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    Policy

    Economy

    Today

    Queensland Treasurer Cameron Dick.

    Queensland heads for deficit as Labor readies election cash splash

    A pre-election spending spree will result in Queensland’s forecast surplus swinging into a deficit of about $3 billion, Treasurer Cameron Dick says.

    • James Hall
    RBA governor Michele Bullock.

    RBA independence is more important than ever

    Readers’ letters on political spin and the Reserve Bank; the Albanese government’s poor record; final pleas for a printed paper; predicted blackouts; and Jim Chalmers’ charm offensive.

    RBA governor Michele Bullock after the bank’s May board meetin.

    Households tipped to save 80pc of stage three tax cuts

    The RBA board has “limited tolerance” for inflation remaining above the mid-point of its target band beyond 2026, but the latest Westpac consumer sentiment survey suggests that might not be a problem.

    • Ronald Mizen
    Lesson learned: Greece’s ability to reform has seen its economy transformed, with high growth rates and on a more sustainable path to economic success.

    Australia needs to relearn the reform lessons taught to Greece

    The Greeks took Gary Banks’ advice on productivity-enhancing policy. But political short-termism now holds sway here.

    • Jenny Bloomfield
    Immigration is shaping as a key electoral battleground – again.

    Macquarie says there is a 50pc chance of recession this year

    Macquarie Group economist Sophie Photios said the economy was like a “masquerade”, where immigration had masked it going backwards in per person terms.

    • John Kehoe
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    Yesterday

    We need to prepare in good times for the next big shock. These are the good times

    We are a long way from even a balanced budget. If we are going to have a fiscal war chest for the next big shock, we need to prepare now.

    • Updated
    • Jonathan Kearns
    An over-reliance on gas is no sure way of delivering 82 per cent renewable energy by 2030.

    The Coalition must give up its nuclear dreaming

    The opposition’s current nuclear proposal is an unserious political wedge being used to pry open a climate war Pandora’s box. A new round of the climate wars would be catastrophic.

    • Paul Farrow
    An over-reliance on gas is no sure way of delivering 82 per cent renewable energy by 2030.

    Singapore thriving after smooth, fair transition

    Readers letters on the election of Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong; Labor’s Future Gas Strategy; the housing affordability crisis; and Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

    This Month

    Peter Dutton has vowed to cut immigration as a way to free up housing.

    Coalition chose political interest over easing the housing crisis

    Readers’ letters on Peter Dutton’s focus on housing; how big super funds should prepare for tax changes; how the law can use AI; and a plea to keep printed copies of “The Australian Financial Review” alive in WA.

    Smoke rises from an Israeli strike on Gaza.

    Fear and crisis fatigue are holding back productivity

    Our uncertain world is generating collective caution. This leaves economies experiencing too little change and bearing too little risk.

    • Andy Haldane
    Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton are both throwing out easy answers to complex problems.

    Budget kicks off a populist election season

    The housing crisis demonstrates how both major parties insist there are easy answers where none exist.

    • The AFR View
    The Reserve Bank of Australia headquarters in Sydney is under renovation.

    RBA considers selling HQ as renovation blows out to $1.1b

    The blowout, caused by large amounts of asbestos, makes the redevelopment of the RBA building one of the nation’s most expensive non-defence public works.

    • Michael Read
    Opposition Leader Peter Dutton in parliament this week.

    The Coalition swings back to the immigration playbook

    The irony is that Peter Dutton of all people should understand how complicated migration numbers really are.

    • Laura Tingle
    Opposition Leader Peter Dutton is making the election a housing fight.

    Peter Dutton’s housing policies look tinged by race

    The Liberal Party leader’s complaints that foreigners are competing with Australians for homes tap into resentment towards outsiders.

    • Aaron Patrick
    Chalmers has made a big, bold gamble on inflation, risking the living standards of millions, while Dutton’s rhetoric is bigger than the reality on immigration.

    Chalmers and Dutton put their economic credibility on the line

    Chalmers has made a big, bold gamble on inflation, while Dutton’s rhetoric is bigger than the reality on immigration.

    • John Kehoe
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    Peter Dutton’s migration and housing changes explained

    The opposition leader says his changes to permanent migration and housing laws will help Australians by “restoring the dream of home ownership”. Will the changes be effective?

    • Michael Read
    David Rowe

    Solar panels debunking makes case for critical minerals leg-up

    Even in a world of geopolitical and supply chain risk, the old economic orthodoxies of international specialisation and comparative advantage still apply.

    • The AFR View
    Applause from colleagues, but it’s really an ominous message.

    Australia’s new course is to be managed decline

    The budget is our politics writ small: too lacking in confidence and optimism to seek out new growth.

    • John Roskam
    Treasurer Jim Chalmers may be feeling the pressure when he resorts to describing the Coalition’s “clown show”.

    Budget is pure politics

    Readers letters on Jim Chalmers’ federal budget; Scott Morrison’s meeting with Donald Trump; and Gina Rinehart’s push against her portrait in The National Gallery of Australia.

    Unemployment increased to 4.1 per cent in April.

    Jobless jump could unwind next month, economists say

    Economists predict some of the lift in unemployment in April may unwind in May, amid broader signs the jobs market remains strong and is absorbing a surge in migrants.

    • Updated
    • Michael Read