GiveWell's room for more funding analysis for AMF [2018] (public)

	A	B	C	D	E
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5	Scope of analysis		Notes
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7	Unit of analysis (full organization or program of a larger organization)	AMF
8	Analysis 'as of' date	August 13, 2018
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12	Funds on hand	Amount	Notes
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14	Funds in the bank for AMF as of August 13, 2018	$84,131,075
15	Of funds in the bank for AMF, amount committed to future activities	$19,122,136
16	Of funds in the bank for AMF, funds held in reserve	$0	Funds in reserve are funds that are not expected to be spent unless there is a major revenue shortfall
17	Uncommitted, unreserved funds in the bank	$65,008,939	Calculation
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21	Projected revenue	Value from same period in previous year	Are there any reasons why last year's revenue is not a reasonable projection for next year (ignoring variation in GiveWell-influenced funding)?	Projection (before GiveWell's 2018 recommendation)	Notes
22	Total annual revenue for AMF 2018 fiscal year	$33,923,124	Not that we are aware of	-	This is for AMF's 2018 fiscal year, which runs from July 1, 2017 to June 30, 2018. Source: http://web.archive.org/web/20181225001848/https://www.againstmalaria.com/financialinformation.aspx
23	Total GiveWell-influenced funding that reached the organization in AMF's 2018 fiscal year	$26,525,124	-	-	From GiveWell's internal donation records. Note that this is the amount of GiveWell-influenced funding that reached AMF between February 1, 2017 and January 31, 2018. This includes the amount that GiveWell granted to AMF in this period, donations made to AMF during this period by donors who cited GiveWell as the reason for giving, and a $2.5 million grant from Good Ventures.
24	Projected revenue from donors who are not influenced by GiveWell's research in AMF's 2018 fiscal year	$7,398,000	-	$1,479,600	Based on data used in our 2017 report on donations due to GiveWell's research, we estimated that 80% of donations that AMF was able to attribute to a source were attributed to GiveWell (http://files.givewell.org/files/metrics/GiveWell_Metrics_Report_2017.pdf, see footnote 4 on page 3). Here we have roughly assumed that 80% of unattributed donations were in fact due to GiveWell's research.
25	Funding held by GiveWell as of the end of AMF's 2018 fiscal year	-	-	$4,444,874	From GiveWell's internal donation records. This also includes a planned grant from the Global Health and Development EA Fund (https://app.effectivealtruism.org/funds/global-development). This fund is not formally affiliated with GiveWell, but is managed by Elie Hassenfeld, Co-Founder and Executive Director of GiveWell. In late August 2018, Elie recommended that 70% of available funding in the Global Health and Development Fund be donated to AMF. As of August 31, 2018, the fund contained roughly $1,855,000.
26	Annual projected revenue from donors who give based on GiveWell's top charity list, but do not follow our recommendation for marginal funding	-	-	$2,000,000	GiveWell maintains both a list of all top charities that meet our criteria and a recommendation for which charity or charities to give to to maximize the impact of additional donations, given cost-effectiveness of remaining funding gaps. This is difficult to estimate because AMF has been a part of our recommendation for additional donations in recent years. Our estimate here is based on internal records of how much GiveWell-influenced donors gave to AMF in 2013 when we listed AMF as a "top charity with limited room for more funding," inflated for growth in GiveWell's annual money moved since 2013.
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31	Bottom line
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33	'Baseline' funding pot for AMF	$72,933,413
34	Revenue projection for FY 2020	$1,479,600
35	Revenue projection for FY 2021	$1,479,600
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37	Total projected additional funding through FY 2021	$10,883,674
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