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FundedUnfunded
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OverallBiharJharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, or Tamil Nadu, IndiaPhilippinesMichoacán, MexicoPeru
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Accounting cost ($ millions)$3.6$1.3$1.3$1.0$0.8$1.0
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True estimated cost ($ millions)$9.0$3.2$3.3$2.5$2.1$2.4
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Expected reduction in country average BLL (ug/dl)
0.40.20.20.30.2
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Child births per year7,089,9642,727,4061,742,5912,619,96780,218771,959
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Number of years benefits are counterfactually sustained for (assuming additional funding)
77777
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Children in country cohorts49,629,74919,091,83912,198,14018,339,769561,5235,403,716
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Value of reducing BLLs by 1 ug/dl for one person throughout childhood (in $ spent on GiveDirectly's cash transfer program)
$9.7$9.7$9.7$9.7$9.7
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Expected value (in $ millions spent on cash transfers)
$144$71$29$43$2$12
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Cost-effectiveness (in multiples of cash transfers)
162291815
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Speculative adjustments113%113%113%113%
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Adjusted cost-effectiveness (multiples of cash)18251020
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