2020 United States Senate election in West Virginia

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2020 United States Senate election in West Virginia

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  Shelley Moore Capito official Senate photo (cropped 2).jpg Paula Jean Swearengin.png
Nominee Shelley Moore Capito Paula Jean Swearengin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 547,454 210,309
Percentage 70.3% 27.0%

2020 United States Senate election in West Virginia results map by county.svg
County results
Moore Capito:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. senator before election

Shelley Moore Capito
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Shelley Moore Capito
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito won a second term against Democrat Paula Jean Swearengin by a margin of 43.3%, winning every county. Swearengin's 27% of the vote is the lowest vote percentage for any Democratic Senate candidate in West Virginia history.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • Larry Butcher, farmer[1]
  • Allen Whitt, president of the West Virginia Family Policy Council[2]

Endorsements[edit]

Shelley Moore Capito
Organizations

Results[edit]

Results by county:
Moore Capito
  •   Capito—80–90%
  •   Capito—70–80%
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Shelley Moore Capito (incumbent) 173,847 83.32%
Republican Allen Whitt 20,075 9.62%
Republican Larry Butcher 14,717 7.05%
Total votes 208,639 100.00%

Democratic primary[edit]

Paula Jean Swearengin won the nomination with 38.8% of the vote in the state's Democratic primary on June 9, 2020.[5]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Paula Jean Swearengin
Organizations

Results[edit]

Results by county
Swearengin
  •   Swearengin—30-40%
  •   Swearengin—40-50%
  •   Swearengin—50-60%
Ojeda
  •   Ojeda—40–50%
  •   Ojeda—30–40%
  •   Ojeda—20–30%
Robb
  •   Robb—30-40%
  •   Robb—40-50%
  •   Robb—50-60%
Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paula Jean Swearengin 72,292 38.39%
Democratic Richard Ojeda 61,954 32.90%
Democratic Richie Robb 54,048 28.70%
Total votes 188,294 100.00%

Other candidates[edit]

Libertarian Party[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Independents[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Safe R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[18] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[20] Safe R October 30, 2020
Politico[21] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[22] Safe R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[23] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[24] Safe R November 2, 2020
Economist[25] Safe R November 2, 2020

Endorsements[edit]

Paula Jean Swearengin (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Legislators
Notable Individuals
Unions
Organizations
Publications

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Shelley Moore
Capito (R)
Paula Jean
Swearengin (D)
David
Moran (L)
Undecided
Research America Inc. October 6–9, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 53% 33% 5% 9%

Results[edit]

United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2020[50]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Shelley Moore Capito (incumbent) 547,454 70.28% +8.16%
Democratic Paula Jean Swearengin 210,309 27.00% -7.47%
Libertarian David Moran 21,155 2.72% +1.09%
Total votes 778,918 100.00%
Republican hold

Notes[edit]

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Save My Care
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References[edit]

  1. ^ Thomas, Alex (January 29, 2020). "Governor, US Senate seats up in this year's election".
  2. ^ Barker, Tyler (October 8, 2019). "Conservative Challenging Shelley Moore Capito For Senate". WOAY TV - ABC. Retrieved October 9, 2019.
  3. ^ a b "2020 Candidates". maggieslist.org.
  4. ^ "U.S. SENATOR - REP". Secretary of State of West Virginia. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  5. ^ a b "West Virginia U.S. Senate Primary Election Results". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  6. ^ "What Are The Knock Down The House Candidates Doing In 2019?". Bustle. Retrieved June 4, 2019.
  7. ^ Staff, WSAZ News. "U.S. Senate Candidate Paula Jean Swearengin wins W.Va. Democratic primary". www.wsaz.com. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  8. ^ Ojeda, Richard (January 13, 2020). "To the People of West Virginia".
  9. ^ Pathe, Simone (January 13, 2020). "West Virginia's Richard Ojeda is back, this time running for Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
  10. ^ Adams, Steven Allen (January 27, 2020). "Warner: Filings go smoothly on final day". The Inter-Mountain. Retrieved January 27, 2020.
  11. ^ a b Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  12. ^ "Paula Jean Swearengin". Brand New Congress. May 28, 2020.
  13. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  14. ^ "U.S. SENATOR - DEM". Secretary of State of West Virginia. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  15. ^ a b "WV SOS - Elections - Candidate - Online Data Services". services.sos.wv.gov.
  16. ^ Zuckerman, Jake (August 7, 2019). "Swearengin announces US Senate run as Democrat". WV Gazette Mail. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  17. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  18. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  19. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  20. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  21. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  23. ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  24. ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  25. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  26. ^ Thomas, Alex (September 7, 2020). "Annual UMWA picnic goes virtual, but remains opportunity for candidates".
  27. ^ Thomas, Alex (September 10, 2020). "US Chamber of Commerce endorses Capito as senator seeks second term".
  28. ^ "Gazette-Mail endorses Capito for US Senate". October 6, 2020.
  29. ^ "Editorial: Capito is best choice for U.S. Senate". The Herald-Dispatch.
  30. ^ @paulajean2020 (October 10, 2020). "Tonight at 7pm EST, join me and US Senator @EdMarkey at the #UniteOurFight rally. I'm so excited to stand beside Senator Markey in DC to fight for the everyday folks all across our nation. Let's end political dynasties and take our power back! Heart decoration pjwv.cc/rally" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  31. ^ "Swearengin receives Sanders endorsement". July 9, 2020.
  32. ^ Grace Meng [@Grace4NY] (September 10, 2020). "Grace Meng: I'm with @paulajean2020! Join us!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  33. ^ Richard Ojeda [@Ojeda4America] (June 30, 2020). "Richard Ojeda: I'm giving my full support to Paula Jean Swearingin" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  34. ^ Charlotte Pritt [@betterbalance2] (August 25, 2020). "Charlotte Pritt: Yes! This coal miner's daughter is with you all the way" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  35. ^ Charles Booker [@Booker4KY] (September 30, 2020). "Charles Booker:@paulajean2020 is a coal miner's daughter running for a Green New Deal in West Virginia so we can get a just transition for workers who've been left behind by industry and our politicians. She is a champion for the people, and we need her in the Senate!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  36. ^ Paula Jean Swearengin [@paulajean2020] (August 26, 2020). "Paula Jean Swearengin:Thank you for your endorsement @ninaturner! I'm honored to have your support" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  37. ^ Cori Bush [@CoriBush] (August 21, 2020). "Cori Bush:Paula Jean Swearengin is my sister from Knock Down the House, and while we came up short in 2018, in 2020 we are both demonstrating that this is our moment to make history" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  38. ^ Marianne Williamson [@marwilliamson] (July 14, 2020). "Marianne Williamson:Let's help elect @paulajean2020 to the Senate in West Virginia" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  39. ^ Paula Jean Swearengin [@paulajean2020] (August 28, 2020). "Swearengin:Thank you @AndrewYang for your endorsement!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  40. ^ Paula Jean Swearengin [@paulajean2020] (September 1, 2020). "Swearengin:Thank you so much, @RWDSU Local 21! I'm honored to stand beside you all and will always vote to protect your rights" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 7, 2020 – via Twitter.
  41. ^ "Endorsements". 350 Action.
  42. ^ Brand New Congress. "Mother and Community Activist Paula Jean Swearengin for U.S. Senate, West Virginia".
  43. ^ "2020 Endorsements".
  44. ^ "Candidate Endorsements • Friends of the Earth Action". Friends of the Earth Action.
  45. ^ "2020 Endorsements". PDAmerica.
  46. ^ "Sierra Club Voter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide. July 16, 2012.
  47. ^ Golshan, Tara (September 10, 2020). "Sunrise Movement Unveils 2020 Endorsements To Defeat Climate Change Deniers". HuffPost. Retrieved September 10, 2020.
  48. ^ "WV Working Families Endorses Paula Jean Swearengin". Paula Jean Swearengin. July 27, 2020.
  49. ^ "Swearengin for Senate". September 14, 2020.
  50. ^ "November 3, 2020 General Election - Official Results". West Virginia State - Clarity Elections. Retrieved November 30, 2020.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites