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Sarah Zhang Retweeted
A sketch to explain how a new variant may appear milder even with no change in underlying virulence. This can occur because, when calculating the fraction of cases that are severe, the denominator now includes many re-infections that had previously been averted. A thread. 1/8pic.twitter.com/XxrYHnb6XY
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And
@rachgutman on what Omicron means for the vaccinated. Sorry but this variant is *everybody's* problem nowhttps://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/12/fully-vaccinated-omicron-infections/620953/ …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Sarah Zhang Retweeted
I'm sorry to say I'm worried about Omicron. A lot we still don't know, but this much is becoming clear: Cases are rising very, very fast in places with high immunity to COVID 1/https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/12/omicron-spread-infection-severity/620948/ …
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Right now, Omicron is spreading as fast in places with *high immunity* as the original virus did in places with *no immunity* in early 2020. This is bad news, even if most cases are mild. I wrote about why here:https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/12/omicron-spread-infection-severity/620948/ …
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And a lot more details on neutralizing antibody data and boosters for Omicron, from
@KatherineJWu who is writing at superhuman speed https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/12/omicron-vaccine-antibodies-neutralization-immunity/620946/ …https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/12/omicron-covid-vaccine-booster/620936/ …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Full story. As I said, plenty of uncertainty still, but we've seen enough to take Omicron seriously https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/12/omicron-spread-infection-severity/620948/ … 5/5
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I'm not personally worried about getting very sick with COVID—or that any vaccinated loved ones would. These are pretty rare events. But rare events across many, many cases can still add up to a lot hospitalizations and deaths, and we don't want hospitals overwhelmed again 4/
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For context, I've been living a pretty normal life these last few months. I go to movies. I eat inside restaurants. I've hopped on a bunch of planes and traveled internationally. But I do think Omicron should prompt us to rethink that might be necessary soon. 3/
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Even if most cases are mild—though, as I explain in the piece, Omicron may not end up as mild as it currently looks—we have a simple math problem on our hands. A tiny % of a huge # is still a big #. With Omicron, we really could get to a huge # of cases. More than Delta 2/
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I'm sorry to say I'm worried about Omicron. A lot we still don't know, but this much is becoming clear: Cases are rising very, very fast in places with high immunity to COVID 1/https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/12/omicron-spread-infection-severity/620948/ …
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regular ass colds, still bad, man
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I caught a normal cold more than two weeks ago and my teeth still hurt every time I shake my head because of lingering sinusitis
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In any case, scientists will only know for sure that COVID has reached "endemicity" in retrospect, when we see the virus behaving the same year after year. Instead of asking "When will we reach endemicity?," we should ask, "How do we live now based on how things are today?"
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I think we keep looking to "endemicity" like we did before to "herd immunity"—a supposedly scientific threshold to tell us when we can stop caring about COVID. But that's not up to science! We as a society decide how much we keep caring about COVID
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COVID is not endemic yet, and it might not be for a while. The key question is: How do we manage the transition to endemicity?https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/12/covid-is-not-endemic-yetand-may-not-be-for-a-long-time/620914/ …
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I have developed a brain disease where I can only write late at night help
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Sarah Zhang Retweeted
In October 2019, a boxer named Charles Conwell unintentionally killed his opponent, Patrick Day, with a 10th-round knockout. I’ve spent the past two years reporting on the aftermath. https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2021/12/charles-conwell-boxing/620527/ …›››
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"It strikes me that wrinkles on women are not only stigmatized because they make them seem old, but because they make them look angry, sad, surprised, distressed — they make them look alive"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/15/arts/botox.html …
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Lastly, we are just not very good at predicting when a local outbreak will happen. We know which areas are at risk—where there is dry wood—but we don't know exactly when the lightning will strike https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/11/pandemic-winter-surge-three-unknowns/620738/ …pic.twitter.com/5qXbaI4Ptw
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Because unprotected people tend to cluster geographically and because hospitals are so backlogged & understaffed after a year-plus of pandemic emergency, it doesn't take very many sick people in a region to overwhelm hospitals
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