Ok so this is the state of play according to experts and Gold Derby rankings, ahead of the July 12th nominees announcement, with 3 locks for YJ's in the bigger categories.

Best Drama Series:

Locks: 'Succession', 'The White Lotus', 'The Last of Us', 'Better Call Saul', 'Yellowjackets', 'The Crown'

Next best (2 remaining spots): 'House of the Dragon', 'Andor', 'Yellowstone', 'Handmaid's Tale'

Best Actress:

Locks: Melanie Lynskey ('Yellowjackets'), Bella Ramsey ('The Last of Us'), Sarah Snook ('Succession'), Imelda Staunton ('The Crown')

Next best (2 remaining spots):, Emma D'Arcy ('House of the Dragon') Elisabeth Moss ('Handmaid's Tale'), Sharon Horgan ('Bad Sisters'), Keri Russell ('The Diplomat'), Sophie Nélisse ('Yellowjackets'), Helen Miren ('1923'), Juliette Lewis ('Yellowjackets'), Hilary Swank ('Alaska Daily'), Kelly Reilly ('Yellowstone'), Tawny Cypress ('Yellowjackets')

So we (YJ community) have an outside shot at 3 noms in Best Actress but that's not realistic. Melanie, for sure, then hopefully 1 more from Sophie, Juliette and Tawny.

Best Supporting Actress:

Locks: Jennifer Coolidge ('The White Lotus'), Rhea Sheehorn ('Better Call Saul'), Christina Ricci ('Yellowjackets'), Elizabeth Debicki ('The Crown'), Aubrey Plaza ('The White Lotus')

Next best (3 remaining spots): J Smith-Cameron ('Succession'), Meghan Fahy ('The White Lotus'), Carol Burnett ('Better Call Saul'), Sabrina Impacciatore ('The White Lotus'), Milly Alcock ('House of the Dragon'), Simone Kessell ('Yellowjackets'), Lauren Ambrose ('Yellowjackets'),

We've got a shot at 3 here but most likely just Christina. I feel like Sophie Thatcher should be higher on the list of contenders.

Best Supporting Actor:

Locks: Matthew Macfadyen ('Succession'), Giancarlo Esposito ('Better Call Saul'), F. Murray Abraham ('The White Lotus'), Alan Ruck ('Succession')

Next best (4 remaining spots): Jonathan Banks ('Better Call Saul'), Alexander Skarsgard ('Succession'), Stellan Skarsgard ('Andor'), Tom Hollander ('The White Lotus'), Michael Imperioli ('The White Lotus'), Will Sharpe ('The White Lotus'), Elijah Wood ('Yellowjackets')

Best Guest Actress:

Locks: Melanie Lynskey ('The Last of Us'), Harriet Walter ('Succession'), Cherry Jones ('Succession')

Next best (3 remaining spots): Anna Torv ('The Last of Us'), Fiona Shaw ('Andor'), Hiam Abbass ('Succession'), Hope Davis ('Succession'), Betsy Brandt ('Better Call Saul'), Storm Reid ('The Last of Us'), Claire Foy ('The Crown'), McKenna Grace ('Handmaid's Tale'), Ella Purnell ('Yellowjackets'), Carrie Preston ('The Good Fight')

Note - Ella hasn't been confirmed as a submission, which isn't unusual for a show to not confirm all submissions, it's still believed she will be on the June 15th ballot and have some chance of nomination.

I really hope some momentum builds behind Sophie Nélisse and/or Sophie Thatcher, one of the younger cast deserves a nomination.