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Currencies

Yesterday

RBNZ governor Adrian Orr.

Traders braced for possible surprise NZ interest rate rise

There is a one-in-three chance the RBNZ could lift the cash rate on Wednesday to 5.75 per cent and the world is watching.

  • Cecile Lefort

This Month

The New York Stock Exchange.

Nvidia reaches $US2 trillion mark, S&P 500 tops 5100

US shares ended mixed after a choppy session which saw early gains fade. Goldman, Capital Economics now see June, not May, as start for rate cuts.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
The New York Stock Exchange.

Nvidia surges 16.4pc, sparking global AI-inspired rally

Australian shares are set to open higher. Nvidia added $US277b to its market value and helped pace the S&P 500 to yet another record high.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell wants more evidence that inflation is slowing before easing policy.

Traders rethink rate path as Fed fears easing too early

The market is implying a total of three US rate cuts this year, down from four last week. The Reserve Bank is expected to start lowering rates in June.

  • Cecile Lefort
Wall Street’s Nvidia test.

ASX to fall, Wall Street braces for Nvidia’s quarterly results

The S&P 500 turns late to edge up. Nvidia reports results after New York’s closing bell. TD sees Fed pivot to rate cuts in May.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
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UBS’s Singapore-based regional CIO Kelvin Tay in Sydney this week.

UBS bets Aussie dollar among best trades of 2024

The $5.8 trillion wealth manager expects the Australian dollar will jump 10 per cent this year, and is also betting on a rally in Chinese and Indian stocks.

  • Alex Gluyas
Wall Street.

ASX to fall, Nvidia drops as profit taking hammers Nasdaq

Australian shares are poised to open lower, following losses in New York. BHP, Rio shares drop in line with spot iron ore as China demand lags.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
Construction in Hefei, China.

ASX to open flat with BHP poised to report

Australian shares are set for a muted open with US markets closed for Presidents’ Day. Iron ore fell. Earnings, RBA minutes pending.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
The New York Stock Exchange.

Wall St closes lower at end of ‘wild week’

The Nasdaq paced losses heading into a three-day break, after producer prices rose much faster than expected last month, further dashing rate cut hopes.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
The New York Stock Exchange.

ASX to rise, data bolster case for June quarter rate cut

Australian shares are set to open higher, as commodities rebounded. Japan, UK and US data signal weakness. Dow paces Wall Street advance.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
The jobless rate increased in January.

Weak jobs data reignites hopes of early rate cut

The Australian dollar and bond yields slipped after the unemployment rate ticked higher, but experts caution against pinning too much hope on an early rate cut.

  • Cecile Lefort
The New York Stock Exchange.

ASX to rise, Wall St rebounds as volatility eases

The S&P 500 finished back above the 5000-point mark. Nvidia overtook Alphabet. Lyft surged, Uber rallied. Bitcoin briefly topped $US52,000.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore

RBA might not cut until 2025, says CBA’s Comyn

Financial markets pushed back their own bets of the likely timing of easing to December, from September.

  • Lucas Baird, Cecile Lefort, Joshua Peach and James Eyers
The January CPI data has triggered some repositioning moves.

Wall St drops as rate cut seen deferred

Australian shares are set to drop 1.2pc. The dollar slid 1.2pc. Dow sheds 525 points. S&P 500 below 4955. US CPI data clouds rate outlook.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
The key US data point this week arrives at 12.30am AEDT Wednesday: January CPI.

ASX to rise, S&P 500 rally hits a wall

Australian shares to open higher. Early gains in New York fade as the session progresses. US CPI awaited. Bitcoin tops $US50,000.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
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Bitcoin hits $US50,000 for first time in more than two years

The cryptocurrency is benefitting from an inflow into newly approved spot bitcoin ETFs as well as the S&P 500’s record rally in 2024.

  • Hannah Lang and Elizabeth Howcroft
ANZ is forecasting RBNZ governor Adrian Orr will have to hike rates twice more this year.

$A slumps to eight-month low against Kiwi on rate rise bets

Traders ramped up speculation that New Zealand’s central bank will resume its tightening cycle as ANZ tipped the cash rate to hit 6pc.

  • Alex Gluyas
Jerome Powell: Don’t fight the Fed.

Bond traders cave to the Fed by dialling back rate cut bets

Markets are starting to take the US central bank at its word, and are now pricing in four rate cuts in 2024 versus as many as seven predicted late last year.

  • Michael Mackenzie, Liz Capo McCormick and Ye Xie
Shares powered still higher in New York.

S&P 500 closes above 5000 for the first time

The US benchmark reset both its record high and record closing high, helped in part by yet another advance in the Magnificent Seven tech stocks.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
The S&P 500 continues to be within reach of the 5000 point mark.

ASX to slip, S&P 500 briefly tops 5000

Australian shares are set to edge lower after Wall Street’s rally, at least temporarily, lost upward momentum. Arm surges, Paypal drops. Bitcoin tops $US45,000.

  • Timothy Moore