Posts about NBA
Football Reference has a method of ranking players in terms of all time greatness called weighted Approximate Value. You weigh the player's best season 100%. You weigh the player's second best season 95%. You weight the player's third best season 90%. You get the idea. Its basically a way of balancing longevity with peak. I was interested in applying this method to NBA all time rankings so I pulled up RAPTOR WAR data from 538 and used the same methodology Football reference uses to calculcate Weighted WAR. The 2023 season wasn't included in the file so I couldn't use it in creating this list. The rank order ended up being very similar to the list published in 2019 which used the JAWS method of blending Peak+Longevity https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lebron-or-mj-raptor-picks-the-best-nba-players-of-the-past-40-years/. Main difference is that Harden has risen to number 14 on the all time list which is obviously controversial. This is my personal top 100 list to be clear. I would use other stats and film in conjunction with this kind of analysis. Yes I know Stockton at 3 is weird. Itโs just a product of how much RAPTOR loves Stockton and doesnโt have anything to do with weighted WAR inherently
Rank | Player | Weighted WAR |
---|---|---|
1 | LeBron James | 212.4 |
2 | Michael Jordan | 211.2 |
3 | John Stockton | 195 |
4 | Chris Paul | 169.6 |
5 | Magic Johnson | 162.2 |
6 | Larry Bird | 149.9 |
7 | Kobe Bryant | 148.4 |
8 | Tim Duncan | 147.7 |
9 | Kevin Garnett | 146 |
10 | David Robinson | 145.4 |
11 | Scottie Pippen | 143.3 |
12 | Stephen Curry | 142.5 |
13 | Charles Barkley | 142.5 |
14 | James Harden | 139.2 |
15 | Jason Kidd | 138.7 |
16 | Karl Malone | 137.1 |
17 | Clyde Drexler | 135.5 |
18 | Hakeem Olajuwon | 135.1 |
19 | Dirk Nowitzki | 131.5 |
20 | Shaquille O'Neal | 128.4 |
21 | Gary Payton | 126.5 |
22 | Kevin Durant | 123.2 |
23 | Dwyane Wade | 119.2 |
24 | Reggie Miller | 116.9 |
25 | Ray Allen | 114 |
26 | Manu Ginobili | 111.5 |
27 | Paul Pierce | 109.6 |
28 | Maurice Cheeks | 103.4 |
29 | Julius Erving | 103.1 |
30 | Kareem Abdul-Jabbar | 102.1 |
31 | Steve Nash | 102 |
32 | Vince Carter | 99.7 |
33 | Kawhi Leonard | 98.7 |
34 | Isiah Thomas | 97.7 |
35 | Paul George | 97.7 |
36 | Shawn Marion | 96.4 |
37 | Kyle Lowry | 95.8 |
38 | Russell Westbrook | 95.5 |
39 | Jeff Hornacek | 95.4 |
40 | Mookie Blaylock | 95.3 |
41 | Eddie Jones | 93.9 |
42 | Chauncey Billups | 93.6 |
43 | Tracy McGrady | 93.3 |
44 | Terry Porter | 91.4 |
45 | Ben Wallace | 90.7 |
46 | Draymond Green | 90.6 |
47 | Nikola Jokic | 90.2 |
48 | Moses Malone | 89.7 |
49 | Andre Iguodala | 89.2 |
50 | Tim Hardaway | 88.8 |
51 | Baron Davis | 86.6 |
52 | Dominique Wilkins | 86.2 |
53 | Jimmy Butler | 84.7 |
54 | Patrick Ewing | 84.5 |
55 | Allen Iverson | 84.3 |
56 | Derek Harper | 83.6 |
57 | Robert Parish | 83.2 |
58 | Kevin Johnson | 82.2 |
59 | Dwight Howard | 81.9 |
60 | Mike Conley | 81.4 |
61 | Rasheed Wallace | 81 |
62 | Damian Lillard | 80.4 |
63 | Jason Terry | 80.2 |
64 | Horace Grant | 80.1 |
65 | Mark Jackson | 80.1 |
66 | Adrian Dantley | 77.6 |
67 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 77.6 |
68 | Pau Gasol | 77.6 |
69 | Hersey Hawkins | 77.1 |
70 | Andre Miller | 76.4 |
71 | Metta World Peace | 76.2 |
72 | Larry Nance | 75.9 |
73 | Rashard Lewis | 75.5 |
74 | Anthony Davis | 75.1 |
75 | Dan Majerle | 75.1 |
76 | Chris Mullin | 75 |
77 | Doc Rivers | 74.4 |
78 | Fat Lever | 73.1 |
79 | Andrei Kirilenko | 72.6 |
80 | Shane Battier | 72.1 |
81 | Grant Hill | 71.9 |
82 | Paul Millsap | 71.5 |
83 | Sidney Moncrief | 71.2 |
84 | Alvin Robertson | 71.2 |
85 | Kevin McHale | 71.1 |
86 | Gus Williams | 70.5 |
87 | Rudy Gobert | 70.2 |
88 | Deron Williams | 69.9 |
89 | James Worthy | 69.4 |
90 | Jack Sikma | 69.2 |
91 | Elton Brand | 69.1 |
92 | Marques Johnson | 69.1 |
93 | Jrue Holiday | 69 |
94 | Rod Strickland | 68.6 |
95 | Kemba Walker | 68.1 |
96 | Alex English | 68 |
97 | LaMarcus Aldridge | 67.7 |
98 | Marc Gasol | 67.5 |
99 | Dennis Rodman | 67.3 |
100 | Anfernee Hardaway | 67.3 |
Table formatting brought to you by ExcelToReddit