WELCOME TO THE WEEK 13 RESULTS OF THE 2023 CFB RP POINTS STANDINGS!
My mathematical formula ranks teams based on how many points they earn over the course of the season (similar to the NHL and MLS), and the value of each win or loss is based on the Massey Composite Rating. These rankings will be posted weekly here on r/CFBAnalysis.
Click the links below to see past rankings and how the formula works.
Preseason Rankings/Formula
Week 1 Rankings
Week 2 Rankings
Week 3 Rankings
Week 4 Rankings
Week 5 Rankings
Week 6 Rankings
Week 7 Rankings
Week 8 Rankings
Week 9 Rankings
Week 10 Rankings
Week 11 Rankings
Week 12 Rankings
WEEK 14 MATCHUPS
RANKED MATCHUPS
-
#1 Michigan vs #17 Iowa
-
#2 Washington vs #7 Oregon
-
#3 Georgia vs #8 Alabama
-
#4 Florida State vs #15 Louisville
-
#20 Tulane vs #24 SMU
KEY MATCHUPS
-
#5 Texas vs Oklahoma State
-
#19 Toledo vs Miami (OH)
-
#11 Liberty vs New Mexico State
-
#21 Troy vs Appalachian State
-
UNLV vs Boise State
WEEK 13 RANKINGS
My flair will tell you that I am in pain, but this isn't about me, this is about the points standings. The 4 team playoff is still up for grabs and 7 teams are eligible (compared to the 8 teams eligible in the committee rankings).
This is where the formula falls short, as Ohio State is mathematically eliminated from the playoff regardless of championship week results, and the formula cannot possibly account for a Florida State team without their starting quarterback. This year has made me realize that I might need a new metric to base TeamValue off of, as I don't think this iteration of the formula is accurately valuing the quality of each teams resume, especially when it comes to game control and value points.
EXAMPLES:
-
Washington's resume is propped up on early season blowout wins despite looking shaky for the past month.
-
Michigan's most valuable win is at Penn State rather than their win over Ohio State, simply because it was away from home. Are away wins being valued too much, or is their not enough separation in TeamValue to truly value the gap between teams.
-
Oklahoma State's resume is massively punished by the South Alabama loss, but they aren't getting enough credit for their wins over Kansas and Oklahoma. Their West Virginia win is actually the most valuable win on their resume, that is not right.
| RANK | TEAM | RECORD | CONF | POINTS | TEAMV | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | 12-0 | 9-0 | 272.797 | 13.254 | 97.659 |
| 2 | Washington | 12-0 | 9-0 | 264.764 | 12.795 | 108.831 |
| 3 | Georgia | 12-0 | 8-0 | 264.329 | 13.058 | 94.958 |
| 4 | Florida State | 12-0 | 8-0 | 251.058 | 12.694 | 91.553 |
| 5 | Texas | 11-1 | 8-1 | 248.027 | 12.844 | 111.004 |
| 6 | Ohio State | 11-1 | 8-1 | 245.223 | 12.975 | 90.548 |
| 7 | Oregon | 11-1 | 8-1 | 245.031 | 12.862 | 98.264 |
| 8 | Alabama | 11-1 | 8-0 | 234.782 | 12.687 | 106.453 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | 10-2 | 7-2 | 217.045 | 12.372 | 96.273 |
| 10 | Penn State | 10-2 | 7-2 | 216.784 | 12.629 | 88.755 |
| 11 | Liberty | 12-0 | 8-0 | 212.425 | 10.819 | 46.877 |
| 12 | James Madison | 11-1 | 7-1 | 205.621 | 11.177 | 60.744 |
| 13 | Missouri | 10-2 | 6-2 | 201.304 | 12.095 | 90.809 |
| 14 | Ole Miss | 10-2 | 6-2 | 198.530 | 11.963 | 89.167 |
| 15 | Louisville | 10-2 | 7-1 | 191.938 | 11.584 | 97.648 |
| 16 | LSU | 9-3 | 6-2 | 186.508 | 12.108 | 96.300 |
| 17 | Iowa | 10-2 | 7-2 | 184.542 | 11.116 | 97.280 |
| 18 | Notre Dame | 9-3 | ----- | 183.901 | 11.908 | 83.893 |
| 19 | Toledo | 11-1 | 8-0 | 182.700 | 9.617 | 51.575 |
| 20 | Tulane | 11-1 | 8-0 | 182.689 | 10.271 | 62.079 |
| 21 | Troy | 10-2 | 7-1 | 175.437 | 10.453 | 67.877 |
| 22 | Arizona | 9-3 | 7-2 | 172.015 | 11.503 | 82.413 |
| 23 | Kansas State | 8-4 | 6-3 | 167.941 | 11.610 | 99.531 |
| 24 | SMU | 10-2 | 8-0 | 165.159 | 10.361 | 55.669 |
| 25 | NC State | 9-3 | 6-2 | 163.800 | 10.801 | 86.899 |
| 26 | Oklahoma State | 9-3 | 7-2 | 157.169 | 10.522 | 100.392 |
| 27 | Oregon State | 8-4 | 5-4 | 155.993 | 11.313 | 92.880 |
| 28 | Miami (OH) | 10-2 | 7-1 | 152.373 | 8.192 | 52.397 |
| 29 | Clemson | 8-4 | 4-4 | 149.092 | 10.971 | 93.321 |
| 30 | Kansas | 8-4 | 5-4 | 144.565 | 10.690 | 91.076 |
| 31 | Utah | 8-4 | 5-4 | 142.607 | 10.887 | 96.920 |
| 32 | Tennessee | 8-4 | 4-4 | 139.247 | 10.768 | 87.679 |
| 33 | Memphis | 9-3 | 6-2 | 139.216 | 8.731 | 58.385 |
| 34 | North Carolina | 8-4 | 4-4 | 137.503 | 9.891 | 85.812 |
| 35 | New Mexico State | 10-3 | 7-1 | 136.807 | 7.270 | 52.626 |
| 36 | UNLV | 9-3 | 6-2 | 136.140 | 8.758 | 63.751 |
| 37 | West Virginia | 8-4 | 6-3 | 129.238 | 9.642 | 81.797 |
| 38 | Miami | 7-5 | 3-5 | 121.762 | 9.801 | 92.460 |
| 39 | Iowa State | 7-5 | 6-3 | 120.462 | 10.281 | 96.682 |
| 40 | Texas A&M | 7-5 | 4-4 | 120.395 | 10.242 | 87.653 |
| 41 | USC | 7-5 | 5-4 | 119.387 | 10.152 | 99.735 |
| 42 | Duke | 7-5 | 4-4 | 117.263 | 9.678 | 90.085 |
| 43 | Ohio | 9-3 | 6-2 | 114.958 | 6.573 | 39.286 |
| 44 | Appalachian State | 8-4 | 6-2 | 113.276 | 8.294 | 68.636 |
| 45 | Wyoming | 8-4 | 5-3 | 112.259 | 7.931 | 69.527 |
| 46 | Air Force | 8-4 | 5-3 | 111.964 | 7.482 | 54.682 |
| 47 | UCLA | 7-5 | 4-5 | 106.970 | 9.008 | 82.462 |
| 48 | Kentucky | 7-5 | 3-5 | 105.788 | 9.353 | 85.935 |
| 49 | Maryland | 7-5 | 4-5 | 105.192 | 9.364 | 81.328 |
| 50 | UTSA | 8-4 | 7-1 | 103.171 | 7.435 | 51.936 |
| 51 | Fresno State | 8-4 | 4-4 | 100.174 | 6.665 | 53.709 |
| 52 | Wisconsin | 7-5 | 5-4 | 99.528 | 8.629 | 81.399 |
| 53 | Boise State | 7-5 | 6-2 | 98.572 | 8.469 | 81.361 |
| 54 | Jacksonville State | 8-4 | 6-2 | 97.024 | 6.426 | 46.798 |
| 55 | San Jose State | 7-5 | 6-2 | 97.016 | 8.069 | 74.448 |
| 56 | Northwestern | 7-5 | 5-4 | 95.831 | 7.951 | 85.381 |
| 57 | Texas Tech | 6-6 | 5-4 | 85.423 | 8.591 | 95.632 |
| 58 | Auburn | 6-6 | 3-5 | 84.524 | 8.730 | 90.594 |
| 59 | Georgia Tech | 6-6 | 5-3 | 82.787 | 7.909 | 93.678 |
| 60 | Coastal Carolina | 7-5 | 5-3 | 82.124 | 6.501 | 67.123 |
| 61 | UCF | 6-6 | 3-6 | 80.850 | 8.247 | 83.403 |
| 62 | Cal | 6-6 | 4-5 | 80.828 | 8.421 | 94.207 |
| 63 | Rutgers | 6-6 | 3-6 | 80.377 | 7.845 | 93.332 |
| 64 | Virginia Tech | 6-6 | 5-3 | 80.091 | 7.887 | 83.004 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | 7-5 | 5-3 | 79.851 | 5.996 | 62.355 |
| 66 | Western Kentucky | 7-5 | 5-3 | 75.382 | 5.804 | 58.078 |
| 67 | TCU | 5-7 | 3-6 | 64.863 | 7.958 | 95.004 |
| 68 | Texas State | 7-5 | 4-4 | 64.514 | 4.932 | 50.082 |
| 69 | South Alabama | 6-6 | 4-4 | 62.919 | 6.425 | 65.294 |
| 70 | Washington State | 5-7 | 2-7 | 59.431 | 7.282 | 91.249 |
| 71 | Florida | 5-7 | 3-5 | 58.173 | 7.605 | 96.668 |
| 72 | Syracuse | 6-6 | 2-6 | 57.874 | 6.196 | 75.478 |
| 73 | Boston College | 6-6 | 3-5 | 57.249 | 5.370 | 73.467 |
| 74 | South Carolina | 5-7 | 3-5 | 56.990 | 7.448 | 98.642 |
| 75 | Arkansas State | 6-6 | 4-4 | 48.647 | 4.314 | 62.133 |
| 76 | Old Dominion | 6-6 | 5-3 | 48.236 | 4.827 | 69.209 |
| 77 | Marshall | 6-6 | 3-5 | 48.025 | 4.982 | 70.843 |
| 78 | Georgia Southern | 6-6 | 3-5 | 47.438 | 4.317 | 58.921 |
| 79 | Georgia State | 6-6 | 3-5 | 45.937 | 4.748 | 68.989 |
| 80 | Nebraska | 5-7 | 3-6 | 45.076 | 6.308 | 83.868 |
| 81 | Utah State | 6-6 | 4-4 | 44.916 | 4.587 | 63.129 |
| 82 | Northern Illinois | 6-6 | 5-3 | 43.936 | 3.600 | 38.836 |
| 83 | Illinois | 5-7 | 3-6 | 43.010 | 6.366 | 94.744 |
| 84 | BYU | 5-7 | 2-7 | 42.930 | 5.997 | 93.033 |
| 85 | Mississippi State | 5-7 | 1-7 | 42.263 | 6.087 | 93.276 |
| 86 | Minnesota | 5-7 | 3-6 | 41.965 | 6.365 | 93.700 |
| 87 | Rice | 6-6 | 4-4 | 41.284 | 4.514 | 56.569 |
| 88 | Louisiana | 6-6 | 3-5 | 40.025 | 4.219 | 47.605 |
| 89 | Army | 5-6 | ----- | 28.263 | 4.097 | 60.500 |
| 90 | Colorado | 4-8 | 1-8 | 22.592 | 5.456 | 98.536 |
| 91 | Purdue | 4-8 | 3-6 | 19.981 | 5.770 | 97.611 |
| 92 | Arkansas | 4-8 | 1-7 | 17.303 | 5.352 | 88.351 |
| 93 | USF | 6-6 | 4-4 | 15.950 | 3.318 | 49.431 |
| 94 | Navy | 5-6 | 4-4 | 14.849 | 3.116 | 53.890 |
| 95 | Eastern Michigan | 6-6 | 4-4 | 11.766 | 2.139 | 35.427 |
| 96 | Michigan State | 4-8 | 2-7 | 11.399 | 5.082 | 98.718 |
| 97 | Wake Forest | 4-8 | 1-7 | 10.292 | 4.587 | 89.105 |
| 98 | Colorado State | 5-7 | 3-5 | 9.613 | 3.140 | 58.573 |
| 99 | North Texas | 5-7 | 3-5 | 8.429 | 3.056 | 54.473 |
| 100 | Houston | 4-8 | 2-7 | 7.596 | 4.394 | 89.602 |
| 101 | Central Michigan | 5-7 | 3-5 | -2.715 | 2.168 | 51.218 |
| 102 | Virginia | 3-9 | 2-6 | -3.210 | 4.260 | 104.230 |
| 103 | Stanford | 3-9 | 2-7 | -5.479 | 3.774 | 103.147 |
| 104 | Middle Tennessee | 4-8 | 3-5 | -9.342 | 2.630 | 62.429 |
| 105 | Arizona State | 3-9 | 2-7 | -9.800 | 4.349 | 105.551 |
| 106 | Hawaii | 5-8 | 3-5 | -9.859 | 2.449 | 67.092 |
| 107 | Indiana | 3-9 | 1-8 | -11.021 | 3.899 | 93.781 |
| 108 | Pitt | 3-9 | 2-6 | -11.635 | 4.088 | 92.977 |
| 109 | San Diego State | 4-8 | 2-6 | -12.117 | 2.825 | 68.458 |
| 110 | Western Michigan | 4-8 | 3-5 | -13.329 | 2.213 | 63.858 |
| 111 | FAU | 4-8 | 3-5 | -16.276 | 2.408 | 55.716 |
| 112 | New Mexico | 4-8 | 2-6 | -16.864 | 2.131 | 66.405 |
| 113 | Cincinnati | 3-9 | 1-8 | -17.278 | 3.542 | 87.881 |
| 114 | Ball State | 4-8 | 3-5 | -17.458 | 2.174 | 60.768 |
| 115 | Tulsa | 4-8 | 2-6 | -18.288 | 1.877 | 62.235 |
| 116 | UAB | 4-8 | 3-5 | -19.845 | 2.079 | 60.476 |
| 117 | Baylor | 3-9 | 2-7 | -22.315 | 3.457 | 92.927 |
| 118 | Buffalo | 3-9 | 3-5 | -35.445 | 1.205 | 58.750 |
| 119 | Southern Miss | 3-9 | 2-6 | -38.928 | 1.678 | 73.094 |
| 120 | UMass | 3-9 | ----- | -41.150 | 1.261 | 71.289 |
| 121 | UConn | 3-9 | ----- | -42.406 | 1.351 | 66.944 |
| 122 | Vanderbilt | 2-10 | 0-8 | -44.039 | 2.145 | 96.816 |
| 123 | FIU | 4-8 | 1-7 | -44.506 | 0.721 | 46.174 |
| 124 | UTEP | 3-9 | 2-6 | -45.353 | 1.310 | 64.037 |
| 125 | LA Tech | 3-9 | 2-6 | -49.840 | 0.916 | 55.945 |
| 126 | Sam Houston | 3-9 | 2-6 | -50.691 | 1.240 | 53.768 |
| 127 | Charlotte | 3-9 | 2-6 | -57.347 | 0.760 | 57.593 |
| 128 | East Carolina | 2-10 | 1-7 | -62.178 | 1.552 | 67.270 |
| 129 | Temple | 3-9 | 1-7 | -62.251 | 0.547 | 57.902 |
| 130 | Nevada | 2-10 | 2-6 | -69.735 | 0.704 | 64.261 |
| 131 | UL Monroe | 2-10 | 0-8 | -75.487 | 0.578 | 70.935 |
| 132 | Akron | 2-10 | 1-7 | -92.930 | 0.283 | 43.787 |
| 133 | Kent State | 1-11 | 0-8 | -125.758 | 0.116 | 50.426 |