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Well, this is weird:

The folks at Nine News in Melbourne say that Photoshop AI just did this on its own volition—which is, needless to say, not even possible. But that's their story and they're (so far) sticking to it.

Welcome to the brave new world of generative AI. It can produce phone calls allegedly from Joe Biden. It can create photorealistic nude pictures of Taylor Swift. And now it's an all-purpose excuse when you get caught doing something idiotic.

A few days ago I came across this tweet from Matt Yglesias during a stretch of bad weather that was tying up air travel:

This has been followed by a bunch of edgelord conservative types complaining that DEI initiatives are making it unsafe to fly. Is this just an offshoot of the recent right-wing kvetching about DEI in general?

No! By an odd quirk I happened to get sucked down a rabbit hole today, and among other things learned that Black air traffic controllers have been an obsession on the right for more than a decade. Here's the story, as briefly as I can possibly tell it.

The FAA hires air traffic controllers from a variety of sources: veterans, retired military controllers, the general public, and—notably—something called the College Training Initiative (CTI). Since 2002, both CTI grads and the general public have been required to take the Air Traffic Selection and Training test (AT-SAT) when they apply to the federal air traffic academy.

You will be unsurprised to learn that the air traffic community has long been almost all white and all male. The FAA has studied this off and on for years, and in 2013 published a "barrier analysis" report that came to a few conclusions. First, nearly all CTI grads were white. Second, something was wrong with the AT-SAT test. When it was given to actual air traffic controllers, a whole bunch of them failed. The test was reworked to fix that, but the result, contrary to expectations, was that close to 100% of everyone now passed. So the FAA increased the passing standard, and the result of that was significant bias in favor of white applicants.

Third, there were particular features of the AT-SAT that seemed to favor white applicants more than others. In particular, white applicants did better on some of the cognitive tests but Black applicants generally did better on parts of the test that measured personality traits (composure, work behavior, concentration, decisiveness, etc.). This portion of the test was confusingly called the Experience Questionnaire.

Long story short, in 2014 the FAA eliminated the CTI program and created a longer version of the Experience Questionnaire called the Biographical Assessment. This was also confusingly named, since it was designed to test things like decisionmaking, handling pressure, teamwork, efficiency, and so forth. In any case, applicants were now required to take the BA first, and only if they passed did they move on to the AT-SAT.¹

And there was one other thing. Before all this, CTI students had been allowed to take the AT-SAT while they were in school. Now those scores were tossed out. They had to retake it under the new rules, and some of them washed out on the BA. They were understandably infuriated and filed a class-action lawsuit against the FAA. Here's how this is typically described on the right:

Candidates who had trained for years and who had scored high on aptitude tests were dropped from consideration, in favor of lesser-trained people who fit the right biographical profile.

....The FAA’s new hiring regime abandoned the CTI program as a basis for hiring new controllers, and instead based hiring on a “biographical questionnaire” designed to screen out candidates who weren’t members of a preferred minority racial group.

The lawsuit is ongoing, with briefings scheduled throughout 2024. There's no telling how long it will be until a trial is actually held.

In 2016 President Obama signed a bill that discontinued the Biographical Assessment and allowed anyone who had failed it to reapply. In 2020, as part of that year's defense bill, Congress passed the bipartisan ATC Reform Act, which reinstated the preference given to CTI grads.

There are lots of other little details here and there, including a weird quasi-cheating scandal, but they're mostly of minor interest. The nickel summary is that (a) the FAA has never included race in a "biographical questionnaire," but (b) they have changed their testing to emphasize traits that show less bias in favor of white applicants. It remains a matter of controversy which version of the test is better at predicting success as an air traffic controller.

However, this is all moot since the 2014 changes have now all been reversed. What's more, by far the biggest concern at the moment is general understaffing of air traffic controllers. There's currently bipartisan agreement that the FAA just needs to figure out a way to hire more controllers regardless of race or gender.

So that's the story. The idea that Black hiring is making the skies unsafe has been rattling around on the right for years, and the recent discourse about DEI and affirmative action in universities and corporations has just given it an opportunity to pop into mainstream consciousness. It's not brand new racism, just the usual old kind.

¹In the end, the result was a small uptick in the hiring of Black air traffic controllers. Maybe a few percentage points or so.

Did you know that 23,000 shipping containers have been lost at sea since 2008? That's about 1,500 per year. In 2020 there was a huge spike to 4,000 containers, which prompted the World Shipping Council to start a safety campaign. In 2022 a mere 661 containers were lost:

The WSC would like you to know that the 2022 total amounts to only 0.00048% of the 250 million containers shipped that year—or possibly even less if you do the arithmetic correctly.¹ Also, the leading cause of lost containers is parametric rolling in following seas. And the WSC is committed to improving container safety.

I wonder what was in all those containers now bobbing around in the ocean?

¹My trusty Windows calculator returns 0.00026%.

Everyone's campaign strategy against Donald Trump appears to have converged on the same tactic: trolling. It's all about deliberately hurling insults at him in the hope that he'll melt down completely and eventually lose the plot.

Neither Nikki Haley nor Joe Biden are even trying to hide this. They're all but daring Trump to maintain his composure, confident that he can't do it even when he knows he's being baited.

Do you think it will work? I do.

Here is data from three different survey-based studies. First is loneliness among the elderly over the past few generations:

Next is loneliness among high school students over the past three decades up to 2012:

Finally, here is Gallup's survey of overall loneliness since the pandemic:

Based on these numbers, the best guess is that loneliness among the elderly has been flat for a long time and loneliness among everyone else has been going down in recent years.

The Washington Post writes today about 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk:

His skill set is hard to see on TV, and the data collected by the computer chips in his shoulder pads doesn’t really stand out.

Wait. Computer chips in his shoulder pads? Oh yes:

Two chips tucked within both shoulder pads on every NFL player will send out a wireless signal to receivers at every stadium. The data is used to better train players, helping with coaching decisions, and improves tactics for teams.

The data is monitored in real time at the company's command center in San Jose, California. During games, broadcasters get information almost instantly, and for the first time, the stats are delivered to teams the very next day.

That's from 2016. I really need to start paying closer attention to things.

Aquifers around the world are being drained at an alarming speed. Here's what that looks like in two of the biggest aquifers in the US:

Red dots are bad (more than one meter per year of water loss). This is from a recent paper that examines 1,693 aquifers around the world:

Rapid groundwater-level declines are widespread in the twenty-first century, especially in dry regions with extensive croplands. Critically, we also show that groundwater-level declines have accelerated over the past four decades in 30% of the world’s regional aquifers.

When we have unlimited cheap fusion we'll be able to desalinate and pump water anywhere we want. But that's probably a ways off. In the meantime, maybe we should stop sticking our heads in the sand and face reality?

Terri Gerstein writes today about a couple of cases of employee misclassification in Denver:

At issue is whether dishwashers and others like them, placed in their jobs by online temporary staffing agencies, are employees of the agencies or independent contractors running their own businesses.

....The cases demonstrate the spread of the exploitative gig business model far beyond Uber drivers and DoorDash food deliverers, to encompass a growing number of jobs that have long been performed by employees with legal protections. And the cases illustrate the urgent need for government intervention to safeguard core workplace rights.

I'm all for proper labor protection, but I'm also all-in on correct labor statistics. Here's the number of temp agency workers:

It's lower today than before the pandemic. Here's a BLS estimate of all contingent workers:

The BLS only rouses itself to produce these figures every once in a while, so this chart is fairly out of date. A new one will come out later this year. And recent research suggests the BLS may be undercounting. Still, the trend is pretty obvious: it's going down.

Even op-eds should require a minimal amount of fact checking. You can be against exploitive work arrangements without misstating the facts.

Two nights ago Microsoft gifted me with a Windows update on my Surface tablet, and now I can't read anything in the Wall Street Journal. Every story looks like this:

Oddly, this is what you get if you don't have a subscription and the Journal paywalls you. But I do, I'm up to date, and I'm signed in. How could an OS update cause this?

Everything is still fine on my desktop. But what happens when Microsoft does its magic there too?

UPDATE: I restored the system to its previous state and now everything is fine. It really was the Windows update that caused this. Very strange.