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    Markets bet on rate cuts as underlying  inflation eases

    A decline in underlying inflation led traders to dramatically revise their interest rate bets, jettisoning expectations of a 14th rate rise as soon as next week.

    Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Tehran

    Haniyeh’s death has been reported on state TV; Hamas says assassination is ‘cowardly act’; Treasurer Jim Chalmers says government policies are helping ease inflation. Follow updates here.

    Local shares are set to open higher, though futures pared their gains after Microsoft’s earnings disappointed.

    ASX rallies over 1pc after inflation data; Rio jumps 2pc

    Shares rise; traders bet on Reserve Bank rate cuts; Bank of Japan lifts rates to 0.25 per cent; Commonwealth Bank tops BHP to become biggest Australian firm; Rio Tinto half-year profit at $5.8 billion. Follow updates here.

    ANZ can finally get under the hood of Suncorp Bank

    ANZ chief Shayne Elliott said the $4.9 billion deal, which formally completed on Wednesday, will allow it to “compete more effectively across the Australian market”.

    Spluttering China the big risk to Rio Tinto’s new growth era

    Rio boss Jakob Stausholm says the miner is at a growth inflection point and is relaxed about China’s apparent weakness. But sentiment towards resources is souring. 

    The ‘criminal price tag’ for the navy’s new warships is $4b a pop

    A new fleet of frigates will cost almost $4 billion each, even before weapons are fitted, it can be revealed, making them the navy’s most expensive warship.

    NZ regulators probe banks over government bond trading

    As ASIC’s investigation into suspected manipulation in the government bond market heats up, New Zealand’s corporate watchdog is making its own inquiries.

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    paris 2024

    The day Canada trampled on Aussie hopes

    It was a day when Canada got the best of Australia in no less than three head-to-head encounters in Paris. Here’s what you missed overnight.

    Austral console each other after the loss.ia’s Faith Nathan, left and teammate Australia’s Teagan Levi

    ‘It sucks’: Distraught Aussie women walk away from rugby empty-handed

    The sevens team came into the Games set for gold, but against Canada and then the US they watched a medal almost literally sprint away from them.

    Jack Robinson is action in the Olympic surfing in Tahiti.

    He nearly drowned but Jack Robinson just beat the world’s best surfer

    The Olympics might be in Paris, but the surfing competition is half a world away in Tahiti where conditions are “so dangerous, so crazy”.

    A solution to the athletes village conundrum might be on the Gold Coast

    Paris’ capital-light infrastructure plan for the 2024 Olympics has been a great success. But plans to turn the village into new housing faces a new hurdle.

    ‘They want to swim’: Meares shrugs off fears of filthy Seine

    The $2.3 billion spent cleaning up the river may not be enough to ensure the triathlon’s swim leg through Paris’ historic heart goes ahead.

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    Companies

    The last Regional Express jet flight was due to land on Tuesday evening.

    Over 600 jobs at risk after Rex grounds flights

    Over 600 jobs at troubled airline Regional Express are at risk, the administrator told workers on Wednesday after the company’s shares were suspended and flights grounded between capital cities.

    Why Rio Tinto wants a bigger presence in lithium and copper

    ‘I couldn’t care less about what the lithium price is in the next 12 months,’ says chief executive Jakob Stausholm.

    Rex Airlines.

    How Rex’s ‘golden triangle’ plan failed

    Rex appears to have fallen prey to the curse plaguing challengers keen to throw down the gauntlet to the established duopoly of Qantas and Virgin. But Labor’s inaction on aviation policy didn’t help.

    US chain Carl’s Jr.

    Carl’s Jr local brand holder calls in KPMG

    As voluntary administrators consider the sale of 20 burger stores, some Carl’s Jr franchisees are still in business.

    Overhaul for Adgemis’ Public Hospitality Group after refinancing

    The Jon Adgemis-chaired pubs empire has completed its refinancing with Deutsche Bank, with the former KPMG dealmaker to focus on redeveloping its pubs.

    BHP in $3.2b South American copper deal

    BHP will step into Argentinian copper under a $US2.1 billion ($3.2 billion) deal with the famous Lundin family to take a Canadian explorer private.

    Importers got rich on COVID masks; the shipment’s still on the dock

    When COVID-19 erupted around the world, the race was on to secure masks and gowns. Middlemen were in lucrative taxpayer deals, even one which went awry.

    Companies in the News

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    Markets

    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock will meet to discuss interest rates next week.

    Relief rally sweeps market after cool inflation tempers rate fears

    Shares rallied, the Aussie dollar fell, and bond yields tumbled after core inflation prompted traders to rapidly start pricing in a rate cut in Australia.

    There’s a lot of money riding on the US Federal Reserve’s July board meeting.

    Traders gird for ‘dangerous’ 48 hours in markets

    There’s a lot riding on the next few days, with Australia’s quarterly inflation report and the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. Anything less than consensus could rile markets.

    Satya Nadella, chief executive officer of Microsoft.

    Microsoft reports slower Azure cloud growth; shares drop

    Microsoft’s main growth engine in recent years, its Azure cloud-computing service, expanded revenue by 29 per cent against expectations of 31 per cent.

    What happened overnight? Techs sell off again in New York, paced by Nvidia plunge

    Nerves are fraying on Wall Street as results challenge lofty valuations. Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve policy decisions are among the next hurdles to clear.

    90 per cent off: Ackman forced to slash target for IPO

    The offering is expected to bring in $US2 billion, less than one-tenth the target the billionaire hedge-fund manager suggested earlier this month.

    Opinion

    Inflation stays sticky, but it won’t force RBA rate rise

    The consumer price figures were not as bad as feared, but inflation remains persistent and higher-for-longer interest rates will be required.

    John Kehoe

    Economics editor

    John Kehoe

    Why the $3m super tax has turned into a mess

    It may seem hard to argue against making people with high superannuation balances pay more tax, but implementing it is a dog’s breakfast.

    John Kehoe

    Economics editor

    John Kehoe

    Rex turmoil flies into airline competition confusion

    The Transport Minister seems too inclined to accept Australia’s two-airline syndrome, that a third player on the busiest routes will inevitably be trampled by Qantas.

    The AFR View

    Editorial

    The AFR View

    BHP’s energy transition truths

    Green subsidies are not enough when green metals will be harder to mine economically and other have major reserves.

    The AFR View

    Editorial

    The AFR View

    The real danger that Trump would pose for Ukraine

    Agreeing to Russia’s demand for a neutral Ukraine, as a new Republican presidency might, could leave the country at the mercy of Vladimir Putin’s long-term ambitions.

    Australia can’t afford for economic security to trump trade in Asia

    Economic diplomacy that builds interdependence with China in critical minerals and green energy will contribute to Australian prosperity and security, not detract from it.

    Shiro Armstrong

    Trade expert

    Shiro Armstrong

    Reports

    Cybersecurity and AI

    The federal government lays out plans to help boost the nation’s cyber defences, while experts outline steps to stay safe.

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    Politics

     “Success is not assured,” warns BHP chief executive Mike Henry.

    BHP warns on ‘made in Australia’

    BHP has warned the Albanese government that its flagship Future Made in Australia policy risks being undercut by the economy’s high costs, unproductive workplace laws, and uncompetitive tax system.

    ***EMBARGOED FOR GOOD WEEKEND, OCTOBER 30/21 ISSUE***

    Nuclear talk finally goes ahead after Holmes à Court criticism

    The engineer whose nuclear speech was cancelled the day renewable energy advocate Simon Holmes à Court objected to it has finally delivered the talk.

    Apprentices in the home building industry are losing their jobs because of insolvencies, making the skills shortage worse.

    Home building crisis worsens with young tradies out of work

    The wave of construction insolvencies is worsening an undersupply of homes and skills shortages, as trade apprentices are forced to drop out of TAFE courses.

    Wong calls on China to rein in North Korea

    The foreign minister acknowledged that countries all around Asia are beefing up their defence capabilities in response to China’s dramatic military expansion.

    Aussies in Lebanon told: ‘get out while you can’

    The government has plans to extract as many as 15,000 citizens from Lebanon using ferries if need be, but is urging them to leave now as there can be no guarantees.

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    World

    Ismail Haniyeh

    Hamas leader assassinated in Tehran home

    Ismail Haniyeh was in Tehran to attend Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s swearing-in ceremony. Israel has been blamed for the killing.

    The third consecutive contraction in manufacturing activity showed  there’s still uncertainty about the strength of the recovery.

    China factory activity shrinks for third straight month

    The official PMI index hit 49.4. The gauge has stayed below the 50-mark separating growth from contraction for all but three months since April 2023.

    Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have launched an advertising blitz.

    Trump, Harris launch multi-million dollar attack ads

    The presidential candidates are trying to land blows with costly advertisements as the election is reset with the new Democratic candidate.

    Israel says Hezbollah commander killed in Beirut strike

    The attack quickly fuelled fears among Western officials that the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, which Iran backs, could escalate into all-out war.

    UK police clash with far-right protesters after fatal stabbing

    The crowd was believed to consist of English Defence League supporters, with the unrest inspired by speculation about the arrested teenage boy.

    Property

    Brisbane’s rapid pace of growth has likely peaked.

    Brisbane’s property price hot streak may be about to end

    Brisbane’s rapid pace of growth has likely peaked but Perth prices are still “shooting the lights out”, experts say.

    A two-level penthouse in Benson’s Society development in Armadale sold for $17m.

    Melbourne penthouse prices tipped to double as demand surges

    Project marketers and valuers have tipped the average price of a Melbourne penthouse to double to $60,000 per square metre in the next few years.

    Sydney-based investor Rich Harvey said the proposed eviction rule “goes a bit too far against landlords like me.”

    NSW’s eviction rules will trigger landlord ‘exodus’

    The NSW government’s proposed ban on evicting tenants without reasonable grounds will spark landlords’ exodus and deprive the state of billions of dollars in investments in the rental sector, property investors warn.

    Thai family targets distressed sellers for luxury hotel growth plans

    Earp Siriphatrawan, whose family owns the 415-room Amora Jamison Sydney Hotel, says distressed vendors have created a buyer’s market.

    Trend-setting Toorak mansion for sale for the first time in 70 years

    Ballara was one of the first Toorak homes to be built in the simpler California bungalow style that soon spread across suburban Melbourne.

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    Wealth

    The magnificent seven tech megacaps have taken investors on a heady ride over the past few years as their values have soared.

    Where to invest as the tech megacap rally eases

    Signs that equity investors are getting cold feet over the rapid advances in artificial intelligence leaders have put a spotlight on some less obvious beneficiaries of the technology boom.

    Why the beach house might be cramping your retirement style

    Holiday homes are great, but they don’t produce retirement income and might limit your age pension payments.

    Six questions to ask your adult kids before writing a will

    Not everybody has the financial literacy and emotional intelligence to handle a significant inheritance.

    Technology

    Premier Steven Miles says “social media companies have no regard” and “no responsibility”.

    ‘Offensive’ social media companies shamed for letting scams thrive

    Financial Services Minister Stephen Jones says social media giants are “dragging their heels” in the fight against scams

    Former US president Donald Trump is positioning himself as a pro-crypto candidate.

    Australians welcome Trump’s pro-crypto stand

    Crypto traders say Donald Trump’s pledges to end the “persecution” of the industry and sack SEC chairman Gary Gensler are a good start.

    Australia needs a large language model that reflects Australian values if we want to retain our economic and cultural sovereignty.

    Why Australia needs its own AI large language model

    If we are to retain our economic and cultural sovereignty, Australia needs to develop AI that reflects Australian values.

    Work & Careers

    In tougher job market, aspiring bankers skip class to ‘stack’ internships

    Goldman Sachs had 31.5 per cent more internship applications in Singapore this year, and graduate recruitment is now so competitive that “internships are where you can get the foot in the door”.

    Companies not as prepared against harassment as they think they are

    Companies may think their workplace harassment policies are fit for purpose, but a survey shows many need to change to comply with new obligations.

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    Life & Luxury

    Krug Champagnes once bottled  are kept in the House’s cellars in Reims.

    How much champagne is too much? Depends on the airline you’re flying

    We joined Singapore Airlines on a whirlwind tour of its premium suppliers across France’s Champagne region. This is what we learnt.

    The cheap vegetable that could save your life

    According to a new study, eating carrots increases carotenoids in your skin. These phytonutrients lead to a lower risk of chronic disease and a stronger immune function.

    Party on a boat on Sydney harbour.

    The suburbs where Australians drink the most champagne

    Baby boomers are big drinkers of imported bubbles, but younger consumers are driving demand for alternatives such as prosecco.

    The five best exercises to beat burnout and stress

    Knowing what type of exercise to focus on when needed is key to allowing the stress chemicals to move through you more effectively.

    ‘Um, so what is brat?’

    The British pop star is providing the soundtrack to Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign.

    From the gallery