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Greensill Capital boss Lex Greensill.

Greensill’s struggles a symptom of too much capital

Cheap and abundant capital has been crucial to Greensill Capital’s supply chain financing product. But where too much capital exists, risks will emerge.  

Wall Street climbed higher on Wednesday on the back of Jerome Powell’s appearance before Congress.

The end of the party looms for markets high on stimulus

The risk is that inflation resurfaces, and bond yields rise more sharply than anticipated, overwhelming the rise in earnings during a recovery. The impact could easily end the rally of 2020.

National COVID-19 Commission chairman Nev Power is on the board of Strike Energy.

The three ways business can fastrack recovery

Nev Power says JobKeeper must be removed to push younger workers into the economy and fill skill shortages; Malcolm Turnbull has called for an inquest into the death of a woman who alleged she was raped in 1988 by a man who is now a member of the Morrison cabinet; Victoria, NSW report no new virus cases. Follow updates here.

Klarna raises another $US1b to take on Afterpay

One of Afterpay’s and Zip’s biggest competitors in the United States, CBA-backed Klarna, has raised a further $US1 billion as the land grab to sign up American merchants for buy now, pay later accelerates.

ASX gains ahead of RBA meeting

Local stocks open higher following a strong lead from Wall St. Mesoblast completes $138m private placement; RBA convenes to decide on rates. Follow the latest updates here.

Aged care tax doesn’t add up politically, economically, morally

The royal commission makes the case for change but it gives the government no political cover for more self-funding to pay for a better system.

Crypto price risks collapse on real world vaccines

Mark Carnegie’s conclusion as a widely respected investor that crypto is a vaccine against another collapse in the financial system will shock old-school investors, although risks remain around the bitcoin price drifting back to earth.

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THE SURE THING PODCAST

Listen now: The Sure Thing episode 2

Lukas Kamay used yet-to-be released government economic data to place bets in the foreign exchange market, turning $10,000 into $7.8 million. New episodes every Monday 6am.

ABS insider trader was ‘susceptible to blackmail’

Chris Hill failed an Australian government psychological evaluation before he began passing confidential information to his university friend, Lukas Kamay.

Revealed: the raid that set off Australia’s biggest insider-trading case

Fifteen officers, two sniffer dogs and a locked bedroom door. It was May 9, 2014, and Christopher Hill was just about to find out exactly what his partner-in-crime had been up to.

How Facebook helped crack an insider trading scam

Cameras installed around NAB’s dealing captured currency trader Lukas Kamay taking his desk phone off the hook, picking up two mobile phones and heading for the bathroom just before the release of key data from the ABS.

From Oxford to the jailhouse, journey of a criminal scholar

Clinton Free has spent much of the last decade traipsing through prisons in Australia and the United States trying to understand what motivates white collar criminals and how they rationalise their behaviour.

The Sure Thing Podcast

The untold story of how two university friends hatched the perfect crime only to be undone by the desire for more.

Listen now

Companies

Chair of the government’s COVID-19 Commission Nev Power says business will be critical to fast-track the post pandemic recovery.

Three ways business can fast-track recovery: Nev Power

Chairman of the government’s COVID-19 advisory commission Nev Power says businesses should be ready to roll out their own vaccination programs in the same way as the flu to fast-track a “tipping point” for a post pandemic, business led recovery.

Accenture splashes out on two specialist firms

The consulting giant has purchased the firms – in supply chain advice and leadership training – to move into high-demand areas and strengthen its relationships with senior executives.

Andrew Bassat wants Seek Investments to help create the type of environment he wished he had when starting Seek in the late 90s.

Bassat’s billion-dollar plan for dominance

The Seek co-founder is stepping back from the demands of running a publicly listed company to lean into his plans to make its venture capital arm, Seek Investments, a billion-dollar giant.

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Setback for BHP and Rio Tinto at US copper project

Resolution Copper project in Arizona will require further consultation with traditional owners after regulators reversed an approval stage awarded in January.

ASIC hits Commsec over systemic failures

Commsec and CBA’s white label provider of trading services, AUSIEX, are alleged to have breached market integrity rules and the Corporations Act, with Commsec also alleged to have breached the ASIC Act.

Ex-Deloitte consulting chief Kaylene O’Brien to head Capgemini

The veteran consulting is now the managing director for the technology consulting firm in Australia and New Zealand.

Farm production to hit record $66 billion

Farmers’ income has bounced back as they rebuild herds and prepare for more not-so-rainy days.

Markets

RBA governor Philip Lowe: the central bank’s accelerated bond buying program, coupled with surging house prices, are good news for equity markets.

‘Frenzy of activity’: Why the RBA needs house price to rise

HSBC chief economist and 12-year RBA veteran Paul Bloxham says the central bank will view the upswing in economic activity as evidence monetary policy is working.

ASX CEO Dominic Stevens has apologised for the second major tech failure in a month.

RBA puts heat on ASX over trading monopoly failures

The ASX’s technology failures were a prickly talking point when chief executive Dominic Stevens and its departing chairman were grilled by Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe and senior regulators in early December.

RBA governor Philip Lowe.

ASX to rise, Dow up 600 points, Nasdaq surges

Australian shares are to rise near 1pc at the open as techs powered Wall Street higher. Nasdaq up 3pc. RBA policy meeting on agenda. $A leaps.

Bond market carnage not over yet

The bond market appears set to sustain more damage, notwithstanding Monday’s rally, although future selling won’t be as wild as February’s surge in long-dated yields as the tussle between investors and central banks rages on.

All your bond market questions answered

The RBA has doubled the value of bonds it buys to $4 billion a day. Why is the RBA doing this, why is the bond market important, and what does it mean for stocks?

Opinion

Why I stopped worrying and learnt to love crypto

What can you do to protect against the real risk to savings when every country is printing currency as fast as the presses will go?

Mark Carnegie

Contributor

Mark Carnegie

Aged care fix is more self-funding, not tax hikes

Fixing the aged care system requires dealing with the politically contentious issue of drawing on housing wealth to pay for better aged care services.

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Frydenberg needs to think long term with super

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg’s plan to allow people to access their super savings for a house deposit will throw further fuel on the raging property conflagration.

Karen Maley

Columnist

Karen Maley

FOMO returns to Australian property market

Prospective buyers are turning up in droves to bid at auctions and house prices are rising rapidly. But the Reserve Bank and the Morrison government are not worried – yet.

New buy now, pay later code puts huge investor value under question

Afterpay has spent years trying to convince regulators to give it a wide berth; the quid pro quo has just arrived via a code of conduct.

James Eyers

Senior Reporter

James Eyers

WA Liberals risk irrelevance for the foreseeable future

The Liberals are looking at a further two terms in opposition, with Premier Mark McGowan’s deft handling of the pandemic firming up as a factor in elections.

Peter Kennedy

Contributor

Peter Kennedy
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Politics

Prime Minister Scott Morrison.

PM mulls aged care tax

The government is contemplating either a tax increase or compelling greater use of retirement savings to meet a multibillion-dollar aged care challenge.

Former finance minister and OECD secretary general contender Mathias Cormann.

Cormann enters one-on-one battle with European rival to run OECD

A win for the former finance minister would deliver a major boost to the Morrison government’s international standing and its foreign policy agenda.

Applications for jobs have collapsed over the last year but as JobKeeper soon comes to an end they are starting to creep up again.

Jobs, housing and profits lift GDP estimates

Job advertisements have now hit their highest level since October 2018, while the latest corporate profit figures indicate the December quarter GDP will be stronger than previously expected.

States in the dark on vaccine rollout: Berejiklian

Australian business lays out a three-stage plan out of the pandemic as NSW calls for more information from the federal government on the vaccine rollout.

Submarine skills training suffers as Naval Group cuts costs

A plan to send 150 welders to France for specialist training has been scaled back. Instead they will learn on simulators.

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World

Former French president Nicolas Sarkozy has been found guilty of corruption.

Ex-French president Sarkozy sentenced to jail for corruption

The conviction was the culmination of one of the long-running legal entanglements that are coming to a head for Nicolas Sarkozy who led France from 2007 to 2012.

Free the Lady:

Brutal crackdown puts pressure on Australia to punish Myanmar’s junta

The Morrison government is lagging other countries in imposing sanctions against coup leaders, human rights advocates say.

A pro-democracy demonstrator waits outside the West Kowloon Magistrates’ Courts yesterday.

Protesters rally outside Hong Kong court after latest crackdown

Hundreds rallied outside a Hong Kong court on Monday to support 47 pro-democracy figures charged with subversion as the political heat rises in the city.

China’s factory activity slows for third straight month

China’s factory activity was weaker than expected in February despite a shorter Lunar New Year holiday.

Global vaccination a jab in the dark in some developing economies

Because Asian states have largely done a good job containing COVID-19, they may not face the same immediate pressures for widespread vaccination campaigns.

Property

The garden apartment on Rose Bay beach was scheduled to go to auction on Saturday but sold beforehand for $13.5 million.

Former Ferrari chief smashes suburb record by $2m

The apex apartment price for Rose Bay in Sydney has been substantially eclipsed by the $13.5 million sale of Herbert Appleroth’s plush digs.

CBA is forecasting housing prices will rise by 8 per cent nationally this year.

‘Extraordinary’: Property values rise at fastest pace in 17 years

Property values rose at their fastest pace in almost 17 years in February, as the combination of ultra-cheap credit and low stock levels puts Sydney and Melbourne on track to hit new record highs.

The speculative facility for efm Logistics is within the 41.3-hectare Rubix Connect estate.

Frasers secures big logistics group for Melbourne estate

Logistics provider efm will streamline its Melbourne operations from two existing facilities in Dandenong South into the new warehouse.

Healthcare funds circling $85m private hospital and hotel project

The integrated healthcare project will incorporate over 5300 square metres of medical space and an 81-room hotel for patients and their families.

‘An eyesore’: high-profile opponents slam Dexus’ $2b Brisbane tower

The proposed $2 billion redevelopment of Eagle Street Pier in Brisbane’s CBD has ruffled the feathers of some well-known local residents.

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Wealth

US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. The increase in long-term rates creates a quandary for central banks.

The great reflation trade in global bond markets

How should central banks respond to the surge in rates and are there any circuit-breakers that could stall – or reverse – the recent rate rise?

Resources stocks much further to run in commodities supercycle

In the last two commodities bull markets, major global resources companies rose four- to five-fold, far outstripping the broader share markets.

To get really rich, choose the right job (and property)

First, get into a line of work that’s hard to get into, particularly if the people in that sector are the ones setting the rules for entry. Then invest wisely.

Technology

Transport for NSW is investigating the data breach.

Hackers put stolen NSW government data up for sale

Hacking group Clop has put up previews and screenshots of stolen data from Transport for NSW.

Arq Group CEO Tristan Sternson says the company has been completely transformed since it was acquired by Quadrant.

PE firm’s 300pc tech company transformation

A year on from Quadrant Private Equity’s acquisition of beleaguered tech services company Arq Group, it has banked a bumper increase in earnings.

Ben Thompson, CEO and co-founder of Employment Hero.

HR tech firm raises $45m amid remote working boom

Employment Hero has been valued at more than $250 million after a new funding round led by SEEK. It accelerated its international expansion in the pandemic.

Work & Careers

Commissioners, the Honourable Tony Pagone QC and Lynelle Briggs AO, said the aged care workforce needs to be professionalised by better training and higher wages.

Aged care workforce needs higher pay and better education

The royal commission has made 148 wide-ranging recommendations including residents getting daily minimum staff time, and professionalising the workforce through more education, better training, and higher wages.

Union, business deal means retailers avoid part-time penalties

More than a million part-time retail workers will be able to work extra shifts without the business incurring penalty rates, under a historic deal between business and the unions.

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Life & Luxury

The Auto Brunch will be held in scrappy parklands to Sydney’s north.

A double header for motoring enthusiasts

Two events in Sydney over the weekend of March 5-6 demonstrate the contraries in the vehicle collector scene.

Claudio Cardile at the Sydney Motor Sport Park.

If you don’t crash, you’re not trying, says bike-mad boss

Barco managing director Claudio Cardile owned six motorbikes last year; now he’s down to two. He says riding up to 800 kilometres a week is his meditation.

The Popeyes sandwich is “mammoth – like the size of my face”, photographer Aaron Hutcherson said.

How the new McDonald’s chicken sandwich ranks against rivals

The much-heralded offering from the Golden Arches turned out to be our least favourite of the bunch. Here’s why.

Claude Monet. The Water-Lily Pond. 1899.

Monet, Renoir set to draw NGV crowds

The National Gallery of Victoria is turning to French art legends Monet, Degas and Renoir for a major winter exhibition the gallery hopes will bring back big crowds.

The new Flying Spur by Bentley, which has made smart strides in streamlining efficiencies across its models.

For the posh, Bentley’s new V8 Flying Spur is woke

Bentley’s first V8 sedan saves on fuel and emissions while sacrificing neither performance nor prestige. It could just use a bit more pizzazz.

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