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    Lightscape’s Winter Cathedral, one of the paid events at this year’s Vivid.

    Cold snap and lack of renewables trigger gas supply shortfall warning

    The “threat notice” issued by the market operator for Australia’s south-east comes after years of warnings of potential winter shortages of the fossil fuel.

    Guzman y Gomez co-chief executives Steven Marks and Brett Hilton ring the bell to mark the company’s listing.

    Guzman y Gomez surges to $30 in biggest ASX float in three years

    The shares opened $8 above its listing price. Its debut could lead to the reopening of an IPO market that has stagnated since the end of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    Can Guzman y Gomez’s New Yorker frontman prove everyone wrong?

    Managers say the IPO is too riddled with cushy perks for insiders to offer value. Founder Steve Marks disagrees.

    NZ shakes off recession but no relief yet

    Gross domestic product gained 0.2 per cent from the previous quarter, when it declined 0.1 per cent, Statistics New Zealand said on Thursday.

    Australians aren’t alone in their housing pain

    Affordability and supply have become big issues in the US as immigration and high interest rates further strain the market – a scenario all too familiar in Australia.

    Shares slip; Guzman y Gomez surges, tops $3b valuation

    Guzman y Gomez targets more than 1000 stores in Australia. Bitcoin fund lists on ASX. Wall St closed. NZ exits recession. Gold, oil flat. Follow updates here.

    Why the chances of a rate rise are higher than you think

    Traders are largely ignoring the prospect of higher borrowing costs, despite the Reserve Bank’s growing concerns about still-high inflation, rate specialists warn.

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    DUTTON’S NUCLEAR PLAN

    Morwell manufacturing manager Peter Ceeney says the Latrobe Valley is screaming out for more jobs and he doesn’t mind if they come through nuclear or renewables.

    Why towns at ground zero say bring it on

    People in Morwell and Traralgon, at ground zero of the nuclear debate, say the need for new jobs could win them over to Peter Dutton’s nuclear energy plans.

    Mount Piper.

    Locals might prefer nuclear to renewable poles and wires

    Peter Dutton’s nuclear energy plan could win support from communities concerned about major infrastructure upgrades needed to get solar and wind power into the grid.

    One of the reactors would be built at the Traralgon coal-fired site in Victoria.

    Nuclear no help in today’s energy supply crisis: industry

    Energy-intensive industry says the Coalition’s nuclear plan delays action on emissions and doesn’t address energy security and affordability for the next decade.

    Nuclear plan puts sovereign risk back into infrastructure: Contractors

    The Coalition’s energy proposal rekindles uncertainty for a contracting industry counting on renewable energy to offset a slowdown in rail and road work.

    Uranium explorers powered by short supply, nuclear renaissance

    Seven ASX-listed explorers raised a total $323.22 million, a 50 per cent increase from the previous quarter.

    GUZMAN Y GOMEZ IPO

    Guzman y Gomez bosses Hilton Brett and Steven Marks will expand in South Australia via Viva Energy.

    This ASX giant is a secret winner from Guzman y Gomez float

    As Guzman y Gomez prepares for one of the most hyped floats in years, a $5 billion ASX giant is watching on with interest. 

    The original Guzman y Gomez food franchise in Newtown, Sydney.

    Guzman y Gomez’s spicy burrito is a recipe for high growth

    It’s easy to sound smart by being gloomy about the future of a stock, but the future of this Mexican-themed chain is positive.

    Steven Marks, the Guzman y Gomez chief executive, at the Sohn conference last year. The IPO pitch has come in off the long run.

    What past IPO disasters tell us about Guzman y Gomez’s $2.2b float

    The Mexican fast-food chain float has split opinions among Sydney’s investing community, and revealed the deep scars inflicted by failed floats of the past.

    Guzman y Gomez float a bet on a maverick founder and his grand plans

    The Mexican-themed restaurant chain’s founder is pitching big growth. He’s not an overnight success story, but the riches are there if he can make it work.

    Bears emerge as Guzman y Gomez’s blockbuster IPO nears

    Morningstar has told clients that the $22 initial public offering price is “too high” to what it considers fair value for the Mexican-themed fast-food chain.

    Get the front page and latest edition of the Financial Review as it was printed, delivered to your inbox every morning.

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    Companies

    Why Hong Kong ‘is still good’ for commercial lawyers

    Australian lawyers are missing out on opportunities in Asian markets, says a newly promoted partner at King & Wood Mallesons.

    Treasury Wine Estates CEO Tim Ford at the group’s Magill Estate winery in Adelaide last week after Chinese Premier Li Qiang’s visit to the premises.

    Treasury Wine’s profits buoyed as Penfolds goes all in on China

    Treasury says Penfolds profits will grow 15 per cent this year, but margins will fall as the company spends more rebuilding its export business to China.

    Hack wipes $140m from Melbourne mansion-owning crypto king

    Michael Egorov, who spent $59 million purchasing two mansions in Hawthorn, said I “don’t really live in Australia”. His curve token plunged last week.

    UBS’ head of social impact, Tom Hall, and Michael Marr, its local head of wealth management.

    UBS boss hails banking ‘trifecta’ as it seals merger

    The Asia-Pacific region is increasingly important for the bulked-up bank, and moving its global wealth head to the region has buoyed its Australian leader.

    Mineral Resources to shut iron ore mines employing 1000 workers

    Chris Ellison’s Mineral Resources will shut iron ore mines and look for jobs for about 1000 displaced workers in other parts of the company.

    QBE nears end of the road on reset as it ditches US middle-market

    The ASX-listed insurance giant is hoping to shake off the last vestiges of a decade-long but ill-fated grab at the North American market with the wind down.

    Helia shares plunge as CBA shops around mortgage contract

    The insurer shed almost a fifth of its market value after its biggest client, the Commonwealth Bank, said it would run a tender process for its existing contract.

    Companies in the News

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    Markets

    Bitcoin’s latest slump has again raised question marks.

    Launch of ASX’s first bitcoin ETF sparks price war

    The launch on Thursday morning has drawn a strong response from competitors operating on a rival exchange.

    .

    Uranium explorers powered by short supply, nuclear renaissance

    Seven ASX-listed explorers raised a total $323.22 million, a 50 per cent increase from the previous quarter.

    Rate increase ‘more likely this year’ after RBA’s tough talk

    An increasing number of economists say the next policy meeting in August is “live” for a rate rise after the central bank’s language at this week’s meeting.

    What happened overnight? European stocks were mostly lower

    Australian shares were set to open modestly down. Wall Street was closed for a federal holiday. The Bank of England was expected to keep rates steady.

    Here’s how investors should trade the US election

    Goldman Sachs says these commodities are the best way to protect investments against the threat of a fresh wave of inflation.

    Opinion

    Dutton is ready for a fight over his crazy-brave nuclear play

    You only have to consider the political context in which the nuclear power pledge was made to understand the Coalition feels it is a risk worth taking.

    Phillip Coorey

    Political editor

    Phillip Coorey

    Time to promote a woman as deputy chief of Navy

    The officer second in charge of the Royal Australian Navy will shortly rotate, opening the way for a historic first appointment of a female.

    Jennifer Parker

    Defence expert

    Jennifer Parker

    Why I welcome a nuclear power station in my backyard

    I have never been against some solar and wind power. My message is that we need a balanced mix of energy types.

    Matt Canavan

    Australian senator

    Matt Canavan

    Dutton’s high-stakes nuclear gamble

    The opposition leader is betting big on nuclear power, and Labor is delighted to take on his challenge.

    China’s banks feel the sting as problem loans mount

    China’s deepening housing market crisis is eroding the balance sheets of the country’s largest state banks.

    Karen Maley

    Columnist

    Karen Maley

    End the nuclear ban. Don’t stop renewables

    There is a case for considering zero emissions nuclear power but as part of a technology-neutral energy approach to generating reliable baseload power and firmed wind and solar generation.

    The AFR View

    Editorial

    The AFR View

    Reports

    Executive education - Microcredentials

    A growing number of employers are developing short, sharp courses known as microcredentials in collaboration with tertiary institutions.

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    Politics

    Russian President Vladimir Putin, left, and North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un attend the official welcome ceremony in the Kim Il Sung Square in Pyongyang.

    Putin-Kim bond threatens Pacific security: envoy

    Ukraine’s ambassador to Australia has made a fresh pitch for weapons to help Kyiv fight Russia.

    Men in the federal public service are more likely than woemn to be in the highest-paid jobs.

    Men still winning the best-paid federal jobs

    The Commonwealth public sector leads the private sector on gender equity, but women still earn $19,000 less on average.

    Chris Minns, Roger Cook, Peter Malinauskas, Jacinta Allan, Jeremy Rockliff, Steven Miles.

    ‘World-leading deficits’: Australia’s state debts could hit $800b

    They are on track to triple by 2028 relative to pre-pandemic levels, warns S&P, amid a spending binge that economists say is making the RBA’s job harder.

    China’s ‘predatory’ tactics justify critical mineral subsidies: Kennedy

    Treasury secretary Steven Kennedy says China’s dominance of critical minerals justifies the government’s taxpayer support for rare earths the world needs.

    Under poll pressure, Burke slams Setka ‘thuggery’

    The CFMEU has demanded Labor back down on its law to break up the union, saying it will set a “terrible precedent”.

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    World

    Rishi Sunak on the hustings in south-west England this week. Some polls suggest he could lose his seat.

    Even Rishi Sunak could lose his seat, according to some polls

    Seat-by-seat analysis by Savanta and Electoral Calculus found the Tories are on track to win just 53 seats in next month’s vote, an all-time low for the party.

    Donald Trump and Joe Biden will appear in two presidential debates before November’s poll.

    Why next week’s Biden v Trump debate is so important

    A set piece clash between Joe Biden and Donald Trump will turn less on policies than on manner and appearance. What they say will matter less than how they seem.

    Hezbollah supporters watch a speech given by the militant group leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.

    Hezbollah chief threatens Cyprus in war with Israel

    The leader of the militant group issued the threat as fears grow of a full-blown war across Lebanon’s southern border in Israel.

    Putin and Kim sign mutual defence pact

    The pact could be a dramatic shift in the strategic balance in Northeast Asia by placing Russia’s heft behind North Korea.

    UK inflation back to 2 per cent target for first time since 2021

    While the fall in headline inflation in May will be welcomed by both Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and the BoE, it is likely to have come too late.

    Property

    Andrew Bodnar at the offices of PM42 in Leumeah.

    Bankrupt developer’s plan to repay $131m: start a new firm with mum

    Andrew Bodnar’s empire went bust last year, taking self-funded retirees and a champion swimmer down with him. But he’s back in business to clear the massive debt.

    Adam Vaggelas, right, and Nick Singleton.

    GreenFort Capital targets $800m land lease portfolio

    There’s a growing snowball of players and money rolling into the residential property play on one of Australia’s biggest demographic changes.

    Former Keystone director Paul Chiodo.

    Former Keystone director ordered to hand over passport

    Former Keystone Asset Management director Paul Chiodo has been ordered to hand over his passport as the corporate regulator investigates the use of investor cash at the funds business.

    ‘Private AI’ surge powers Equinix’s $240m data centre expansion

    The surge in AI use adds to existing drivers for data centre demand, including cloud computing and increasing consumption of streaming services and social media.

    Mirvac set to sell two office towers at discounts of more than 20pc

    Pricing for the latest deals on the office towers in Sydney and Melbourne – worth close to half-a-billion dollars in total - shows just how far values have fallen.

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    Wealth

    The study compared a basket of everyday household items across the supermarket chains.

    Why avoiding Coles and Woolies will save you 25pc

    A basket of everyday groceries is $17 cheaper at Aldi, research by consumer group Choice shows, with little difference between the big two supermarket chains.

    Australia had more female fund managers seven years ago

    Industry efforts to hire more women in investment management have borne fruit. But the industry is struggling to get more women into portfolio manager roles.

    My $1.25m super fund can’t pay me enough income

    An 84-year-old is facing liquidity problems with minimum annual pension payments – but there are solutions.

    Technology

    UNSW’s Toby Walsh says workers who know how to use AI will replace those who do not.

    Need to get up to speed on gen AI? Here’s how

    Workers who know how to use AI are expected to eventually replace those who do not. Four experts explain how and where to level up your skills.

    COSRX’s Snail Mucin cream became the most popular beauty product on Amazon last year.

    Online shopping has become a giant fake-product machine

    TikTok is better than any other digital platform for turning cult favourites into global bestsellers – and making counterfeiters money.

    Artificial intelligence added an unusual ingredient to a McDonald’s soft serve ice cream – bacon.

    McDonald’s scraps drive-through AI after customer gets bacon ice cream

    Other malfunctions spawning mocking videos on social media have included hundreds of dollars’ worth of nuggets being automatically added to an order.

    Work & Careers

    Orica CEO Sanjeev Gandhi and chairman Malcolm Broomhead at Orica House in East Melbourne.

    What do Nobel, Dulux and Australia’s first high-rise have in common?

    From making bricks for the 1956 Olympics to paint, explosives and mining technology company Orica’s long history mirrors the Australian economy.

    ANZ’s openly gay chairman warns on ASX’s sexuality disclosure

    Asking boards to disclose the sexuality, age and ethnicity of directors risks encroaching on their privacy and could make them a target for activists, leading directors warn.

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    Life & Luxury

    Cap d’Antibes Beach Hotel’s unique selling point is its private, white-sand beach.

    Holiday like Europe’s jetset on the Côte d’Azur

    The ability to step straight onto a private sandy beach is rare in this part of the world, which is why summer is always booked out at this pink-splashed hotel.

    Isabelle Huppert as whistleblower Maureen Kearney in The Sitting Duck.

    The true story of a nuclear whistleblower

    The role of Maureen Kearney is tailor-made for 71-year-old Isabelle Huppert, an actor with a unique ability to tell us everything we need to know, while giving nothing away.

    AFR, Greg Taylor, CEO and founder of Step One, for Time Out in Life & Leisure.

    The workout that requires total mind-body focus

    Greg Taylor, founder of online underwear retailer Step One, reckons that after one hour of boxing with his trainer Liam Paro his whole body hurts. “And that’s a great feeling.”

    We hear Penelope’s (Nicola Coughlan) every sigh and gasp as Colin (Luke Newton) strips her in front of the mirror.

    How Bridgerton gets sex right for women

    Netflix’s hit series’ formula is hours of tension and longing that culminate in a lengthy sex scene.

    Do view this at home: How the video art market works

    Gone are the days when you needed a gallery-sized space to view digital art.

    From the gallery