Daily Discussion Thread for October 12, 2022

off_by_two · 2022-10-12T13:28:31+00:00

The fact that they have that many employees they can lose is insane. They slipped into full complacent monopoly phase

off_by_two · 2022-10-12T13:16:29+00:00

It’ll happen eventually. You know we got at least one more bear rally before the real recovery

Neither of us nor 97% of the posters here will time it tho

off_by_two · 2022-10-12T13:14:35+00:00

Im hoping for one of those pre-cpi bounces. I’d like to pick up some more msft/aapl/googl ER puts.

I think tech earnings are going to be mixed to poor heading into the Nov 1-2 FOMC meeting and a 75bp rate hike

off_by_two · 2022-10-12T13:06:15+00:00

We could get the double whammy of poor tech earnings and 75bp rate increase at the same time

off_by_two · 2022-10-12T13:04:22+00:00

Ppi is largely irrelevant for the market. Except that advancing core ppi suggests earnings will be affected to the downside

off_by_two · 2022-10-12T10:26:29+00:00

I dont, that shit is disgusting

off_by_two · 2022-10-12T10:26:00+00:00

Zoom out and you’ll see there is an obvious ‘side’ since January 1st

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T21:09:04+00:00

PPI going down and core CPI staying put basically tells the Fed that they have to do more to kill demand

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T19:57:30+00:00

nah those are for 10/14 expiry

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T19:52:47+00:00

NGL, I think I might pick up some 1dte 360c right at close

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T19:43:50+00:00

MSFT setting a 52 week low today. Think I'm going to take some profits from these puts up 225%

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T19:28:09+00:00

yeah, well at least for attributing it to some conspiracy

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T19:12:05+00:00

Holy shit, gonna set two new 52 week lows today?

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T18:35:11+00:00

is it? an hour and a half left before close and we at about 70% average daily volume. I think it's more that the market is shook but not panic selling at near 52 week lows rather than an abundance of buying

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T18:31:40+00:00

Seriously, the guy needs to stfu. 'Just let Russia annex large portions of your country bruv' real genius

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T15:42:30+00:00

neither, thats not how this works

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T15:40:45+00:00

Yeah, I think they miss even with the lowered guidance they released. More importantly I think most the megacaps also miss

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T15:37:01+00:00

I too enjoy making unfunny things up on anonymous social media to push a qanon edgelord agenda

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T15:30:52+00:00

i have a buy order for 10/28 12p

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T15:17:01+00:00

Man the cpi runup is always just so volatile and confusing like my marriage

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T14:48:02+00:00

Baby rally into likely a weak earnings season followed by a probable 75bp hike in November

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T14:38:33+00:00

Bears hibernate, bulls charge

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T14:31:48+00:00

2024 calls are well priced, but there’ll still be short term pain

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T14:09:00+00:00

No more than another 5-10% before systemic things start to threaten to fall over

off_by_two · 2022-10-11T08:18:01+00:00

In 20 years we’ll have had at least one more financial crisis/meltdown to scar us. We’ll barely remember this one

off_by_two

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