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    Policy

    Economy

    Today

    Fed says September rate cut is ‘on the table’

    Jerome Powell said “a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September” as the Federal Reserve held rates steady.

    • Updated
    • Matthew Cranston

    Yesterday

    Treasurer Jim Chalmers has talked up Labor’s supposed inflation-fighting prudence.

    August reprieve but no interest rate relief yet

    Inflation remains sticky, well-above the 2 per cent to 3 per cent target band, and has basically moved sideways.

    • The AFR View
    Filament Coffee co-owners Aaron Ellwood and Brendan Gillam at their Perth cold brew facility.

    This start-up’s invention is keeping coffee prices down

    Surging input costs forced Perth company Filament Coffee to rethink how it delivered its cold brew to customers.

    • Tom Rabe
    RBA governor Michele Bullock has an inflation number that she can still smile at.

    Productivity is the key to taming inflation for good

    Either governments and business improve the supply side of the economy, or the RBA will have to keep squeezing demand indefinitely.

    • Paul Brennan

    Investors should ignore CPI drama and focus on these five questions

    The inflation story for the ASX is largely unchanged: price pressures remain uncomfortably high, and the RBA has little scope to support a weakening economy.

    • James Thomson
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    Treasurer Jim Chalmers

    Inflation helps government dodge interest rate bullet

    The June quarter figures were not good, but they also weren’t as bad as feared. That is likely to give the Reserve Bank breathing space to keep interest rates on hold next week.

    • Jennifer Hewett

    RBA rate rise off the table as inflation not so bad

    Investors believe the next move by the RBA will be an interest rate cut rather than a rise, after underlying inflation came in only slightly above forecasts.

    • Updated
    • Michael Read
    Treasurer Jim Chalmers and RBA governor Michele Bullock will be breathing slightly easier after today’s inflation figures.

    Inflation stays sticky, but it won’t force RBA rate rise

    The consumer price figures were not as bad as feared, but inflation remains persistent and higher-for-longer interest rates will be required.

    • John Kehoe

    Here’s what you need to know about Wednesday’s inflation number

    The consumer price index will be released today at 11.30am. Here’s the number to look at for and how we expect markets to react.

    • Jonathan Shapiro

    July

    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has staked much on his Made in Australia strategy.

    Why industry policies are no longer a ‘hidden’ trade war

    The Productivity Commission’s deputy chairman has added to warnings that the federal government’s signature Made in Australia policy could fuel protectionism.

    • James Hall
    Apprentices in the home building industry are losing their jobs because of insolvencies, making the skills shortage worse.

    Home building crisis worsens with young tradies out of work

    The wave of construction insolvencies is worsening an undersupply of homes and skills shortages, as trade apprentices are forced to drop out of TAFE courses.

    • John Kehoe and Tom Rabe
    De-risking from Chinese supply chains would be costly and damaging to national security goals.

    Australia can’t afford for economic security to trump trade in Asia

    Economic diplomacy that builds interdependence with China in critical minerals and green energy will contribute to Australian prosperity and security, not detract from it.

    • Shiro Armstrong
    It’s time we stopped our pursuit of endless economic growth from a world with finite resources, without regard for the consequences.

    Why the Productivity Commission is wrong about green subsidies

    The independent government agency has an outdated neoliberal mandate that needs an ESG makeover.

    • Jeremy Cooper
    Wednesday’s June quarter CPI data will have a big bearing on the Reserve Bank’s interest rate decision next week.

    Labor braces for higher inflation, interest rates

    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese sought to exonerate the government from rising inflation and a possible rate rise, arguing Labor’s two budget surpluses have helped the RBA reduce price pressures.

    • John Kehoe
    ACCC chairwoman Gina Cass-Gottlieb used public benefit grounds to approve Brookfield’s proposed purchase of Origin Energy.

    Dealmakers face tougher ‘public benefit’ test on mergers

    Businesses using public interest grounds such as climate change action or financial stability to get takeover approvals will face a stricter hurdle from the ACCC.

    • Updated
    • John Kehoe
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    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock is walking a fine line balancing interest rates and inflation.

    Why the case for an August rate rise has been overdone

    The RBA missed its chance to lift rates at the end of last year. Raising them now will be much harder to explain.

    • Ben Udy

    The price rises creating a big dilemma for the RBA

    High inflation for items that interest rates have little control over, such as education, healthcare and insurance, will force the RBA to consider squashing harder on the prices of other items.

    • John Kehoe
    ACCC chairwoman

    Merger changes crown the ACCC as Wizard of Oz dealmaking

    The legislation, which empowers the antitrust regulator to be the administrative “steward” of M&A, is the most profound reorientation of Australian merger law in its 50-year history.

    • Simon Muys
    ACCC chairwoman Gina Cass-Gottlieb.

    Merger crackdown to make ACCC ‘judge and jury’ on deals

    More takeovers will be able to be blocked under the government’s move to give the competition watchdog stronger powers than previously thought, lawyers say.

    • John Kehoe

    Construction collapses lead record insolvency year

    It was the highest number of annual insolvencies recorded by ASIC since records dating back to 1999-2000 and surpassed the previous high at the tail end of the global financial crisis.

    • John Kehoe