NBA
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In 2015-16 Kobe had the highest salary in the league at $25 million.
He put up 17.5/4/3 with the 4th highest usage rate that year playing around 28 MPG. Shooting splits of 36/28/83 for the 7th lowest TS% in the league. Meanwhile, the lakers finished bottom of the West with a 17-65 record.
Looking at advanced metrics: 2nd worst plus minus per game, 4th worst defensive box plus minus, 7th lowest win shares and 2nd lowest WS/48 (both negative) and all of which are the worst among Lakers players that year.
I understand he was injured and it was a farewell tour but purely from a production relative to salary perspective is this the worst season by a player ever or would it still be better than e.g a star being injured all year or refusing to play but making the max.
Update for some additional context: 3 other players have been highest paid in the league during their final season. Mikan 1954: 18/14, 3-peated championship, Bird 1992: 20/10/7 for a 2 seed, injured in playoffs, Jordan 1998: MVP, 3-peated championship, that’s the standard.
Thank you for your patience, the wait is over.
The link will take you to my gumroad page where you can download and read the Almanac. Thank you again for all your kind comments and appreciative thoughts. It has been a pleasure. Enjoy the NBA season.
The NBA regular season starts in less than 24 hours, so there's just enough time for one last offseason shitpost. While most of these clips represent current players, some are former players, and some are just NBA-adjacent figures. Be careful with the volume, some of the clips are loud.
LeBron giving his next big speech
Mason Plumlee shooting free throws
Ben Simmons when asked to shoot the ball
Embiid the second he feels contact
Karl Malone on To Catch A Predator
Kyrie after watching 21 Jump Street
Adam Silver explaining the DraftKings sponsorship
Celtics and Jazz fans in the offseason
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Tier 1: Bonafide Contenders (high-floor, high-ceiling)
All of these teams have an MVP-caliber player, good secondary stars, good two-way players, bigs with roll gravity/post presence, enough size, and spacing.
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Nuggets
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Celtics
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Bucks
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Suns
Tier 2: Should be in the mix (low-floor, high-ceiling)
All these teams have a DPOY-tier defensive presence, MVP-tier primary star, and some very experienced pieces. Overall still pretty flawed aging squads with large holes - so they might very well find themselves back in the play-in battle due to injuries/regression.
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Lakers
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Warriors (prolly closer to Tier 4 due to their allergy to size)
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maybeeee Miami Heat (although they’re prolly closer to Tier 4)
Tier 3: Fool’s Gold (High-floor, low-ceiling)
Typically have a commanding rim presence and/or size which translates very well regular season success. Lack the firepower/experience/spacing to make it deep into the playoffs.
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Wolves
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Knicks
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Grizzlies
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76ers
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Cavs
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Kings: only team on this list to do it with overwhelming offensive force than defense
Tier 4: Mid-table contenders (several pieces away)
Talented teams, but no MVP-level players typically. And these teams often lack balance (either they have no size, or rim protection, or no secondary scoring, or no depth).
Best hope is to make the playoffs and pray.
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Raptors: no spacing
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Magic: young team which still needs more spacing
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Nets: no elite talents
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Bulls: great defense, no elite talents in offense
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Pacers: no elite talents
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Hawks: too many one way talents
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Mavs: relying on two rookies for the season is a disastrous idea. Playin fodder at best, despite Luka’s greatness.
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Pelicans: Mid team outside of Zion (Trey gonna get good though)
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Thunder: Some hot talents, too early to put it all together
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Clippers: no real shooting
Tier 5: Tankathon
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Wizards
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Pistons
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Trailblazers
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Hornets
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Spurs
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Jazz
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Rockets (no pick, but they’re still rebuilding)
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The Minnesota Vikings (1960) kinda have the Senators/Rangers (1961) beat, but that depends on how you view their NFL championship (1969).
ETA - it was pointed out in a comment and double-checked by myself that the Senators/Rangers played their first game before the Vikings did, so that tidbit is, in fact, irrelevant.
We are finally back. The wait has been killing me but it's finally over. I am ready to endure another extremely fun but painful NBA season with you guys and we start it off with a pretty star studded slate with a lot of miss pricings. Hope this helps you guys and ill make updates as always when we do get news although i expect booker and beal to play.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qWxx6Z9rpG0&feature=youtu.be
if discord is something you are interested in, Will have a link to that below where i have in-depth content going over each slate, player pools for cash and gpps, cores for cash and gpps and much more.
https://www.patreon.com/shookdfs
Edit: beal OUT, with beal out eric gordon now becomes a solid value. Booker gets a huge boost Grayson allen probably starts and is a better play now. okogie was already a solid value and is now even better. KD looks great. Im not convinced goodwin gets a big boost, i think they could just have EG handle the ball some with booker off the court
Edit: goodwin is in play, i just think there is a slight chance they can just go to EG. goodwin will def be in the rotation and hes a good producer so ii still have interest in him
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I'm still me, 5'9, out of shape. But I discover I have this ability to score 2 points, anytime I have the ball in my hands and get get a shot off, backwards, granny style anything. It's good. Now I've had a discussion with my friends. One says I wouldn't get a contract, I believe I'm worth than minimum. I think my value would be coming into on games decided by a final possession. That should be able to shift the outcome of at least, The negatives? You may need to use fouls and timeouts to get me out of the game so I don't instantly give that 2 points back. I'm short and slow so if I have an NBA player on me I would almost assuredly be denied the ball.
We're back, y'all! Are you ready for the season to begin???
Live from Denver, Ernie, Kenny, Charles and Shaq preview the season's opening games, and the Nuggets raise their banner and receive their rings.
Hello everyone, it's NBA season again and we have a softly priced two gamer to kick the season off and some injury news to really get us right into the swing of things. Ownership will condense and it will be hard to find pivot plays in such a small slate.
If anyone has any questions or lineup debates feel free to ask! I also have full slate projections every night for NBA posted to Jay's Discord linked below.
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For more content and quicker responses you can find me on Discord in Jay's server: https://discord.gg/B7TuyfJY
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The Patreon link is here https://www.patreon.com/JaySpeaking for complete access and to Jay's MMA / NASCAR picks of the week. NFL content is not behind a paywall this week.
Notable injuries
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Jarred Vanderbilt - OUT
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Bradley Beal - DOUBTFUL (I'm not projecting him to play)
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Devin Booker - QUESTIONABLE (said he's playing so projecting him in)
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Draymond Green - OUT
LAL (111.5) @ DEN (117)
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Both teams remain largely unchanged, especially for the starting 5 from last year. For the Denver side I would expect Christian Braun to fill the swiss-army knife role Bruce Brown had for them last season to an extent while Justin Holiday should slide into Jeff Greens role on the team. New rookie Julian Strawther looks to fill some sort of role that I think increases as the season goes but rookies on contenders don't generally jump out of the gates too quickly. I wouldn't expect too much of a minute restriction as Mike Malone played these guys normal minutes to start the season last year but ran a little longer rotation as most coaches will do. I think you can expect a 10-12 man rotation from him tonight with the bottom two largely ignored (DJ and Watson). Jokic, Murray, Gordon, and MPJ will remain the horses for this team. KCP will have a large minutes share but at $4800 is only in consideration in large contests as his likely output is in the low 20's tonight in FPTS. Braun was a little banged up in the preseason but is certainly in pivot consideration at $4400 in large contests. Jokic remains a cornerstone to any cash lineup tonight and should be in play across the board along with Murray.
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For the Lakers you have a few rotational pieces that are new. Christian Wood comes in with an unknown role and a high price tag at $6200 and can be ignored as anything but a bad gamble. I don't know how you keep that guy on the floor in any minutes with Jokic also out there. Jaxson Hayes likely splits the available 22-25 minutes with Wood and at $3600 is in fringe consideration tonight in medium to large contests but one you should have minimal exposure to. De'Angelo Russell re-signed and his contract is pure trade bait for a Kyrie salary match. I think D-Lo starts but there is a really good chance new signee Gabe Vincent closes the game tonight and is a decent play that could get there in medium to large contests. Another new signee Taurean Prince likely gets the nod to start tonight but I wouldn't expect any booming result from him given the usage soak from both AD and Lebron. In the playoffs vs DEN the Lakers liked to run big lineups and use Rui Hachimura a lot for Jokic. While he's priced about right at $5100 we could see him get a semi-ceiling game tonight if that trend continues. Cam Reddish and Max Christie likely receive single digit minutes tonight. As the case with Jokic I believe either AD or Lebron is an almost certain lock to any cash lineup tonight and at the moment I am leaning towards AD.
PHX (115) @ GSW (118)
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For the Suns people are going to jump all over this team early on due to the acquisitions made in the offseason. Bradley Beal is out so we will have to see how his role gets carved out another day. This team had a center who didn't care half the time last season and acquired a new one in Nurkic who, while being a decent fantasy option is oft injured and also plays suspect defense. Fortunately tonight their lack of defensive impactful size won't be exploited as much by Golden State. Nurkic at $6300 vs a GSW team that lacks much size themselves remains decent value at the expense of heavier ownership due to lack of options at the position in a two gamer. Devin Booker and Kevin Durant at their prices are certainly in play tonight. The bench acquisitions on this team are substantial and were their biggest weakness last year. With Beal out it isn't as cloudy as it was before that news dropped but it remains to be seen if Eric Gordon, Jordan Goodwin, or one of the wings benefits tonight. People will steam whichever starts but I'll be keeping my eye on the under owned Jordan Goodwin to see how this starts out. He provides great athleticism and two-way talent with a huge 6'10" wingspan. I thought it was the sneaky part of the Beal trade and that WAS made a mistake throwing him in. Grayson Allen probably gets the start and Drew Eubanks will provide good backup center minutes to Nurkic who finds himself in foul trouble more often than I'd like. Someone has to play 3rd fiddle tonight and with a new coach it's a guess as to who. Right now I'm projecting a close minutes share between Okogie, Allen, and Gordon while Goodwin plays minimal minutes. The first three def being in the conversation tonight while Goodwin is probably a large field dart to start the year. Watanabe may also see 12-16 minutes tonight.
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For Golden State they got a shiny (old?) toy in Chris Paul. CP3 is a basketball genius but one who is a ball dominant old school point guard who is playing in an off ball offense. I don't know how it goes, probably rough patches to start that they eventually figure out but his price is just too low to ignore tonight. I expect CP3 to handle more of the ball handling load tonight and will handle all of it with the second unit while he splits more of it up when Draymond returns. Steph Curry remains a beast and someone who terrifies anyone who fades him on a small slate. His ceiling is somewhere between the moon and Mars but he can also have lineup sinking DFS results when Klay is running hot, this is nothing new. With Draymond out Looney gets a little more minute share tonight and he could dominate the boards like he did late last season. Dario Saric is a really good pickup that likely gets 15-20 minutes tonight at $3400. Jonathan Kuminga looks to take his big leap this season at $4600 and likely plays mid 20's in minutes. The one player I'm looking at is Andrew Wiggins who will be asked to rebound a lot more than usual like he did in their last championship run and at $5500 is a great deal. I think GSW need him to be aggressive tonight and he's just in a great spot to do so while his ownership may creep near 50% tonight due to the soft price on him.
FAVORITE PLAYS
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Nikola Jokic
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Anthony Davis
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Chris Paul
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Andrew Wiggins
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Kevon Looney
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Dario Saric
FAVORITE PLAYS w/RISK
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Steph (only risk is usage spread, he's scary to fade)
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Durant (would normally say max 1 of Durant and Booker but pricing is soft enough it's okay)
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Booker (same as Durant, the risk is heavy usage to one or the other and the total staying low)
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Murray
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Lebron
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Nurkic
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Kuminga
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Okogie
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Vincent (only if you bank on him to close over D-Lo)
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Gordon
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Hayes
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Goodwin (more of a large field play for me)
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As I've done the past few seasons I've compiled all the Top 100 player lists into one. This year there were a lot more lists to add which, IMO, only helps with the rankings.
For the 4th year in a row we have a new #1 and for the 4th year in a row we have a (almost - thanks, ESPN...) consensus: Nikola Jokic
Some highlights:
- Warriors with 6 players in the Top 100 (Celtics just missed). Celtics, Bucks, and ...Blazers(!) each with 5 players ranked. Hornets with 1
- Bucks and Suns tied for the best duo ranking, Suns win the best trio ranking, and the Celtics have the best 4 and 5 player rankings average
- Highest ranked player that was not ranked on one of the lists: Deandre Ayton (#64)
- Lowest ranked player that was ranked on all the lists: Tobias Harris (#78)
- Highest risers since last year: Lauri Markkanen (+66), Paolo Banchero (+55/Rookie), Austin Reaves (+40)
- Biggest droppers since last year: Chris Paul (-50), John Collins (-35), Rudy Gobert (-34)
- LeMelo Ball stands out for being ranked all over the place (high of #27, low of #84) while on the opposite end of the spectrum everyone agrees that Zach Zavine is a Top ~40 player (high of #32, low of #44). I always find the range differences interesting
Note that Rookies are usually not included in most of these lists but sometimes they are and the group this year is obviously better than usual. So I've added them at the bottom, but not included them in the overall rankings, with Wemby landing around #57 if he was included
Hope you enjoy!
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