2010 Nevada gubernatorial election
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County results Sandoval: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2010 Nevada gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Nevada, who would serve a four-year term to begin on January 3, 2011. Sandoval defeated the Democratic nominee Rory Reid, son of then-current U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who won his fifth term in the Senate on the same ballot.
Despite speculation that incumbent Republican Governor Jim Gibbons would not run for a second term due to low approval ratings, he ran for re-election.[1][2][3] He struggled in the polls, and ultimately federal judge and former Attorney General of Nevada Brian Sandoval secured the nomination.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
A total of five Republican candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]
Declared[edit]
- Tony Atwood[4]
- Jim Gibbons, incumbent Governor[4][5]
- Stan Lusak, perennial candidate[4]
- Mike Montandon, Mayor of North Las Vegas[4][6]
- Brian Sandoval, former judge of the United States District Court for the District of Nevada and former Nevada Attorney General[4][7]
Withdrew[edit]
- Joe Heck, former State Senator (ran for NV-03 and won)
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Gibbons |
Mike Montandon |
Brian Sandoval |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 27% | 6% | 48% | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | May 10–11, 2010 | — | — | 27% | 6% | 45% | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | 25% | 7% | 39% | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | 30% | 9% | 37% | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | January 10, 2010 | — | — | 23% | 7% | 39% | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 2009 | — | — | 18% | 6% | 39% | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | 20% | 4% | 41% | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 17% | 3% | 33% | — |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Sandoval | 97,201 | 55.5 | |
Republican | Jim Gibbons (incumbent) | 47,616 | 27.2 | |
Republican | Mike Montandon | 22,002 | 12.6 | |
Republican | None of These Candidates | 4,400 | 2.5 | |
Republican | Tony Atwood | 2,440 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Stan Lusak | 1,380 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 175,039 | 100 |
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Two Democratic candidates filed with the Secretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]
Declared[edit]
- Frederick Conquest, anthropology professor[4]
- Rory Reid, Clark County Commissioner and son of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid[4][9]
Declined[edit]
- Barbara Buckley, Speaker of the Nevada Assembly[10]
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Barbara Buckley |
Oscar Goodman |
Rory Reid |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 25% | 34% | 13% | — |
— | — | 43% | — | 22% | — |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rory Reid | 80,162 | 70.1 | |
Democratic | None of These Candidates | 17,455 | 15.3 | |
Democratic | Frederick Conquest | 16,775 | 14.7 | |
Total votes | 114,392 | 100 |
Other candidates[edit]
Independents[edit]
Declared[edit]
Declined[edit]
Green[edit]
- David Scott Curtis[4]
Independent American[edit]
- Floyd Fitzgibbons[4]
Libertarian[edit]
- Arthur Forest Lampitt[4]
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[12] | Likely R | October 14, 2010 |
Rothenberg[13] | Safe R | October 28, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics[14] | Likely R | November 1, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely R | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics[16] | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Sandoval (R) |
Rory Reid (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 5, 2010 | — | — | 59% | 41% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | September 28, 2010 | — | — | 49% | 40% | — | — |
Public Opinion Strategies | September 21–23, 2010 | — | — | 45% | 39% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | September 21, 2010 | — | — | 49% | 35% | — | — |
CNN/Time Magazine | September 10–14, 2010 | — | — | 58% | 31% | — | — |
Reuters/Ipsos | September 10–12, 2010 | — | — | 60% | 31% | — | — |
Mason-Dixon | September 9, 2010 | — | — | 52% | 36% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | September 1, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | 58% | 33% | 2% | 7% |
Mason-Dixon | August 23–25, 2010 | — | — | 53% | 31% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | August 16, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | 52% | 36% | 3% | 8% |
Mason-Dixon | August 11, 2010 | — | — | 52% | 36% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | July 27, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | 50% | 40% | 6% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | — | — | 52% | 38% | — | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | July 12–14, 2010 | — | — | 47% | 36% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | July 12, 2010 | 750 | ± 4% | 57% | 36% | 3% | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 22, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 55% | 33% | 8% | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 9, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 31% | 3% | 13% |
Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 51% | 41% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 35% | 12% | 3% |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | 50% | 35% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 55% | 34% | 6% | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 35% | 7% | 5% |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | 51% | 29% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 33% | 11% | 12% |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | January 10, 2010 | — | — | 53% | 31% | — | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 4, 2009 | — | — | 49% | 35% | — | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | 50% | 33% | — | — |
- With Gibbons
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Gibbons (R) |
Rory Reid (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 31% | 52% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 47% | 12% | 3% |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | April 10, 2010 | — | — | 40% | 42% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 44% | 15% | 4% |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | February 22–24, 2010 | — | — | 38% | 42% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 44% | 13% | 8% |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | December 2009 | — | — | 34% | 48% | — | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | October 8, 2009 | — | — | 37% | 49% | — | — |
Mason Dixon/LVJR | August 21, 2009 | — | — | 35% | 47% | — | — |
- With Montandon
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Montandon (R) |
Rory Reid (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research 2000 | June 2, 2010 | — | — | 40% | 43% | — | — |
Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 39% | 9% | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 38% | 9% | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 37% | 13% | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 40% | 14% | 10% |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Sandoval | 382,350 | 53.36% | +5.44% | |
Democratic | Rory Reid | 298,171 | 41.61% | -2.31% | |
N/A | None of These Candidates | 12,231 | 1.71% | -1.85% | |
Independent | Eugene DiSimone | 6,403 | 0.89% | N/A | |
Independent American | Floyd Fitzgibbons | 5,049 | 0.70% | -2.73% | |
Libertarian | Arthur Forest Lampitt, Jr. | 4,672 | 0.65% | N/A | |
Green | David Scott Curtis | 4,437 | 0.62% | -0.54% | |
Independent | Aaron Y. Honig | 3,216 | 0.45% | N/A | |
Total votes | 716,529 | 100.0% | |||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[edit]
See also[edit]
References[edit]
- ^ Gentry, Dana (June 4, 2008). "Consultants: No second term for Gibbons". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved January 1, 2008.
- ^ Vogel, Ed (June 13, 2008). "GOVERNING NEVADA: Disregard divorce, poll says". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved January 1, 2009.
- ^ Schwartz, David McGrath (July 19, 2009). "With scant crew, Gibbons reelection campaign sets sail". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved May 5, 2010.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "2010 Filed Candidates". Secretary of State of Nevada. Retrieved May 6, 2010.
- ^ McGrath Schwartz, David (September 21, 2008). "Rory Reid lays ground for run for governor". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved January 1, 2009.
- ^ "RUNNING FOR GOVERNOR: Montandon takes aim at Gibbons - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. July 1, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ Damon, Anjeanette (September 15, 2009). "Sandoval: I am running for governor". Reno Gazette-Journal. Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2009.
- ^ a b "Nevada Governor Primary Results". Politico. June 8, 2010. Archived from the original on January 6, 2012. Retrieved June 8, 2010.
- ^ "Harry Reid's son enters Nevada gubernatorial race". CNN. October 14, 2009. Retrieved October 15, 2009.
- ^ "Buckley passes on a run for Nevada governor - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. September 12, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Top of the Ticket". Los Angeles Times. January 25, 2010. Retrieved May 20, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Unofficial Statewide General Election Coverage and Reports". Nvsos.gov. November 2, 2010. Retrieved April 2, 2013.
External links[edit]
- Nevada Secretary of State – Election Center
- Nevada Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Nevada Governor from Follow the Money
- Nevada Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Nevada Gubernatorial General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Nevada Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Nevada Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Nevada Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Election 2010 from Vegas PBS
- Debate
- Nevada Governor Debate, C-SPAN, August 29, 2010 (57:49)
- Nevada Governor Debate, C-SPAN, October 7, 2010 (58:42)