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What lies ahead for the economy and business, and how can we recover from the inflation shock.

Full coverage here

Treasurer Jim Chalmers at the Summit.

Chalmers admits growth ambitions are too low

Business leaders welcomed the treasurer’s pitch to embrace what could be a “defining decade” but questioned government policies to fix weak productivity growth.

Aged Care Minister Anika Wells says people are willing to contribute to the cost of high quality aged care.

Wealthy Australians set to pay more for aged care

A long-awaited review has called for retirees to make rental contributions instead of large lump sum deposits to live in nursing homes; those receiving care at home are to pay more as well.

Digital home loans are often cheaper for banks to provide and sometimes the lenders promise to pass on these savings in the form of lower rates.

Mortgage hardship jumps as economic risk comes into focus

The risk that under-pressure borrowers pose to the economy “warranted ongoing close attention”, says the regulatory group in charge of the financial system.

Australia trapped in a ‘jail of short-term thinking’

New Business Council president Geoff Culbert says three-year government terms contribute to a crisis of short-term thinking that is dragging down the nation.

Albanese pledges $4b for Indigenous housing

Anthony Albanese and Indigenous Australians Minister Linda Burney will visit the NT on Tuesday to announce a major package for remote homes.

Street Talk triggered $207m freeze order; family ‘flight risk’

The rich Taiwanese-Australian family behind the Nature’s Care brand lied to the tax office about their income, court documents allege.

Coalition will seek a social licence for nuclear: Dutton

Communities will be consulted and “incentivised” to adopt nuclear power, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton says.

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AFR BUSINESS SUMMIT

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton.

Coalition will seek a social licence for nuclear: Dutton

Communities will be consulted and “incentivised” to adopt nuclear power, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton says.

Sydney Airport CEO Geoff Culbert is stepping down after more than five years.

Australia trapped in a ‘jail of short-term thinking’

New Business Council president Geoff Culbert says three-year government terms contribute to a crisis of short-term thinking that is dragging down the nation.

Fortescue says hydrogen hopes rest on a halving of power prices

Fortescue Energy boss Mark Hutchinson says Australia must get clean power prices down to $US30 a megawatt hour if it wants green hydrogen projects to go ahead.

Why inflation and rates are set to ‘rebound higher’

Expect interest rates to fall, but don’t expect them to stay there. That’s the big picture view of macroeconomic thinkers such as Wei Li and Peter Costello.

Manufacturing wipeout a risk without right carbon border tax: Orica

CEO Sanjeev Gandhi has warned the future of manufacturing is under threat without carbon border taxes, while the cement sector is already suffering.

monday media

Independent news publishers The Daily Aus founders Zara Seidler and Sam Koslowski are concerned their start-up, youth focussed media company based out of Surry Hills, Sydney, will be hardest hit by the announcement by Meta Platforms that it is pulling news off Facebook and Instagram.

This news start-up will lose half a million readers if Meta goes nuclear

The Daily Aus’ Sam Koslowski and Zara Seidler say they’ve spent three years building audiences outside of Meta’s platforms to prepare for moves to ban news.

All the news that’s fit for Facebook:  Meta is opting out of doing deals with Australian news media businesses.

How PwC helped Facebook argue its bill down in tax fight with ATO

The tech giant settled a long-running dispute with the tax office in 2017 for $31 million – here’s part of what PwC argued on Facebook’s behalf.

ACM’s Antony Catalano.

Antony Catalano wants to sell three of his biggest newspapers

The former Domain boss has discussed selling The Newcastle Herald, Illawarra Mercury and Canberra Times back to Nine.

Two halves of the Seven empire are at war over The Nightly

If the Anthony De Ceglie-led digital newspaper The Nightly falters, prepare for a long slow death. If it succeeds, Seven’s power shifts west.

Onerous demands and threats: Inside Facebook’s secret media deals

Confidential until now, details of two agreements struck by Meta for news provide a glimpse into what the social media giant gained for its funding.

Features include the ability to save articles, dark mode and real time notifications.

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Companies

Cettire, an online luxury fashion retail platform, has divided investors since listing on the ASX in December 2020.

Cettire defends CEO’s $127m share sale ahead of stock slump

Dean Mintz offloaded the stake in the luxury retailer after questions were raised about the company’s customs duties. He remains the largest shareholder.

The family property in Sydney’s Ingleside suburb owned by Alex Wu and Jina Chen, founder of Nature’s Care.

Street Talk triggered $207m freeze order; family ‘flight risk’

The rich Taiwanese-Australian family behind the Nature’s Care brand lied to the tax office about their income, court documents allege.

BoQ confirmed it “leverages Temenos primarily for core banking services”.

BoQ backs Temenos amid claims software provider selling ‘vapourware’

Activist investor Hindenburg Research alleges the company has employed aggressive accounting practices and sold faulty products to local lenders.

Airfares are set to rise, with brokers pointing to strong demand as good news for flailing Qantas shares.

Virgin set to follow Qantas in raising fares

Airlines are increasing airfares as domestic demand remains robust and both carriers chase margin growth.

ANZ’s private bank joins crowded race for country’s richest families

The local bank has penned a deal with a fixed-income manager to tailor a bond portfolio for its richest clients.

ASX in war of words with Magnis Energy as shares remain suspended

Once one of the most promising renewables plays with a market capitalisation of some $500 million, the company has been told to outline its sales contracts.

Sydney family behind McDonald’s app worth more than $100m

A US-based rival has offered to buy ASX minnow Task Group, which was founded by Sydney’s Houden family in 2000.

Companies in the News

Search companies

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Markets

Peter Costello and Michael Green at the Summit.

Why inflation and rates are set to ‘rebound higher’

Expect interest rates to fall, but don’t expect them to stay there. That’s the big picture view of macroeconomic thinkers such as Wei Li and Peter Costello.

Wei Li says the global backdrop is getting harder.

Goldilocks is dead, says BlackRock guru. Beware what comes next

Wei Li says the era of easy money and easy returns is over. Markets might be surging on rate cut hopes now, but what comes next will be much tougher to navigate.

The ASX 200 is set to open lower.

ASX tumbles most in a year as miners, banks sell off

Shares drops 1.8 per cent at the closing bell as investors take profits; iron ore slides in Singapore; Rex rallies afters partnership with Etihad. Follow updates here.

State debt costs to jump as banks squeeze money tap

NSW, Queensland and WA will have to sweeten their debt offerings to attract overseas money as local banks have fewer incentives to buy their bonds.

Pendal small caps sleuths reveal their next winners

After three years of keeping a low profile, investing duo Lewis Edgley and Patrick Teodorowski say they’ve been busy “kicking tires” and generating alpha.

Opinion

Australia must not accept a low-growth future

The unambitious Intergenerational Report must not become the benchmark for this country’s growth prospects. Bold structural reform is needed.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Why women will swing the US election

Joe Biden’s State of the Union address was an attempt to recapture the 2022 midterm wave driven by women angry about reproductive rights.

Ava Kalinauskas

Research Associate

Ava Kalinauskas

Welcome to a new world driven by supply not demand

It will be harder for central banks to manage a global economy now shaped by supply side constraints. But it won’t all be negative either.

Wei Li

Investment strategist

Wei Li

Metcash and Seek: Lessons from two contrasting IT projects

The learnings should be of interest to the broader economy, because badly handled IT projects – and there are too many to name – are a heavy drag on productivity.

Tony Boyd

Contributor

Tony Boyd

Investors find a fresh reason for jubilation

Investors have abandoned hopes of a volley of rate cuts this year, but they remain hopeful that strong US economic activity will boost corporate profits.

Karen Maley

Columnist

Karen Maley

WTO in the deep freeze as world walks away from growth

Last week’s failed meeting marks a formal sidelining of multilateral trade rules, at least until the world sits down and decides they were a good idea after all.

Prudence Gordon

Trade expert

Prudence Gordon

Reports

Women to Watch 2024

This article is part of the Women to Watch special report on the next generation of leaders, published on 8 March 2024.

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Politics

China’s ambassador to Australia, Xiao Qian, says tariff discussions are “on the right track”.

Chinese ambassador says tariff discussions ‘on the right track’

Xiao Qian said that the relationship between Beijing and Canberra had “stopped free-falling and stopped deteriorating” since their depths four years ago.

Jim Chalmers announced a new banking regulatory policy at the AFR Business Summit, which will require ASIC and APRA to consider the burden of new regulation.

Chalmers pushes planning scheme amid torrent of new banking rules

The treasurer said the so-called regulatory grid would force regulators to consider the burden of changes on lenders, especially smaller and regional groups.

Xiao Qian, Ambassador for China, said imprisoned Dr Yang Hengjun was not as ill as his family claims.

Yang Hengjun not that sick, says Chinese ambassador

Hopes for the release of Yang Hengjun on medical grounds have been dampened after the Chinese ambassador said the democracy advocate was not as sick as claimed.

NSW urged to take control of road tolls

A report urges the NSW government to set road tolls by legislation to save motorists from some of the $123 billion they are forecast to pay in coming decades.

PM calls for aid access to Gaza, but no change yet on UNRWA freeze

As other countries resume funding, the Coalition is urging a cautious approach before lifting a freeze on $6m for key Palestinian refugee agency.

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World

Chinese President Xi Jinping at the key policy meeting in Beijing.

Iron ore woes deepen as China’s key meet disappoints

The key annual gathering of China’s parliament failed to cheer commodities bulls hoping for a jolt to demand in the world’s biggest market for raw materials.

Palestinians wait for the humanitarian aid to be dropped by the US Air Force in Gaza City.

Biden warns assault on Rafah a ‘red line’ as Ramadan starts

Despite the president’s tough talk, experts say no signs are emerging Benjamin Netanyahu will alter the Gaza conflict that is entering a new dangerous phase.

Top photo agencies kill ‘manipulated’ Princess Kate image

The palace faces questions over the authorised image that shows the Princess of Wales looking happy and healthy after her surgery earlier this year.

Biden gets no credit for strong US economy: poll

The latest FT-Michigan Ross survey shows the challenges facing the president as the re-election campaign gears up.

China shuns Tesla, Apple as US tensions rise

Delegates at the annual Communist Party meeting spurned iPhones for homegrown handsets, saying US company Apple was “not safe”.

Property

The single-level two-bedroom unit at 8/2 Lisson Grove, in inner-eastern Melbourne’s Hawthorn sold at auction for $835,000.

Pregnant first-home buyers pay $95,000 over reserve for 2-bed unit

A legal quirk reduced the competition for one young couple, who still fought hard for a ground-level unit they’ll move into – just before the birth of their child.

The archive section at Heritage Auction in Dallas, Texas.

Industrial property hits $300b and will surge ahead of offices

Once the ugly duckling of the commercial real estate, the value of prime industrial property is expected to surge above $400 billion over the next decade, leaving the office and retail sectors trailing in its wake.

17/68 Illawarra Road had over 20 registered bidders on Saturday.

Marrickville unit beats reserve by 22.5pc after luring in 20 bidders

The national clearance rate for auctions has firmed up to 72.8 per cent on preliminary numbers with buyer activity rising from population growth.

Rich Lister to sell South Yarra penthouse

Former Sonic Healthcare chairman Michael Boyd is offloading his luxury Melbourne bolthole, while Rokt co-founder Ben Voltz is selling his Toorak home ahead of Sydney move.

Berry estate may fetch $24m in second sale in 202 years

Historic Coolangatta Estate on the NSW South Coast includes a resort, award-winning vineyard and a popular wedding venue.

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Wealth

These are the best countries for wealthy expats

The growing wealth gap in many western countries is pushing some to restrict tax and citizenship benefits aimed at expats. So where can they go to protect their assets?

It’s divorce season. This is what to do about money

The end of summer holidays and return to work is a peak period for couples to reassess their marriage. Here are 10 financial and tax issues to keep in mind.

Aged care providers publish what they spend on food, care and wages

The new tool is designed to hold aged care providers to account for how they manage their budgets. But it’s only as good as the data provided.

Technology

Trade Indy’s Mark Rosenberg, Mike Robertson, Calvin Pinnegar and James Robertson are in the money after selling the company to Sqreem.

Melbourne entrepreneurs’ $30m payday in Singapore buyout

The deal for 100 per cent of the shares in privately held Trade Indy closed last week, and all of its 28 full-time staff will move across to Singapore’s Sqreem.

Dr Nick Murphy founded GenEmbryomics in 2019.

Aussie IVF guru plans Nasdaq listing

GenEmbryomics founder Nick Murphy invented a test to screen embryos for genetic disorders. He wants to go public in the US, where the company’s customers live.

Former Young Rich Lister lands $12.5 million for second start-up

The Funded blog is the home for news on the tech deals that are done in Australia, as soon as we hear about them.

Work & Careers

Lucinda Holdforth appearing at the Summit.

Why business leaders can’t cope with criticism

Chief executives who insist on hiring “yes people” soon forget how to present an argument in public, speechwriter and author Lucinda Holdforth claims.

The misery of motormouths in meetings

The ability to interrupt yammering windbags who steal time is a sorely underrated skill.

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Life & Luxury

If you can get your hands on Fujifilm’s latest camera, do

There was very little wrong with the old Fujifilm X100V, other than it was so popular it was near-impossible to buy. The new X100VI has even fewer flaws, but still has that one.

The 15-inch model is a good deal bigger than the 13-inch model, but not so much bigger that it’s a problem.

How to choose which MacBook Air to buy

There’s no question the new MacBook Air is the best laptop on the market for most people. The only question is, which size? Our tests reveal the answer.

Vicki Lee in her Potts Point gallery.

The luxuries this artist loves – including a spray cleaner

Sydney-based artist Vicki Lee on embracing her colourful style and taming the mess.

Brad Pitt road-tripping with photographer Ryan McGinley for GQ magazine.

Why the biggest celebrities in the world trust this photographer

New York-based artist Ryan McGinley has road-tripped with Brad Pitt, hung out with Kate Moss and got Troye Sivan to strip. Now he’s in Melbourne to explain what drives him.

Forget AI – these watches test the limits of human imagination

With only a few elements to play with, brands are taking inspiration from unusual sources to create genre-bending specimens.

From the gallery