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โ€ขPosted by2 years ago
Archived

Richard Shelby, the Senator from Alabama who will retire after this term, just dropped a bomb on the cryptocurrency space because he wanted some extra funds for the US military.

People of Alabama, you have until tomorrow morning to change his mind. Call his office ASAP. He is the only one standing in the way.

332
148 comments
278
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โ€ขPosted by3 years ago

After AP called the Georgia runoff for Warnock and Ossoff, control of the US Senate has shifted, meaning Senator Shelby will likely be replaced as SAC Chairman. This seismic shift in the Senate heralds many changes for the space effort โ€“ some quite favorable to SpaceXโ€ฆ

Europa Clipper

NASA has serious misgivings over using the SLS (Space Launch System) for their flagship mission to Europa, which should be ready to launch in 2024. This stems from the heavy vibration caused by the solid rocket boosters and limited availability of the launch vehicle โ€“ early production units have already been assigned to Artemis missions. Senator Shelby has been a staunch defender of SLS hence supports its use for the Europa Mission, because this would broaden its scope beyond the Artemis Program. However, Falcon Heavy could perform this mission at far lower cost and the hardware is already available plus fully certified by NASA. Conceivably Europa might even launch on Starship, assuming it could perform 12 successful flights before 2024, which should fast-track NASA certification. With Shelby relegated from his position of high influence, NASA could feel far less pressured, hence able to make the right choice of launch vehicle for this important mission.

HLS Starship

Currently SpaceX are bidding for a NASA Artemis contract, to build a Human Landing System to ferry astronauts onto the lunar surface, based on their reusable Starship spacecraft. Rather ambitiously this HLS architecture requires a propellant depot in LEO to refuel the spacecraft while on its way to the moon. Previously Senator Shelby threatened serious harm to NASA if they pursued fuel depot development, because that would allow commercial vehicles to perform deep space missions, reducing need for the Super Heavy Lift capability offered by SLS. So it seems a safe bet he now favors competitive bids from โ€œThe National Teamโ€ or even Dynetics for HLS contracts, basically anything but Starship. However, the senatorโ€™s departure implies NASA should be free to award HLS contracts to whoever best suits their long-term needs, which involves building a sustained lunar outpost.

Mars Starship

โ€œIn the future, there may be a NASA contract (for Starship), there may not be, I donโ€™t know. If there is thatโ€™s a good thing, if thereโ€™s not probably not a good thing, because thereโ€™s larger issues than space here, are we humans gonna become a multiplanetary species or not(1)?โ€ ~ Elon Musk/October 2016

SpaceX have long sought NASAโ€™s support for its development of Starship, which is primarily designed to land large payloads and crew on Mars. Unfortunately, from Senator Shelbyโ€™s position Starship poses an existential threat to SLS, because itโ€™s capable of delivering greater payloads at far less cost, due to full reusability. Hence NASAโ€™s reticence to engage directly with SpaceXโ€™s Mars efforts, not wishing to vex the influential senator, who they are reliant on for funding. Following the election results, that now seems far less of a concern for NASA, who will likely deepen involvement with Starship, as it aligns with their overarching goal for continued Mars exploration.

Space Force

The military have taken tentative interest in Starship, following USTRANSCOMโ€™s contract to study its use for express point-to-point transport. At the moment Space Force is trying to find its feet, including the best means to fulfil its purpose, so not wanting to make waves in this time of political turmoil. When the storm abates, it seems likely they will seek to expand their capabilities inherited from the Air Force, to make their mark. No doubt Space Force are eager to explore the potential of a fully reusable launch vehicle like Starship, because it would help distinguish them as a service and grant much greater capabilities. They could consider much heavier payloads, even to cislunar - and crew missions to service troubled satellites. This might end with regular Starship patrols, to protect strategically important hardware and provide a rescue and recovery service for civil and commercial spacecraft. Starship fits Space Force ambitions like a glove, and with the political block now removed, it seems much likelier weโ€™ll see it become part of their routine operations.

โ€œLetโ€™s say you have a satellite and you launch and something goes wrongโ€ฆ BFR [Starship] has a capability to open its payload bay, either bring the satellite back in, close it, pressurize it, work on it and redeploy it. If you want to go see how your satellite is doing and if youโ€™re getting interference in the GEO belt, maybe you want to go up there and take a look at your neighbors, seeing if theyโ€™re cheating or not, BFR will basically allow people to work and live in space and deploy technology that has not been able to be deployed(51).โ€ ~ Gwynne Shotwell

Conclusion

There doesnโ€™t appear any downsides from Senator Shelbyโ€™s relegation โ€“ at least from SpaceXโ€™s perspective. His departure breathes new life into their prospects for the Europa mission and HLS/Starship funding, with the promise of a great deal more, via deep engagement with Space Force. Likely SLS will persist for a time but the most important thing is Starship now has a reasonable shot at engaging the big players, fulfilling its promise of low cost space access and ensuring our spacefaring future.

278
207 comments
167
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โ€ขPosted by3 years ago
167
79 comments
211
211
27 comments
13
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โ€ขPosted byu/[deleted]3 years ago
13
78 comments
81
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Crossposted by3 years ago
โ€ข
Posted by3 years ago

After AP called the Georgia runoff for Warnock and Ossoff, control of the US Senate has shifted, meaning Senator Shelby will likely be replaced as SAC Chairman. This seismic shift in the Senate heralds many changes for the space effort โ€“ some quite favorable to SpaceXโ€ฆ

Europa Clipper

NASA has serious misgivings over using the SLS (Space Launch System) for their flagship mission to Europa, which should be ready to launch in 2024. This stems from the heavy vibration caused by the solid rocket boosters and limited availability of the launch vehicle โ€“ early production units have already been assigned to Artemis missions. Senator Shelby has been a staunch defender of SLS hence supports its use for the Europa Mission, because this would broaden its scope beyond the Artemis Program. However, Falcon Heavy could perform this mission at far lower cost and the hardware is already available plus fully certified by NASA. Conceivably Europa might even launch on Starship, assuming it could perform 12 successful flights before 2024, which should fast-track NASA certification. With Shelby relegated from his position of high influence, NASA could feel far less pressured, hence able to make the right choice of launch vehicle for this important mission.

HLS Starship

Currently SpaceX are bidding for a NASA Artemis contract, to build a Human Landing System to ferry astronauts onto the lunar surface, based on their reusable Starship spacecraft. Rather ambitiously this HLS architecture requires a propellant depot in LEO to refuel the spacecraft while on its way to the moon. Previously Senator Shelby threatened serious harm to NASA if they pursued fuel depot development, because that would allow commercial vehicles to perform deep space missions, reducing need for the Super Heavy Lift capability offered by SLS. So it seems a safe bet he now favors competitive bids from โ€œThe National Teamโ€ or even Dynetics for HLS contracts, basically anything but Starship. However, the senatorโ€™s departure implies NASA should be free to award HLS contracts to whoever best suits their long-term needs, which involves building a sustained lunar outpost.

Mars Starship

โ€œIn the future, there may be a NASA contract (for Starship), there may not be, I donโ€™t know. If there is thatโ€™s a good thing, if thereโ€™s not probably not a good thing, because thereโ€™s larger issues than space here, are we humans gonna become a multiplanetary species or not(1)?โ€ ~ Elon Musk/October 2016

SpaceX have long sought NASAโ€™s support for its development of Starship, which is primarily designed to land large payloads and crew on Mars. Unfortunately, from Senator Shelbyโ€™s position Starship poses an existential threat to SLS, because itโ€™s capable of delivering greater payloads at far less cost, due to full reusability. Hence NASAโ€™s reticence to engage directly with SpaceXโ€™s Mars efforts, not wishing to vex the influential senator, who they are reliant on for funding. Following the election results, that now seems far less of a concern for NASA, who will likely deepen involvement with Starship, as it aligns with their overarching goal for continued Mars exploration.

Space Force

The military have taken tentative interest in Starship, following USTRANSCOMโ€™s contract to study its use for express point-to-point transport. At the moment Space Force is trying to find its feet, including the best means to fulfil its purpose, so not wanting to make waves in this time of political turmoil. When the storm abates, it seems likely they will seek to expand their capabilities inherited from the Air Force, to make their mark. No doubt Space Force are eager to explore the potential of a fully reusable launch vehicle like Starship, because it would help distinguish them as a service and grant much greater capabilities. They could consider much heavier payloads, even to cislunar - and crew missions to service troubled satellites. This might end with regular Starship patrols, to protect strategically important hardware and provide a rescue and recovery service for civil and commercial spacecraft. Starship fits Space Force ambitions like a glove, and with the political block now removed, it seems much likelier weโ€™ll see it become part of their routine operations.

โ€œLetโ€™s say you have a satellite and you launch and something goes wrongโ€ฆ BFR [Starship] has a capability to open its payload bay, either bring the satellite back in, close it, pressurize it, work on it and redeploy it. If you want to go see how your satellite is doing and if youโ€™re getting interference in the GEO belt, maybe you want to go up there and take a look at your neighbors, seeing if theyโ€™re cheating or not, BFR will basically allow people to work and live in space and deploy technology that has not been able to be deployed(51).โ€ ~ Gwynne Shotwell

Conclusion

There doesnโ€™t appear any downsides from Senator Shelbyโ€™s relegation โ€“ at least from SpaceXโ€™s perspective. His departure breathes new life into their prospects for the Europa mission and HLS/Starship funding, with the promise of a great deal more, via deep engagement with Space Force. Likely SLS will persist for a time but the most important thing is Starship now has a reasonable shot at engaging the big players, fulfilling its promise of low cost space access and ensuring our spacefaring future.

278 points
81
46 comments
67
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โ€ขPosted by3 years ago
Archived
67
47 comments
38
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โ€ขPosted by2 years ago
Post image
38
22 comments