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An RAF Typhoon FGR4 aircraft prepares to conduct strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen.

Biden orders more strikes as US hits Houthi cruise missile

The US said it had targeted Iranian-backed armed groups for a third straight day, and destroyed an anti-ship missile fire by Houthi militia in Yemen.

RBA governor Michele Bullock.

RBA expected to soften tone on rate rises

Shares are set to start lower on Monday and oil prices could bounce ahead of a possible RBA policy pivot on Tuesday.

The ASX 200 is poised to start the week lower. The RBA’s first policy meeting of 2024 is set for Tuesday.

ASX to slide, Argo profit down, Metcash in buying spree

Shares are poised to fall; RBA two-day meeting kicks off; Appen and Collins Foods with new CEOs; Argo profit slips 8.5pc; $A slumps to US65¢.

The Brit who predicted the NDIS disaster a decade ago

Dr Simon Duffy warned a decade ago that the design of the national disability insurance scheme created perverse incentives, leaving it flawed from day one.

Labor puts carbon cap on new cars, industry revives ute fears

New utes and four-wheel drives could be phased or priced out of the market before there are genuine electric alternatives under Labor’s new rules, motoring groups warn.

‘Not genuine reform’: Hume slams Labor’s tax cut changes

WATCH LIVE: NSW consulting inquiry hears from Scyne Advisory managing partner, board member; Labor’s move to change the stage three tax cuts is “a political response” to win favour from voters, Jane Hume says. Follow updates here.

Bank executive accountability rules delayed

A key change out of the Hayne royal commission was due to begin in March, but the final rules have been waiting for sign off from the government for months.

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MONDAY MEDIA

Hoyts CEO Damian Keogh says the Hollywood strike has had a material impact on the 2024 film slate.

Hoyts sale up in the air after Chinese businessman snaps up parent

The cinema chain’s chief executive, Damian Keogh, says a strike in Hollywood has had a material impact on the film slate this year and on box office takings.

ARIA and PPCA chief executive Annabelle Herd and Commercial Radio & Audio CEO Ford Ennals.

Record labels accuse radio networks of ‘smear campaign’ in fees row

The claims are an escalation of a long-running dispute over how much artists and major labels are paid when their music is broadcast.

The Gladiators on Ten battle it out. Meanwhile, in the US, billionaires battle to buy its owner, Paramount Global.

As billionaires vie for Paramount, a Network 10 sale looks more likely

What happens to Ten as David Ellison, media mogul Byron Allen and PE firm Apollo look at wresting control of Paramount from Shari Redstone?

The Chaser prepares for legal war against Britain’s ITV Studios

Far from being arrested for stunts, the media empire behind The Chaser is fighting against a quiz show that wants to use a similar name.

Disney takes $110m more from Australia, hikes streaming price by 28pc

It will cost more to have the same service on Disney+ from March. The global entertainment giant posted a nearly 30 per cent jump in profit in Australia.

RBA’s new era

Australians are facing an economic environment of rapidly rising interest rates.

The RBA starts a new era on Monday. Here’s how it will play out

The RBA board will break new ground this week, by meeting on a Monday, holding a press conference and releasing its full economic forecasts earlier than usual.

RBA governor Michele Bullock: In the event of a crisis or public confusion, people will look to her to give clarity to the public and politicians.

Bullock’s interest rate communication job just got harder

The disclosure of RBA board votes and public remarks by board members will make it more challenging for Michele Bullock to control the central bank’s message.

Top three economic forecasters: Warren Hogan, Andrew Boak and Jo Masters.

Sticky inflation will haunt the RBA, say top forecasters

Persistently high services inflation may derail market expectations of an interest rate cut as early as May, according to the best economist forecasts for 2024.

Inflation burden to linger as mortgage relief hopes flicker to life

Labor has reset the economic debate with its blockbuster tax cuts, but will the relief last long enough that voters forget Albanese’s broken promise?

No rate cuts ‘any time soon’: McKibbin

The former RBA board member has rubbished predictions from economists that interest rates could be cut as early as May, saying borrowing costs may still need to rise.

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Get the latest business news on the go with the AFR’s new iOS app.

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Companies

Northern Minerals executive chairman Nick Curtis.

Lynas founder backs mooted rare earths mega-merger with MP Materials

Nick Curtis, now executive chairman of Northern Minerals, says he explored the possibility of a deal creating a critical minerals major more than a decade ago.

Woodside CEO Meg O’Neil and Santos CEO Kevin Gallagher.

Wide gulf to cross before Woodside-Santos merger comes true

Investors can’t even agree on the merits of a deal, far less the thorny question of value, leaving an uphill task to sell any transaction to shareholders.

CBA boss Matt Comyn. Retail investors have been cashing in on CBA while institutions are buying.

The CBA share price premium is really getting out of hand

The bank’s inexplicable and self-perpetuating melt-up that veteran analysts unanimously agree defies the fundamentals is powering the broader index.

Commonwealth Bank has lifted its loan book growth, catching up with some of its rivals.

Loan competition among largest banks ‘diminishing’: Citi

Ahead of earning season, brokers say the major lenders, along with Macquarie, are consolidating their market share and growing faster than the broader sector.

Luxury brands ramp up VIP touches as they court big spenders

High-net-worth clients are increasingly being feted by brands keen to keep them happy – and spending – with private shopping, butlers and even tennis lessons.

PwC partner weighs defamation action over tax leaks allegation

A PwC partner the firm incorrectly publicly linked to its tax leaks scandal is planning to sue the firm for defamation after mediation talks failed.

Autobarn’s owner Bapcor spins its wheels with four CEOs in two years

Investment bank analysts are split on whether clients should be buying into the auto parts retailer and wholesaler. A new boss has his work cut out for him.

Companies in the News

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Markets

JB Hi-Fi is one of a handful of companies reporting results on Monday.

Sell-off looms as strategists warn earnings set to disappoint

The ASX is trading at all-time high, yet investment banks are warning investors may get ahead of themselves this reporting season.

Expect RBA governor Michele Bullock to drop a tightening bias in the statement on Tuesday.

Expect a ‘verbal pivot’ from the RBA but no imminent rate cuts

A reduction in the cash rate some time this year is plausible, but there is still some distance to travel before arriving at any imperative decision.

The Greenbushes mine is owned jointly by IGO, China’s Tianqi and Albemarle.

Wild swings ahead for lithium as producers ‘play chicken’

A sharp correction in the battery metal price has triggered more cut backs in output and analysts say investors should brace for even more volatility.

Bigger IPOs earmarked for second half, says ASX

With the sharemarket trading at all-time highs and central banks preparing to cut rates, companies are getting ready to go public.

Parsing the US jobs data: ‘Head-scratching numbers’

The early read is that a March rate cut is “dead”, perhaps May too, after hiring unexpectedly shifted into a higher gear to start 2024.

Opinion

NDIS entitlement flawed from the start

The scheme has operated as a honey pot that has predictably attracted too many participants.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

What investors can learn from analysing R&D spending

High levels of R&D do not necessarily translate into increased returns on invested capital.

Tony Boyd

Contributor

Tony Boyd

The ACCC’s supermarket inquiry will only benefit Woolworths and Coles

The grocery giants have responded in an astute way – cutting meat prices. That could spell the end for the remaining independent butchers around the country.

Karen Maley

Columnist

Karen Maley

As billionaires vie for Paramount, a Network 10 sale looks more likely

What happens to Ten as David Ellison, media mogul Byron Allen and PE firm Apollo look at wresting control of Paramount from Shari Redstone?

Sam Buckingham-Jones

Media and marketing reporter

Sam Buckingham-Jones

Like Carter in 1980, America’s Iran options today are limited

The retaliatory strikes point to a toughening US position, with the Biden administration saying everything is on the table, but the reality is different.

Patrick Gibbons

Corporate advisor

Patrick Gibbons

The home-working revolution is harming young workers

Bosses who insist on a return to the office are demonised – but turning up is better for your career, especially if you are just starting out.

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Politics

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese campaigning in the Victorian seat of Dunkley on the weekend.

PM fast-tracks debate over tax cut broken promise

Anthony Albanese has released the proposed law early so he can quickly legislate the backflip.

A review of Australia’s food and grocery regulations will consider increasing financial penalties on the nation’s supermarket giants for bad behaviour.

Supermarket review considers ramping up fines for code breaches

An assessment of Australia’s food and grocery regulations will consider increasing penalties on the supermarket giants for bad behaviour.

A pro-Palestine protest in Sydney on Sunday.

Albanese flags Gaza demilitarisation as protests hit Sydney, Melbourne

A route to a Palestinian state might involve Hamas giving up its weapons, Mr Albanese said.

Burke flags fines for bosses that breach ‘right to disconnect’ orders

Workplace Relations Minister Tony Burke says he’s willing to compromise with the Senate crossbench on facets of the government’s industrial relations reforms.

Wesfarmers raises alarm as WA warms to onshore gas backflip

Wesfarmers warned the West Australian government against bowing to mounting pressure to overturn an onshore gas export ban.

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World

Indonesian presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto on the campaign trail in Malang.

Indonesia’s poll frontrunner has bad news for Australian nickel miners

Prabowo Subianto has vowed to continue the turbocharged industry development backed by Chinese investment that has flooded the world with cheap nickel.

Putin, last week in Moscow, is in full election mode.

Crumbling utilities bite as Putin stage manages re-election

The Russian leaders is in full campaign mode as Soviet pipes and freezing flats stoke discontent.

Michelle O’Neill speaks after being appointed Northern Ireland’s First Minister, during proceedings of the Northern Ireland Assembly.

How this mother with IRA links plans to lead Northern Ireland

Sinn Féin said Michelle O’Neill will govern “for all” after she was sworn in as first minister on Saturday, the first time a nationalist has held the post.

Biden wins first primary as bond with black voters frays

The US president notched up an easy win to all but ensure his party’s nomination. But whether he has captured enough of the crucial black vote is unknown.

Chile’s fires sweep into urban areas killing scores

Firefighters are struggling to contain forest fires in the centre and south of the country caused by El Niño weather patterns.

Property

A deceased estate at 15 Kintore Street in Dulwich Hill sold for $1.86 million to first home buyers on Saturday.

Auctions start 2024 with ‘an absolute cracker’ of a weekend for sales

The auction year is off to a strong start with almost three in four homes listed selling at the weekend, but experts say a wave of stock could temper the pace.

Former Palestinian refugee, now Rich Lister buys NT cattle station

The Shahin family’s $2 billion revenue-generating Peregrine Corporation has acquired its first broadacre farming property and entered the beef sector.

AFR AFR James Judd  story on successsion he owns a vineyard in Main Ridge (Mornington Penisula) Victoria Wednesday 17th January 2024 Melbourne Photo by Eamon Gallagher

Vineyards on the market as succession plans wither

More listings are hitting the market as adult children leave the sector and business conditions get tougher.

Rate relief spurs rosy outlook for REITs

The outlook for the ASX-listed property stocks has turned decidedly bullish as the sector heads into its annual earnings season.

Foreign grip on London’s luxury homes tightens as UK buyers wait

Rising borrowing costs, economic uncertainty and the worst cost-of-living crisis in a generation have driven a slowdown in overall UK house sales.

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Wealth

Lower interest rates will lead to stronger market activity and competition for homes.

These buyers and sellers will be winners when rates start to fall

Get ahead of the game to make the most of opportunities before the rest of the market acts.

Three ‘tricks’ to get $2m into your super in a year

Maximising contributions after selling a small business can add $2,062,500 to your retirement savings.

We can’t afford new tax on $3m super – should we transfer property?

Sometimes it’s worth accepting “the devil you know” when it comes to Division 296 tax management strategies.

Technology

Ozempic remains in short supply around the world, prompting pharmacists to make alternatives.

Ozempic maker wants copycat products banned in Australia

The $600 billion drugmaker Novo Nordisk has become one of Europe’s largest companies off the success of its weight loss drug.

Disha Rustogi, Atlassian’s head of product marketing for enterprise platform, said in a January 22 blog post that as part of a 2020 decision to focus on cloud services it would “discontinue support for server products starting February 15”.

Cloudflare says Atlassian server briefly hacked in November

Internet-security company Cloudflare said one of its Atlassian servers was accessed over several days by what it believes that was a nation state attacker.

The magnificent seven has taken investors on a heady ride over the past few years as their values have soared.

Why the magnificent seven aren’t equally magnificent

Profit results from five of the magnificent seven tech stocks have underscored their dominance. But there are differences in the outlooks and valuations investors must study. 

Work & Careers

Dr Lowitja O’Donoghue.

Aboriginal rights trailblazer Lowitja O’Donoghue dies

Aboriginal rights trailblazer Lowitja O’Donoghue, who played a pivotal role in native title laws and was the first Aboriginal person to address the UN, has died.

Office mandates offer no financial benefit and staff hate them: study

Return-to-office mandates upset workers and fail to significantly improve business performance, an analysis of S&P 500 firms has found. 

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Life & Luxury

The Audi Q5 5S TFSI e quattro S-line Sportback: It’s certainly one of the best plug-in hybrids on the market.

Is this $110k+ version of Australia’s favourite Audi worth it?

The smoothness, the beautiful interior, the abundance of tech... The first hybrid variant of the mid-sized Q5 delivers, but here’s why you might want to wait.

12, 16, 24 or 36 hours: which fasting regime will work best for you?

Find the right fast to suit your lifestyle and what will be more achievable. So which tribe do you belong to?

Coinbase managing director for the Asia Pacific, John O’Loghlen, loves “the sound and feeling you get when the boat is running well through the water. There is nothing quite like it.”

How slick teamwork (and a silky rhythm) can overcome headwinds

The Asia-Pacific managing director of Coinbase has faced his share of challenges. Rowing has taught him resilience.

Bigger than the whole sky: Taylor Swift’s sold-out Eras tour could be the biggest tourism event of the year.

‘Taylor has topped it’: Swift trumps Aus Open, NYE in hotels gold rush

Accommodation bookings in Sydney and Melbourne have jumped on this time last year, even as room rates double.

Sweet and sour fish: Junda Khoo learnt the recipe from his mother-in-law.

Jill Dupleix reveals how to make Ho Jiak’s sweet and sour snapper

Junda Khoo left investment banking to build a restaurant group built on his love of spicy street food.

From the gallery