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After her power bill doubled, this grocer had to cut her range

Relief on electricity prices is in sight after deep falls in wholesale prices, but the pain is acute in South Australia and NSW where power bills are highest.

  • Ben Potter
Economic optimists are sceptical of the idea that monetary policy has “long and variable lags” in its impact on businesses and consumers, disputing that the pain has simply yet to materialise.

Wall Street’s economic doomsayers see US recession around corner

Forecasters at Citigroup, Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo Securities are among those reiterating pessimistic predictions.

  • Steve Matthews and Katia Dmitrieva

US inflation report to show Fed’s battle all but complete

A monthly report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis is poised to cement the case for lower interest rates in the coming quarters.

  • Matthew Boesler

Top academy expels sacked economics professor

The move comes after Chris Edmond was sacked by Melbourne University over professional retaliation against a former student who had an affair with him.

  • Aaron Patrick

Cost-of-living crunch adds urgency to Christmas charity appeals

Charities are reporting a dip in the number of donations amid a heightened need for support.

  • Gus McCubbing

Renewables are cheapest, even with poles, wires and batteries added in

CSIRO’s annual price comparison of energy sources include transmission and storage costs in renewables calculations for the first time. They still come out on top.

  • Ben Potter

Opinion & Analysis

Latest legal trial shows Trump still has to be defeated politically

Democrats need to realise that the pursuit of the former president through the courts only serves to fire up his never-say-never base.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Democratic recession could deepen in 2024

At this moment of maximum global peril, democracies have lost the thing they need most: the power of their legitimacy.

National security wolves howl at moon over Red Sea warship

Cries of outrage over the decision not to deploy to the Middle East are obscuring questions about Australia’s basic defence capabilities.

James Curran

International editor

James Curran

Labor’s best policy might be admitting Red Sea defence gap

If strategy is Labor’s reason, it raises concerns. If there is no available ship, it raises another set of questions about Australia’s alarming lack of military capabilities.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View
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Yesterday

Donald Trump.

Latest legal trial shows Trump still has to be defeated politically

Democrats need to realise that the pursuit of the former president through the courts only serves to fire up his never-say-never base.

  • The AFR View
xxxxx

Democratic recession could deepen in 2024

At this moment of maximum global peril, democracies have lost the thing they need most: the power of their legitimacy.

  • Misha Zelinsky
Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey.

UK inflation slows more than forecast, fuelling rate-cut bets

Consumer prices rose 3.9 per cent from a year earlier, down from 4.6 per cent in October, according to the latest monthly data.

  • Tom Rees and Lucy White
Air-fare inflation dropped to 3.3 per cent in November from 7.9 per cent the previous month, while train and bus costs also increased by less year-on-year than in October.

Surprise fall in UK services inflation may hold key to rate cuts

Economists expect services inflation to continue subsiding, pushed lower by the drop in energy prices, the weakening jobs market and lacklustre demand.

  • Tom Rees
While sales are strong at Melbourne-based food packaging manufacturer Pinpak, owner Richard Trchala said he expected conditions to soften over the next year

Manufacturing sector mood hits lowest level since the GFC

A net 41 per cent of manufacturers expect conditions to worsen during the next six months, according to the ACCI-Westpac industrial trends survey.

  • Michael Read
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This Month

Defence Force personnel help out in evacuations following flooding in Cairns.

Cyclone Jasper’s damage bill mounts as rain eases

While rainfall eases in North Queensland, the cost wrought by Cyclone Jasper is rising.

  • Updated
  • Liam Walsh, Sarah Mitchell and Tess Bennett
The government is trapped in a national security storm where emotion and rhetoric are held to be the primary drivers of foreign and defence policy.

National security wolves howl at moon over Red Sea warship

Cries of outrage over the decision not to deploy to the Middle East are obscuring questions about Australia’s basic defence capabilities.

  • James Curran
A photo released by the Houthi Media Centre shows a Houthi gunman on the cargo ship Galaxy Leader on November 19.

Labor’s best policy might be admitting Red Sea defence gap

If strategy is Labor’s reason, it raises concerns. If there is no available ship, it raises another set of questions about Australia’s alarming lack of military capabilities.

  • The AFR View

Beware economists who won’t admit they were wrong

From an economic point of view, 2023 will go down in the record books as one of the best years ever.

  • Paul Krugman
NA

Taiwan: A Trojan horse for Beijing?

Taiwan’s elections next month will once more focus attention on the difficulty of any future move by Beijing to absorb Taiwan.

  • James Curran
Schedule, cost and value for money assessments are all “fails” but its capability is Hunter’s critical shortcoming.

Australia’s Hunter frigate project should be sunk

Its crystal clear that the replacement ships for the Anzac class that we cannot send to the Red Sea will not provide a worthwhile capability for the Royal Australian Navy.

  • Rowan Moffitt
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Albanese reaches for Keating’s Asian mantle

In a speech that canvassed all the issues on his foreign policy plate, there was one section that stood out.

  • James Curran
Tourist gateway Cairns was an island on Monday after torrential rain dumped nearly a metre of rin on Far North Queensland in 24 hours.

Floods, heavy rain put squeeze on mango, sugarcane crops

The rain appears to be easing from severe floods in North Queensland, but some lingering concerns remain with agriculture.

  • Liam Walsh
Hospitals are struggling with the rising costs of recruitment, power and food,

Keeping premiums affordable requires modern healthcare

If Labor wants to keep health insurance affordable to take pressure off the public system, tougher reforms are needed to make our health system more efficient and sustainable.

  • Rachel David
Australians are facing an economic environment of rapidly rising interest rates.

RBA warns it may raise rates again, but markets predict cuts

Markets doubt the central bank will deliver any more rate rises, despite warning it may need to deliver another increase if inflation remains high.

  • Michael Read
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 The lowest-hanging fruit for raising productivity growth is to move the population up from lower levels of educational attainment.

Tip private schools out of boardrooms for a more productive Australia

Favouring the wealthy over innate talent in the education system is no way to filter what a country’s human capital might have to offer.

  • Adrian Blundell-Wignall
Chicago Fed boss Austan Goolsbee.

Fed officials add to chorus pushing back against rate-cut bets

Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee said he was surprised by the outsize market reaction to the Fed’s updated quarterly economic projections last week.

  • Catarina Saraiva
An overhauled immigration system will bring respite from the skills shortage crisis.

Labor starts long-term migration planning amid population boom

The inaugural ministerial migration roundtable comes amid growing concern about record numbers of foreign arrivals.

  • Michael Read

Labor rejects 6pc rise in health insurance premiums

Health Minister Mark Butler has rejected a request to lift premiums by 4 to 6 per cent, as Labor tries to quell voter discontent over cost of living pressures.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read
Mike Henry, Amanda Lacaze and Kevin Gallagher

CEOs warn red tape, higher rates holding back investment

The country’s top energy and resources leaders say stresses from higher financing costs are being compounded by activism and unfriendly government policies.

  • James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald