Source:

Not only do the Pistons currently have a 20 game losing streak and are on pace for the worst season in history, they also hold this insane record that started when they lost the series to the Celtics in the '08 playoffs. They haven't won a game since.

I'm so sorry Pistons fans

Currently held by the Sixers, with a 28-game streak stretched across 2014-15 and 2015-16.

The longest single-season losing streak is 26, a tie between the Cavs' 2010-11 and the Sixers' 2013-14 seasons.

The next 9 Piston games are as follow, all in December:

vs 76ers

@ 76ers

@ Bucks

@ Hawks

vs Jazz

@ Nets

vs Nets (27th loss here, will break the record for longest single-season losing-streak)

@ Celtics

vs Raptors

Source:

Personally I have the Jazz game on Dec 21st circled.

I do retain faith that Monty and the boys are better than their losing streak might suggest.

But it also seems difficult to see where they'll get their next win from, they're so sorely lacking top level talents.

And he’s just entering his prime. Repent all ye sinners.

Another really good night for me. Was able to overcome a lot of the land minds i had because jaren had a legacy game. Hopefully you guys avoided them because there was a lot of them tonight. Got a nice solid 5 gamer for tomorrow.

DFS -

prize picks -

If discord is something you are interested in, Will have a link below where i have in-depth content going over each slate, player pools for cash and gpps, cores and much more.

Edit: KD out. im really only considering booker who is very good but with beal back dont like much else

Edit: levert in. no interest in the cavs outside of maybe allen or mitchell.

Edit: thj in. very solid play. still love luka/exum. Grant williams solid value. stiill like lively. nothing else standing out

Tough one yesterday. DJJ injured in the first 5 minutes and was in both my lineups, along with Nick Richards, who decided it was a cardio day. Brutal. Onto the next.

Got a 5 gamer today that feels a bit like a breath of fresh air. Let's dive in

Lakers @ Mavs (LA -3 232.5)

This game is a total mess. The Lakers currently have AD, Bron, and Jarred Vanderbilt listed as game time decisions. Gabe Vincent remains OUT. They've been doing this all year with their guys, so id imagine they'd play, unless the Mavs decide to suit up their G League +Luka unit. The Mavs have Josh Green listed OUT and the following guys are all GTD; THJ, Kyrie, DJJ, Kleber, Grant Williams. I can't imagine they all sit, but I also can't imagine they all play. Tough to feel great about anything outside of Luka until this news breaks. It's the first game of the day at least. Stay tuned.

Cavs @ Celtics (Bos -12 224.5)

Evan Mobley is OUT and Caris Levert is a game time decision. Despite the big spread, I think you can give some of these Cavs guys a look. Statistical regression is a thing, and looking at these Cavs shooting numbers is wild. Donovan Mitchell over the last two games is 15/35 from the field and 5/18 from 3. He's capable of getting hot any given night and smashing a $9200 price. Max Strus is 5/26 from the field and 2/16 from 3. Yo what!! That's insanely horrible. Georges Niang went 0/10 from the field last night! These are NBA players that are historically good shooters and see a high volume. I like the idea of a bounce back here. Not really a fan of Niangs $4900 price tag, but 10 shots is good to see. Strus and Allen look good at their mid $6k numbers. Especially if Levert sits too.
On the other side Jayson Tatum is $9900. I feel like it's rare to see him below the 10k threshold, but it's because these Cs are healthy and there's a lot of mouths to feed. I think anyone of them is capable of crushing their number tonight, they've all shown the ceiling potential. Derrick White $6400 has been on a tear lately, yet for some reason his price is the lowest in his last 6 games. It's likely due to KP returning, but White has put up nearly 40 fantasy points per game over the last 6 outings on shooting numbers well below his season averages. He could definitely continue his upward trend here. Jrue looks pretty solid too at only $6700. Jaylen Brown catches my eye a bit at $7900. Who's going to guard him on the Cavs? Strus can't guard both him and Tatum. Dean Wade?? Okoro off the bench? Idk this seems like a spot where he turns into the 1 guy too many for the Cavs defense. Can't see using the Cavs value guys in the upper 4ks, and I'm probably not going to regret avoiding Tristan two days in a row. There's tournament upside here, but it's probably not somewhere you're looking for cash games, outside of one of the studs as a last piece.

Denver @ Chicago (Den -7.5 220)

The Bulls are coming off a tough OT loss but have to be feeling good about their momentum. Both teams are on a b2b and are coming off travel, and both rotations could be tighter due to injury. The Bulls have Caruso, and Torrey Craig listed as GTD, and Lavine remains OUT. Pat Williams is probable. The Nuggets have AG and Jamal Murray listed as GTD. This Coby White price thing is ridiculous. He's listed at $7200. Over his last 5 games without Lavine, hes playing like 40+ minutes (2 OT games, the other 3 are 38/39/40), averaging 45 fpts/game, and the Bulls are 4-1 with their only loss being to the healthy Bucks in OT in Milwaukee. His price dropped after yesterday. He's taken over 10 3p att 3 times out of these last 5 games, and over 15 Fga in all 5. He's closer to deserving an 8k price tag than dropping back below 7. Speaking of mis prices, Demar DeRozan is $8200 again after dropping a 60 piece last night. WTF. He's had over 10 assists in 3 of his last 4 and should also be seeing close to 40 minutes tonight. These two guys are underpriced and are performing as good as anyone. Even Vuc is seeing his lowest price in the last 4 games despite going for over 40 fpoints in all 3 of his last outings. Especially if the Nuggets are short handed, you can load up on these guys. On the Nugget side Jamal is too cheap at $7300 if he goes, and both RJAX $6300 and MPJ $7600 are way too highly priced if everyone plays. Probably even if those guys sit. I'd look more to Braun or Watson at $4200 and $4100 if guys sit, or just try and force Jokic $11900 in somehow. Tough today unless we get some of that Mavs or Lakers value.

Warriors @ Sons (PHX -1 231.5)

KD has been ruled OUT tonight, along with Grayson Allen and Nas Little but Brad Beal will play. I cant see him getting over 30 minutes tonight, but $6900 isnt an awful price. Devin Booker at $10400 is fine as a starting spend up, but Steph looks pretty good at $9500. I would assume that KBD $4800 gets the start for the Suns, which takes him out of the equation. Book/Beal/Gordon far too high usage for him to get his. I'm not a fan of Gordon's price at $6600, and definitely not a fan of bench Okogie at $4900 or even Jordan Goodwin $5300. I think the only value here is with Yuta Watanabe at $4000 and it's not that great. He'll at least shoot 3s at a high clip. The Warriors don't have the greatest prices either here, $6900 feels a tad expensive for Draymond, and way too expensive with $6800 for CP3. Klay is OK at $6400. Wiggins has the highest upside at $5600 but hes just as capable of dropping 14 as he is 40. This total is high and the spread is tight so I guess we should feel more confident in this game than I currently am. I like the Warriors to win this game outright. Phoenix needs a point guard bad, they looked awful vs the Kings without KD. Beal should help a little but can't imagine he's at his best. I'd also hammer the over on 0.5 ejections lol. Feel like it happens every time these two play.

Kings @ Clippers (LA -3 236)

Gotta think they were assuming one of the Clipper studs sit tonight with this Russ price getting moved all the way up to $7400. There's no one of importance on the injury report for either side, however, so it makes little sense. In what world is a Russ that hasn't seen more than 20 minutes in the last 4 games a more expensive play than Coby White. Even if somebody sat...like what? Make it make sense. The other studs look great. Kawhi at $8000 has scored over 50 fpts in 4 of his last 7 but continues to be priced right here. Wild stuff. He's a great play again today. PG at $8400 looks great too. He hasn't been hitting his ceiling but has gone over 40 in 4 straight. Same with Harden at $7800. No price raise at all despite consistent production. Norm Powell and Terance Mann are also ones who saw a price raise, so I won't be playing them today. Solid minutes but, it's the stars or bust for the Clips. On the Kings side, I really really like Deaaron Fox tonight. Back to the theory of statistical regression, he's shooting 44% from the field over his last 4 games. He is one of the best and most efficient mid range and around the rim scorers in the league over the last few years, and having watched these games, is missing a lot of shots he normally makes. He's leading the league in FGA/Game, and is averaging over 30pts/night on lower efficiency from the field than his career numbers. A good shooting night could be a fucking smashtown spot, and as a Kings fan that lives in LA, he tends to perform quite well in this town. He's averaging close to 28/5/8 per game over his last 7 games in LA vs the clippers dating back to 2020 and he's a different dude these days. A little bit of shooting regression to the mean and boom. Domas looks great at $9400 too. He's a walking double double with triple double upside and absolutely shat the bed against the clips last time out. I'd expect him to have a good one here as well. Malik Monk might still have odds near 20/1 for 6moty and you should look into that. He's had 5 games this season of 20+ pts and 5+ assts, leading in that category for players off the bench. Yet Russ was almost half as long as his odds last I checked. Wild. The Kings as a whole shot the ball extremely well from 3 last night, and id expect the good vibes to keep on flowing. Guys like Monk, Keegan, Huerter, Barnes, Lyles, and Sasha are all good shooters, just they all can't have a day at the same time. With all of them priced between 4-6k, you can grab a couple and feel decent. Keegan, Monk, and Lyles are probably the safest in their minutes.

B.O.L 🐈

I know the Spurs lose all their game, curious if we are in danger of Bill breaking out the ‘are we sure he’s good’ conversation yet.

Title.

asking bc I just learned that Jordan Poole gets a $1M bonus if he earns MVP, and $1M if he earns DPOY.

Accord to the NBA tracking stats, every 3 pointer Okogie has shot this season has been either open or wide open. He's shooting 23.4%. Credit to the Timeline pod for mentioning this outrageous stat. Lock this man in the gym.

Source:

Lakers: D’Angelo Russell, Gabe Vincent, Christian Wood:

"The team with some guys that are interesting when you look at that December 15 date is the In-Season tournament champions, the Los Angeles Lakers."

"When you mention who the Lakers are targeting, the obvious target is Zach LaVine."

"I saw reports that the Bulls are interested in Austin Reaves, but the Lakers wouldn’t do that."

"The Bulls are interesting because they almost make it seem like they want to keep DeMar DeRozan, the older player, and you’ve got Vooch (Nikola Vucevic) in his 30s."

"When I wrote the top trade candidates piece recently, we touched on that they’re not necessarily looking for straight draft capital. They’re looking for players that can help them win now and maybe a pick down the line if they can add to their cupboard."

Cavaliers: Caris LeVert:

"One of the guys on their roster that becomes trade-eligible December 15 is Caris LeVert."

"Because if the Cavaliers re-sign Mitchell on a max contract, Jarrett Allen could become more expendable down the line, and they’re going to have to make other roster decisions."

"As I mentioned in the top trade candidates piece, it’s got to be for a guy that’s going to really help them move the needle and win now because they do like Caris and the like Allen as well."

"They’re still a Top 10 defense like last year, but they’ve been struggling on offense."

"I would say that if the Cavaliers do something, it’s probably more smaller scale moves to try to reshuffle their bench and get pieces that can improve on offense."

"Cleveland obviously is going to want to keep Mitchell, and they’ll have time down the line where they can decide at any point whether they want to move him or not."

Rockets: Jock Landale and Jeff Green:

"As I mentioned in my top trade candidates piece, Houston will look to continue to upgrade the roster, and they’ve got the tradable contracts with Victor Oladipo, Jock Landale, Jeff Green, and they have future draft picks as well."

"Houston’s been pretty good this year. They’re in the Play-In range right now with a fourth-ranked defense, 3.0 net rating and an 11-9 start."

"Do they still want to get another rim protector to back up Sengun? They don’t have that rim protector off the bench or on the roster at all."

"Do they want to go all in on a starter? Would they consider something like moving some of their young players to add another starter or even the next available All-Star if that player becomes available."

"I think they have the pieces to get that type of a trade done, and between Green, Landale and Oladipo, who he’s already trade eligible, but the Rockets could aggregate him two days after December 15. Between those three guys, you could take back up to $35 million. You could trade for just about anybody. If they want to swing for that type of All-Star, if that player becomes available, they could."

Bulls: Jevon Carter and Torrey Craig:

"I wondered about Jevon Carter and Torrey Craig on the Bulls because I do think those guys would have value. I remember in the offseason, Minnesota was also looking at Carter, in addition to Chicago. Craig had a number of teams as well because he’s a good role player."

"With their direction being uncertain, I would definitely monitor those two guys. They could definitely be on the move if they enter that rebuild."

"If the Bulls end up trading a lot of their best players, their starters, LaVine, DeRozan, and Caruso, then eventually, that’ll probably also extend to some of their bench players."

Nuggets: Reggie Jackson:

"The player I’m looking at is Reggie Jackson because he makes the most money on the roster besides their starters. They re-signed him to a two-year deal making $5 million this year. He waived his implicit no trade clause."

"If they can package Jackson and maybe another player who has a decent salary like Zeke Nnaji, you can get back a $10 million or so player that is their definitive sixth man and another veteran that they could really depend on, that’s something I’d monitor."

Mavericks: Seth Curry:

"We don’t have a timeline yet on Irving, but Curry becomes eligible to be traded on December 15. Teams are always looking for more shooting. He signed a two-year, $8 million dollar deal that’s non-guaranteed next season."

"For the playoffs, I think they need to trade some of these guards, if possible and try to get another wing and some more versatility on the wing, especially defensively. I don’t think they’ve truly replaced Dorian Finney-Smith yet, as nice as Grant Williams has been."

Grizzlies: Derrick Rose:

"If Derrick Rose wanted to try to chase a ring and a team needed a backup point guard, he’s still shown he’s got some gas left in the tank. I’ve always admired his ability to kind of redefine his career after he got hurt with the Bulls and have such longevity."

"I know that part of the reason they signed him was because they wanted another veteran in the locker room with all the issues that went on last year. I would guess they keep him."

"Bismack Biyombo is one of their few big men. Kenneth Lofton Jr. is a name to keep an eye on there. John Konchar has been a trade candidate as well."

Suns:

"A couple guys that become trade eligible are Bol Bol, Chimezie Metu, Damion Lee, who’s injured… Maybe you can combine some of them to try to get a slightly more expensive player and clear a roster spot to try to get someone else later."

I've been modeling NBA data for a couple months, and this is one of my favorite insights so far:

Tools i'm using:

- 𝐈𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧: public NBA API + Python

- 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞: DuckDB (development) & Snowflake (Production)

- 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬: (dbt)

- 𝐒𝐞𝐫𝐯𝐢𝐧𝐠 (𝐁𝐈) -Lightdash

You can find, critique, and contribute to my NBA project here: