Soft start ahead for ASX; NAB announces $2.5b buyback

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Soft start ahead for ASX; NAB announces $2.5b buyback

Summary

  • SPI futures were up just 0.1% and pointing to a soft start for the ASX on Friday. The index rose 0.5% on Thursday to close at 7417.4 
  • US stocks ended higher on Thursday, boosted by robust earnings and forecasts, while data showed the economy recovered to pre-pandemic levels in the second quarter. The S&P500 and Dow rose 0.4% and the Nasdaq added 0.1%
  • Brent crude rose 1.7% to $US75.99 a barrel and US oil was up 1.5% to $US73.50, but iron ore fell 3.3% to $US196.06 a tonne 
  • Big four lender NAB has announced a $2.5 billion share buyback, which will take place in August. It comes after ANZ announced a $1.5 billion buyback last week
  • AMP has been hit with a fresh set of civil action by the corporate watchdog over its fees for no service scandal after avoiding criminal charges over the alleged contraventions earlier this month

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Robinhood’s shares fall 8.4% in public debut

By Erin Griffith

Robinhood helped propel a “meme stock” frenzy this year that sent share prices of small companies on a roller-coaster ride. Last night, its own initial public offering was far more subdued.

Shares in the stock-trading startup opened trading at $US38, the same price as its offering, but then fell as much as 11 per cent.

They ended the day down 8.4 per cent at $US34.82, valuing the company at $US29 billion and showing that investors were skeptical of Robinhood’s grand mission of upending Wall Street.

Robinhood shares ended the day down 8.4% at $US34.82, valuing the company at $US29 billion.

Robinhood shares ended the day down 8.4% at $US34.82, valuing the company at $US29 billion.Credit:AP

Robinhood’s free stock-trading service has helped create the conditions for wild trading gyrations in meme stocks, driven by investors hyping their trades on social media.

The company’s offering is among the largest in a frenzied year for public market debuts, though few others have had the profile and level of controversy — including service outages, fines, congressional hearings, protests and memes — as Robinhood.

But the tepid trading debut suggested that there may be limits to investors’ euphoria for IPOs, even in a blockbuster year for them.

There were 213 in the first six months of the year, more than in any full year for the past decade, according to Renaissance Capital, which tracks IPOs. This week alone was set to have 25 companies go public in the United States, making it the busiest in two decades. Instacart, a grocery delivery company, and Nextdoor, a social network, are among the others expected to go public this year.

A first-day slump like Robinhood’s is rare. On average, shares in IPOs in the United States jumped 39 per cent on their first day of trading this year, according to Dealogic, a data provider. But they have since fallen by an average of 1.6 per cent, according to Renaissance Capital.

The unpredictability of Robinhood’s initial trading was exacerbated by an unusual move by the company, which has a mission of democratising finance.

Robinhood decided to sell as much as one-third of its offering to retail traders via its own app. Most other companies that have gone public have not done this or have offered only a small amount of shares to retail investors.

That offering could have suppressed early trading, since first-day stock price “pops” are often driven by demand from retail investors who were shut out of the IPO. Only around 20 per cent of the offering was sold to retail customers, a person with knowledge of the offering said, indicating less interest than expected.

Vlad Tenev, Robinhood’s CEO and a co-founder, said that the IPO was a “celebration of the individual investor in America.”

He added, “We’re just mindful that this is an important moment for our customers as well.”

New York Times

Origin Energy flags $2.2 billion charges

Origin Energy expects to recognise charges of $2.2 billion in its full-year report following a significant reduction in wholesale electricity prices, as well as lower gas earnings on higher costs and subdued business demand.

The $7.9 billion firm this morning said it will book a post-tax impairment charge of $1.58 billion against energy markets goodwill and generation assets.

It also expects a tax expense of $669 million relating to a deferred tax liability, reflecting the expectation of increased distributable free cash flow and future unfranked distributions from Australia Pacific LNG.

Origin Energy CEO Frank Calabria.

Origin Energy CEO Frank Calabria.Credit:James Alcock

The company said its FY21 guidance otherwise remain unchanged.

Shares in the utilities firm closed at $4.46 on Thursday and are down 6.3 per cent this year so far.

Meanwhile, FY22 energy markets underlying earnings are expected to dip to between $450 million and $600 million, largely offset by increased earnings from Australia Pacific LNG with cash flow to Origin estimated to be greater than $1 billion net of oil hedging.

“As previously outlined, the Energy Markets business faces significant headwinds in FY22, though fortunately this is expected to be largely offset by higher earnings from integrated gas, demonstrating the benefits of Origin’s diversified business,” Origin chief executive Frank Calabria said.

“FY22 presents challenges for the energy markets business, and we are responding by targeting significant capital and operating cost savings, including from the introduction of the Kraken platform and new low cost and more efficient retail operating model, with customer migrations to the new platform continuing to progress very well.

FY23 energy markets underlying earnings are expected to rebound by an estimated $150 million to $250 million to between $600 million and $850 million, assuming current forward commodity prices continue and flow through to tariffs.

“The outlook for the business improves from next year, with Origin expecting to see a material rebound in energy markets earnings, based on the commodity price outlook and supported by disciplined cost management,” Mr Calabria said.

NAB’s $2.5 billion share buy-back

By Charlotte Grieve

The National Australia Bank has announced plans to buy back $2.5 billion in ordinary shares at market price starting in mid to late August.

NAB was among the first major companies to launch a $3.5 billion capital raise in March in an effort to fortify its balance sheet against uncertainty brought on by the arrival of COVID-19 to Australia.

NAB then slashed its dividend by almost two-thirds in April as the banking industry offered widespread loan deferrals to help customers survive the pandemic.

NAB Chief executive Ross McEwan told the ASX on Friday morning the bank was now in a good position to launch the buy-back despite continuing to offer loan deferrals through COVID-19.

NAB Chief executive Ross McEwan told the ASX on Friday morning the bank was now in a good position to launch the buy-back despite continuing to offer loan deferrals through COVID-19.Credit:Will Willits

Now, with vaccines rolling out around the world and the Australian economy in a better-than-expected position, NAB has decided to return money to shareholders through the buy-back.

Chief executive Ross McEwan told the ASX on Friday morning the bank was now in a good position to launch the buy-back despite continuing to offer loan deferrals through COVID-19.

“NAB’s strong financial performance, combined with the divestment of MLC Wealth, has created an opportunity for NAB to reduce our surplus capital while retaining a strong balance sheet during these uncertain times,” Mr McEwan said.

Market watchers have predicted the upcoming corporate earnings season will be rife with capital returns to shareholders, after the defensive position taken by ASX-listed companies through the pandemic.

NAB shares closed at $25.77 on Thursday and are down 1.7 per cent for the month. The lender has however added 14 per cent this year so far.

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Amazon forecast falls short as pandemic online bump fades

By Spencer Soper

Amazon.com’s second-quarter sales and forecast for the current period fell short of analysts’ expectations, suggesting that a pandemic-fueled stretch of rapid growth is waning for the biggest online retailer as people revert to old shopping habits.

Shares fell about 7 per cent in extended trading.

The Seattle-based company rallied through the pandemic as shoppers shifted much of their spending from stores to websites. Amazon invested billions on pandemic safety measures to keep operating while minimising the spread of Covid-19 through its facilities and hiring hundreds of thousands of workers to meet crushing demand.

Amazon’s revenues missed analyst expectations.

Amazon’s revenues missed analyst expectations.Credit:AP

New Chief Executive Officer Andy Jassy, who took the helm from founder Jeff Bezos on July 5, has to show investors he can continue the company’s rapid sales growth and rising profits amid the heightened scrutiny of regulators in the US and Europe.

Investors overlooked better-than-predicted profits and a strong performance in the quarter from the company’s advertising business and Amazon Web Services cloud unit.

Instead, they focused on slowing momentum for its central e-commerce business, said Pedro Palandrani, an analyst at GlobalX.

“The big thing investors are looking at is next quarter guidance came in much lower than expectations,” Palandrani said, adding that Amazon’s results stood out compared with the positive earnings reports issued earlier this week by Microsoft and other big tech companies.

Even before Amazon’s weak forecast, investors were fretting that the company could lose momentum as people revert to pre-pandemic spending habits like travelling and dining out, which may reduce online shopping.

Shares fell to a low of $US3,325.06 in extended trading after closing at $US3,599.92. The stock had gained about 11 per cent this year through the close.

Bloomberg

Atlassian posts massive fourth quarter, shares jump

By Cara Waters

Australian software juggernaut Atlassian posted a “ripper” set of results on Friday morning on the back of booming subscriptions with revenue of $US2.1 billion for 2021 ($2.84 billion), up 29 per cent from $US1.6 billion for 2020.

Atlassian’s revenue for the fourth quarter was $559.5 million, up 30 per cent and its quarterly subscription revenue was $US386 million, up 50 per cent.

Mike Cannon-Brookes, Atlassian co-founder and chief executive.

Mike Cannon-Brookes, Atlassian co-founder and chief executive.Credit:

The tech giant losses narrowed to $US 213.1 million for the fourth quarter, from $US385.2 million for the fourth quarter last year.

Shares in the Nasdaq listed company jumped 9.3 per cent in after-hours trading on the back of the results.

“Our Q4 was a ripper of a quarter - as we Aussies say - as we added over 23,000 new customers, grew subscription revenue 50 per cent year-over-year, and continued to see cloud momentum build,” Mike Cannon-Brookes, co-founder and co-CEO said.

“We are incredibly proud of our resilience and execution during fiscal 2021.”

ASIC hits AMP with fresh court case over ‘fees for no service’ scandal

By Sarah Danckert

AMP has been hit with a fresh set of civil action by the corporate watchdog over its fees for no service scandal after avoiding criminal charges over the alleged contraventions earlier this month.

The new action, filed in the Federal Court, comes just two weeks after the Australian Securities and Investments Commission said it had finalised its investigation into AMP’s financial planning business.

AMP has been in the regulatory wars.

AMP has been in the regulatory wars. Credit:Getty

ASIC released that notice last week after the Commonwealth Director of Public Prosecutions declined to lodge the criminal charges against AMP that had been recommended by ASIC.

The fresh case adds to the regulatory actions being faced by the storied financial institution over revelations at the banking royal commission in 2018. AMP is already facing court over allegedly charging fees to 2,000 customers despite being told of their death.

ASIC alleges a host of AMP companies charged advice fees to more than 1,500 customers despite being notified that those customers were no longer able to access the relevant advice.

Shares in AMP closed at $1.065 on Thursday and are down by 32 per cent so far this year.

Read the full story here

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Wall Street wrap: ASX set to rise as US markets hit records; Robinhood slumps on debut

By Caroline Valetkevitch

The S&P 500 and the Dow rose to record highs on Thursday in New York, boosted by robust US earnings and forecasts, while data showed the US economy was above its pre-pandemic level.

The US economy grew solidly in the second quarter, putting the level of gross domestic product above its pre-pandemic peak, but the pace of GDP growth was slower than economists had expected.

Investors welcomed strong earnings and fresh data suggesting the US economy is picking up steam.

Investors welcomed strong earnings and fresh data suggesting the US economy is picking up steam. Credit:AP

Among upbeat reports on Thursday, Ford jumped 3.7 per cent as it lifted its profit forecast for the year, while KFC-owner Yum Brands rose 5.9 per cent after beating expectations for quarterly sales.

With GDP numbers below expectations, “people are thinking this is going to slow down the talk about tapering, and that’s what people want to see,” said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel. Investors also saw “some pretty good earnings today.”

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve said it was not yet time to start withdrawing its massive monetary stimulus.

Economically sensitive groups including financials, materials and energy led S&P sector gains.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 186.09 points, or 0.53 per cent, to 35,117.02, the S&P 500 gained 23.14 points, or 0.53 per cent, to 4,423.78 and the Nasdaq Composite added 32.36 points, or 0.22 per cent, to 14,794.94.

It sets up the Australian sharemarket for gains, with futures at 5.17am AEST pointing to a rise of 14 points, or 0.2 per cent, at the open.

Read the full story here

Reuters

Markets watch

ASX futures up 7 points or 0.1% to 7338 at 8.30am AEST

  • Australian dollar at 73.99 US cents
  • Wall Street: S&P500 +0.4%, Dow +0.4%, Nasdaq +0.1%
  • Europe: Stoxx 50 +0.3%, FTSE +0.9%, DAX +0.5%, CAC +0.4%
  • Spot gold +0.5% to $US1807.19 per ounce
  • Brent crude +1.7% to $US75.99 a barrel; US oil +1.5% to $US73.50 a barrel
  • Iron ore -3.3% to $US196.06 a tonne
  • 10-year yield: US 1.27% Australia 1.15% Germany -0.45%
  • Bitcoin flat at $US39,764; Ethereum +0.7% to $US2330

Good morning

Good morning all, and welcome to this week-ending edition of Markets Live.

It’s also the final session of the month, with the ASX set to extend its winning streak to 10 months.

Alex Druce will be taking you through the news today.

This blog is not intended as financial advice

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