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Nikki Haley, who is trailing Donald Trump in the polls, has ramped up her criticism of Beijing.

Haley backs AUKUS subs deal to counter China

Donald Trump’s close rival for the Republican president has backed the AUKUS agreement and the sale of submarines to Australia.

The ASX 200 is set to open lower.

ASX to drop; Nick Scali tops profit guidance; RBA decision pending

Shares are set to open lower as bond yields surge; Wall Street falls; Nick Scali declares fully franked interim dividend of 35¢; Magellan books FUM at $36b; RBA policy decision at 2:30pm AEDT. Follow updates here.

RBA board directors Carolyn Hewson, Carol Schwartz and Steven Kennedy arriving at Martin Place in Sydney on Monday.

Hopes for rate cut dashed as RBA board meets

As RBA directors arrived at Martin Place, former official Paul Bloxham said interest rate cuts were a “distant prospect”, and traders pushed out their predictions.

Albanese hopes King Charles visit will still go ahead

The King was slated to visit Australia as part of his trip to the region in October; Jacinta Allan urges the RBA to cut interest rates. Follow updates here.

King Charles diagnosed with cancer

The King will receive “regular treatment” and suspend his public engagements, the Palace says in a brief statement.

Elon Musk pay ruling will have venture capital firms worried

It’s hard to justify a judge interfering in a commercial bargain, even if it turns out to be more advantageous to one side than the other, writes Karen Maley.

Fraser Short’s Sydney Collective ‘likely’ traded insolvent

But the one-timer owner of some of Sydney’s best-known pubs has told administrators of the collapsed group that he “denies liability” for any insolvent trading.

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tuesday tech

January-June last year was one of the toughest funding markets for companies in a generation, says Maxine Minter, general partner at Australian fund Co Ventures.

Tech wreck: Aussie start-up funding plummets two thirds from peak

Away from the headline grabbers such as Canva, Australia’s tech start-up sector suffered a huge drop in investment last year, a new report shows.

Atlassian co-CEO Mike Cannon-Brookes.

Atlassian plunges $10b as earnings blues continue

Shares in Australian software giant Atlassian have continued to plummet after Friday’s earnings announcement, but analysts think the stock will recover.

Apple’s Vision Pro has an outward-facing screen that shows a video of your eyes.

The Aussies hoping to make a fortune from Apple’s Vision Pro

The $11 billion ASX software giant Pro Medicus and a Melbourne start-up are among the businesses hoping to cash in on Apple’s new $5000 headset.

The online beauty stock that will be a takeover target this year

Doubts remain on whether Adore Beauty is really a scalable business, but a failed PE takeover bid late last year will not be the last we hear of a profitable buyout.

FTX investor losses show the dangers of giving control to exchanges

A single bitcoin is worth $US26,000 more today than when the exchange collapsed, but investors being “paid back” won’t see any of that upside.

RBA’s new era

Australians are facing an economic environment of rapidly rising interest rates.

The RBA starts a new era on Monday. Here’s how it will play out

The RBA board will break new ground this week, by meeting on a Monday, holding a press conference and releasing its full economic forecasts earlier than usual.

RBA governor Michele Bullock: In the event of a crisis or public confusion, people will look to her to give clarity to the public and politicians.

Bullock’s interest rate communication job just got harder

The disclosure of RBA board votes and public remarks by board members will make it more challenging for Michele Bullock to control the central bank’s message.

Top three economic forecasters: Warren Hogan, Andrew Boak and Jo Masters.

Sticky inflation will haunt the RBA, say top forecasters

Persistently high services inflation may derail market expectations of an interest rate cut as early as May, according to the best economist forecasts for 2024.

Inflation burden to linger as mortgage relief hopes flicker to life

Labor has reset the economic debate with its blockbuster tax cuts, but will the relief last long enough that voters forget Albanese’s broken promise?

No rate cuts ‘any time soon’: McKibbin

The former RBA board member has rubbished predictions from economists that interest rates could be cut as early as May, saying borrowing costs may still need to rise.

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Get the latest business news on the go with the AFR’s new iOS app.

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Companies

Troubled businessman Robert Bates.

Aquamamma founder admits investors remain out of pocket

But Robert Bates, in court filings, said shareholder agreements contained no specific timeframes for repayment. He is being pursued by six former backers.

Scyne’s Diane Rutter, Adrian Loader and Rich Gwilym at the inquiry on Monday.

PwC pays $10m to partners who moved to Scyne

The consulting giant paid 23 of the roughly 100 partners who went to the breakaway advisory firm the value of their partnership retirement payments.

More wind and solar power  have helped reduce wholesale electricity prices.

Power tariffs may not drop as much as hoped

Cash-strapped households can expect only a modest fall in electricity tariffs from July 1, analysts are warning.

Leonora, in Western Australia, has long been a gold mining district. It has also been a prime target for consolidation in the sector.

Red 5’s $2.2b merger puts WA gold consolidation on ice

But the miner says it has an opportunity to entertain other offers if they come. It had been mooted as a target for Raleigh Finlayson’s Genesis Minerals.

AACo did not question board about leak claims after insider plea

AACo’s 52 per cent owner, UK billionaire Joe Lewis, pleaded guilty to insider trading charges in the US last month. Claims of leaks mde to him have been denied.

CEO exits stricken Appen after year of ‘great change’

The chief executive of struggling data services company Appen has resigned after 12 months. Ryan Kolln is elevated to the top job.

What this small fintech deal says about data sharing

Few have heard of Fat Zebra and Adatree. But the acquisition points to emerging data rights, as screen scraping teeters and Apple enters open banking in the UK.

Companies in the News

Search companies

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Markets

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell has tempered expectations about an interest rate cut in the near term.

Robust US jobs market may push RBA easing further out

Traders have pushed back their expectations for the timing of easing in the US and Australia following a stronger US jobs picture.

Powell’s rate comments on Sunday evening in the US paced bond yields higher to start New York’s trading week.

What happened overnight: Bond yields rise as traders see rates higher for a bit longer

The yield on the US 10-year note leapt back above 4.10 per cent. The Dow is pacing losses in New York after McDonald’s sales miss. Tesla drops anew. Nvidia extends year-to-date rally.

RBA board directors Carolyn Hewson, Carol Schwartz and Steven Kennedy arriving at Martin Place in Sydney on Monday.

Hopes for rate cut dashed as RBA board meets

As RBA directors arrived at Martin Place, former official Paul Bloxham said interest rate cuts were a “distant prospect”, and traders pushed out their predictions.

Lithium stocks leading short bets as earnings season kicks off

Despite another step down in the share prices of several lithium stocks during January, hedge funds are holding firm on bets the sector could sink further.

RBA expected to soften tone on rate rises amid Mid-East crisis

Shares are set to start lower on Monday and oil prices could bounce ahead of a possible RBA policy pivot on Tuesday.

Opinion

Elon Musk pay ruling will have venture capital firms worried

It’s hard to justify a judge interfering in a commercial bargain, even if it turns out to be more advantageous to one side than the other.

Karen Maley

Columnist

Karen Maley

Why is Defence so little involved in the great defence debate?

In times of global tension, the public needs to understand the purpose of defence, and its costs. But that is hampered by a habit of public risk aversion among the defence leadership.

Jennifer Parker

Naval expert

Jennifer Parker

Labor’s vehicle emission shake-up is bigger than you think

The government’s plan to cut car pollution will have its share of loopholes, that will be exploited with gusto. But they could also bring benefits.

Tony Davis

Motoring writer

Tony Davis

The fight over car emissions is only just starting

Chris Bowen says the new fuel emissions standards will make driving cheaper and give consumers more choice. Car companies disagree.

Will new RBA era clarify or confuse monetary message?

Two key questions must be answered in the new era in Australian central banking that started this week.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

China plays hardball with Canberra on Yang sentence

Beijing is sending a message to the Albanese government that it is not going to get everything it wants by handing an Australian citizen a suspended death sentence.

Michael Smith

North Asia correspondent

Michael Smith
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Politics

Australian writer Yang Hengjun and his wife Yuan Xiaoliang.

‘Appalling’ death sentence rocks China relations

Efforts to stabilise Australia’s relationship with Beijing have suffered a serious setback after a Chinese court handed a suspended death sentence to Yang Hengjun.

Anthony Albanese is spoiling for a fight on tax

PM spoils for a fight on stage three tax cuts

The Coalition will move amendments to the Albanese government’s tax cuts legislation, but won’t die in a ditch to get them passed.

The Ford Ranger ute was the biggest-selling vehicle in Australia in 2023.

Why ute drivers worry about Labor’s emissions plan

Power blackouts in Kalgoorlie and surrounds in mid-January did little to advance the cause of electric vehicles in rural settings.

Moneymakers or wildlife killers? Communities at odds over renewables

Many farmers say they can coexist with renewable energy projects but some in rural and coastal communities are ramping up their opposition.

NSW to create youth agency as many young have ‘given up’ on a home

The announcement of a “youth voice” to represent Millennials and Gen Z came as a planning expert declared that Sydney no longer works for young people.

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World

Hong Kong city skyline view from Kowloon.

Why Hong Kong is again stirring the interest of Australian companies

It’s not the same as the pre-pandemic, security lockdown era, but there is still “so much opportunity”, says the Australian Chamber of Commerce in Hong Kong boss.

An RAF Typhoon FGR4 aircraft prepares to conduct strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen.

Biden orders more strikes as US hits Houthi cruise missile

The US said it had targeted Iranian-backed armed groups for a third straight day, and destroyed an anti-ship missile fire by Houthi militia in Yemen.

Migrants wait in line to be processed at the US-Mexico border in May.

Senate unveils $182b bipartisan border security bill with Ukraine aid

In a deal that would mark the most significant changes in US immigration policy in decades, Senators earmarked $US60 billion for Ukraine effort.

Iranian sanctions-evasion operation in the heart of London

Two banks, Lloyds and Santander UK, provided accounts to an Iranian sanctioned petrochemicals company near Buckingham Palace

Parisians take aim at SUVs in latest green drive before Olympics

The French capital’s Socialist mayor says the time has come to break the trend to “cars that are always bigger, taller, wider”.

Property

St Hilliers executive director Tim Casey after an creditors’ meeting in 2012, after he put the construction businesses into administration.

St Hilliers’ construction business collapses into administration

The company told staff an injection of more than $32 million over two years had not been enough to keep the division going. Its development arm is unaffected.

Fraser Short at The Imperial Hotel In Erskineville, which he sold in 2023.

Fraser Short’s Sydney Collective ‘likely’ traded insolvent

But the one-timer owner of some of Sydney’s best-known pubs has told administrators of the collapsed group that he “denies liability” for any insolvent trading.

Data centre giant Equinix signs on for $3b wind farm

The mega power purchase agreement between Equinix and TagEnergy will supply enough energy to the grid to cover the Equinix’s 17 facilities around Australia by the end of the decade. 

Property prices could rise 10pc on lower rates, taxes

House prices and borrowing capacity could jump 10 per cent this year as a result of the combined effect of expected lower interest rates and income tax cuts.

MA Financial snaps up Sheraton in Melbourne’s Docklands for hotel fund

The Four Points by Sheraton Melbourne Docklands, which MA Financial will rebrand as a Vibe hotel, is the seed asset for a $1 billion accommodation fund.

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Wealth

Lower interest rates will lead to stronger market activity and competition for homes.

These buyers and sellers will be winners when rates start to fall

Get ahead of the game to make the most of opportunities before the rest of the market acts.

Three ‘tricks’ to get $2m into your super in a year

Maximising contributions after selling a small business can add $2,062,500 to your retirement savings.

We can’t afford new tax on $3m super – should we transfer property?

Sometimes it’s worth accepting “the devil you know” when it comes to Division 296 tax management strategies.

Technology

January-June last year was one of the toughest funding markets for companies in a generation, says Maxine Minter, general partner at Australian fund Co Ventures.

Tech wreck: Aussie start-up funding plummets two thirds from peak

Away from the headline grabbers such as Canva, Australia’s tech start-up sector suffered a huge drop in investment last year, a new report shows.

Adore Beauty founder Kate Morris is likely to have options to exit the company after a failed acquisition bid last year.

The online beauty stock that will be a takeover target this year

Doubts remain on whether Adore Beauty is really a scalable business, but a failed PE takeover bid late last year will not be the last we hear of a profitable buyout.

Ozempic remains in short supply around the world, prompting pharmacists to make alternatives.

Ozempic maker wants copycat products banned in Australia

The $600 billion drugmaker Novo Nordisk has become one of Europe’s largest companies off the success of its weight loss drug.

Work & Careers

Less that 80 per cent of students finish year 12.

The rate of teens finishing year 12 is falling

The federal government is increasingly picking up the bill for schools as states and territories fail to meet funding agreements.

Lowitja O’Donoghue, ‘the greatest Aboriginal leader’

Indigenous trailblazer Lowitja O’Donoghue is being celebrated as a giant of modern Australia after her death at the weekend.

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Life & Luxury

What experts do every day for a longer, healthier life

The burgeoning field of longevity medicine is unearthing simple new approaches anyone could adopt.

Kylie Minogue has won a Grammy award for best pop dance recording for “Padam Padam”.

Kylie Minogue wins first Grammy in 20 years

The Australian singer’s song has been described as a “hypnotic electro”-inspired dance pop.

The Audi Q5 5S TFSI e quattro S-line Sportback: It’s certainly one of the best plug-in hybrids on the market.

Is this $110k+ version of Australia’s favourite Audi worth it?

The smoothness, the beautiful interior, the abundance of tech... The first hybrid variant of the mid-sized Q5 delivers, but here’s why you might want to wait.

Designer Camilla Freeman-Topper makes black-on-black work with contrasting fabrics.

How to wear black without looking boring

Black is always in fashion, but it can run the risk of looking dull. Here’s how to fix that.

12, 16, 24 or 36 hours: which fasting regime will work best for you?

Find the right fast to suit your lifestyle and what will be more achievable. So which tribe do you belong to?

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