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Latest

Israel’s airstrike on Iran’s consulate in Syria has raised concerns about Brent oil supply.

Commodity markets flash warning signal for stocks

The concurrent rally in oil and gold prices shows that geopolitical risks have returned to markets which is a “negative omen” for risk assets.

  • Alex Gluyas
The ASX 200 is set to fall.

ASX drops 1.3pc as property tumbles; Westgold plunges 15pc

Shares decline at the closing bell; gold resets record high; WiseTech’s Engelhard to retire from board; Westgold plunges over 10 per cent after latest quarterly production update. Follow updates here.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore, Joanne Tran, Cecile Lefort, Joshua Peach, Alex Gluyas and Sarah Jones

ASX to fall as US data points to higher-for-longer rates

Australian shares are set to open lower, tracking losses on Wall St which sees fading prospects for a pivot to rate cuts. Oil rises. Gold resets record high.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore

The era of big mining dividend paydays is coming to an end – for now

Morgan Stanley’s analysts have told clients that BHP will be particularly affected amid an iron ore price slump. Lithium miners will similar cut their payouts.

  • Alex Gluyas

Tesla shares drop after sales fall short of estimates

The electric car maker handed over 386,810 vehicles in the first three months of 2024 for its first year-over-year sales drop since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Dana Hull

Trump’s media stock plunges as 2023 loss put at $89m

The share price of the company fell to its lowest level since Trump Media went public last week and shaved more than a fifth of its market value in a single day.

  • Updated
  • Drew Harwell

Opinion & Analysis

It’s a long and winding path that leads to a rate cut

The reality is there is still some way to go as the RBA balances the challenge of reducing inflation while keeping the economy ticking.

Stephen Miller

Former advisor Paul Keating

Stephen Miller

Now is the ‘sweet spot’ for making money in private debt

While corporate defaults are at their highest year-to-date default count since the height of the global financial crisis, fears for private credit are overblown.

Katrina King

Contributor

Lessons from a fund that has beaten the market for 50 years

Since 1973, Capital Group’s New Perspective Fund has ridden the shifting tides of world trade. With deglobalisation taking hold, will the strategy hold up?

Chanticleer

Columnist

Chanticleer

Ninety days to remember and what could go wrong from here

Despite a plethora of risks, the first quarter of 2024 has turned out to be better than expected across markets, economics and geopolitics. But don’t get comfortable.

Chanticleer

Columnist

Chanticleer

Companies in the News

Qantas

qan$5.410
 -1.46%

Austal Limited

asb$2.380
 -2.06%

BHP Group

bhp$44.860
 -0.60%

Commonwealth Bank

cba$117.810
 -1.88%

Mirvac

mgr$2.300
 -2.95%

Updated: Apr 3, 2024 – 4.10pm. Data is 20 mins delayed.

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View stories and data from an ASX listed company

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Meet the Fundie

Rodrigo Catril says “we need to see a weakening of the labour market for the Reserve Bank to consider a rate cut”.

‘We still have an inflation problem’, says NAB’s Catril

Rodrigo Catril at National Australia Bank is confident the RBA will lower the cash rate this year, but the job market needs to weaken first.

  • Cecile Lefort
Scott Radke CEO of New Holland Capital.

This hedge fund is backing bets Citadel and Millennium won’t touch

Multi-strategy hedge funds have swept the globe hoovering up talent into their highly levered investing style, but this New York-based fund can go where they can’t.

  • Joshua Peach
Farrer Capital’s Adam Davis

This hedge fund is betting big on La Nina’s return

Farrer Capital says looming weather changes could lift Australian cattle prices by up to 50 per cent, it also likes the look of South African maize.

  • Cecile Lefort

Yesterday

The Australian dollar took a leg lower after rate cut bets were dialled back.

$A hit as strong US data dents rate cut hopes

The local currency is back below US65¢ after traders pushed back the likely timing of the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of Australia this year.

  • Cecile Lefort
ANZ expects the rally in the gold price to continue.

Gold rally ‘has legs’, as price tipped to reset record

Gold has already jumped more than 9 per cent this year, with ANZ and JPMorgan projecting the precious metal to hit $US2300 an ounce by December.

  • Updated
  • Joanne Tran
The RBA’s latest meeting minutes will be released late Tuesday morning.

ASX retreats from record high; gold miners rally, Mesoblast soars 70pc

Shares end in the red after resetting record high. Cettire and Orora sink. The Reserve Bank of Australia softens language in latest meeting. Iron ore rebounds after Monday’s rout.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore, Joshua Peach, Joanne Tran, Sarah Jones, Alex Gluyas and Cecile Lefort
People shop at Bondi Beach on 09 January, 2024. Photo: Brook Mitchell for the AFR

Inflation set to ease, but it will be bumpy: survey

While higher prices are forecast to ease, economists warn that should inflation reignite, the RBA will stand pat on rate cuts at least for this year.

  • Cecile Lefort
Former Cromwell Property Group chief executive Paul Weightman has been accused of a corporate raid.

This Australian executive is taking on a US private investment giant

As chairman of Cromwell Property Group, Paul Weightman saw plenty of corporate jousting. Now the Corinthia Global Management founder is staring down Barings.

  • Primrose Riordan
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The price of the steelmaking ingredient hit a 10-month low while Australian equity markets were closed on Monday.

Iron ore plunges to 10-month low, threatening ASX record high

Some of the ASX’s biggest miners will be in focus when trading reopens after the price of Australia’s major export slumped below $US100 a tonne over the Easter weekend.

  • Updated
  • Joshua Peach

RBA will struggle to cut rates this year: survey

The RBA is expected to be the last major central bank to start cutting interest rates and economists predict the cash rate will remain on hold at least until November.

  • Cecile Lefort
Rodrigo Catril says “we need to see a weakening of the labour market for the Reserve Bank to consider a rate cut”.

‘We still have an inflation problem’, says NAB’s Catril

Rodrigo Catril at National Australia Bank is confident the RBA will lower the cash rate this year, but the job market needs to weaken first.

  • Cecile Lefort
Nine industries reported growth in March, led by textile mills, nonmetallic minerals, paper products and petroleum.

June Fed rate-cut odds dip below 50pc after strong ISM data

The ISM’s manufacturing gauge rose 2.5 points to 50.3 last month, snapping 16 straight months of shrinking activity and exceeding all Bloomberg survey estimates.

  • Michael Mackenzie

This Month

RBA governor Michele Bullock has warned that unless productivity growth picks up, the journey back to the inflation target could take longer than expected.

It’s a long and winding path that leads to a rate cut

The reality is there is still some way to go as the RBA balances the challenge of reducing inflation while keeping the economy ticking.

  • Stephen Miller
Michele Bullock, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Now is the ‘sweet spot’ for making money in private debt

While corporate defaults are at their highest year-to-date default count since the height of the global financial crisis, fears for private credit are overblown.

  • Katrina King
Mike Sentonas, President of Crowdstrike in North Sydney

CrowdStrike’s Australian boss snares $225m cybersecurity fortune

Mike Sentonas, a computer science graduate from Edith Cowan University, has risen to become one of the leading Australians in Silicon Valley.

  • Tom Richardson

March

Global trade patterns have changed radically in the past 50 years.

Lessons from a fund that has beaten the market for 50 years

Since 1973, Capital Group’s New Perspective Fund has ridden the shifting tides of world trade. With deglobalisation taking hold, will the strategy hold up?

  • James Thomson
In a March 22 note, Goldman Sachs’ strategist David Kostin reiterated his forecast for S&P 500 EPS growth of 8 per cent in 2024 and another 6 per cent in 2025.

Fading analysts’ optimism a red flag: Edwards

For Societe Generale’s Albert Edwards, a key reading into the outlook for the S&P 500 is that Wall Street analysts are becoming less optimistic about earnings.

  • Timothy Moore
Wall Street.

S&P 500 resets record high as price data awaited

All three US benchmarks were little changed pending Friday’s release of a key Federal Reserve inflation metric. Gold resets record high.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
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The ASX hit a record on Thursday, but the market is split on how much longer it has to run.

ASX richly priced, valuations elevated, warns Perpetual strategist

Perpetual says it does not expect the sharemarket to perform particularly well this year, but there are other fund managers who think it has more to run.

  • Joanne Tran and Tom Richardson

Why this fundie is bullish on India and its largest private bank

Stewart Investors’ Sujaya Desai says the market is too conservative about HDFC Bank and names another of her favourite stocks – all the way from Brazil.

  • Joanne Tran
Japanese authorities said they would step in against disorderly  moves in the yen.

Market fears Japanese officials will intervene to stop yen slide

Traders expect authorities to protect the currency if it hits the benchmark ¥152 per US dollar. It has shed more than 7 per cent this year.

  • Cecile Lefort
Korean pop superstars Blackpink perform at Qudos Bank Arena.

What you need to know about buying K-Pop stocks

Thanks to acts such as BTS and Blackpink, the industry is now worth about $7.7 billion and growing, pushing up the shares of agencies and minting billionaires.

  • Claire Ballentine
Wall Street.

ASX to rise, Dow paces gains in New York

The Dow rallied 478 points, bolstered by Merck and Intel. The S&P 500 closed at a record high and finished within 13 points of its intraday record.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore