2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

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2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1] Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

The Michigan Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on February 27, 2024.

Republican primary[edit]

The Michigan Republican primary is scheduled to be held on February 27, 2024.

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 37% 10% 2% 13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College Oct 22-Nov 3, 2023 616 (LV) ±4.4 31% 34% 26% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 7-9, 2023 820 (LV) ? 38% 40% 7% 15%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
EPIC-MRA November 10–16, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 46% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 43% 14%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 2023 1000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 41% 16%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 820 (LV) ? 41% 41% 17%
Marketing Resource Group October 2–8, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 42% 22%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 468 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 43% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] September 26–27, 2023 679 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 44% 8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research September 7–12, 2023 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 43% 11%
EPIC-MRA August 6–11, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%
Emerson College August 1–2, 2023 1,121 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 44% 13%
Mitchell Research[B] July 11–13, 2023 639 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 43% 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[C] Jul 8–10, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.38% 45% 44% 9%
EPIC-MRA June 8–14, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–19, 2023 500 (V) ± 3.6% 45% 42% 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] December 6–7, 2022 763 (V) ± 3.6% 50% 43% 7%
EPIC-MRA November 30 – December 6, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 43% 10%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2022 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College October 12–14, 2022 580 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 12%
EPIC-MRA September 15–19, 2022 600 (LV) 48% 44% 8%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 15–16, 2022 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 41% 19%
Blueprint Polling (D) February 1–4, 2022 632 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 40% 22%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[E] November 11–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% 6%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 43% 13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Sep 7–12, 2023 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 42% 10%
Mitchell Research[B] Jul 11–13, 2023 639 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 31% 25%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[C] Jul 8–10, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.38% 44% 46% 7%
EPIC-MRA June 8–14, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 11%
The Dispatch April 17–19, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 45% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
EPIC-MRA November 10–16, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 47% 17%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 36% 46% 18%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College Aug 1–2, 2023 1,121 (LV) ± 2.9% 41% 43% 4% 11%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Marketing Resource Group October 2–8, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 40% 13%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  2. ^ a b Poll commissioned by MIRS
  3. ^ a b Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign

References[edit]

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.