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When in trouble, this government looks to what its Coalition predecessors did when confronted with similar problems. On that basis, expect billions in taxpayer dollars to be fired at National Party electorates in coming weeks. Especially after Saturday’s NSW election.
While victory, and hopefully majority government, for Gladys Berejiklian is a win for NSW and a bullet dodged in the form of the wretched NSW Labor Party, the results from rural and regional NSW should induce a feeling of nausea. Not merely is the far-right Shooters Party, which wants to loosen gun laws, expand coal-fired power and hand the Murray-Darling back to irrigators, likely to pick up two more lower house seats, but in the NSW Legislative Council, around 11% of voters statewide saw fit to vote either for the Shooters and One Nation.
That is, little more than a week after the events in Christchurch, one in ten NSW voters voted in the upper house for parties that either want softer gun laws or preach hatred against Muslims and want to implement apartheid in relation to Indigenous Australians.
The Shooters’ vote is a cry of rage from the far west of NSW, with its two new lower house seats in Barwon and Murray (a large chunk of the west, and south-west, of the state, respectively) and its upper house vote strong in the inland: Bathurst, around 14%, Cootamundra and Dubbo over 15%; Northern Tablelands over 13%; Tamworth over 15%, Orange — retained as a Legislative Assembly seat — 32%, Wagga, 11%. One Nation’s upper house performance was more regional than rural — 13.5% in the Southern Highlands outside Sydney, 10% in Lake Macquarie and Goulburn, 11% in Cessnock, over 12% in Camden outside Sydney and nearly 10% in Campbelltown, in addition to the ~10% One Nation polled as well as the Shooters in more rural electorates. In several electorates, 20-30% of voters are prepared to support extremists in the Legislative Council.
All this is on top of Queensland, where Hanson and her hatemongers are routinely polling ~15% statewide and twice that in regional electorates — so much so that LNP MPs are terrified of upsetting Hanson by not preferencing her.
The Nationals haven’t quite reached the same point of panic as in the late 1990s after the Queensland state election, when One Nation won 11 seats off the Nationals, but they’re close, and they’ll respond the same way. The Howard government, which had slashed regional programs to the bone when it first came to office, responded by pouring more money into regional areas (culminating the blatant rorting uncovered by the ANAO in 2007). John Anderson, then Nationals leader, gave a speech saying he was less concerned about One Nation than about Australia dividing into two nations — an apt description of NSW at the moment. Anderson led a Howard government commitment to focus on regional communities struggling with long-term population decline and the removal of services from small communities.
So expect the pork barrels to be aimed squarely at regional NSW and Queensland between now and the election as Scott Morrison looks to repeat the trick — though they only have two months, not two years, and in Michael McCormack the Nationals don’t exactly have another John Anderson. Barnaby Joyce is convinced he could do a better job, but he might want to ask some rural women about how they view the unresolved allegations of sexual harassment against him.
The issue that really hurt the Nats in western NSW was water. The Shooters have dramatically increased their vote promising to bin the Murray-Darling Basin Plan and give irrigators as much water as they want. The issue is so toxic the Primary Industries Minister Niall Blair abruptly announced he was leaving politics yesterday, despite being re-elected to the upper house.
The problem for the Nationals is where to go on water. They’ve tried to have it both ways on the MDBP federally and in NSW — claiming to supporting the Plan, but implementing it entirely in the interests of irrigators — in Joyce’s case, explicitly so. This hypocrisy eventually became apparent even to urban voters when industrial-scale, government-tolerated water theft was revealed. But it’s not good enough for rural voters who appear to hate the very idea the river system should be managed sustainably and back a party that dismisses environmental flows as “sending water to South Australia”. As much as on coal, as much as on climate change, and as much as on preferencing Australia’s premier party of hate speech in Queensland, the Nationals can’t move on water without sending a clear signal to urban voters that the Coalition is totally out of touch with mainstream views in the electorate.
That leaves the pork barrel. Stand by for Regional Rorts II.
Will the Coalition attempt to buy votes in NSW and Queensland ahead of the federal election? Write to [email protected] and let us know.
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38 thoughts on “Extremist rage from the heart of NSW creates another ‘two nations’ moment”
Graeski
March 25, 2019 at 12:43 pmSo what’s to be done? As much as it would be nice to dump everything on the Nats, it appears that the problem is as much with the voters in these regions as with the parties. The obvious interpretation of the swing against the Nats is a protest vote, but in that case, why choose a party that is going to be even worse for the environment? I can’t see how any of the ordinary people of the western regions would want still more of their precious water going to irrigators.
The whole business has me mystified.
old greybearded one
March 25, 2019 at 1:29 pmBecause in Barwon, the Nats candidate was a complete and utter deadhead.
bjb
March 25, 2019 at 1:21 pmWell…. we’re fucked.
Anyone who has any interest in preserving the natural environment, koalas etc, you’d better see it while you can. Rampant land clearing, bone dry rivers all coming to a country near you…
Ng GJB
March 26, 2019 at 12:32 amThere is something hypocritical about the urban environmental warriors, they seem to regard their own living environment ie the city & suburbs with some sense of loss that they wish to control the lives of others who live closer to nature.
Bernard’s delirious if he thinks that the majority of regional and rural population enjoy seeing their environment destroyed by greed and corruption. Many non- corporate farmers are the most vocal supporters of adequate environmental flow in river systems, reduction of CSG exploration and broadacre vegetation clearing. The business model imposed by the financial markets at the behest of the governments both state and federal was “get big or get out”, economic concerns were the only values of the market agribusiness arseholes who destroyed small scale sustainable farming in favour of selling out to foreign ownership and monoculture conglomerates.
AR
March 26, 2019 at 1:06 amEven if it were true that “Many non- corporate farmers are the most vocal supporters of adequate environmental flow in river systems, reduction of CSG exploration and broadacre vegetation clearing” they have, time out of ind, voted against their own best interests.
There can be a vast difference between “ones own best interests” and “ones perceived/believed best interests”.
AR
March 26, 2019 at 1:08 am… as well as “… time out of mind…”
klewso
March 25, 2019 at 1:23 pmUnfortunately, it won’t be ’til these “desperate” voters can see the whites of the lies of these “messiah parties” that they’ll realise how foolish they’ve been, how wilfully they’ve allowed themselves to be misled – and by then it will be to late.
bjb
March 25, 2019 at 3:06 pmI’m sure in the next 20-30 years when things get dire, the hoi polloi will be jumping up and down saying “why didn’t anyone do something !”. Meantime, those of us who have been supporting Green and environmental causes for the last 50 years will likely be pushing up daisies. We gave it a shot, but unfortunately, the forces of greed and stupidity have probably won.
klewso
March 25, 2019 at 4:57 pmAnd lost.
ChipsNbeer
March 26, 2019 at 10:41 pmEveryone will lose… in the end.
Been Around
March 25, 2019 at 1:32 pmHoward’s shameless pork-barrelling did not work in 2007 and it will not work in 2019.
old greybearded one
March 25, 2019 at 1:34 pmActually the Shooters and Fishers want more water in the river, in Barwon at least. The average mug in BArwon voted against the water theft. Blair is incompetent even to the point of corruption and Nationals are not fit to hold any office concerning water. Humphries clearly bordered on corruption. Who else was there to vote for. An independent nearly got Dubbo, but I know intelligent (I thought ) people who erte handing out NAts cards. I live in Dubbo electorate.
Fairmind
March 25, 2019 at 1:48 pmLet’s wait a bit and see how the SFF start to play their cards, but the pathetic $190,000 fine for brazen water theft is surely down to NSW political corruption that should lead to prison time for a couple of state and federal pollies and public servants if a full RC is brought to bear on the matter.
braddybear
March 25, 2019 at 1:53 pmthe coalition extreme dirty tricks division is out in full force, push polling of blatant lies and threats and fear are the standard weapons of the conservatives, an example is the pressure put on anyone in the new england area that wants to talk sexual harassment of women by people in power , or in fact anyone that tries to stand against the national party, and in the state seat of port stephens also where physical threats and intimidation are classic weapons used by the conservatives and their supporters over many years as exposed on the ABC election night program, if the voters do not stand against these thugs and start the clean up of our political system by throwing this obscene coalition government out they will deserve everything that will happen to them in the next term and the following years as these corrupt thugs embed themselves so deeply they will never be removed.
Jackson Harding
March 25, 2019 at 2:31 pmIt won’t just be pork. The Nationals War Cry of BOONDOGGLE! BOONDOGGLE! will be heard at full volume throughout regional Australia over then next 7 weeks.
Merrie Trixie
March 25, 2019 at 2:31 pmRather than aiming, rolling out pork barrels is a far neater, nicer way of getting the hayseed vote.
[email protected]
March 25, 2019 at 3:02 pmIs there any likelihood that you will ever be able to write an article about NSW politics that doesn’t start off with a random attack on the NSW ALP?
The focus of the article is on the way that the Liberals and Nationals are likely to respond to the increase in votes to the parties to the right of the Nationals.
The entire piece is focused on the requirement of the Nats & Libs to manage the needs of the voters of rural & regional NSW to address genuine issues facing the population in those areas and their failure to do so adequately up to now.
That doesn’t stop you starting the piece with a compliment to a government led by Alan Jones and the rest of the right wing media cabal and distinguished by a seeming inability to deliver a single infrastructure program on time or even close to budget.
You declare the nothing result as a ‘…victory, and hopefully majority government, for Gladys Berejiklian’… and ‘… a win for NSW…’.
You then go on to make the tired and truly pathetic statement that it is ‘… and a bullet dodged in the form of the wretched NSW Labor Party, …’.
All you had to do was write a report on the situation in RARA NSW. If you’d done that then we would have been able to enjoy the piece as proof that you can still write about state politics.
You didn’t which shows that you can’t.
applet
March 25, 2019 at 3:10 pmI’m not a labor first person, but I couldn’t agree more. I’m pretty much done with Crikey now. Just waiting for it to end really.
Barneyj
March 25, 2019 at 3:53 pmI only recently renewed my subscription after canceling it due to thi sort of “journalism” a couple of years ago. Should have known better …
Marion Shaw
March 25, 2019 at 4:01 pmMe too …I won’t be renewing my subscription and Bernard Keane so predictable NSW Liberals wonderful and ALP woeful is the reason…
Jamie
March 25, 2019 at 11:14 pmSame here… left when Ben Sandilands did. Came back looking for some good journalism in the run up to the various elections. What a shame, I mean sham…
GoTo
March 25, 2019 at 4:43 pmVery well said !
CML
March 25, 2019 at 6:17 pmRight on, mg! Bernard seems to think that the Liberal ‘part’ of the Coalition government in NSW, and his sainted premier, should not be held accountable for the corrupt handling of the Murray/Darling fiasco, and the environment generally. Could you please tell us Bernard, where are the climate change policies of your wonderful (amazingly re-elected) government? Of course you can’t…because there aren’t any, you drongo!
With the newly minted Premier in charge, we won’t have a country…much less a state…by the end of the century. People in the bush would be well advised to educate themselves on these matters, instead of voting for ultra-right-wing extremists…you know, the friends of Gladys once removed. Can’t wait for her to be in the situation where she has to rely on Mark Latham’s vote!!
JacqMac
March 26, 2019 at 8:45 amFFS why don’t you read? Read SFF’s Helen Dalton’s comments, read ABC reports, get in the car and visit the real people who live in these electorates.
See that 27% swing in Murray, these are not extremists, ‘ultra’ or ‘far’, they are honest, extremely hardworking food growers who have zero percent water allocation to grow any food (that’s pasture for livestock, grain and oil crops). They want water for the environment because they are the stewards of it. In January they endured a 48 degree day and 14 days over 40 degrees, no one gives a flying F about coal and no one trusts anyone who takes Big Coal’s money, they are victims of perverse neo-liberal policies that favour water speculators, and the gun policy is tighter than the Coalition’s. Because they can’t grow grain, dairy farmers over the river are walking off their farms at a shocking rate because they can’t afford to provide $1 milk.
Same month as the drought bit hard, a nation-wide doxing by vegan activists puts the names, addresses and locations (where their children live) out to all as an invitation to trespass and publically shame. The deep ignorance and dehumanising language in Bernard’s piece and the following comments is astounding.
Read, visit, educate yourself… and maybe one day you might have some empathy.
ChipsNbeer
March 26, 2019 at 10:57 pmBut then they go and elect members of a party who are committed to more water going to irrigators (read: cotton). I was raised in country SA and have plenty of empathy for farmers, but not when they continue to vote against their own interests. It should never have gotten to the stage where the river dried up before they could start to see the light about the Nationals. One day, hopefully soon, they’ll realise that the “lefty-greenies” they seem to despise have more in common with them than they ever thought possible. One day…
Befuddled
March 25, 2019 at 8:28 pmAgreed. The NSW government is execrable. Bungled infrastructure builds and firesale privatisations.
At the moment Crikey is providing very poor value for money.
AR
March 26, 2019 at 1:21 amAgree.
If BK doesn’t report the coming federal shitfight, I mean electioneering, fairly then I won’t be in the least surprised.
JMNO
March 25, 2019 at 3:09 pmI don’t live in NSW but I thought I read the header Shooter as saying, while the election results were coming in that they wouldn’t do any deals with the government unless they reformed their Murray Darling Basin policies to put water back into the river, including for the environment and, to stop pandering to irrigators.
It might seem to be a vote for ‘common sense’ and Labor was certainly lack lustre but the current NSW Government is woeful for the environment. Another four years of this Government and Kosciuszko National Park will be a denuded, overcrowded horse paddock.