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Economists are reviewing their growth forecasts following the RBA’s hawkish shift.

CBA cuts growth forecasts, places odds of recession at 50pc

Australia’s biggest lender now sees annual growth slowing to 0.7 per cent in the final quarter of this year as the RBA’s rate rises hit consumption.

The budgetary effect of negative gearing is forecast to rise as high interest rates force more investors to record a rental loss.

What bracket creep is costing every Australian taxpayer

A worker earning $100,000 is paying nearly $1500 more per year in tax, compared with 2011-12, analysis of new ATO figures shows.

Cash rate of 4.85pc to drain thousands from borrowers

Borrowers with a $1 million loan will see their monthly repayments hit $7401 if the Reserve Bank of Australia delivers three additional cash rate increases.

Qld to commit $14b for mega pumped hydro project

The Palaszczuk government’s funding of the Borumba pumped hydro project is part of the state’s push to reach 80 per cent renewable energy by 2035.

This is no time to become gun-shy about backing Kyiv

Ukraine has become a real-world experiment in protecting vulnerable democracies. But defence bureaucrats everywhere have made haste too slowly.

PwC’s tax scandal victims pile up

It wasn’t only four former partners thrown under the bus this week. Dozens of would-be partners are also paying the price for the scandal that just won’t end.

ATO victorious over Binetter tax scheme’s ‘extraordinary deceit’

What started with the seizing of a laptop in Geneva in 2003 has led to one of the biggest legal affairs the ATO has pursued.

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weekend reads

PwC Australia announced on Thursday has delayed partner promotions.

PwC’s tax scandal victims pile up

It wasn’t only four former partners thrown under the bus this week. Dozens of would-be partners are also paying the price for the scandal that just won’t end.

Peter Yates.

The Kathleen Folbigg case, the DPP and ‘getting away with blue murder’

Business veteran Peter Yates was never meant to wade into Folbigg’s legal battle. But when he did, he changed the course of her fight.

How to survive trench warfare in the 21st century

The goal is to get as close as possible before the enemy has an opportunity to fire on the soldiers, who are open and vulnerable as they manoeuvre.

The capital strike against coal has failed

The industry is easily circumventing the international campaign to deny it financing and looks likely to thrive into the next decade, The Economist reports.

Prince Harry’s paranoia shows he can’t cope with fame

Harry’s witness statement betrayed his growing lack of objectivity in suggesting that the tabloids were the same as trolls and that journalists ‘had blood on their hands’.

smart investor

Seven ways to cut mortgage stress as rates rise yet again

As households struggle with the 12th interest rate rise since May last year, it pays to know which strategies will cost you less over the long term.

Philip Lowe this warned that “ongoing strong growth in unit labour costs would underpin ongoing high inflation outcomes”.

Why the cash rate could hit 5pc before the RBA is done

With labour costs, not profits, the biggest driver of inflation, the central bank will have to go higher to crush Australia’s wage-price spiral.

Keep a tight grip on your finances, experts warn.

The family member most likely to steal your savings

Baby Boomers are expected to bequeath about $224 billion each year in inheritances - and the possibility of fraud or financial abuse from a close family member is real.

Forgotten to withdraw full pension amount? Prepare for big fallout

A reader whose SMSF underpaid him by $30,000 finds the implications are huge, ranging from a non-compliant pension to a large tax bill and inheritance issues.

How to cope when apartment owners can’t afford strata levy

When too many can’t pay the fees, strata committees have more options than just calling in the debt collectors.

Get the latest business news on the go with the AFR app. Now available for Android and iOS.

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Companies

APRA chairman John Lonsdale has warned banks not to drop the ball on lending standards.

Rescuing borrowers from mortgage prison is risky, banks warned

The prudential regulator has written to banks to warn them not to cut the serviceability buffer for borrowers en masse.

GenesisCare founder Dan Collins left the business, after concerns increased about the US business’ performance.

GenesisCare’s undoing leaves more questions than answers

The collapse of the cancer care provider has left reputations in tatters, raising questions about why its backers left it so late before declaring bankruptcy.

No chance of a deal with Bendigo: Suncorp CEO Steve Johnston.

15 years for a merger? Suncorp canes Bendigo alternative

Suncorp, aiming to convince the ACCC to green-light ANZ’s $4.9b offer to buy its bank, argues no deal can happen with rival Bendigo.

The company has long-flagged its ambition to cut headcount by 20 per cent compared to 2020 levels by 2024 to get costs under control.

Westpac to cut 300 head office jobs

Project delivery and program management workers in the retail and business bank will bear the brunt of the cuts.

No deal: HWL Ebsworth will not pay ransom to Russia-linked hackers

HWL Ebsworth says it will “not submit” to Russian hackers who claimed on Friday to have released massive amounts of employee and client data after a month-long standoff with the huge law firm.

Record labels fight to scrap cap on what radio stations pay them

The likes of Lachlan Murdoch’s Smooth FM pay less than 1 per cent of revenue for the records they play. The labels providing them have had enough.

Victoria’s SEC could end up with offshore profits

Victorian Energy Minister Lily D’Ambrosio says the SEC will only produce one-fifth of the state’s new energy generation by 2035.

Companies in the News

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Markets

Wall Street is in a bull market.

Artificial intelligence powers US shares into a bull market

Heavyweight technology stocks have surged this year to help US markets outperform Australia as investors eye the US Fed meeting next week.

ASX rises, led by tech and mining rally

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.3 per cent, or 22.8 points to 7122.5 at market close on Friday, buoyed by a rally on Wall Street.

Wall Street might be in a bull market, but the bears haven’t given up.

Why this bull market isn’t all that it seems

It’s fitting that bad news delivered Wall Street’s 20 per cent rise. Because, as local shareholders discovered this week, a hot economy is not good for stocks. 

ASX rises, mining and tech stocks rally

Shares finish higher at close; Techs help power S&P 500 to 20pc rise from October low; Suncorp responds to ACCC; Jennifer Morris to leave Fortescue board; $A leaps. Gold, iron ore advance. Follow updates here.

Inside Blackstone’s six big bets

Blackstone boss Jon Gray says the private capital giant wants to be in ‘good neighbourhoods’ that can deliver cash flow growth in a world where multiples are unlikely to rise.

Opinion

Australia can make a Hornets’ nest for Moscow

The people of Ukraine have done enough to stop Vladimir Putin winning the war. The counteroffensive is to help them win the peace.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Labor sets up the RBA for a recession blame game

The economy will slow sharply, making governor Philip Lowe’s narrow path to a soft landing more precarious and the prospect of a hard landing plausible.

John Kehoe

Economics editor

John Kehoe

Why the cash rate could hit 5pc before the RBA is done

With labour costs, not profits, the biggest driver of inflation, the central bank will have to go higher to crush Australia’s wage-price spiral.

This is no time to become gun-shy about backing Kyiv

Ukraine has become a real-world experiment in protecting vulnerable democracies. But defence bureaucrats everywhere have made haste too slowly.

Andrew Tillett

Foreign affairs, defence correspondent

Andrew Tillett

Indictment to supercharge Trump’s campaign (again)

The former president is poised to get another bump in the polls after he was indicted over how he handled classified documents, writes Matthew Cranston.

Matthew Cranston

United States correspondent

Matthew Cranston

Cutting private schools’ funding will make them more elitist

Aspirational families, many of them newer Australians, would be priced out by a push to end government aid to the private sector.

Aaron Patrick

Senior correspondent

Aaron Patrick

Reports

Growth Nation - The opportunities of AI

An investigation into the rise of Artificial Intelligence and how new technologies are shaping how we live and work.

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Politics

Finance Minister Katy Gallagher during a press conference at Parliament House in Canberra

Opposition turns up heat on Gallagher over Higgins contacts

Anthony Albanese says the scrutiny on Finance Minister Katy Gallagher over whether had she prior knowledge of rape allegations was “bizarre”.

Queensland Treasurer Cameron Dick said the Borumba pumped hydro project will offer 24 hours of energy storage.

Qld to commit $14b for mega pumped hydro project

The Palaszczuk government’s funding of the Borumba pumped hydro project is part of the state’s push to reach 80 per cent renewable energy by 2035.

The budgetary effect of negative gearing is forecast to rise as high interest rates force more investors to record a rental loss.

What bracket creep is costing every Australian taxpayer

A worker earning $100,000 is paying nearly $1500 more per year in tax, compared with 2011-12, analysis of new ATO figures shows.

Labor gears up for an economic marathon

Slowing growth, rising interest rates and contentious wage demands are going to test the government’s relationship with voters.

Philip Lowe’s productivity problem (in four charts)

The RBA governor says productivity is key to the key to interest future rate decisions. The problem is, productivity isn’t growing at all.

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World

The counterpunch: Ukraine’s secret, dangerous plan to attack Russia

After months of grinding, attritional winter battles, with blood and treasure spilled copiously in the taking of tiny tracts of Donbas terrain, the war is stepping up a gear, writes Hans van Leeuwen.

The indictment is an unprecedented moment in American history.

Trump charged in classified documents investigation

The former president has been become the first in American history to face federal charges. He has been summoned to appear in a court in Miami over the indictment.

Reports that Ukraine has deployed German-made Leopard 2 tanks on the frontline indicate that the counteroffensive has begun.

Ukraine’s new tanks target Russian lines in counteroffensive

Ukraine is counting on the campaign in the south-east to drive Russian forces from more of its territory, cementing support among its allies.

How to survive trench warfare in the 21st century

The goal is to get as close as possible before the enemy has an opportunity to fire on the soldiers, who are open and vulnerable as they manoeuvre.

How a hedge fund titan evaded sexual assault allegations for decades

Thirteen women have accused Crispin Odey of harassment, abuse and fostering a toxic workplace.

Property

Sydney-based investor Damian Sebastian is holding off buying for around six months as he expects more distressed listings to come amid rising interest rates.

Home buyers hold off as rate rises likely to lift listings

A double whammy of higher listings and weaker demand could turn the housing market into a buyer’s market later this year, experts say.

:Mark Harrison says planning authorities are getting in the way.

Developers say lack of planning certainty holding back housing supply

A survey of 145 developers and investors by Wingate found a lack of certainty around planning outcomes was a key reason for the slump in housing supply.

The Fin podcast with Lisa Murray.

Why house prices are rising now, and how long it will last

This week in The Fin podcast, property editor Nick Lenaghan on why prices are rising, whether it will last and what is wrong with the housing market.

Green lender backs Mulpha with $80m for Sydney apartments

As borrowing costs rise, energy-efficient apartment buildings are showing that they can cut development costs by tapping into the Clean Energy Finance Corporation.

Quarter of homes are bought mortgage-free

Broadbeach, Toorak and Mosman lead for cash purchases of residential property in an east coast housing market where one in four homes is acquired loan-free.

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Wealth

Seven ways to cut mortgage stress as rates rise yet again

As households struggle with the 12th interest rate rise since May last year, it pays to know which strategies will cost you less over the long term.

The family member most likely to steal your savings

Families should put these steps in place to avoid theft and fraud.

Forgotten to withdraw full pension amount? Prepare for big fallout

A reader whose SMSF underpaid him by $30,000 finds the implications are huge, ranging from a non-compliant pension to a large tax bill and inheritance issues.

Technology

How Apple’s Vision Pro could change the way you watch

Halfway into my review of Apple’s new virtual reality headset, I saw something that changed the way I think about VR.

Airtasker CEO Tim Fung has just sold 20 per cent of his UK subsidiary for $6.5 million in free advertising.

Airtasker sells 20pc of UK subsidiary for $6.5m in free advertising

Airtasker has sold a slice of its British subsidiary to the UK’s Channel 4 in return for $6.5 million worth of free advertising.

CBA is has banned crypto payments to some exchanges.

CBA limits crypto payments as US-led crackdown spreads

CBA has limited transfers to high-risk crypto exchanges, just days after US regulators launched court action against the world’s two largest exchanges.

Work & Careers

The bank underpaid 15,800 employees in its insurance arms a dozen basic entitlements, including overtime and penalty rates between 2014 and 2022.

Suncorp pays back staff $32m after eight years of underpayments

Suncorp has agreed to pay a $520,000 “contrition payment” after failing to pay staff basic entitlements since 2014.

Successful and content: a stockbroker’s rich life

University dropout David Constable found success in finance when practical experience and good instincts were valued over advanced degrees.

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Life & Luxury

How Apple’s Vision Pro could change the way you watch

Halfway into my review of Apple’s new virtual reality headset, I saw something that changed the way I think about VR.

Peter Yates.

The Kathleen Folbigg case, the DPP and ‘getting away with blue murder’

Business veteran Peter Yates was never meant to wade into Folbigg’s legal battle. But when he did, he changed the course of her fight.

Sydney stockbroker David Constable, who died in January, 2023, aged 90.

Successful and content: a stockbroker’s rich life

University dropout David Constable found success in finance when practical experience and good instincts were valued over advanced degrees.

“We are a business that’s borne of the ocean. This is our responsibility,” says Rip Curl chief customer officer Michael Scott.

‘Our responsibility’: Fashion retailers poised to pay landfill levy

Surfwear brand Rip Curl says it wants to be among the first companies to pay a levy designed to unravel fast fashion.

Former Long-boarding champion Belinda Baggs is a long-time protestor of the planned development of the Pep11 gas project. Photographed in Manly Beach, the surfer is looking at joining opposition politicians that are using legislation to terminate the development of the gas works slated for go ahead offshore near Newcastle, NSW.

Photos of the Week, June 10, 2023

The Australian Financial Review: Photos of the Week, June 10, 2023

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