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The battle for middle Australia: why Dunkley is a crucial test

Its closeness to the next federal election, the way it came about, and demographics mean the byelection is set to be the most important in years - and the most hard fought.

Meta boss Mark Zuckerberg will face off against the Australian government and media publishers after it said it would not renew commercial deals under the News Media Bargaining Code.

Meta refuses to pay for news, setting up war with publishers

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese blasted as “not the Australian way” Facebook owner Meta’s announcement it would stop paying news publishers.

The apartment trap: why a unit may no longer get you a house

The accepted wisdom that an apartment is a stepping stone to buying a house is being called into question as the gap between unit and house prices hits a record high.

ASX hits record high; Dubber says up to $26.6m missing, stock halted

Shares add 0.5pc. NAB’s McEwan to join BHP. Life360 hits 61.4m users. Govt names green bond banks. Wall St gains, bond yields ease on US inflation data. Bitcoin jumps. Follow here.

Mortgage stress rates hit fastest pace in at least two years

Some non-bank lenders say they are allocating more investor loans, where delinquencies are lower, into their residential mortgage-backed securities issues.

What it’s really like inside a fund manager’s morning meeting

Chanticleer was given a rare look inside the morning meeting of Yarra Capital Management’s equity team. Here are four big themes that emerged.

Talented people make nations pay for high taxes

The best and brightest minds globally are fleeing high-tax regimes for jurisdictions offering financial incentives, writes Christopher Joye.

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Edition

AFR Magazine – innovation issue

How the $8.8b Chemist Warehouse deal was done | Crypto investor reveals his rare car collection | Why a Rolex is about to get easier to buy

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CIA and UIkraine

The CIA’s secret mission to help Ukraine defeat Putin

Once seen as thoroughly compromised by Russia, Ukraine’s intelligence agencies have been turned by US spies into deadly weapons against the Kremlin.

Dark triad personality types: manipulative, entitled, and lacking empathy.

Is your colleague a sociopath?

Also known as “dark triad” personalities, these manipulative narcissists are indifferent to people’s feelings.

Advance wants to replicate its success in the Voice campaign at the March 2 Dunkley byelection.

The Dunkley byelection could make history

Byelections are important, but it’s mainly marketing with little policy content in the race for Dunkley.

What Scott Morrison does next

Unable to find a job in Australia, the former prime minister has joined a large engineering company in Dubai. He is also working in venture capital.

In China a poor social score affects where you can sleep, dine or live

The social credit system is designed to be a huge network of control covering businesses and government agencies as well as individuals.

Features include the ability to save articles, dark mode and real time notifications.

Get the latest business news on the go with the AFR’s new iOS app.

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Companies

Chief executive Chris Hulls says moving into the advertising business is “low risk” for Life360

Life360 shares surge almost 40pc as it unveils advertising strategy

The ASX-listed, San Francisco-based family tracking app provider reported higher revenues and said it would monetise its significant user base.

Platinum’s Andrew Clifford resigned as chief executive but remains co-chief investment officer.

Platinum punished by big tech stocks, but cost controls push up shares

New chief executive Jeff Peters says all options are on the table to fix the battling group that has failed to match the returns of a surging market.

BNPL comeback: Cynthia Scott from Zip, Sebastian Siemiatkowski from Klarna, Nick Molnar from Afterpay and Tim Cook from Apple.

Buy now, pay later is pulling off the improbable – a comeback

Block and Zip valuations are rising as peak interest rates pass. Klarna is considering listing in the United States. Is the sector’s winter finally over?

Mortgage delinquencies are rising faster than they have for two years, but interest rates are expected to begin falling.

Mortgage stress rates hit fastest pace in at least two years

Some non-bank lenders say they are allocating more investor loans, where delinquencies are lower, into their residential mortgage-backed securities issues.

Australia Post CEO pushes for closure of more branches

Chief executive Paul Graham warned that despite the first “green shoots” of last year’s postal shake-up, more branches needed to shut to avoid future losses.

What I learnt from 27 CEOs in 29 days

Profit season is like a magical mystery tour of the economy, revealing pain, profits and potential. Here’s what we learnt from speaking with 27 top CEOs. 

BHP puts former NAB boss Ross McEwan into chairman race

The miner’s current chair, Ken MacKenzie, is in his seventh year in the position, with the company observing an informal policy of limiting terms to nine years.

Companies in the News

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Markets

Early data from JPMorgan suggests February was  one of the most volatile earnings season on record.

ASX charts wildest ever earnings season as traders scramble

The sharemarket might have ended February largely where it began, but beneath the hood, short sellers and asset allocators were scrambling to shift money.

Traders on the New York Stock Exchange: The surge in bond yields rings a warning bell for investors.

Traders bet on June rate cut as US inflation slows

Investors raised bets the US Federal Reserve will kick off its first interest rate cut mid-year amid further evidence inflation in the world’s biggest economy is cooling.

Ray Dalio sees no bubbles at current levels.

Ray Dalio says magnificent seven are ‘fairly priced’

While some of Bridgewater’s readings look frothy, “we do not see bubbly conditions in aggregate”, the billionaire hedge fund founder said.

What happened overnight? Nasdaq Composite closes at record high as techs rally

US shares were mostly higher, paced by tech, after a key Fed inflation metric met expectations, bolstering rate pivot hopes.

Fed’s preferred inflation metric increases by most in a year

The core PCE data, on a six-month annualised basis, registered at 2.5 per cent in January, rebounding above the Fed’s 2 per cent target.

Opinion

Philippines partners Australia on peace, stability and success in Asia

President Marcos’s speech is in keeping with the tightening network of Asian nations who are keen to keep the US engaged and are suspicious of Beijing’s intentions.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Voters tuned out by Voice harder to fix than first thought

Should Labor suffer a large swing against it, or worse in Dunkley, it will be a serious setback. Equally, Peter Dutton needs a win in Victoria.

Phillip Coorey

Political editor

Phillip Coorey

Dutton’s Dunkley plan is crime and utes, not cost of living

The opposition wants to talk about everything except the hip-pocket pain that voters are most exercised about.

Laura Tingle

Columnist

Laura Tingle

Talented people make nations pay for high taxes

The best and brightest minds globally are fleeing high-tax regimes for jurisdictions offering financial incentives.

How Australia can avoid predictable ASEAN pitfalls

South-East Asia will happily talk to us about stability and trade, but ignore us if we are only interested in pushing values and rivalries.

Three reasons the green energy transition will be non-inflationary

Renewable technologies will get cheaper, price spikes from retiring coal plants will be avoided and exposure to volatile fossil fuel markets will be reduced.

Toby Phillips and Guy Debelle

Contributor

Reports

Wealth: Turbocharging your retirement

This series of articles looks at the options for retirement income, the best asset mix heading into retirement, and what you need to know to retire overseas.

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Politics

Sims says the ability of Qantas and Virgin to control the allocation of slots at Sydney Airport is “ridiculous”.

Rod Sims says Meta showing ‘disdain’ for parliament

The former ACCC chairman slams Meta’s decision not to strike new deals with Australian media; Labor Senator Linda White has died after a short illness. Here’s how the day unfolded.

Anthony Albanese has paid tribute to Victorian senator Linda White.

PM backs spy chief’s refusal to name turncoat ex-MP

Anthony Albanese retains confidence in ASIO boss Mike Burgess, who is under pressure to reveal the identity of a former politician cultivated by foreign spies.

‘We won’t yield’: Marcos’ extraordinary speech to parliament

Philippines President Ferdinand Marcos jnr used incredibly frank language for a South-East Asian leader not heard before in Australia’s parliament.

Chalmers flags pre-election budget pivot from inflation to growth

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has begun laying the groundwork for increased spending closer to the next federal election.

‘We’ve gone soft’: Labor old guard backs Keating

Chairman Tony Shepherd has backed Paul Keating’s sentiment that “we have gone soft” but billionaire Gerry Harvey says Keating is living in the past.

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World

A screen grab taken from video and released by the Israeli army of Palestinians surrounding aid trucks in northern Gaza.

Israeli forces ‘fire on Gaza crowds’ in deadly aid stampede

Health authorities said more than 100 Palestinians were shot dead as they waited for an aid delivery, but Israel said they were run over by aid trucks.

How immigration turned into a political nightmare for Biden

More than 9 million illegal immigrants have crossed the border since Biden took office. With polls showing more voters trust Trump on immigration, the president is under the hammer.

Country Garden Holdings Co.’s Phoenix City development in Suzhou, Jiangsu province, China. The property giant is facing demands to liquidate.

China home sales slide despite support from regulators

The property downturn remains a headwind for China’s economy, ratcheting up pressure on developers that are struggling to repay debts and complete projects.

Gates, Fink, Zuckerberg set to party with Asia’s richest man

The lavish pre-wedding celebrations for Mukesh Ambani’s son include chartered jets and a performance by Rihanna. Wall Street and Silicon Valley titans are coming.

Out of ideas in China: Xi tinkers as economy stagnates

Ideology will overshadow China’s economic realities at next week’s gathering which Xi Jinping will chair, even though the economy hasn’t bounced back since COVID and needs more help.

Property

Stock picker, horse breeder spend big on trophy homes

Perpetual’s Anthony Aboud and wife Aleesha have paid $18 million for a contemporary Woollahra home, not far from the new digs of Newgate Stud’s Henry and Louise Field.

‘The cost of doing business’: A building sector at boiling point

After a series of alleged large-scale tax fraud in the construction sector, subcontractors in the building industry fear they can no longer compete as firms underquote.

Royale treatment for interior designer’s $16m home

Tanya Johnston, the interior designer daughter of Royale Construction boss Peter, has listed her Hawthorn home in Melbourne’s east for about $16 million.

House price growth gathers speed as sentiment improves

Home values re-accelerated in February bolstered by increasing optimism about potential interest rate cuts later this year amid falling inflation.

Cromwell pins hopes on $500m Polish malls sale to curb debt worries

The Brisbane property fund manager’s gearing level is close to 45 per cent, well past its target range, as devaluations hit its balance sheet.

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Wealth

Jon Adgemis in financial dispute over his grandmother’s estate

The businessman’s Public Hospitality Group has been struggling with cash flow problems and is saddled with high debts.

How much cash can my parents pump into superannuation?

This strategy could allow a couple to contribute $940,000 to super.

Technology

Did Apple just ditch its biggest ever Watch upgrade?

The world’s most popular watch manufacturer had been expected to make a huge overhaul to its Watch Ultra in 2024 or 2025.

Home Afairs Minister Clare O’Neil.

‘Keeps me up at night’: How Australia’s government sees hacker threat

Home affairs Minister Clare O’Neil has warned of a growing threat of cyber sabotage to Australian power, telecommunications, health and water infrastructure.

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  • AI

Labor minister says AI may be ‘humanity’s last invention’

Andrew Leigh’s concerns about the threat to people from computers adds to momentum to introduce restrictions on artificial intelligence.

Work & Careers

Jason Clare and Mary O’Kane launching the universities accord.

Have we just laid out a plan to kill the traditional university?

The universities accord says that the number of university students needs to double by 2050. That raises the question of what we actually want from our universities.

What one of Australia’s top bankers thinks about the pay gap

Jarden co-chief executive Sarah Rennie discusses taking the plunge on a start-up and why investment banking is becoming more female-friendly.

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Life & Luxury

Tanya Hosch, the AFL’s general manager of Inclusion and Social Policy, at Peel St Bistro in Adelaide.

AFL inclusion boss says Paul Keating was wrong on the Voice

Eight years into her role, and still recovering from the amputation of her lower right leg last year, Tanya Hosch keeps pushing on in a job where there is no finish line.

Surrealist arm candy and Lululemon trainers: What to buy this week

Whether it’s fitness, glamour or time out you’re after, we have inspired suggestions for you.

Show-stoppers, lots of sparkle and green dials: what’s new in watches

The year’s timepiece trends are already coming into focus and signs are if it’s not green, it’s got to have sheen.

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Why death metal is feel-good music

Can some forms of music actually be bad you? That’s what Plato thought in 4th-century BC, and it has been a cause for moral panic ever since.

In Mani Haghighi’s ’Subtraction”, all the devices of realist cinema are brought to bear on a tale that becomes increasingly disturbing and bizarre.

Hitchcockian Iranian thriller works wonders within strictures

‘Subtraction’ is a thriller, a mystery, a low-level horror movie quite unlike anything else from this nation of talented filmmakers.

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