Top Chef

It seems to me like that teams that end up with the front runners of each season often end up on the bottom. For example in S16 David, Kelsey, Justin, and Nini were ahead most of the season but lost restaurant wars. I know there are obviously exceptions, but has anyone else felt like this is a pattern?

I think maybe if the team knows they are stacked, they get over confident and don't put in the same kind of attention that their underdog counterparts might.