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John Kehoe

Economics editor

John Kehoe is Economics editor at Parliament House, Canberra. He writes on economics, politics and business. John was Washington correspondent covering Donald Trump’s election. He joined the Financial Review in 2008 from Treasury. Connect with John on Twitter. Email John at jkehoe@afr.com

John Kehoe

Today

More than $80 billion of under-the-radar spending on initiatives such as Snowy Hydro, NBN and clean energy undermines budget forecasts, Saul Eslake says.

‘Dangerous’ to rely on key budget number given $80b spending splurge

More than $80 billion of under-the-radar spending on initiatives such as Snowy Hydro, NBN and clean energy undermines budget deficit forecasts, Saul Eslake says.

  • 1 hr ago
UniSuper chief investment officer John Pearce and Australian Investment Council chief executive Navleen Prasad.

Investors welcome Chalmers’ new ‘front door’ service (with caveats)

Big investors want to be consulted as the proposal for an investment concierge moves from budget papers into reality.

  • 1 hr ago
A beach house in the Sunshine Coast, Queensland.

Holiday home owners to get $600 in power bill discounts

Holiday and second home owners will receive multiple $300 energy bill credits, after the government says all households would automatically receive the benefit.

  • Updated
Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers at the National Press Club post-budget event in Parliament House on Wednesday.

Chalmers is telling a big budget fib

Treasurer Jim Chalmers stood in front of 600 guests at his post-budget speech in Parliament House on Wednesday and repeated a misleading number about spending.

Yesterday

Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

There’s an $80b spending bomb buried in the budget

The people who should be most worried about this profligate pre-election budget are Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock and home borrowers.

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$24b in front-loaded spending risks fuelling inflation

Spending and taxing decisions in this budget will tip an extra $24 billion into the economy, jarring with the government’s claims that it is putting downward pressure on inflation.

This Month

Lendlease tax woes could trigger second profit downgrade

John Wylie’s Tanarra Capital is pushing for a seat on the Lendlease board, as the country’s largest property group faces the prospect of a damaging profit downgrade after tax officials handed it a $112 million bill.

  • Updated
Treasurer Jim Chalmers and former treasurer and prime minister Paul Keating.

Jim Chalmers rips up Paul Keating’s economic playbook

The treasurer is breaking from Labor’s previously claimed belief in the Hawke-Keating market-based economic model that helped deliver 30 years of prosperity.

Lendlease hit with $112m tax bill over retirement business

The property group has been hit with an initial $112 million bill from the Tax Office, in a dispute that could ultimately cost it more than $300 million.

Investment in business is expected to  slow down in the near term.

Budget tips business investment to slow

The recovery in business investment is tipped to slow markedly in federal budget forecasts, as a cooling economy forces firms to reassess capital expenditure plans.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers and RBA governor Michele Bullock.

The budget is already adding to inflation

The federal budget has injected $22 billion of new policy spending over two years, which economists say will cause higher interest rates than necessary and delay any rate cuts.

Former WA Premier Colin Barnett and economist Saul Eslake at the national press club in Canberra on Wednesday.

The instigator of WA’s GST deal says it is failing

Colin Barnett says there was no need for the prime minister to lift WA’s minimum GST “floor” from 70¢ to 75¢ in the dollar, as is set to occur from July.

The lucky treasurer: His predecessors have been extremely lucky to receive big tax revenue windfalls from the mining boom, but none have been as lucky as Jim Chalmers.

Australia’s ‘dumb’ luck budget in one extraordinary chart

Treasurers have been extremely lucky to receive big tax revenue windfalls from the China-driven mining boom, but none have been as lucky as Jim Chalmers.

‘Vigilant’ RBA puts home loan borrowers on notice

Governor Michele Bullock has issued a fresh warning to mortgage holders, two years after the Reserve Bank of Australia began raising interest rates.

  • Updated
Former Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe still sees upside risk for rates.

Philip Lowe warns rates could rise again

The former RBA governor says with data surprising on the strong side getting back to a 2.5 per cent inflation level sustainably is not yet guaranteed.

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Treasurer Jim Chalmers will deliver the budget on May 14.

Big government spending to widen budget deficits

Next week’s federal budget will be expansionary, not contractionary as some economists have called for, and will do less to contain inflation and interest rate pressures than Jim Chalmers’ previous surplus budgets.

RBA governor Michele Bullock will be alert to sticky inflation, but there isn’t a strong reason to raise rates again.

RBA rate rise shock is being underestimated, history shows

It has raised interest rates almost every time in the last 25 years that it has faced the current high quarterly inflation figure immediately before a board meeting.

Jim Chalmers has flagged a pre-election budget pivot from curbing inflation to shoring up growth.

‘Made in Australia’ risks higher interest rates and a poorer future

The old rules of economics still apply and the consequences of Albanese’s big gamble could be widely felt.

Dr Aruna Sathanapally, CEO of the Grattan Institute, Dr Angela Jackson, chair of the Women in Economics Network, and Besa Deda, Westpac economist.

How three economists would fix the housing crisis

An economic adviser to the government has suggested a “quick win” to encourage older Australians to downsize and free up housing for younger families.

Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock is walking a fine line balancing interest rates and inflation.

Bullock must now warn that interest rates may rise again

When the RBA board meets next week, the key question governor Michele Bullock will be grappling with is the future pace of disinflation.