even know if that's the case, we can only guess.

But ya, it is frustrating. If we are spending billions of dollars on vaccines, and billions more on lockdowns, then we should try to get the most efficacy out of our vaccination program as possible. And that means following the approved instructions of the manufacturer.

Of course, nothing we can do about it now. But maybe, in hindsight, we should have reserved vaccines for the second dose, as was initially the plan.

[–]jsmooth7 43 points44 points  (20 children)

It's not like we don't know anything, we can look at other vaccines to give us a good idea of what to expect. Generally with two dose vaccines the concern is giving the 2nd dose too soon, not too late. You need to wait long enough for the first vaccine to finish causing an immune response. Then you can give the booster which causes another immune response, strengthening it. The immune system won't immediately forget about the first immune response, so there is quite a bit of flexibility to delay giving the booster.

I think it's pretty unlikely that a week delay will be a big deal, most likely they will still give very high levels of immunity.

[–]DanielBox4 34 points35 points  (0 children)

It's much easier for people to talk about things they don't know and bash govts they don't like than to inquire how things really work. Everyone's an immunologist now after reading there will be a delay in procurement.

[–]Spaghetti-Rat 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I understand that but both the WHO and Pfizer recommend six weeks as a max timeline between doses. Last week, Quebec announced that they were delaying second doses by an extra six weeks, making it twelve total.

Some Canadians (Quebecers) are already in uncharted waters with these vaccines. Adding another week delay on is crazy. I hope Quebec re-evaluates their rollout and administers second doses closer to Pfizer's recommendations.

[–]butters1337 3 points4 points  (13 children)

It’s not like we don’t know anything, we can look at other vaccines to give us a good idea of what to expect.

The mechanism of action of these vaccines (mRNA) is substantially different than any previous vaccine. I don’t think you can suggest this.

[–]ottawa1992 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Not necessarily true. It might make 0 difference or it could improve things. It’s not known. The 21 days was the minimum needed as your body needs time to produce an immune response it is not necessarily the only amount of time that works. The UK studied it and found the following for effectiveness of one dose:

“The second estimate comes from the UK's Vaccine Committee, the JCVI, who decided to calculate the efficacy of the vaccine differently. Instead of using all the data on the number of infections, including from days when the first dose hadn't yet started to work, they only looked at days 15-21. Using this method, the efficacy of the vaccine jumps up to 89%, because it's not being diluted by the relatively high number of infections before the vaccine begins to have an effect. Taking things even further and only looking at the first seven days after the second dose (days 21-28) – because the second dose might not have kicked in yet by then – it's 92%.”

[–]afriendlydebate 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Politicians/the public (particularly places like reddit) were frothing mad when the media told them about the "reserves" that were "just sitting there". Someone out there planned for all of this only to see their precautions get bulldozed.

[–]JigsawJay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

In the UK we’ve delayed the second dose to 12 weeks maximum based (supposedly) on the data. This allows more people to get the first dose and provides some limited protection and (supposedly) reduces instances where people need ICU care.

Feels like a giant experiment on a massive scale though...

[–]Astrodude87 71 points72 points  (7 children)

Even with a single dose it causes an immune response: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/08/health/covid-vaccine-pfizer.html. Maybe they will need a second booster if the first is delayed. We don’t know yet. But the key here is at least on short term they might not get a virus they wouldn’t have gotten if they hadn’t had the first shot, or at the least it won’t hit them as bad. This could also diminish how much it spreads. We don’t have all that data yet, but it’s not unreasonable.

[–]Yes-Boi_Yes_Bout 25 points26 points  (0 children)

This is actually the current UK strategy (not saying I agree with it). I got my first dose last week and will get my next one in March.

[–]Franc000 11 points12 points  (3 children)

th so much global demand and Covid playing havoc with global supply chains it's just a complete no-brainer. The fact that our government and their vaccine task forces have been caught with their pants down having not held enough doses in reserve for second doses is completely unacceptable. That's to say nothing of idiot provincial governments like Quebec that are now deliberately delaying second doses without any meaningful evidence to support that decision.

It does cause an immune response. The question is will it be lasting or not? We do not know, we only know that at 2 doses it does cause a lasting immune response.

[–]joelmercer 5 points6 points  (0 children)

New Brunswick held back doses to make sure they wouldn't run into supply issues. Turned out to be a good idea.

[–]NoNameKetchupChips 21 points22 points  (6 children)

Exactly, you’re supposed to get the same vaccine twice, so Pfizer for the second if it was the first.

[–]Ph0XQuébec 21 points22 points  (5 children)

While it's a different vaccine, early evidence shows that delaying the second dose with the Astrazeneca vaccine can actually improve if you delay the second dose even longer.

The reality though is that we don't have enough data, but at a very high level, it shouldn't make a difference. Your body builds a certain number of antibodies from the first dose, and more antibodies with the second dose. The whole reason you need two is that the mRNA doesn't last very long inside you, so you need another shot for your body to continue working. But I don't think the antibody level will drop if the second dose doesn't come in time, it just won't be at its peak.

[–]sBucks24 4 points5 points  (0 children)

There is currently insufficient data to see what implications a long time between dosages will mean. Parroting a Fauci statement from last week I believe:

will it work with 6, 8 or 10 weeks rather than 4, all research suggest yes. BUT, it was tested and passed trials with 4 weeks. So let's do it the way it was designed!

So will we have wasted them? Probably no. But it's best not to be guinea pigs more than people already kind of are.

[–]SpicyBagholder 33 points34 points  (14 children)

You are supposed to be following exactly what they did in the drug trials. Now canada wants to modify that and it's pissing Pfizer off

[–]Yes-Boi_Yes_Bout 19 points20 points  (11 children)

UK is already doing that, its a population level intervention and ultimatly the goal is to reduce death/harm, not please pfizer

[–]refurb 22 points23 points  (5 children)

It’s pissing Pfizer off because they’ll be the ones blamed.

The FDA came out a couple weeks ago and said “bad idea to start messing with dosing schedules”.

[–]Clemambi 30 points31 points  (29 children)

even with a single dose, the vaccine is still more than 50% effective which will be useful for slowing the pace of rona. Obviously this is far from perfect, but from a public health standpoint it's not a catastrophe, and arguarbly more effective.

[–][deleted] 18 points19 points  (25 children)

That’s actually Quebec’s strategy. I feel like it will backfire, but Quebec health officials seem to know better....

[–]hikit22 11 points12 points  (6 children)

Don't give too much credit to Quebec, considering they have by far the worst track record among the provinces and they often ignore the advice of their own medical experts (such as insisting on in person learning at schools this january despite the medical evidence that it is a bad idea).

[–][deleted] 13 points14 points  (4 children)

or as closing restaurants even when the public health said it was not necessary ...

[–]Tomy2TugsFapMaster69 14 points15 points  (3 children)

Or an 8pm curfew despite zero evidence provided that it will have positive results. It all wreaks of desperation.

[–]Minute_Aardvark_2962 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Who could have predicted this? Rhetorical question

[–]22Sharpe 14 points15 points  (0 children)

This is why some provinces specifically only did half the amount of doses they received, just in case. Sure it doesn’t look as good to have vaccinated 10k (or however many) people instead of 20k but at least you have doses left for those 10k to be completed.

[–]Ruralmanitoban 97 points98 points  (27 children)

There are a lot of folks all over social media who were critical of jurisdictions for holding back doses for second inoculations who will be eating crow.

[–]LeafsInSix 33 points34 points  (11 children)

Not to mention Bonnie Henry who from the very start put BC on the Just-In-Time model for vaccinating.

In doing so, she put pressure on provinces like Ontario that were initially using the prudent approach of holding back second doses to follow her lead. All people and politicians could see were daily figures about number of doses administered. It was no big deal that the trade-off for a greater vaccination rate was to forsake the reserve and gamble that Trudeau's reassurances about delivery and an untested supply chain would actually hold for the duration.

[–]Ruralmanitoban 19 points20 points  (3 children)

r/Winnipeg has been awash with armchair public health experts yelling about %of vaccine used. As shitty as it is to see that Pfizer wasn't able to meet their commitments, it really shows why public Gauthier experts can't be swayed by popular opinion.

[–]LeafsInSix 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I'm not terribly surprised by the average person whining about a low vaccination rate caused by holding back doses. I was surprised by a chief medical officer taking a chance so soon - especially on such new vaccines and an untested supply chain even without federal reassurances/prodding.

[–]abaz204 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That subreddit has been unusable since March

[–]bravosarahLong Live the King 10 points11 points  (7 children)

Didn't we hold back doses, just in case this happened?

[–]annamnesis 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Yes in some jurisdictions no in others.

[–]NotInsane_Yet 20 points21 points  (1 child)

Most provinces gave in to the lynch mob and attacks from the federal government for holding back the second dose.

[–][deleted] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

They wanted to put numbers on the board for short term politics. It's pathetic.

[–]OutWithTheNew 5 points6 points  (2 children)

Not in Manitoba.

All of our Pfizer first doses have been put on hold to ensure second doses are available.

[–]mynx79Ontario 29 points30 points  (5 children)

As someone waiting for the second dose January 31st, I couldn't agree more. I would have waited and given two proper doses to someone else if that meant I would get my two in the proper time schedule.
As of right now they are saying 25 to 28 days, which is already a delay from 21. Thing is too, we have no idea how effective it is if they muck up the dosing schedule. I wish I had known this was going to happen before I said yes, since I don't think I'll be getting another opportunity to make it right.

(Yes, I am aware I am lucky to be getting one this early, but I work in a LTC home. This isn't just my health we're playing with.)

[–]OverlyHonestCanadianQuébec 3 points4 points  (2 children)

According to my amazing premier, the second dose can wait. /s

[–]Jiktar[🍰] 12 points13 points  (4 children)

I just got Vaccinated a few hours ago, I was told I would get my 2nd dose in 12 weeks. I was somewhat flabbergasted.

[–]InEnduringGrowStrong 9 points10 points  (6 children)

That's why we're supposed to fucking store that second dose instead of repurposing it as a first dose in the first place.
This is infuriating.

[–][deleted] 2 points3 points  (4 children)

(sees user name)

Updated my journal

[–]InEnduringGrowStrong 2 points3 points  (3 children)

Fellow man of culture I see.

Seriously though, I haven't played it in years and I still remember some of that stuff like it was yesterday.
Deionarra's first speech still gives me goosebumps.
I wish I could replay it for the first time again.

[–][deleted] 4 points5 points  (1 child)

Can anyone ELI5 why we didn't just count the vaccines we already had and give them to half as many people? That way it ensures that everyone who receives their first dose gets a second dose?

[–][deleted] 244 points245 points  (27 children)

Remember a week ago? How many people were saying just get doses in arms regardless of the supply chain risk?

Ultimately, it’s not always as simple as many would like to believe.

[–]misantrope 58 points59 points  (2 children)

I've come to learn that everyone has a very strong opinion on epidemiology, but it changes depending on which political party they want to attack.

[–]KingRabbit_ 27 points28 points  (2 children)

People are living in denial.

The reality is that this speaks very poorly of us as a country.

[–]c5_csbiostud 312 points313 points  (23 children)

I'm not too worried about this as long as we get these extra doses back. Ie if we expected 4m by end of march, I want 4m by end of march even if less right now.

[–]NorseGod 44 points45 points  (1 child)

Problem is this can throw off the timing of the second dose for many ppl, which means it might not be as effective.

[–]mrtomjonesBritish Columbia 15 points16 points  (5 children)

My wife is coming up to a few days away from when she should be getting her 2nd dose and not too far from the week over that which BC had planned originally. I'm concerned.

[–]da_guy2Ontario 6 points7 points  (1 child)

Don't be. 28 days is the minimum not the exact day out just happen on.

[–]nbcs 125 points126 points  (31 children)

I'm ok with this if ALL north/south America countries are having shipment deferred. If it is solely a Canadian problem, then someone owes us an explanation.

[–]Silly_Goose2British Columbia 165 points166 points  (24 children)

It's actually all countries which get supplies from Pfizer's European facility. The United States is not affected by this as their doses are manufactured domestically. Our contract solely sources from Europe, as then the US can't limit our access to it (which was a good idea when Trump was threatening to cancel any exports of vaccines).

The Europeans are just as upset as we all seem to be here. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/15/uk-to-face-short-term-delay-in-delivery-of-pfizer-vaccine

[–]CromulentDucky 17 points18 points  (8 children)

That's non longer true. Pfizer found a way to keep European shipments going. Amazing how that happened.

[–]BD401 48 points49 points  (9 children)

This news is disappointing, but not surprising. Expect to see more headlines like this over the next few months. The reality is there's unprecedented global demand for the vaccine, and finite supply right now. The harsh reality is that regardless of how many contracts we sign or orders we place, the real-world physical availability of the vaccines are the primary limiting factor.

[–][deleted] 528 points529 points  (197 children)

The presser where they announced this was weak.

Why is Canada getting literally nothing? I thought this was supposed to be equitable sharing of the reduced capacity and then everyone benefits from increased capacity after the upgrades are completed?

As far as we know with our limited information from European governments and the Canadian government.... Canada is getting completely screwed and will suffer.

Anand and others kept stressing "oh we'll still get to 6 million by March". And? That was the number before these upgrades were decided on. It also stands to reason Europe will benefit and have a net gain in vaccines expected by end of March since they are claiming they will not have a noticeable drop from Pfizer and will likely get the benefit of this increased capacity for February & March.

What's going on? Tell me you are going back to Pfizer to get a fucking answer and stop with the "6 million doses" shit.

There could be a reason. Maybe Canada will get the benefit of ALL the expanded capacity. Maybe the European governments will announce this reduction tomorrow. I don't know. But you have to give a better answer than what Minister Anand did today. I understand not knowing if Pfizer just told the task force this morning. I can accept not having an actual answer. But tell me you are going to go back to them and figure out why they promised "equitable treatment" and it now sounds like Canada is the only one being screwed.

[–][deleted] 238 points239 points  (144 children)

From what I have heard, these countries that have been getting quicker supply like the US and UK actually gave money to help develop the vaccine and therefore are getting priority.

[–]AprilsMostAmazingOntario 169 points170 points  (28 children)

The manufacturing facilities are also either located there or closer plus they have better ties with the company

[–]jtbc 154 points155 points  (25 children)

The US has their own facility for Pfizer and the UK has one for AstraZeneca.

If you look at the list of countries by vaccination percentage, the ones ahead of Canada are all either hosts of manufacturing facilities or tiny, rich countries.

It will be interested to see if the EU countries pull ahead, though. Their late start might be why they are getting a better deal from Pfizer (as well as having homefield advantage for the Belgian facility).

[–]bcbuddy 42 points43 points  (19 children)

Israel has no vacine manufacturing capacity.

[–]Max_ThunderQuébec 72 points73 points  (2 children)

They had a unique deal with Pfizer, it's really interesting.

They're providing a lot of data. For instance the first news of the vaccine reducing the chances of getting infected came from Israel. (before that we still didn't know if it only prevented severe symptoms without necessarily preventing infections)

[–]AverageCanadian 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Israel also has the ability to provide the data because their health system is all electronic or at least further along with tracking everything electronically. I can only speak of the Ontario experience, but aren't anywhere near that. We still rely heavily on faxed documents that might get scanned somewhere eventually.

Israel also has a few more characteristics that helped it be a testing zone for Pfizer. It had a much higher infection rate, with a much smaller landmass size. Israel can fit into the Niagara Region. This makes the logistics of delivering and getting the vaccine in peoples arms so much easier.

They also paid a lot more for their doses, but I suspect if paying more was the answer, there would be no shortage of wealthy countries that could do that.

[–]GolfingtheWest 2 points3 points  (0 children)

They also have the distribution for getting it out via the military and being able to mobilize. Also, Israel historically is very innovative in their approach to almost everything. They developed a system to repack the vaccine for transport which allowed it to be transported easier.

Never underestimate the power of having everyone under 45 still in the reserves and how they can pivot their resources.

[–]jtbc 32 points33 points  (14 children)

No. They are a tiny, rich country (that paid a significant premium to get early supply).

[–]CromulentDucky 10 points11 points  (9 children)

The premium was $30/shot instead of $15. I've read (on Reddit, so maybe it's not true) that Canada had the same opportunity to pay more and said no. I'd so, that was just dumb, considering the relatively small cost.

[–]jtbc 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I thought it was $40? In any case, hindsight is 20/20. Israel appears to have got lucky by picking the vaccine that has hit the market first in quantity. Also, Israel had more cases today than Canada, with 1/4 of the population, so maybe they actually have greater need?

[–]Max_ThunderQuébec 18 points19 points  (1 child)

Canada was ahead but some EU countries seem to be catching up though... We're at 1.62%, Spain is at 2.07, Italy at 1.98, Denmark at 3.06.

[–]NotInsane_Yet 28 points29 points  (0 children)

We were only ahead because they hadn't start vaccinating yet.

[–]duchovny 67 points68 points  (22 children)

Didn't we give away almost a billion dollars for vaccine research?

[–]Juice1984 73 points74 points  (21 children)

yes to china.

[–]genius_retard 75 points76 points  (8 children)

Yeah and then when it came time to do phase 3 trials China refused to allow the company to export the vaccine to Canada.

[–]munk_e_man 16 points17 points  (0 children)

If only we could've seen it coming somehow! Oh well...

[–]Juice1984 74 points75 points  (6 children)

exactly...why are we doing business with china for a vaccine in the first place...who would take a shot from china? people already distrust vaccines. Had he invested in the actual front runner companies wed have way more now not later.

[–]genius_retard 46 points47 points  (3 children)

I totally agree with you and would add that given how poor our current diplomatic relationship with China is the Government of Canada should have seen that coming.

I do have to play devil's advocate for a moment and say that Canada had successfully worked with that same Chinese company to develop a vaccine in the past (for H1N1 I think). Still the landscape has changed since then and our members of government should have realised that.

[–][deleted] 7 points8 points  (2 children)

More than likely it was done to appease the anger of China that was garnered over the (legal) arrest of the Huwei CEO.

[–][deleted] 7 points8 points  (1 child)

So we just hand them a billion dollars and say 'sorry'? Someone needs to be fired for this.

[–][deleted] 21 points22 points  (6 children)

source?

[–]Juice1984 18 points19 points  (2 children)

[–]Martini1Ontario 21 points22 points  (0 children)

BioNtech/Pzifer did not accept or go into any agreement for money for the development of the vaccine. You are thinking of Moderna and other companies.

[–]Fyrefawx 33 points34 points  (10 children)

The US didn’t give Pfizer money. In fact Pfizer didn’t want US money because they knew there would be strings attached once completed.

[–]C0wabungaaa 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Maybe the European governments will announce this reduction tomorrow.

Hi, Belgian-Dutchie here who wandered in from the front page. Yeah here in Belgium at least they today announced that our hospitals have to pause with their vaccinations due to a delivery delay from Pfizer.

[–]effedup 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Canada was late to place our order, among the other reasons. Yes, we placed orders with a lot of companies, but we did it too late. We bet on a chinese vaccine until china screwed us. And good too because turns out their vaccines are made of crap and don't work, like their drywall or baby formula.

[–]barra333 4 points5 points  (1 child)

The way I understand it is that between now and the end of March, Pfizer will be making x doses of vaccine with or without the shutdown. The temp shutdown means that the supply will be backended but allow for a higher volume to be put out after that.

[–]SoLetsReddit 20 points21 points  (2 children)

Canada restricts how much pharma can charge for drugs and vaccines, and the US does not. Who do you think they are going to sell to?

[–]YogurtclosetMinute57 8 points9 points  (1 child)

Not sure normal drug pricing applies for these vaccines currently, not even in the US are they being sold at market price but well below what a new vaccine would typically cost. $19.50 per dose roughly for Pfizer vaccine, and $25 per dose for Moderna.

[–]RecordRains 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Companies do this with the expectation that it helps them sell their higher margin products.

I worked in pharma, Canada's price restrictions were 100% the reason for dropping some products there.

[–]jmomcc 89 points90 points  (22 children)

Not good. I’ll hold judgement til we see if we meet march’s goal of 4 million by then.. but still would be better to get more out quickly, obviously.

Really need J and J or astrazeneca to get going.

[–]helpwitheating 33 points34 points  (20 children)

I think that's why the ordered from so many sources. We still have a good steady supply of Moderna coming in.

[–]whiteout86 22 points23 points  (12 children)

Well, kind of. There are two more Moderna shipments before March because they only ship every third week. The federal government hasn’t released the March shipping timeline, which they should know at this point but if their February numbers hold, we’ll need to get about 60% of all Moderna doses in a single March shipment if we want to hit 2 million doses received by March 31

[–][deleted] 174 points175 points  (73 children)

Seems to me that they should take a closer look at the UK data for AstraZeneca and get off their asses to approve that vaccine.

[–]AprilsMostAmazingOntario 61 points62 points  (1 child)

When HealthCanada is ready to approve it, they will approve. We don't want any politician interfering with their process as that will only cause more distrust in vaccines

[–][deleted] 23 points24 points  (0 children)

This. It's just like all the clamoring for expedited approval of the rapid tests, when many of them ended up being wildly inaccurate and useless in the US where they were fast tracked. I'm glad our federal health agency is cautious and careful and not forced into speeding up approval by politicians.

[–]YoghurtRealistic757 201 points202 points  (11 children)

We learned this lesson with the Boeing 737 Max - don't trust foreign regulators to make decisions on the behalf of Canadians.

[–]CaptainSurCanada 113 points114 points  (52 children)

There is a lot of misinformation in the comments in this thread:

  • Pfizer is shorting not just Canada but all the countries that receive doses from the Belgium manufacturing facility. The shortages are rotated and much of the info is not public from different countries. Pfizer has publicly stated that no country is receiving preference and I think it would be suicidal on their part to engage in preferential allotments. Some countries were shorted or received no vaccine this week, Canada gets none next week, etc.
  • Canada did not negotiate for vaccine out of America. Not true. Trump enacted an order restricting all production in America for use solely in that country. Making negotiating for vaccine supply from the US plant a moot point. This was surely a Trump shot at Canada since he absolutely knew that our country would have been relying on it's chief allie (America) for this type of vaccine supply. To me this was almost a declaration of war against Canada and it was Trump's payback for his being taken to the cleaners on the Aluminum tariff, Trump's real estate project in Toronto, and the lousy deal he negotiated with Canada on USMCA. Trump is also extremely jealous that he is not a fraction of the man Trudeau is: Trump is old, fat, weak, ugly, a coward and stupid whereas Trudeau is none of the aforementioned.
  • Premier Ford is pleading for vac supply from the US plant. I agree with him on this and I assess that Trudeau is probably intending to raise this with President Biden. If Biden wants to attempt to repair the damage caused by Trump, parting with doses from that plant which can easily supply them and not impact the US rollout would be a meaningful first gesture. That plant could part with 2-3 million doses and it not make an iota of difference to the vaccination efforts in America. Canada could even propose giving up some 2nd quarter supply as an offset.
  • Both approved vaccinations give a notable measure of "protection" from their first dose. Even the companies are somewhat all over the map on the 2nd dose timing as they conducted their clinical trials to a specific set of date criteria. For legal reasons they will not affirm any other schedule unless they know they have solid evidence to support the schedule change. As the drugs are so new they are still accumulating this data.
  • What can be said is that some delay is not the end of the world. On day 28 it is not that all the sudden one is at 0% again.
  • Ontario has always been holding some vaccine back notwithstanding anything you might read or has been said publicly. They were pursuing a rolling strategy. Even the changes in deliveries will not really have a significant impact on 2nd shots. It will impact more new first shots, unless the province decides to go full out on a Quebec strategy, which I personally doubt.
  • If you have an opportunity to get your first shot you should thus still take it as you will obtain some benefit. And 40 days from now or so Pfizer believes they will be back on track and making up the shortfall from increased manufacturing capacity.
  • Pfizer and its partner developed the vaccine at their own cost. No country paid into the development, only for the supply contracts. Some countries paid double the market rate to obtain quicker supply of early production, and also agreed to enhanced data sharing (Israel is one such country).

Long enough but wanted to address a few points.

[–]aphexmoon 23 points24 points  (5 children)

This is not correct, at least partly.

BioNTech developed the vaccine, Pfizer produces it. BioNTech received over 300 million € from the German government and another 100 million from the EU

[–]lenerzOntario 9 points10 points  (3 children)

Came here to say this! These companies are funded by government funding programs, so they were for sure financially backed not only by themselves. Not that it changes much of what the OP commenter said but it’s really not “at their own cost”

[–]LegoLady47 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Maybe now that Trump is gone, the US production problem can change if JT asks Pfizer nicely.

[–]Bibbityboo 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thank you for your reasoned response and attempt to get some actual information in here!

[–]NBAtoVancouver-Com 5 points6 points  (1 child)

Key paragraph: "This comes after Pfizer reported a temporary reduction in the company’s ability to deliver vaccines as it makes improvements to its facilities to increase production capacity in the long run."

[–]SinisterDirge 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Well, they mentioned a week ago that they didn’t like the idea of Quebec extending the time between shots.

So naturally the rest of Canada followed suit.

[–]columbo222[S] 283 points284 points  (168 children)

We are getting exactly 0 Pfizer doses next week, with more information on future deliveries not yet clear.

On the one hand I join the chorus that's increasingly unhappy about the vaccine procurement that the Feds put together.

But on the other hand, this is pretty unacceptable from Pfizer. They had a commitment to us, even if the number of doses wasn't as high as we would have liked. They're still breaking that commitment. What's more, they seem to be changing their tune every day. Since Monday we've gone from 50% less doses for 4 weeks, to ~75% less, to no doses next week and "we'll see" after that. Completely unacceptable IMO.

[–]whiteout86 46 points47 points  (1 child)

They were short last week as well, should have been about 926k doses by Jan 17 and we only had 822k

The Pfizer schedule has actually been completely removed from the government site and Moderna shipments only show until the end of February

[–]PhysMcfly 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Where do you see the Moderna shipment schedule? I tried to find it earlier, but came up empty.

[–]SammyMaudlin 75 points76 points  (22 children)

They had a commitment to us

Do you know the contractual terms for this commitment? If so, please share. If not, what sort of commitment are you assuming is "completely unacceptable?"

[–]imfar2oldforthis 29 points30 points  (12 children)

On the one hand I join the chorus that's increasingly unhappy about the vaccine procurement that the Feds put together.

But on the other hand, this is pretty unacceptable from Pfizer.

Therein lies the problem. Do we have agreements with Pfizer that allow them to defer deliveries or not?

It feels like the federal government was aiming to have a large number of vaccines under contract and they screwed up on the timeline because they didn't think there would be an issue of supply at any point.

[–]TheGreatOpinionsGuy 27 points28 points  (9 children)

I don't think Pfizer would have signed an agreement with hard commitments about the delivery schedule. Maybe if we paid way above-market price to jump the line like Israel did? Otherwise we have zero leverage to force them to prioritize Canada over other countries, Pfizer always held all the cards in those negotiations.

[–]imfar2oldforthis 18 points19 points  (7 children)

Germany said that Pfizer agreed to binding delivery dates until February.

So it sounds like they did make agreements in some cases. The question is if Canada has those agreements as well. If we don't then the Federal government has bungled the procurement process considerably. If we do have agreements then they should be doing something to enforce them like the EU has.

[–]Office_glenOntario 11 points12 points  (2 children)

I've worked for the federal government, and dabbled a little bit in procurement (for office supplies), let me tell you that systems a fuckin broken. There was a list of approved vendors we HAD to purchase from (a lot of smaller office suppliers), with ease I could find the same product for cheaper per single unit than we were getting in bulk

[–]memoriesofgc 10 points11 points  (0 children)

It just goes to show... you can be good at buying stuff all you want, but there is a lot more to it than that.

[–]helpwitheating 22 points23 points  (9 children)

Pfizer delayed delivery for all countries it's shipping to, so we're not the only ones. The feds have done a pretty great job - we're currently #6 in the world (excluding Russia and China) for % vaccinated.

My bad - #11 now. #6 must have been last week.

[–]duchovny 20 points21 points  (3 children)

We're actually 11th in total vaccinated and 13th per capita.

[–]SonictheManhog 48 points49 points  (38 children)

Pfizer shipments have been delayed in the UK and most of Europe as well... so Canada is not alone.

This is almost certainly due to the increased demand by the US and operation warp speed, as I believe Pfizer is increasing their shipments/production in the US. They Americans have the money and the influence so they can jump ahead.

[–]toomanywheels 55 points56 points  (26 children)

Pfizer didn't take funding from Warp speed, specifically to keep their independence. Furthermore, the US is getting vaccine from US plants, we're getting them from Belgium.

Shipments to Europe and Canada are slowed for a few weeks due to upgrading the European factories from a 2021 target of 1.2Bn to 2Bn doses, this required partly halting operation for a bit. The world need as many as can be made so it's a worthwhile tradeoff. Our Q1 target is still 4million from Pfizer - it just won't be as evenly distributed throughout the quarter as expected (unless something more goes wrong).

In Q2 we'll start to climb above 1 million doses per week. The upgraded European plants might help as well or we might get from the US factories, we'll see...

The main issue here is that we might suddenly be short of doses for the second jab but that's because we ignored recommendations to reserve the doses.

[–]SonictheManhog 23 points24 points  (17 children)

Furthermore, the US is getting vaccine from US plants, we're getting them from Belgium.

The Americans are getting vaccines from both the US plant and the Belgium plant and their current Phizer vaccination schedule is not slowing down (quite the opposite). I don't think Canada has ever gotten a Pfiser vaccine from the Michigan plant, which as far as I can tell is just for American domestic use. So while Europe and Canada are delayed due to the Belgium plant at this very important time... the Americans are getting exclusive use of the Michigan plant and are on track.

Doug Ford even asked Joe Biden directly if they could please spare some of the US Michagan plant stockpile:

Doug Ford, the premier of Ontario, Canada’s most populous province, said he’s angry. He asked Biden to help Canada out, noting there’s a Pfizer plant in Michigan.

“Our American friends, help us out,” Ford said. “You have a new president, no more excuses. Help us out.”

Ford notes Ontario is a large trading partner to the U.S.

“I can’t help but ask the president,” Ford said. “The least thing you can do ... give us a million vaccines. You have a hundred million down there. Give your great neighbor which stands shoulder to shoulder with you a million vaccines to get us over the hump. That’s what we would love to see from the president.”

This is unfortunately the geopolitical reality we are in.

[–]NotARealTigerCanada 11 points12 points  (7 children)

Doug Ford even asked Joe Biden directly if they could please spare some of the US Michagan plant stockpile

This is cute, but obviously not how decisions like that get made. It would be scandalous if simply asking for the vaccine was enough...like did they not have a plan for them already? Presumably 1 million vaccines would be missed.

[–]beingfujiko 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I'm sorry, but you don't get to call Americans "plague rats" and the U.S. "a meth lab below Canada's luxury apartment" and then ask us for our de-plagueing serum when we have no national stockpile.

[–]Critter_592 6 points7 points  (3 children)

Cuba about to enter clinical trials of its Soberana 02 vaccine candidate, one of four their Finlay Institute is working on. As background, Cuba produces and exports hundreds of millions of doses of vaccines to over 40 countries.

Vaccine and a vacation?? 🤔

[–]duchovny 24 points25 points  (5 children)

We're starting to see many countries surpass us in vaccines received.

[–]the_dandy_man_can 21 points22 points  (4 children)

I look at the CTV vaccination link daily. Every few days, Canada slides down the list more and more. We also approved the two vaccines earlier then almost all the countries and started injecting three or more weeks then most.

[–]TheOffsideTruther 7 points8 points  (0 children)

They ordered more vaccines tha nother countries but I think they bid less per vaccine from the big ones.

[–]duchovny 3 points4 points  (1 child)

I think I remember us being like 6th on the list a couple weeks ago. We're probably going to continue dropping down the list.

[–]spill_drudge 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The frustrating part is we have no clue about what's actually happening. The public is more and more cut off from information. We don't know if the deal we struck was good. Were we overachieving at the beginning? How much are my kids indebted? Why are we constantly mollified with trivialities? Sickening!!!

[–]omicronperseiVIII 17 points18 points  (4 children)

Our problems are beyond one government - they have been a long time in the making. The central problem is that our country settles for mediocrity. Look at the provinces: Ontario’s economy is dominated by the real estate sector, Alberta’s by O&G, B.C.’s by real estate and mining. Quebec is hamstrung by overbearing language and other laws. There’s basically no public demand to change this because people are happy sitting on land with inflated value. Education is overly focused on making people feel good rather than achievement - any impetus for achievement comes from (disproportionately Asian or Jewish) families.

We also can’t afford such a high cost of living - second rate US cities like Pittsburgh are in many ways more desirable than Toronto because of higher salaries and lower taxes/cost of living, assuming a job with health insurance.

[–][deleted] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

You've hit the nail on the head here. Canada's motto could be "mediocrity at it's finest".

[–]veritasxeOntario 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This is it right here. The pandemic just exposes everything you've mentioned and shown that Canada is competitor pathetic and relies on big Daddy USA for way too much.

[–]tertiumdatur 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The vaccine is a commodity for which there is high demand and scarce supply.

Of course no prior agreements will be upheld. Canada may have 9 times over enough vaccines on paper, but that doesn't matter a bit if some other country is willing to pay more for the early shipments.

[–]KingRabbit_ 16 points17 points  (0 children)

He says Pfizer has informed the government that this week’s deliveries will be around 82 per cent of what we were expecting. Next week, there won’t be any deliveries and only half of the expected amount will come in the first two weeks of February.

Procurement Minister Anita Anand says she has been speaking with the company and says all resources are being used to make sure we get our deliveries back to normal as soon as possible.

Don't worry, we're paying billions more to be left holding our dick. Pretty fucking great.

[–][deleted] 6 points7 points  (6 children)

Sadly, everyone should've seen this coming. I'll be interested to see what Canada gets in terms of compensation from Pfizer for them not keeping to contract.

[–]castelo_to 15 points16 points  (3 children)

If they deliver the 4M by the end of Q1, then they won’t face any repercussions since the allotments are stated on a quarterly basis.

Doesn’t change the fact that I’m thoroughly pissed off, and as much as I think the feds have done a decent job on procuring vaccines, this is one fuck up they need to get fixed.

[–]ohnoshebettado 3 points4 points  (2 children)

I really dislike Trudeau - a lot - but this doesn't seem like his fault? I'm very open to learning more if there's nuance I'm missing.

[–]Mujin96 28 points29 points  (4 children)

Canada isn’t taken seriously on the global stage...nothing new here

[–]spill_drudge 7 points8 points  (1 child)

You hit nail on the head. Simply, we have no defence against shit eating. It's nice to have a bigger brother watch out for you but the bulk of one's protection has to come from oneself. Who reps/defends Canada on the world stage? We have zero leverage, absolutely zero!!

[–][deleted] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

That’s because Canadian people don’t do anything on the world stage. The dream Canadian life is to get a government job and skate through life. There is little innovation coming out of Canada. It’s embarrassing.

[–]jeywgosjeb 4 points5 points  (4 children)

We could just follow the instructions and not fuck up the ikea furniture

[–]horsefromhell 2 points3 points  (0 children)

And so it begins, promises not made. Big surprise this is happening.

[–]Canadianman22 22 points23 points  (5 children)

I called this last week. Canada will be put on the back burner while the EU countries will get first dibs from the EU facility and the US gets all the doses from the US facility.

Trudeau had a year. He knew they would get a vaccine out quickly. He could have started working with Canadian companies to get manufacturing facilities set up. Instead he bet on giving our money to other countries in hopes we would get our share.

Now we are in a situation where we are getting no shipments of a vaccine we desperately need from Pfizer for at least 1 week. Further shipments halved and frankly could just as easily be cancelled.

How a nation like Canada ended up in this position is sad. They had a year to get this going and they dropped the ball. Now the US and EU will be massively outpacing us which not only puts more lives at risk at home, but our economic recovery is going to be delayed as well. While business will resume quickly in the US and EU, we will be behind waiting and each day getting worse off for it.

[–]rush22 9 points10 points  (1 child)

There's been a giant vaccine plant being built over the past 3 years in North York in Ontario, partially funded by the feds and province. It's actually almost done. It's a Sanofi plant though and their first vaccine candidate hasn't worked very well so far.

So yeah, it's still taken a couple of years to build.

[–]TortuouslySly 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Sanofi has made it clear that they do not intend to use their Toronto plant for covid vaccine production.

https://ipolitics.ca/2020/12/08/sanofi-wont-use-its-canadian-facility-to-make-a-covid-vaccine/

[–]SamLosco38 20 points21 points  (26 children)

We aren’t getting out of this in 2021 are we?

[–][deleted] 12 points13 points  (2 children)

Not good. Hopefully Trudeau can figure something out to ensure the vulnerable are vaccinated in short order still.

[–]TheOffsideTruther 5 points6 points  (1 child)

I'm wondering if they had bid higher for Oxford and Pfizer rather than trying to get the 'most vaccines bought per capita' then maybe we'd be in a better position.

It's impressive to say you've ordered the most vaccines per person but if they don't actually get here while other countries are vaccinating at a higher rate then it's a moot point.