George Magnus

@georgemagnus1

Economics macro. Associate, China Centre, Oxford. and SOAS. New China book ‘Red Flags’ publisher Yale, out 2018. Ops and blogs at

georgemagnus.com
Joined December 2013
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  1. Retweeted
    31 minutes ago

    In case you missed it, we published a new Strategic Update this week from where he looks ahead at China's next decade:

    2 retweets
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  2. 23 minutes ago

    And this guy is in line for the post of BoE guv?

    Gerard Lyons on No Deal forecasts: - after ND, mini deals will be struck because they're in everyone's interests - ND provides pretext to focus on domestic economic issues - questions the certainty of big long term supply hit
    Show this thread
    2 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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  3. 5 hours ago

    Ok I want one of these....

    5 replies 2 retweets 12 likes
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  4. 5 hours ago

    Editors. Who are the editors?

    BBC has a unique position It is financed by a system where non-payment of a licence is a criminal offence It has (had) a peerless reputation in the world Its domestic news coverage needs to be better than amplification of Number 10 press office There is something wrong here
    6 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    Sep 18

    Another nonsensical comment from someone who is making a career out of pontificating on banking and finance despite understanding neither. The repo squeeze that has forced the Fed's intervention is due to "financial capitalists" paying their taxes.

    Financial capitalism has been on life support for the last decade and it’s barely recovered. Central bankers are trying - and failing - to turn off the machine without killing the patient. Today we’ve seen another intervention to avert collapse.
    15 replies 30 retweets 76 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    6 hours ago

    When a country with one-sixth of the world’s population, one-sixth of its GDP, and one-sixteenth of its landmass has two-thirds of its high-speed rail systems, there is a good chance that additional investment will simply create spending, not... via

    3 replies 16 retweets 48 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    Sep 17

    Good piece by on the looming difficulties facing Beijing. China in the 2020s: a more difficult decade? by

    1 reply 5 retweets 4 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    Sep 17

    "The issue is not so much that economic growth is slowing in China, but that the government is trying to sustain unsustainable levels of growth." Very insightful piece by

    13 retweets 22 likes
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  9. Retweeted
    Sep 16

    Good piece by George Magnus on some of the long-term growth constraints China faces in an historical context

    As a new decade dawned on China, my essay here on a more difficult decade ahead
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    1 reply 16 retweets 36 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    Sep 17

    China in the 2020s: a more difficult decade? Read our newly published Strategic Update written by :

    9 retweets 4 likes
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  11. Sep 16

    In this essay, I look at how these might contrive to reveal a much more difficult and brittle decade for china’s leadership than the contemporary narrative assumes. Ends.

    2 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
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  12. Sep 16

    China is gathering economic pressures at home from debt management, Yuan stability, demographics and productivity. But from political pressures too - the state/private schism at home, pushback from opponents and ‘events’ abroad, notably HK and the US trade/commerce conflict 2/n

    1 reply 3 retweets 8 likes
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  13. Sep 16

    As a new decade dawned on China, my essay here on a more difficult decade ahead

    5 replies 3 retweets 23 likes
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  14. Sep 16

    China in the 2020s: a more difficult decade. My essay for

    1 reply 6 retweets 19 likes
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  15. Sep 14

    Tosh - and you misrepresent to be devious

    Are you a ‘Re-Leaver’? Out with friends today who voted Remain but now say we must Leave. Democracy and its survival trumps their personal vote to remain in the E.U.
    1 retweet 12 likes
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  16. Sep 13

    Half China’s hogs may have been affected or by virulent swine flu or slaughtered, pork prices up over a third. Big headache for Beijing. And so: China to exempt US pork and soybeans from additional trade war duties, in response to Trump’s tariff delay |

    9 retweets 2 likes
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  17. Sep 12

    To all whom this may concern: please look at this seriously. We need this more than any bland and probably limp monetary policy tinkering: Britain can afford to loosen its fiscal rules

    2 replies 7 retweets 21 likes
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  18. Sep 12

    Same

    Strongly endorse this recommendation from for the U.K. "The government should look at assets as well as liabilities. The rule should seek to improve the wealth of our nation by pledging to raise public sector net worth/"
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  19. Retweeted
    Sep 11

    I'm not saying I think this myself, I'm just saying some people are saying it, and I'm going to repeat that point that I don't think myself three times.

    1:49
    “The more the courts get involved in politics that is of detriment not only to politics but also the courts” Business Minister Kwasi Kwarteng says judges involved with decisions on are not biased, but says they are “interfering”
    24 replies 32 retweets 160 likes
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  20. Sep 12

    We will see.....

    This is a massive, massive deal. Yes, the amount isn't that huge, but it was always meant to be a symbolic hike tied to October 1 to get at China. Its delay, pushing off that date as negotiators are set to meet, is equally symbolic
    1 retweet 3 likes
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