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Donald Trump was an unknown quantity last time around. Not any more. Even if he doesn’t run next November, he is a threat to American democracy.

The shadow of Trump hangs over the world

Even if Donald Trump doesn’t run, he is a threat to democracy in a fragile world still reeling from his last efforts to promote a nationalist agenda, writes James Curran.

Investors face a fascinating year ahead, with megatrends likely to continue to shape the way markets perform.

Top investors name 11 long-term stock picks

Healthcare, digitisation and resources are the big themes that dominate the list of stock picks from top fund managers. 

The ASX 200, along with other global sharemarket indices, has shown a healthy uptrend since the beginning of the year.

ASX 200 inches closer to record; Fortescue, BHP reset highs

The S&P/ASX 200 index rose 0.7 per cent to 7614.3 at the closing bell on Thursday. The benchmark is within 20 points of the record set in August 2021.

One of two Australians killed in Israeli strike linked to terror group

Acting Foreign Minister Mark Dreyfus confirmed two Australians were killed in Lebanon, and Hezbollah claims one of them is a martyred fighter for its cause.

Cathie Wood goes for massive shakeup of bitcoin holdings

One of the investment guru’s exchange-traded funds has dumped its shares in Grayscale and bought into ProShares.

America’s top stockpicker is buying chips

Adam Benjamin’s fund is the top ranked mutual or ETF in the US and produced an 80 per cent total return in 2023. Here’s what he’s interested in.

Israel warns that time for diplomacy with Lebanon is ‘running out’

As rockets from Iranian-backed Hezbollah forces streamed in from Lebanon, Israeli officials said they were prepared to take the war to a second front.

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TOP READS

Lucinda Holdforth, who’s had enough of authenticity narratives.

LinkedIn is rotting our leaders, says Alan Joyce’s former speechwriter

Lucinda Holdforth reckons executives should focus on delivering results and ditch the bubble talk about authenticity and vulnerability.

Donald Trump was an unknown quantity last time around. Not any more. Even if he doesn’t run next November, he is a threat to American democracy.

The shadow of Trump hangs over the world

Even if Donald Trump doesn’t run, he is a threat to democracy in a fragile world still reeling from his last efforts to promote a nationalist agenda, writes James Curran.

Healthy fats, veggies and olive oil are staples of the traditional Mediterranean diet.

Will you live to 100? The answer is in your blood

As a new study reveals similarities between the blood samples of centenarians, here are the lifestyle changes you can make to live longer.

‘Don pulls strings’: Meet the Albanese government’s key powerbroker

Don Farrell might not be in the prime minister’s inner circle, but his tacit support is vital.

Justin Hemmes’ $3b property empire outgrows nightlife roots

The billionaire has spent at least $900 million building a sprawling hospitality and residential empire. But there’s one business he is happy to leave in the shadows.

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Companies

Investors face a fascinating year ahead, with megatrends likely to continue to shape the way markets perform.

Top investors name 11 long-term stock picks

Healthcare, digitisation and resources are the big themes that dominate the list of stock picks from top fund managers. 

“Do we have to pay extra for checking existing employees? Why do we want to do that,” CEO Jack Zhang replied to a message informing staff they would be re-screened.

Audits found flaws in Airwallex’s staff screening

PwC and Grant Thornton said the $US5.6 billion payments giant was not adequately identifying if staff had a criminal history or were subject to international sanctions.

From top left, Peter Graf; Ani Satchcroft; John Hartman; Anna Kilmartin; Vincent Wong; Chloé Brayne; Nik Kemp; Fay Bou.

The private capital deal makers who will shape 2024

The best operators know how to strike a deal, and in 2024, there’s plenty of dry powder and more pressure to deploy.

The accounts precede a bumper Boxing Day sale period, with the Australian Retailers Association predicting consumers will splurge $1.25 billion on December 26.

Anchorage snags David Jones at 75pc discount

Anchorage paid $92.5 million for the group in March, but financial accounts show the full value of the company and its assets was closer to $376 million.

Gerry Harvey says angrier shoppers are a bad sign for retailers

Economists says consumers could be about to go into their shells for up to six months after a hunt for bargains at post-Christmas sales.

Boart Longyear, floated for $2.35b, agrees to $543m takeover

The ASX-listed drilling company, once the second-largest IPO in Australian history, will go private after struggling for years as a minnow.

Victoria wipes Tennis Australia’s $43m COVID debt, fuels record profit

The Victorian government gave Tennis Australia a $40 million loan as it languished in the pandemic. Now worth $43 million, that debt has been forgiven.

Companies in the News

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Markets

Smartphone chips on display in Canada.

America’s top stockpicker is buying chips

Adam Benjamin’s fund is the top ranked mutual or ETF in the US and produced an 80 per cent total return in 2023. Here’s what he’s interested in.

Hope of a bitcoin ETF being approved in January including from Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment has helped fuel a crypto rally.

Cathie Wood goes for massive shakeup of bitcoin holdings

One of the investment guru’s exchange-traded funds has dumped its shares in Grayscale and bought into ProShares.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers

Iron ore’s rise above $US140 to deliver larger budget windfall

A surge in the iron ore price to its highest level in 1½ years, pushed the $A to a fresh five-month high and puts Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ 2023-24 federal budget on course for a bigger than expected surplus.

Oil falls from one-month high at technical gauges flash weakness

Traders are focused on evening out positions before the new year, and low volumes are leaving prices susceptible to swings.

Euro rises to five-month higher, German yields plumb one-year lows

The euro has advanced 3.4 per cent this year, with much of the rally coming after signals from the Federal Reserve that it will pivot to rate cuts soon.

Opinion

The West must avoid populist backsliding on Ukraine in 2024

The West instinctively grasped what was at stake by backing the heroic Ukrainian resistance. The danger now is the message that would be sent by any weakening of Western will to stay the course.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Australia needs a formal national security strategy

The government has reached a point where it can no longer avoid open discussion of fundamental questions about unpreparedness for strategic trouble ahead.

Rory Medcalf

Geopolitical analyst

Rory Medcalf

Odds for 2024 point to another close Labor win in 2025

A growing number of Australian voters are looking for genuine leadership in both major parties, but find them wanting.

John Black

Election analyst

John Black

Future for house prices hinges on what the RBA does next

As we move into the new year, the bellwether markets of Melbourne and Sydney are falling.

Three lessons from my 50 years of forecasting

Confession: my crystal ball has been cracked countless times by purportedly unprecedented developments, writes Stephen Roach.

Stephen Roach

Asia watcher

Stephen Roach

Latest legal trial shows Trump still has to be defeated politically

Democrats need to realise that the pursuit of the former president through the courts only serves to fire up his never-say-never base.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View
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Politics

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Opposition Leader Peter Dutton.

Coalition enlivened by Labor’s ‘mid-term blues’

Young voters, women over 40 and aspirational workers will set the political tone for the coming election battle, which begins now.

Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen at COP28.

‘Blackout’ Bowen: the man conservatives love to hate

The energy minister has been a top performer for Labor, winning blockbuster carbon and energy battles against all odds. But he has plenty of fights ahead.

Deborah O’Neill during the ongoing Senate inquiry into consulting.

Warning for consultants: PwC fallout is not over yet

Senator Deborah O’Neill, who helped expose the full extent of the PwC tax leaks scandal, says the industry will continue to be under scrutiny in 2024.

COVID-19 warning ahead of New Year’s Eve parties

Case numbers are soaring across Australia, with experts warning that low testing rates mean infection rates are much higher than official tallies suggest.

Big super spends lots of your money on promotion. Here’s where it goes

New transparency laws reveal for the first time where industry super funds put money for ads and sponsorships. The Tigers and unions are big winners.

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World

It has been more than two months since attacks by Hamas prompted Israel’s retaliatory air and ground campaign in the Gaza Strip.

Doubts over Israel’s ability to destroy Hamas grow

Israel has vowed to dismantle the group responsible for the bloody October 7 attack, but critics say that goal is unrealistic.

Donald Trump was an unknown quantity last time around. Not any more. Even if he doesn’t run next November, he is a threat to American democracy.

The shadow of Trump hangs over the world

Even if he doesn’t run, he is a threat to democracy in a fragile world still reeling from his last efforts to promote a nationalist agenda.

Lai Ching-te on the hustings last week.

Whisky and the coal mining ‘shack’: Taiwan election is not only about China

Beijing is far from the sole issue debated at rallies, press conferences and on television talk shows where the uncensored exchanges are a major contrast to China.

Ukraine doesn’t need all its territory to defeat Putin

If Vladimir Putin decides to freeze the war, Ukraine should not pass up an opportunity to end the bloodshed.

Microsoft, OpenAI sued by New York Times for copyright infringement

OpenAI has faced criticism for scraping text widely from the web to train its popular chatbot; this is the first legal challenge to that practice.

Property

The northern beaches was one of the hottest property markets at the height of the pandemic.

The suburbs where house vendors are amassing $1m profits

Vendors in Sydney’s sought-after suburbs reaped more than $1 million gross profits on average amid tight supply and strong demand according to CoreLogic.

Sydney-based property investors Jyh Kao and Danica Zhan spotted buying opportunity early, allowing them to negotiate a good price for their first home.

Where house prices are going in 2024, and the best time to buy or sell

Homebuyers could have a rare chance to snag a good deal in early 2024 across Sydney and Melbourne, but the opportunity won’t last, property experts say.

Premium range: Ivy Ng in her new kitchen with benchtops and splashback surfaces.

Rising costs add burden to weak new home construction

The hunt for a replacement product to the engineered stone that has been a standard feature of newly built Australian homes is only adding to the challenge of rising costs.

Australia’s top 10 luxury property deals of 2023

Sydney’s eastern suburbs dominated this year’s list, which totalled more than half a billion dollars.

The man who made millions selling Christmas

Tim Clarkson has carried on a 130-year-old family business by being the biggest player in the $50 million-plus Christmas decorations market.

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Wealth

Investors should be reviewing their bond allocations now that prevailing yields are much more attractive.

Five adjustments for a better performing portfolio in 2024

The No 1 task for investors embarking on a new year portfolio reset should be to check their allocation to Aussie bonds.

How do I convince my future wife a prenup won’t kill the romance?

Family lawyers set out why it’s important, and how to do it without ruffling feathers.

The best five assets to buy in 2024, and three to dump

With inflation remaining high and markets fluctuating wildly, active investors stand to gain the most.

Technology

The Apple Watch Ultra 2 is displayed during an event at Apple Park campus in Cupertino.

Apple wins appeal court bid to pause US watch ban

The ruling allows Apple to resume selling its Series 9 and Ultra 2 smartwatches in the US at least until another review in about two weeks time.

Knowing how long you’ve slept may not help poor sleepers.

Is a $3745 app-controlled mattress topper a sound sleeping investment?

The Eight Sleep Pod Cover is great at collecting data but is missing a trick on helping you make sense of it all.

The demise of fast grocery-delivery start-up MilkRun early in the year was the year’s most popular tech story with subscribers.

Collapses, workplace shake-ups and phone outage chaos: 2023’s top tech stories

Take a look back at the biggest tech stories of the year – as well as our reporters’ favourites.

Work & Careers

Rip Curl chief executive Brooke Farris has been surfing since she was eight.

Wave of productivity: How surfing adds billions to the economy

Board-riding CEOs Brooke Farris and Nick Nicolaides say hitting the water is good for their work, backing a study that estimates surfing contributes about $1.9 trillion to the global economy.

Good at tech, bad with people: Is Gen Z getting a bad rap?

They are the cohort profoundly touched by the pandemic and questioning the value of so-so jobs. But are they really that different from other generations?

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Life & Luxury

LawConnect has claimed Sydney to Hobart line honours.

LawConnect hails ‘dream’ Sydney to Hobart underdog win

The perennial bridesmaid has claimed Sydney to Hobart line honours, finishing less than one minute ahead of its rival Comanche.

Pallavi Sharda.

My parents thought I was studying. Confessions of a Bollywood star

A high achieving “proud north-westie” from Melbourne, Pallavi Sharda went to Mumbai alone to see if she could make it as a performer.

It is still possible to make a reservation or buy a ticket to ensure a front-row seat to Sydney’s iconic New Year’s fireworks.

The hottest tickets for NYE (if you’re quick)

If you don’t have plans for New Year’s Eve, here is a list of some of the most exclusive tickets and reservations still available.

Bill Granger’s signature was simplicity.

Vale Bill Granger, Australia’s sunniest chef

Few people have the ability to bring instant sunshine into a room, but chef and restaurateur Bill Granger had it in spades. He also changed the way Australia thought about our food, and ourselves.

My partner Jason Toh says he’s really cold in this bath, but I found it relatively comfortable.

The chilling truth of a $12,500 ice bath in your home

Our dubious tester immersed herself in this health trend – and immediately started saving to buy her own ice bath.

From the gallery