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Anonymous Mr.Cobb said...

But how much bigger is Toronto than Berlin? If Berlin was made up of, for example, 300,000 people and has a rate of 2/100,000 then that would be 6 murders a year. But if Toronto has 1,000,000 and 1.5/100,000 it would be 15 murders, over twice the amount.
So just because a place has more of a murder rate, doesn't mean it has more murders and trying to discard Winniki's information didn't necessarily work out.

1 February 2011 at 01:52

Anonymous Tomaz said...

Wow, you guys just have too much time on your hands. Guess working for a livin' just isn't neo-communist enough. Don't worry, hard working Nazi's will support you as you stumble through what you call life.

Oh, you ever get your useless kids back? Didn't think so, shitheads.

1 February 2011 at 16:39

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Oh Winnicki, you're such a clever little elf (in your own mind). Too bad the opposite sex doesn't see it that way.

3 February 2011 at 09:59

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well Mr Cobb, Berlin has a population of 3.4 million and Toronto's is around 2.7 million. So to answer your question Toronto is not bigger than Berlin at all. So Toronto's murder rate is smaller both in terms of per capita and overall. That does pose some problems for your defense of Winnicki's position.

5 February 2011 at 22:59

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Furthermore Mr. Cobb I think you have an at best shaky grasp of how statistics work. They look at things like crime rates in a per capita way so as to determine the likelihood of something happening regardless of the population. You take an overall rate and divide it by the population to determine the chances of something happening to an individual.

In simple terms if you lived somewhere where there is a population of 5 people and one is going to get killed vs a place with 100 people where 2 are going to get killed where are you more likely to get killed? Sure twice as many people are going to die in the bigger place but there's only a 2% chance of being one of those people versus a 20% chance of being the lone person killed in the smaller population.

Yet you seem to be arguing that you're safer in the smaller place just because the overall number of murder victims is larger in the larger population. This in spite of the fact that you are 10 times as likely to be the murder victim in the smaller place. That makes no sense at all.

5 February 2011 at 23:44

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