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    Big-spending state governments are recording some of the largest budget deficits in the developed world.

    State spending splurge could delay interest rate cuts, warns Westpac

    Governments are planning to inject more than $50 billion of stimulus into the economy in the year ahead, adding to inflation pressures, the bank has warned.

    • 1 hr ago
    • John Kehoe
    If you’re someone who has historically been lax with record keeping, you can expect an audit from the Tax Office’s new AI-powered systems.

    How much extra tax you stand to pay because of bracket creep

    The average taxpayer will lose $2000 to the so-called stealth tax in the next four years, which will deliver the federal government an extra $29 billion in revenue.

    • Michael Read

    Towns at ground zero say if nuclear means jobs, bring it on

    People in Morwell and Traralgon, at ground zero of the nuclear debate, say the need for new jobs could win them over to Peter Dutton’s nuclear energy plans.

    • Gus McCubbing

    Super funds fall short on unlisted asset valuations: APRA

    Super funds are not revaluing their $650 billion unlisted asset portfolios enough, potentially hitting the prices paid by customers and their returns, APRA has warned.

    • Hannah Wootton

    Locals might prefer nuclear to renewable poles and wires

    Peter Dutton’s nuclear energy plan could win support from communities concerned about major infrastructure upgrades needed to get solar and wind power into the grid.

    • Tom McIlroy, Gus McCubbing and Brad Thompson

    China’s ‘predatory’ tactics justify critical mineral subsidies: Kennedy

    Treasury secretary Steven Kennedy says China’s dominance of critical minerals justifies the government’s taxpayer support for rare earths the world needs.

    • John Kehoe

    Opinion & Analysis

    Why Australia needs to stop being PNG’s payday lender

    It might seem a good, neighbourly thing to do. But loans can be damaging as poorly tied aid. The alternative is subsidising direct Australian business investment.

    Why I welcome a nuclear power station in my backyard

    I have never been against some solar and wind power. My message is that we need a balanced mix of energy types.

    Matt Canavan

    Australian senator

    Matt Canavan

    Time to promote a woman as deputy chief of Navy

    The officer second in charge of the Royal Australian Navy will shortly rotate, opening the way for a historic first appointment of a female.

    Jennifer Parker

    Defence expert

    Jennifer Parker

    End the nuclear ban. Don’t stop renewables

    There is a case for considering zero emissions nuclear power but as part of a technology-neutral energy approach to generating reliable baseload power and firmed wind and solar generation.

    The AFR View

    Editorial

    The AFR View
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    More From Today

    Penny Wong and Richard Marles visit Papua New Guinea Prime Minister James Marape.

    Why Australia needs to stop being PNG’s payday lender

    It might seem a good, neighbourly thing to do. But loans can be damaging as poorly tied aid. The alternative is subsidising direct Australian business investment.

    • Carolyn Blacklock

    Yesterday

    The new homeowners seem happy to live next door to the Lucas Heights nuclear reactor, which has operated safely for over 60 years.

    Why I welcome a nuclear power station in my backyard

    I have never been against some solar and wind power. My message is that we need a balanced mix of energy types.

    • Matt Canavan
    The Navy has achieved many milestones, with all branches now open to women, and females now commanding ships at sea and establishments ashore.

    Time to promote a woman as deputy chief of Navy

    The officer second in charge of the Royal Australian Navy will shortly rotate, opening the way for a historic first appointment of a female.

    • Jennifer Parker

    This Month

    Peter Dutton is proposing seven nuclear plants in Coalition electorates.

    End the nuclear ban. Don’t stop renewables

    There is a case for considering zero emissions nuclear power but as part of a technology-neutral energy approach to generating reliable baseload power and firmed wind and solar generation.

    • The AFR View
    Chris Minns, Roger Cook, Peter Malinauskas, Jacinta Allan, Jeremy Rockliff, Steven Miles.

    ‘World-leading deficits’: Australia’s state debts could hit $800b

    They are on track to triple by 2028 relative to pre-pandemic levels, warns S&P, amid a spending binge that economists say is making the RBA’s job harder.

    • Michael Read
    Advertisement
    The government can be commended for the accomplishment and choreography of hosting Chinese Premier Li Qiang’s visit this week.

    Li’s visit may be as good as it gets for China ties

    Dialogue is vital. But the reality for Labor’s “stabilisation” is that the strategic environment will continue to breed black swans and black elephants crises in the Sino-Australian relationship.

    • Rory Medcalf
    Centrelink

    Why JobKeeper may be part of our productivity problem

    An anxious Reserve Bank of Australia is hoping for a pick-up in labour productivity this year to help alleviate the economy’s inflation problem.

    • John Kehoe
    Harvard Business School graduates.

    The educated elite is destroying America

    Progressive culture has spread from the universities to national life, triggering a backlash that benefits political populists such as Donald Trump.

    • David Brooks
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock repeated at her Tuesday press conference that the economy continues to operate beyond full capacity,

    RBA holds, but has it done enough?

    Even with this tightening bias, the longer inflation remains above target, the more the Reserve Bank’s credibility is challenged.

    • The AFR View

    Fights over pay rises challenge a bold prediction in NSW budget

    A $10.7 billion windfall from soaring property taxes will pay for more public servants but won’t stop NSW posting deficits for nine straight years and risking its AAA credit rating.

    • Updated
    • John Kehoe and David Marin-Guzman
    NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey unveiled in his second budget a plan to build 30,000 new homes, which includes 8400 new social homes.

    NSW budget shows a $6b GST hit, but Mookhey says it’s double

    NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey insists the state budget has been “ripped off” $12 billion in GST, even though his budget papers show a shortfall of half that amount.

    • John Kehoe
    Michele Bullock is waiting for more clarity on inflation.

    RBA’s narrow path is getting narrower. Blame the housing market

    The RBA’s concern is that rising household wealth – thanks in large part to strong house price growth – could keep inflation stickier than it wants.

    • James Thomson
    Anthony Albanese with Li Qiang before the Chinese Premier’s flight to Kuala Lumpur on Tuesday.

    Albanese elevates diplomacy over the drum beat of war

    Few can doubt the success of ‘stabilisation’ for the Australia-China relationship, but how might it work when applied to the region?

    • Updated
    • James Curran
    NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey speaks at the state budget press conference.

    Mookhey may need a wages miracle to land this budget

    NSW is sucking extra tax out of the asset-rich, property-owning class that has enjoyed a massive asset price boom, to spend more on government services, housing and public sector employees.

    • John Kehoe
     In an extraordinary admission in response to a press conference question Governor Bullock admitted that raising interest rates would “knock us off the narrow path” to a soft landing.

    The RBA is refusing to act like inflation is a problem

    Apparently the Reserve Bank thinks raising rates would trigger a technical recession, so don’t expect our inflation-driven cost-of-living crisis to end soon.

    • Richard Holden
    Advertisement
    The RBA left the cash rate on hold at 4.35 per cent.

    RBA warns on budget spending surge

    The board warned that big-spending government budgets risked stoking demand, and conceded inflation was proving stickier than expected.

    • Michael Read
    Not only is employment growth accelerating in 2024, but a big part of the increase is in full-time jobs.

    Jobs boom means rate rise will be close call

    It is becoming increasingly clear that a critical reason the economy is proving resilient to tighter monetary policy is a chronic shortage of labour.

    • Warren Hogan
    Australian journalist Cheng Lei is “flanked” by two Chinese government officials during a signing ceremony at Parliament House on Monday.

    Albanese ‘renews and revitalises’ ties with a very different China

    It remains in Australia’s national interest to deepen both economic and diplomatic ties with our major trade partner, and continue to welcome China’s rise behind a rules-based order.

    • The AFR View
    NA

    Li’s visit shows Australia and China are trying to move on

    The first visit of a Chinese Premier to Australia since 2017 revealed two countries straining to have a normal diplomatic relationship.

    • James Curran
    NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey, left, and Premier Chris Minns with the budget papers on Monday.

    The secret reason behind NSW’s ‘nonsense’ claim on $12b GST shortfall

    NSW’s AAA credit rating is on the line. The federal government, other states and rating agencies believe NSW made an error forecasting GST revenues.

    • John Kehoe