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Flames and smoke rise from Israeli airstrikes in Dahiyeh, Beirut.

On the brink: Israel, Iran and the rising threat of regional conflict

Although there have been skirmishes this week, the Middle East’s two biggest antagonists remain keen to avoid a hot war. That might not be possible.

A man runs for cover as a smoke raises in the background following an Israeli airstrike in Dahiyeh, Beirut on Friday.

PM rushes to ramp up Beirut exodus

The federal government is ramping up efforts to bring Australians out of Lebanon, chartering Qantas to repatriate citizens in coming days as Israeli airstrikes come perilously close to shutting Beirut’s airport.

Sold… to the investor? Growth in loans for property investment is driving the market right now.

Housing investors borrow at highest level in more than two years

Home loans, like housing prices, lay bare the differences between Australia’s distinct residential markets.

Is there any rhyme or reason to credit card surcharges?

From absolutely no fee to more than four per cent, paying for a coffee can suddenly become very costly. These cafés explain why they charge what they do.

Local investment minnow snags spot in $9.6b OpenAI capital raise

The firm behind ChatGPT closed the largest private investment deal this week, giving it a valuation of $229 billion – on par with Goldman Sachs and Uber.

Richard White and girlfriend welcome baby amid stoush with ex-lover

The year-long stoush with the Double Bay wellness entrepreneur spilled into the open after the WiseTech Global founder served her with a bankruptcy notice.

Return to work programs let talent shine, narrow gender pay gap

Jo Reardon says going back to banking after five years was daunting but a return to work scheme helped her thrive at the Commonwealth Bank.

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review

A shrine in the Iranian capital, Tehran,  dedicated to the Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah killed in an Israeli airstrike.

Iran is losing. That may matter more than Israel’s mistakes

During my deployment in Iraq, I learnt an important lesson about the West’s jihadi enemies: Defeat demoralises them.

Demi Moore as Elisabeth Sparkle, a TV exercise show presenter deemed past it by her station boss (Dennis Quaid), in “The Substance”.

Like it or not, you’re already being cloned

We’re not all as photogenic as Demi Moore, but genetic data-doubles are becoming par for the course.

J.D. Vance with his mother, Beverly, at the Republican National Convention, where he retold his well-branded life story.

Vance’s mother deals with her past and his future

Trump’s running mate hid nothing in his warts-and-all memoir Hillbilly Elegy – including his mother’s addictions.

Kamala Harris’ historic run could outpace Hollywood’s Oval Offices

The lack of women of colour among actors playing presidents could prove consequential as Americans weigh voting for Harris.

The ordinary Germans turning to the far-right

It’s not disillusioned old people hankering back to Germany’s past, but overwhelmingly young people who want a future free of multiculturalism.

The hotly anticipated lists of who wields the most overt, covert and cultural clout in Australia.

Discover the most powerful people in 2024

Companies

John Hancock.

Hancock scion looks to Arctic Circle for next big copper discovery

A company backed by John Hancock, grandson of Lang, has found copper grades of up to 64 per cent in far northern Canada.

Regal Partners’ Phil King is creating an asset management giant out of his hedge fund.

Platinum lets in Phil King’s Regal in anticipation of higher bid

The three-decade old global equities firm founded by veteran stock picker Kerr Neilson has agreed to give its would-be suitor access to non-public information.

Fortescue in court win over Element Zero

The Federal Court refused a request by former Fortescue executives to invalidate a search-and-seizure mission against them.

The Panthers, led by Nathan Cleary,  are chasing a fourth successive NRL title on Sunday.

Why just three teams keep winning the NRL title

Just three teams have won the NRL since 2018, but the AFL premiership has been shared between six clubs in that time. Here’s why.

Qatar rebalances the scales in a long game of revenge against Qantas

A decade long drama between the Gulf carrier and the national carrier ultimately led to the blockbuster Virgin Australia deal, shaking up the aviation sector.

AustralianSuper goes big in New York searching for prime investments

The country’s largest industry superannuation fund has moved two executives to the United States and made a string of high-level appointments.

Ed Peter’s Duxton stops investors withdrawing from flagship farm fund

The asset management house founded by the prominent South Australian businessman is already selling several of its assets out of its other portfolio companies.

Companies in the News

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Markets

Australian shares are set to open lower.

Middle East worries snap ASX’s three-week winning streak

Australian shares fall as concerns rise that Israel is preparing to target Iran’s oil assets. ASX defence small-cap rallies. Energy giants gain. Follow updates here.

A gas flame at the Salman Oil Field operated by the National Iranian Offshore Oil Co. Traders are anxious that Israel may strike Iranian oil assets.

Petrol price spike threat as Israel ponders hit on Iranian oil fields

The rising threat of a regional war in the Middle East also scuppered the ASX’s three-week winning streak, which had sent the local bourse to record highs.

GYG shares nearly doubled from its float price.

‘Stretched valuation’: Dump GyG for KFC, says Goldman Sachs

It has initiated coverage on Guzman y Gomez with a “sell” rating, predicting its shares will drop 12 per over the next 12 months.

What happened overnight? The Dow paced Wall Street lower

Australian shares were set to open down, tracking losses in New York after crude leapt on concerns Israel was poised to hit Iranian oil assets. Gold was steady.

Why CSL is the cheapest stock this fundie owns

Brad Clibborn at BAEP says Fisher & Paykel Healthcare surprised the most in reporting season, and outlines why he is bullish about the ASX’s plasma giant.

Opinion

How faraway conflicts are turned into divisions at home

Peter Dutton has accused the Albanese government of appeasement on the Middle East. But its positions reflect the same limitations felt in Washington.

Laura Tingle

Columnist

Laura Tingle

Trading regulatory risk in the $40b hybrid sector

Investors are puzzling over what to do with their hybrids following APRA’s proposal to phase out the sector, writes Christopher Joye.

Australia’s politics of protest is on full display

The country might be well out of target range in the Middle East but its suddenly fragile social fabric is being severely tested.

Donald Trump’s secret sauce - he just gets very lucky

From The Apprentice to Hillary Clinton’s email scandal, something always seems to turn up for Trump. But every gambler knows his luck will run out.

Pamela Paul

US columnist

Pamela Paul

Qatar-Virgin deal finally the right result for consumers

Petrodollars underwriting a more competitive aviation sector is not new for Australia or many other countries. And it’s something that should be welcomed as ultimately giving consumers the best chance to benefit from meaningful competition.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Middle ground on the Middle East is bleeding Labor

A fast end to hostilities in the Middle East would suit the Albanese government as it tries to focus on cost of living.

Andrew Tillett

Foreign affairs, defence correspondent

Andrew Tillett
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Politics

Federal Greens MP Max Chandler-Mather.

The Chandler-Mather plan to take Queensland (and beyond)

The Greens hope to claim another four seats in the Queensland parliament, before transforming the nation’s political landscape.

Australia’s eSafety Commissioner Julie Inman Grant.

X wanted to avoid exploitation rules because it’s not Twitter any more

Australia’s eSafety commissioner Julie Inman Grant has won the latest court battle against Elon Musk but faces more hurdles as the tech billionaire fights her attempts to regulate the internet.

Protesters march during a Pro-Palestine rally for Gaza and Lebanon in Melbourne last weekend.

‘No tolerance for illegal behaviour’: police issue protest warning

Australian police forces issued a rare joint statement warning people planning to attend pro-Palestine rallies at the weekend there will be no tolerance for illegal behaviour.

Growth slump could fuel inflation and spending blowout: central banks

Low productivity growth could prolong inflation and lead to an economic slowdown, generating social unrest and causing a blowout in government spending, the Bank for International Settlements says.

The Middle East is fraying Australian business and political ties

Muslims, Christians and Jews in Australia have long been linked across business, politics, sports, arts and charity but this weekend’s protests are pushing relationships to the limit.

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World

A shrine in the Iranian capital, Tehran,  dedicated to the Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah killed in an Israeli airstrike.

Iran losing may matter more than Israel’s mistakes

During my deployment in Iraq, I learnt an important lesson about the West’s jihadi enemies: Defeat demoralises them.

The latest polls put Trump and Harris neck and neck.

‘No one is in charge’: Why the Middle East is heating up US election

Presidential nominee Donald Trump is jumping on foreign policy to attack rival Kamala Harris with voters to head to the polls in weeks.

An Air China plane prepares to take off from Beirut’s international airport as smoke rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike earlier this week.

Israel bombing shakes Beirut as strike zone expands

The attacks come after Israel extended its evacuation warnings to 20 more towns and villages in southern Lebanon, signalling a potential expansion of its assault.

US dockworkers agree to suspend strike

The cargo backlog from three days of port closures is likely to take 12 days to clear, according to analysts.

Singapore to charge billionaire Ong for scandal over ex-minister

Property tycoon Ong Beng Seng worked with the disgraced former minister S. Iswaran to bring the Formula 1 Grand Prix to the city state.

Property

Crumbling beauty: Elaine in its current state at Point Piper.

Scott Farquhar and Kim Jackson sell Point Piper’s Elaine for $130m

Atlassian co-founder Scott Farquhar and his wife Skip Capital’s Kim Jackson sold their unused waterfront mansion Elaine in Point Piper for about $130 million.

Sold… to the investor? Growth in loans for property investment is driving the market right now.

Housing investors borrow at highest level in more than two years

Home loans, like housing prices, lay bare the differences between Australia’s distinct residential markets.

Byron’s designer holiday retreat Ohana set to smash North Coast record

Nestled where the forest meets the sea and next door to Chris Hemsworth, the Broken Head retreat is considered among the best parcels of land in Australia.

Why Australia is building fewer – not more – homes

Australia needs more new homes but the post-pandemic surge in costs makes development viable only when targeting downsizers and empty nesters.

Sydney doesn’t have enough three-bedroom apartments for Boomers

Many empty-nesters are staying put in their large houses or competing with young families and professionals for modern three-bedders with lifts.

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Wealth

House price valuations relative to incomes are at record highs. 

Tweaking the 3pc buffer rule misses the real problem with housing

Reducing the mortgage serviceability test would allow more borrowers into the market. But the test is only one part of a much gnarlier problem.

Would your family trust survive a black sheep attack?

Trusts are the go-to structure for asset protection and inheritance planning but as more wealthy families are discovering, they’re not bulletproof. Experts weigh in on how to prevent costly showdowns.

Four tips for upsizing super with downsizer contributions

If you’re 55 or over, you may be able to make a downsizer superannuation contribution to boost your retirement savings by up to $300,000.

Technology

Linda Rogan arriving at Sydney’s Federal Court on Tuesday.

Billionaire Richard White attempts to bankrupt alleged former lover

Lawyers acting for Double Bay wellness entrepreneur Linda Rogan say WiseTech Global founder’s legal claim against her is an “abuse of process”.

Daron Acemoglu.

AI can do only 5pc of jobs, says MIT economist who fears crash

Daron Acemoglu doesn’t see how artificial intelligence lives up to all the hype. “You’re not going to get an economic revolution,” he says.

As part of a transition, OpenAI has discussed awarding Sam Altman equity in the company — a stake that could be worth more than $US10 billion.

OpenAI raises $9.6b in funding at $228b valuation

The size of the investment underscores the tech industry’s belief in the power of AI, and its appetite for the extremely costly research powering its advancement.

Work & Careers

Spanning transactions from Liechtenstein, Luxembourg Monaco and Switzerland, CT Group has been accused in the UK’s High Court of offering up forged bank documents in a bitter legal dispute.

NSW appoints 26 new senior counsel, but only eight are women

The figure is still well above the overall levels in the senior ranks of the Bar, where only 16 per cent of silks are women. 

CEO son crowned head of Rich List family’s $18b plumbing empire

Owners of Australia’s largest plumbing empire, the Wilsons are less known but in the same wealth echelon as the Pratts, and son Peter is about to take charge.

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Life & Luxury

Left: Pianist Jayson Gillham. Right: MSO managing director Sophie Galaise.

Sacked orchestra chief may have to pay pianist $18k

Jayson Gillham is going after the Melbourne Symphony’s former managing director, and current COO, as part of his discrimination suit against the orchestra.

Johnny Kahlbetzer at Beppi’s, a favourite of his billionaire father’s.

Meet the farmer billionaire who wants you to do nothing about climate

Johnny Kahlbetzer knows humans won’t change anything just for the planet’s sake, so he’s obsessed with backing technology that’s not only greener, but better and cheaper.

Annie Murray, 54: “My body now burns calories at the same rate as a 35-year-old person.”

I’m 54 with a 35-year-old body. It all changed when I gave up drinking

As Sober October begins, one personal trainer explains how and why she quit alcohol – and the rewards reaped as a result.

Cash the dog helps find bush food botanicals on the Finniss River floodplains.

The perfect martini begins at the Top End

Embrace the outback spirit to become a distiller for a day, with no guarantee of success.

1. Original vintage lithographic poster by Walter Jardine. RefCL135-8.Price $3,300. 2. Original vintage lithographic poster by Walter Jardine. Poster for Orient Line Tropic Cruises. Fiji, Rabaul, Noumea, Papua, c1930s. Rwf- CL135-6.Price $2,600. 3. Original vintage lithographic poster by Dudley Hardy. Ref Item #CL193-4Price (AUD): $2,950.

How the parents of Baby Boomers were enticed to cruise

A rare collection of vintage posters reflects an era when travel was a voyage into the unknown.

From the gallery