Stephen Judkins

@stephenjudkins

software gnome, bikes and stuff, economics, crotchetiness

Portland, OR
Joined July 2009

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  1. 2 minutes ago

    Slack anti-pattern: all communication runs through group DMs with slightly overlapping sets of members

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  2. Retweeted
    22 hours ago

    With the scale of the clean energy buildout and forecasted global energy demand, neither "demand reduction" nor recycling are remotely going to suffice to meet future lithium needs. Decarbonization. Is. Going. To. Be. Extractive. (1/5)

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  3. 11 hours ago

    The radicalization of anti-vaxxers is not a good development

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  4. 11 hours ago

    Imagine being foolishly credulous about whatever dumb thing Josh Hawley says but then thinking this. It's wild

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  5. 13 hours ago

    The thing about this: for every episode where it's blindingly obvious that a driver murdered someone in a fit of what we call "road rage" there are probably 10 more where they did the same thing but there's a little bit of plausible deniability

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  6. 18 hours ago

    Additionally, plenty of the "middle income" people that California is hemorrhaging are leaving with enough housing equity to outbid basically everyone else in places like Portland

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  7. Retweeted
    18 hours ago

    California lost 6 million working class people, half of whom polled citing housing costs as the primary factor. Yet the California Democratic party thinks golf courses is more important than housing and Caitlyn Jenner is lying saying the rich are fleeing. The rich are moving in.

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  8. Retweeted
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  9. 18 hours ago

    The US ordered almost as much, but we bet on the winning vaccines instead. So Canada has a shortage and we have a surplus. But every country could have done much better here, for an amount that's immaterial to the GDP of a rich country

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  10. 18 hours ago

    The historical success rate of vaccine candidates is ~10%, apparently. Seems like the prudent thing would have been to preorder a course each of 10+ candidates and sell/give away the extras. Canada was the only close and they got unlucky because they bet on the wrong horses!

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  11. 18 hours ago

    The US is giving away 60M AZ doses to other countries, because it's obvious we shouldn't hold onto them when we can vaccinate everyone with the other doses we secured. The demand curve for covid vaccine drops extremely quickly after 1 course/person!

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  12. 18 hours ago

    Reading this article from December 2020 and thinking about how it's completely wrong. Countries won't hoard vaccines in excess of their population, are giving away excess doses, and incentivizing as much production as possible would only accelerate this.

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  13. 18 hours ago

    Further, this is based on the current carbon intensity of all the inputs. There's zero-carbon steel, concrete, and transportation all in various stages of development: all the non-fossil sources can and will be driven down further

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  14. 20 hours ago

    Did anyone else tear up a bit thinking about the sad family carefully burying their dead child? It may have been 78k years ago, they may have been hunter-gatherers, but they were the same as us

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  15. Retweeted
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  16. 21 hours ago

    I'm not sure if this qualifies as "industrial policy" or not, but China's system is doing the smart thing here while the US, Europe, and Japan are collectively making an enormous mistake

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  17. 21 hours ago

    I am not an Andrew Yang devotee but perhaps his chaotic energy is the only possible way to finally bring us Georgism

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  18. 21 hours ago

    As a tenured professor of Rudeness Science, I can confirm that this message is consistent with available scientific evidence

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  19. 21 hours ago
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  20. Retweeted
    Apr 10

    I'd have zero qualms seizing the IP for the covid vaccines, but vaccine IP buyouts do seem better in this case. One way or another, we should spare no expense making sure poor countries get enough vaccines as soon as humanely possible

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