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Brendan Nyhan
political science professor & contributor. Before: CJR media critic, Spinsanity/All the President's Spin co-author.
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Brendan Nyhan retweeted
Timothy B. Lee 11h
This is exactly right. The NRA's power comes from its millions of passionate members, not its money.
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Brendan Nyhan retweeted
Jonathan Bernstein 17h
Yes MT : If GHWB had a 60% approval, would we remember Bill Clinton as a bad candidate, doomed by scandal?
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Brendan Nyhan 17h
Remember when I said Joe Biden is already running in the invisible primary? Well, here you go:
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Brendan Nyhan 20h
No. "Are we headed for a four-party moment?"
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Brendan Nyhan retweeted
Mark Blumenthal 21h
Previous chart is from this primer on primary polling’s problems by and
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Brendan Nyhan retweeted
Micah Cohen Aug 12
A good chart from Pollster. This should run with every 2016 story published this year.
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Brendan Nyhan 21h
see also his new codebook on his site on declining availability of data he depends on (eg GSS/ANES)
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
sure maybe but let's see the (high quality) data
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
yeah, that's one of key factors
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
For more on the public mood measure, see this column on comparisons between LBJ and Obama
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
Latest Stimson mood data: trend away from liberalism under Obama continues (though imprecise)
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
Fantastic resource - a compilation of research studies on what works and what doesn’t in fact-checking:
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Brendan Nyhan retweeted
Drew Linzer Aug 12
It's possible could catch in NH, but a robust poll smoother shows he's not there yet.
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
very plausible story plus even if cons sources are small% of media diet they do focus on it a lot more
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
what's the poll you have in mind? hard to say in general.
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
People who follow the news are the most polarized. So those who've "heard a lot" tend to have stronger opinions/more divided.
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
McCaskill claims her MO poll found "less than 25% of likely Rep. primary voters believed ...Obama...born in the U.S."
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Brendan Nyhan Aug 12
"newer data are not better...for election forecasting"-"suggests...perceptions..are influenced more by media reports"
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Brendan Nyhan retweeted
Vox Aug 12
Brain imaging research is often wrong. This researcher wants to change that.
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Brendan Nyhan retweeted
Sarah Weinman Aug 12
Common sense from on the Tinder "dating apocalypse" and why that VF article was massively silly.
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