December 2018 | Open Philanthropy Project
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December 2018
Suggestions for Individual Donors from Open Philanthropy Project Staff - 2018
by Holden Karnofsky Published December 20, 2018
Last year, the year before, and the year before that, we published a set of suggestions for individual donors looking for organizations to support. This year, we are repeating the practice and publishing updated suggestions from Open Philanthropy Project staff who chose to provide them.
The same caveats as in previous years apply:
These are reasonably strong options in causes of interest, and shouldn’t be taken as outright recommendations (i.e., it isn’t necessarily the case that the person making the suggestion thinks they’re the best option available across all causes).
In many cases, we find a funding gap we’d like to fill, and then we recommend filling the entire funding gap with a single grant. That doesn’t leave much scope for making a suggestion for individuals. The cases listed below, then, are the cases where, for one reason or another, we haven’t decided to recommend filling an organization’s full funding gap, and we believe it could make use of fairly arbitrary amounts of donations from individuals.
Our explanations for why these are strong giving opportunities are very brief and informal, and we don’t expect individuals to be persuaded by them unless they put a lot of weight on the judgment of the person making the suggestion.
Holden Karnofsky's blog
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New web app for calibration training
by Luke Muehlhauser Published December 14, 2018
In October 2016, we wrote:
we are contracting [a developer] to build a simple online application for credence calibration training: training the user to accurately determine how confident they should be in an opinion, and to express this confidence in a consistent and quantified way.
That online application is now available:
Play “Calibrate Your Judgment”
Note that you must sign in with a GuidedTrack, Facebook, or Google account, so that the application can track your performance over time.
We expect many users will find this program to be the most useful free online calibration training currently available.
Luke Muehlhauser's blog
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2018 Allocation to GiveWell Top Charities
by Holden Karnofsky Published December 12, 2018