Still early. But we’re 41% of the vote in and Steve King is down by almost 6 points. Here’s the results page.
Let me revise an earlier point. In the House, this is looking like a Democratic wave. There’s no inherent meaning to these words. It’s about interpretation and judgment. But this isn’t a squeak through result for the Democrats. They’re winning a lot of seats and in a lot of different kinds of districts. CNN just called Tenney and Faso going down to defeat in New York. We still haven’t gotten to California where Democrats could pick up several more seats.
New York State is looking very good for House Democrats.
NY-19: Delgado (55%), Faso (43%) with 38% in.
NY-22: Brindisi (53%), Tenney (47%) with 60% in.
Collins has been up and down, still a lot of results to go. Max Rose has already won the State Island district.
Look at the latest results in the map down to the right. Or you can go to this page.
LATE UDPATE: Delgago and Brindisi win, according to CNN call.
The Democrats are winning the House. This is the critical, critical result. Heartbreak in Florida and Georgia. But this is the critical thing for the future of the country.
10:11 PM: A good pick up for Dems. Max Rose defeats Dan Donovan in NY-11.
10:16 PM: No call but starting to seem like Abigail Spanberger is going to pull this off. She’s up by more than 2,000 votes with over 98% reporting.
10:23 PM: Collin Allred appears to have defeated Pete Sessions in Texas. Major pick up for Democrats.
10:26 PM: With about 50% reporting, Tony Evers has a 50,000 vote or so lead over Scott Walker. Not clear to me what the internal county breakdowns are there. But that’s a nice lead with 50%+ in.
Kobach seems to have gone down to defeat in Kansas. Big big deal.
Let’s take a deep breath. We’re not looking at a wave election, if by that we mean a night when all the races fall in one direction. The Senate almost certainly remains in Republican hands. But we knew that. Democrats remain traumatized by the shock results from 2016. Tonight has had more than a few moments that recalled that trauma and disappointment. But Democrats are putting together the numbers of flipped seats they will need to take the House. That is critical. Take a deep breath. A lot more votes to count. Democrats absolutely need to get a hold of a foothold of power in Washington. They appear to be on the way to do that.
Lot of disappoints out of Florida tonight. But over a million felons regained their voting rights. Big big deal.
Let’s say it. This is a much tighter, harder fought night that a lot of people thought. Joe Donnelly lost his seat in Indiana. Republicans have held Tennessee. It looks very tight in Florida and Republicans have the advantage in the Senate and Governor’s race. Democrats are still fairly well positioned to take the House. But it’s much more of a district by district slog than a wave. And there’s no guarantee as of 9:17 PM. A lot of counting to go.
9:25 PM: Here’s what the guy I follow in Florida says: “Florida Senate race is almost surely going to be in recount range. With what’s out in S FL, it should get very tight.”
9:31 PM: This has been a stressful night and we’ve already booked some key disappointments for the Democrats. But as of this moment Democrats appear to be booking the House victories they need for a majority in the House. I don’t mean they’ve won it. And it’s much closer than expected. But this is a district by district struggle now. And they’re – so far – getting the seats they absolutely need. Weirdly, it’s looking like Texas may net real pick-ups for the Dems.
9:42 PM: Perhaps this is stating the obvious. But the big take-away for tonight so far was that Democrats were energized but so were Republicans. That created big problems for Democrats in the Senate. And it at least limited Democratic gains in the House. Still a long way to go.
Nail biting time for the Dems. Top of the ticket races in Florida are super tight. Gillum and Nelson really need a lot of the votes in the South and it’s going to be tight.
Cook Report is calling KY-6 for Barr over McGrath. That’s a big win.
8:49 PM: AP calls Indiana for Braun.
8:51 PM: Spanberger now has a minuscule lead in VA-7. Other movement for Dems in Virginia too.
9:03 PM: Spanberger holding on to tiny lead.
Tremendous success tonight. Thank you to all!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 7, 2018
It’ll be a quiet day for the President:
Florida Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum conceded the race to Republican challenger Ron DeSantis late Tuesday.
“Y’all, I want to encourage you not to give up,” Gillum told supporters. “I want to encourage you to stick to the fight. I want you to know that every step of this way, even though I won’t have the blessing of serving as the next governor of the state of Florida, I still plan to be front lines right alongside every single one of you when it comes to standing up for what it is that we believe in.”
Sen. Lindsey Graham: “I’m not worried, I’m concerned” about race between Beto O’Rourke and Ted Cruz in Texas pic.twitter.com/ImycdcOVn9
— NBC News (@NBCNews) November 7, 2018
Fox News has projected Tuesday that Democrats will win control of the House of Representatives.
The Fox News Decision Desk can now project that Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives for the first time in eight years, dealing a major setback to President Trump’s legislative agenda
— Bret Baier (@BretBaier) November 7, 2018
Watch the call here:
— TPM Livewire (@TPMLiveWire) November 7, 2018
White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders: "If Democrats take the House, they shouldn’t waste time investigating." pic.twitter.com/seHBOhfoOd
— Matt Shuham (@mattshuham) November 7, 2018
Van Jones: "This is heartbreaking." pic.twitter.com/VygacSri7d
— TPM Livewire (@TPMLiveWire) November 7, 2018
Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO), one of the most endangered Democratic senators, candidly admitted that she has “no flippin’ idea” if she or her Republican challenger Josh Hawley will win Tuesday night.
Watch here:
— TPM Livewire (@TPMLiveWire) November 7, 2018
John King: "Ted Cruz… not the most likable guy." pic.twitter.com/Q6A8uCuBc1
— TPM Livewire (@TPMLiveWire) November 7, 2018
Democratic strategist James Carville voiced his doubts about the election on Tuesday, saying “it’s not going to be a wave election” like Democrats had hoped.
“Tonight there was some hope the Democrats would have a wave election. It’s not going to be a wave election,” he said. “It could still be a good election. I was a little more optimistic about Florida than it’s turned out to be.”
Watch here:
— TPM Livewire (@TPMLiveWire) November 7, 2018