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Policy

Economy

Yesterday

RBA can’t let up as inflation retreats

The fall in headline inflation is encouraging. But the final rounds of the war on sticky services inflation will be the hardest.

  • The AFR View
Ritchies boss Fred Harrison says that while inflation has eased, craft beer, sushi, and premium French brie are still out, while home-branded sugar, flour, and milk are in.

Inflation eases but craft beer, French cheese still aren’t popular

The boss of Australia’s largest independent retailer says that while easing inflation will allay rate hike fears, premium products still aren’t selling.

  • Gus McCubbing
Future Fund chairman Peter Costello says independence has been central to the fund’s success.

Why the Future Fund can’t beat costs of privatisations

Readers’ letters on the fund and missed opportunities, the teals’ true colours on tax, financial relief for owner occupiers and why green energy won’t keep the lights on.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers will be delighted to claim “responsible economic management” credit for Labor.

Falling inflation boosts Labor’s confidence

The drop in inflation is bolstering Labor’s belief that the economic narrative is turning in its favour and there will be no more interest rate rises.

  • Jennifer Hewett

Rate cut bets spark ASX rally as inflation cools

Money market traders are now fully pricing the first 0.25 of a percentage point cut to the 4.35 per cent cash rate in August.

  • Updated
  • John Kehoe
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The IMF now expects the US economy to grow 2.1pc this year, up from its previous prediction of 1.5pc. China’s economy is also growing faster than previously thought and is projected to grow 4.6pc this year.

Global economy is heading towards ‘soft landing’, IMF says

The brighter outlook is due largely to the strength of the US economy where consumer spending has held strong and businesses have continued to invest.

  • Alan Rappeport

January

Vanessa Hudson faces another tough year in the spotlight.

Qantas searches for a path out of its mess

Readers’ letters on the World Coal Association’s new name, greenwashing’s evil twin, why success isn’t all about high income, and the Property Council’s ‘self-interested vision’.

A rescue in Bray Park in Moreton Bay.

Locals ‘traumatised’ as more heavy rain hits Queensland

Queensland’s south-east has again been saturated by heavy rainfall, causing flash flooding in areas still reeling from severe weather last month.

  • Keira Jenkins

Retail sales plunge, Godfreys goes bust

Shoppers slashed retail spending in the run-up to Christmas by the most since the pandemic lockdowns, by cutting back on household goods, clothes and footwear.

  • Updated
  • John Kehoe
The Iranian army conducting a drill: geopolitical risk is now very high.

How to get the truth from economic forecasting

Everybody wants to know if interest rates are going to come down this year. The best way to find out is by challenging economists’ assumptions.

  • Cherelle Murphy
Future Fund chairman Peter Costello says independence has been central to the fund’s success.

Future Fund critics owe Costello an apology

The former Coalition treasurer had to fend off critics when he set the fund up, and is right to defend it now.

  • Tom Switzer
Cut-price flights will be offered to 800,000 travellers in a bid to get them to the regions.

‘Airfares are halved when three competitors fly a route’

Competition minister Andrew Leigh has presented new analysis showing just how significantly airfares fall when more airlines are competing.

  • John Kehoe and Ayesha de Kretser
Anthony Albanese needs to make the broken promise about salvation.

Earning good money is not something to be ashamed of

Readers’ letters on Labor’s approach to taxation, the Australian Open, Australia Day, Germany and green hydrogen, and dealing with banks and an enduring power of attorney.

Greg Combet is the next chairman of the Future Fund.

New Future Fund boss; Bad news for Woolies; Deadly attack on US troops

Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.

Inflation is expected to moderate.

Inflation tipped to fall to two-year low

The Reserve Bank will be watching services inflation closely when the consumer price index report drops this week.

  • John Kehoe
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JPMorgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon: “There are so many tax breaks out there that shouldn’t be there.”

‘No-brainer’: Dimon says rich should pay to fund tax cuts

Cutting taxes for lower-income Americans would improve their upward mobility, health and lives overall, and boost the economy, the billionaire banker said.

  • Lyla Du
Spending last month was driven by outlays for durable goods like recreational goods and vehicles.

Fed’s preferred core price gauge cools to near three-year low

The so-called core personal consumption expenditures price index, which strips out food and energy components, increased 2.9pc in December from a year earlier.

  • Augusta Saraiva
Growth was supported by an increase in exports, more government spending as a well as a pick-up in business investment.

US economy shrugs off recession prediction with 3.3pc growth

Gross domestic product increased at a faster-than-expected 3.3 per cent annualised rate in the December quarter, capping a year of stellar economic growth.

  • Lucia Mutikani
Anhthoy Albanese and Jim Chalmers

High earners pay for tax relief for average workers

People on higher incomes will run into tax bracket creep faster under Labor to shield average workers from a rise in their average tax rate for six years.

  • John Kehoe

Labor makes bracket creep worse for middle Australia

Labor’s tax rejig may be politically popular in the short term. But it only intensifies a major structural problem in the economy.

  • The AFR View