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Israel plans ‘significant’ attack as October 7 anniversary nears

Israel is preparing a “serious and significant” response to Iran’s missile strikes; Chris Minns denounces a pro-Palestinian rally in Sydney; Israeli hostages will be remembered on the eve of the October 7 anniversary. Follow updates here.

Key Posts

Last updated 32 mins ago

Smoke rises following Israeli bombardment in southern Lebanon on Saturday.

Israel widens Lebanon strikes as it weighs Iran retaliation

The Israel Defence Forces said its air force attacked Hezbollah infrastructure across Beirut and other parts of Lebanon, adding to days of airstrikes.

Donald Trump greets family members of the man killed by a stray bullet in at the July Butler rally, as he heads back to a campaign rally there

Security tight for Trump rally at site of July assassination attempt

Teams that handle surveillance, intelligence, assaults and snipers have been deployed to the Butler Farm Show grounds, where the rally is being held.

Growth slump could fuel inflation and spending blowout: central banks

Low productivity growth could prolong inflation and lead to an economic slowdown, generating social unrest and causing a blowout in government spending, the Bank for International Settlements says.

Three reasons the housing supercycle is just getting going

Residential property seems to have a remarkable ability to keep appreciating, whatever the weather. It will probably defy gravity even more insolently in the coming years.

The death of IPOs is just the start. The whole world’s going private

A world where ordinary investors hold private equity alongside their share portfolio? Wall Street giant Marc Rowan thinks it’s coming as the world goes private.

The Middle East is fraying Australian business and political ties

Muslims, Christians and Jews in Australia have long been linked across business, politics, sports, arts and charity but this weekend’s protests are pushing relationships to the limit.

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Smart investor

There’s one in every family.

Would your family trust survive a black sheep attack?

Trusts are the go-to structure for asset protection and inheritance planning but as more wealthy families are discovering, they’re not bulletproof. Experts weigh in on how to prevent costly showdowns.

A downsizer super contribution can be made regardless of your total super balance.

Four tips for upsizing super with downsizer contributions

If you’re 55 or over, you may be able to make a downsizer superannuation contribution to boost your retirement savings by up to $300,000.

House price valuations relative to incomes are at record highs. 

Tweaking the 3pc buffer rule misses the real problem with housing

Reducing the mortgage serviceability test would allow more borrowers into the market. But the test is only one part of a much gnarlier problem.

At last, Labor has a plan for legacy pension exits

After years of delay, the federal government has produced regulations that will release retirees from restrictive legacy pensions.

My son is off to uni. Should I give him a credit card for emergencies?

Set clear guidelines around what constitutes an emergency. Does a late-night taxi ride home from the pub qualify?

weekend reads

A year later, for many Australian Jews it’s still October 7

A year after the Hamas massacre in Israel, many Australian Jews feel they are still there, as they navigate a world that often seems upside-down.

Flames and smoke rise from Israeli airstrikes in Dahiyeh, Beirut.

On the brink: Israel, Iran and the rising threat of regional conflict

Although there have been skirmishes this week, the Middle East’s two biggest antagonists remain keen to avoid a hot war. That might not be possible.

Lebonese born CEO Ahmed Fahour and Jewish venture capitalist Paul Bassat have both spoken about the pain being caused by conflict in the Middle East.

The Middle East is fraying Australian business and political ties

Muslims, Christians and Jews in Australia have long been linked across business, politics, sports, arts and charity but this weekend’s protests are pushing relationships to the limit.

The Chandler-Mather plan to take Queensland (and beyond)

The Greens hope to claim another four seats in the Queensland parliament, before transforming the nation’s political landscape.

‘No one is in charge’: Why the Middle East is heating up US election

Presidential nominee Donald Trump is jumping on foreign policy to attack rival Kamala Harris with voters to head to the polls in weeks.

The hotly anticipated lists of who wields the most overt, covert and cultural clout in Australia.

Discover the most powerful people in 2024

Companies

Regal Partners’ Phil King is creating an asset management giant out of his hedge fund.

Platinum lets in Phil King’s Regal in anticipation of higher bid

The three-decade old global equities firm founded by veteran stock picker Kerr Neilson has agreed to give its would-be suitor access to non-public information.

The Panthers, led by Nathan Cleary,  are chasing a fourth successive NRL title on Sunday.

Why just three teams keep winning the NRL title

Just three teams have won the NRL since 2018, but the AFL premiership has been shared between six clubs in that time. Here’s why.

Fortescue in court win over Element Zero

The Federal Court refused a request by former Fortescue executives to invalidate a search-and-seizure mission against them.

John Hancock.

Hancock scion looks to Arctic Circle for next big copper discovery

A company backed by John Hancock, grandson of Lang, has found copper grades of up to 64 per cent in far northern Canada.

AustralianSuper goes big in New York searching for prime investments

The country’s largest industry superannuation fund has moved two executives to the United States and made a string of high-level appointments.

Qatar rebalances the scales in a long game of revenge against Qantas

A decade long drama between the Gulf carrier and the national carrier ultimately led to the blockbuster Virgin Australia deal, shaking up the aviation sector.

Ed Peter’s Duxton stops investors withdrawing from flagship farm fund

The asset management house founded by the prominent South Australian businessman is already selling several of its assets out of its other portfolio companies.

Companies in the News

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Markets

The New York Stock Exchange.

S&P 500 rallies on extended ‘US economic exceptionalism’

All three major US benchmarks were higher as September’s jobs report far exceeded expectations. US 10-year yield spikes towards 4pc as rate cut bets reset.

Goldman has high expectations for US equities.

Goldman lifts 12-month S&P 500 target to 6300

David Kostin’s optimism for US equities reflects a decision to revise significantly higher his expectation for corporate earnings growth in 2025.

Will the latest report lead Fed boss Jerome Powell to push for a rate pause in November?

‘An A+ jobs report’: Wall Street pares rate bets

September’s jobs data exceeded expectations, putting to bed talk of an imminent recession and leading to a rethink of how fast rates will drop.

Petrol price spike threat as Israel ponders hit on Iranian oil fields

The rising threat of a regional war in the Middle East also scuppered the ASX’s three-week winning streak, which had sent the local bourse to record highs.

Trading regulatory risk in the $40b hybrid sector

Investors are puzzling over what to do with their hybrids following APRA’s proposal to phase out the sector.

Opinion

Donald Trump’s secret sauce - he just gets very lucky

From The Apprentice to Hillary Clinton’s email scandal, something always seems to turn up for Trump. But every gambler knows his luck will run out.

Pamela Paul

US columnist

Pamela Paul

Housing is starting to shape our future politics

Politicians have a big incentive to start fixing structural blockages to property ownership – their own future might swing on it.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

How faraway conflicts are turned into divisions at home

Peter Dutton has accused the Albanese government of appeasement on the Middle East. But its positions reflect the same limitations felt in Washington.

Laura Tingle

Columnist

Laura Tingle

Trading regulatory risk in the $40b hybrid sector

Investors are puzzling over what to do with their hybrids following APRA’s proposal to phase out the sector, writes Christopher Joye.

Australia’s politics of protest is on full display

The country might be well out of target range in the Middle East but its suddenly fragile social fabric is being severely tested.

Qatar-Virgin deal finally the right result for consumers

Petrodollars underwriting a more competitive aviation sector is not new for Australia or many other countries. And it’s something that should be welcomed as ultimately giving consumers the best chance to benefit from meaningful competition.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View
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Politics

Voice advocate Megan Davis is a visiting professor of Australian studies at Harvard University.

Voice architect says Labor should have delayed referendum

Megan Davis, who helped draft the landmark 2017 Uluru Statement, says Indigenous Australians lost out to misinformation and lies.

AustralianSuper chairman Don Russell is the country’s highest-paid super fund director.

Revealed: Which super fund directors earn the most

Payments to directors at one fund outstripped those of comparable size by more than half a million dollars, despite delivering worse returns than most of their rivals, analysis by AFR Weekend shows.

Protesters march during a Pro-Palestine rally for Gaza and Lebanon in Melbourne last weekend.

‘No tolerance for illegal behaviour’: police issue protest warning

Australian police forces issued a rare joint statement warning people planning to attend pro-Palestine rallies at the weekend there will be no tolerance for illegal behaviour.

Dutton’s awkward moment selling nuclear to ‘no thanks’ Queensland

On Peter Dutton’s first appearance on the Queensland election campaign, he says he plans to work on changing Crisafulli’s mind on nuclear energy.

X wanted to avoid exploitation rules because it’s not Twitter any more

Australia’s eSafety commissioner Julie Inman Grant has won the latest court battle against Elon Musk but faces more hurdles as the tech billionaire fights her attempts to regulate the internet.

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World

President Joe Biden pressed Israel to look for non-oil targets to hit.

Biden urges Israel not to target Iranian oil assets

‘Think about other alternatives’, the US president tells Israel from the White House, as US and UK jets and warships struck at Houthi militants in Yemen.

A man runs for cover as a smoke raises in the background following an Israeli airstrike in Dahiyeh, Beirut on Friday.

PM rushes to ramp up Beirut exodus

The federal government is ramping up efforts to bring Australians out of Lebanon, chartering Qantas to repatriate citizens in coming days as Israeli airstrikes come perilously close to shutting Beirut’s airport.

The payrolls report is likely to alleviate concerns that the labour market is deteriorating.

US jobs growth blows past estimates, jobless rate falls to 4.1pc

Non-farm payrolls increased 254,000 in September, the most in six months, leading traders to pare bets on a half-percentage point rate cut in November.

Musk to attend Trump rally at Pennsylvania shooting site

America PAC, the billionaire’s political action committee, has already spent more than $100 million on pro-Trump canvassing and field operations this year.

‘Economic cold war’: EU slaps tariffs on Chinese-made electric cars

Germany and its car makers opposed Brussels’ move, fearing it will further stifle European demand for EVs and also prompt painful retaliation from Beijing.

Property

Sold… to the investor? Growth in loans for property investment is driving the market right now.

Housing investors borrow at highest level in more than two years

Home loans, like housing prices, lay bare the differences between Australia’s distinct residential markets.

WiseTech founder Richard White.

Richard White and girlfriend welcome baby amid stoush with ex-lover

The year-long stoush with the Double Bay wellness entrepreneur spilled into the open after the WiseTech Global founder served her with a bankruptcy notice.

Crumbling beauty: Elaine in its current state at Point Piper.

Scott Farquhar and Kim Jackson sell Point Piper’s Elaine for $130m

Atlassian co-founder Scott Farquhar and his wife Skip Capital’s Kim Jackson sold their unused waterfront mansion Elaine in Point Piper for about $130 million.

Byron’s designer holiday retreat Ohana set to smash North Coast record

Nestled where the forest meets the sea and next door to Chris Hemsworth, the Broken Head retreat is considered among the best parcels of land in Australia.

Why Australia is building fewer – not more – homes

Australia needs more new homes but the post-pandemic surge in costs makes development viable only when targeting downsizers and empty nesters.

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Wealth

The ATO looks at how lifestyles match up with declared income.

How the ATO caught taxpayers cheating on ‘lifestyle’ assets

The Tax Office has provided The Australian Financial Review with exclusive details about some recent investigations.

Tweaking the 3pc buffer rule misses the real problem with housing

Reducing the mortgage serviceability test would allow more borrowers into the market. But the test is only one part of a much gnarlier problem.

How to know if it’s time to sell shares

Sometimes it’s best to sell slowly; at other times quicker is better. Experts weigh in on how to know when it’s time to sell.

Technology

Boman Group executive director Eva Zhuang led the firm’s investment in OpenAI.

Local investment minnow snags spot in $9.6b OpenAI capital raise

The firm behind ChatGPT closed the largest private investment deal this week, giving it a valuation of $229 billion – on par with Goldman Sachs and Uber.

Australia’s eSafety Commissioner Julie Inman Grant.

X wanted to avoid exploitation rules because it’s not Twitter any more

Australia’s eSafety commissioner Julie Inman Grant has won the latest court battle against Elon Musk but faces more hurdles as the tech billionaire fights her attempts to regulate the internet.

Linda Rogan arriving at Sydney’s Federal Court on Tuesday.

Billionaire Richard White attempts to bankrupt alleged former lover

Lawyers acting for Double Bay wellness entrepreneur Linda Rogan say WiseTech Global founder’s legal claim against her is an “abuse of process”.

Work & Careers

Jo Reardon, director of global FX sales for CBA’s chief operations office.

Return to work programs let talent shine, narrow gender pay gap

Jo Reardon says going back to banking after five years was daunting but a return to work scheme helped her thrive at the Commonwealth Bank.

NSW appoints 26 new senior counsel, but only eight are women

The figure is still well above the overall levels in the senior ranks of the Bar, where only 16 per cent of silks are women. 

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Life & Luxury

Ganni creative director Ditte Reffstrup walks the runway with models at Paris Fashion Week in September.

All the fabulous looks and fantasy of Paris Fashion Week

From bubble hems and beaded blouses to the return of the bumster, The Australian Financial Review’s fashion editor shares the highlights from the shows.

Left: Pianist Jayson Gillham. Right: MSO managing director Sophie Galaise.

Sacked orchestra chief may have to pay pianist $18k

Jayson Gillham is going after the Melbourne Symphony’s former managing director, and current COO, as part of his discrimination suit against the orchestra.

Can a Millennial overcome a mortal dread of cruising?

After 15 years of saying no to cruises, the time finally came to walk the gangway to meet those towel animals and other weird traditions.

Adam Driver stars in Megalopolis.

No wonder Coppola had to pay for Megalopolis with his own money

This Roman orgy of a film, 40 years in the making, warns of end of days for America – but more likely just means the end of the director’s career.

Frankenstein’s monster looks like a genuine operating table job in this new Shake & Stir Theatre production.

Mary Shelley would approve of this Frankenstein show

The monster loses his Hollywood green skin and goes back to his roots in a new production from Shake & Stir Theatre.

From the gallery