https://www.paypal.me/THORnews I am not a meteorologist & I have a fever. So this video is only intended for the best of the best. HINT: Fujiwhara Effect God bless everyone, T God bless everyone, T https://www.paypal.me/THORnews @newTHOR on twitter https://www.facebook.com/thornewsgo articles on the atlantic https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/dangerous-ptc-15-headed-eastern-caribbean-hurricane-jose-headed-towards-new-england Dangerous TD 15 headed for Eastern Caribbean; Hurricane Jose Headed Towards New England Tropical Depression Fifteen formed on Saturday afternoon in the waters east of the Lesser Antillies Islands, and tropical storm watches were hoisted for the islands of St. Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, Barbados, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Dominica. TD 15 has the potential to be a hurricane by the time it passes through the Lesser Antilles Islands on Tuesday morning. TD 15 had very favorable conditions for development on Saturday afternoon. Wind shear was light, 5 - 10 knots, SSTs were a very warm 29 – 29.5°C (84 - 85°F), and relative humidity at mid-levels of the atmosphere (as analyzed by the 12Z Saturday run of the SHIPS model) was moderately moist--about 60%. Satellite loops showed that TD 15 had a good deal of spin, and heavy thunderstorm activity was steadily increasing and growing more organized, with several curved low-level spiral bands forming. The first hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate TD 15 on Sunday afternoon. Track forecast for TD 15 The model forecasts on Saturday morning were in better agreement than on Friday, predicting that TD 15 would be steered west-northwest at speeds ranging from 10 – 20 mph through Thursday, bringing the storm through the Lesser Antilles Islands on Tuesday morning, to the vicinity of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by Wednesday morning, and near the Dominican Republic by Thursday morning. Beyond Thursday, the path of TD 15 will depend, in part, upon what Jose is up to. If Jose is still wandering off the U.S. New England coast, this will create a weakness in the ridge of high pressure steering TD 15 to the west-northwest, and TD 15 will turn more toward the northwest or north-northwest. If Jose is out of the picture, the ridge could keep TD 15 rolling west-northwestward. In either case, it is possible that TD 15 will approach the U.S. East Coast more than a week from now. A strong autumn-like upper-level trough will be moving across the western and central U.S. late in the week. This will tend to pump up a ridge toward the northeast U.S. and northwest Atlantic, which could end up blocking TD 15 from moving out to sea. Intensity forecast for TD 15 The 12Z Saturday run of the SHIPS model predicted that TD 15 would have very favorable conditions for development over the next five days. Wind shear will be low, TD 15 will have very warm SSTs near 29.5°C (85°F), and there will be moist conditions at mid-levels of the atmosphere. These conditions should allow for strengthening of TD 15. On Saturday morning, our top intensity models—the HWRF, COAMPS-TC, DSHIPS, LGEM, and HMON—all predicted steady intensification of TD 15 into a hurricane by Tuesday, when the storm is expected to be moving through the Lesser Antilles. Further strengthening is likely through Thursday, until TD 15 potentially gets disrupted by passage over Puerto Rico and/or Hispaniola. Note that the official NHC forecast of a Category 1 hurricane on Tuesday and Wednesday is conservative; the 12Z Saturday runs of the HWRF and HMON models show TD 15 attaining Category 3 hurricane status by Tuesday afternoon. That may be too aggressive, but I would not be surprised to see TD 15 become a major hurricane by Wednesday, given how Hurricane Irma exploded into a major hurricane under similar conditions and in a similar location. The next name on the list of Atlantic storms is Maria. Hurricane Jose headed towards New England Hurricane Jose was headed northwest at 9 mph towards North Carolina on Saturday morning, but is expected to turn to the north by Saturday night and pass several hundred miles east of the North Carolina coast on Monday. Jose's tropical storm-force winds cover a large area of ocean, extending out 150 miles to the northeast of the center. This wind field is expected to expand to 160 miles to the northeast of Jose’s center on Monday, then 230 miles on Tuesday. These winds are generating large swells that are bringing rough surf and the risk of rip currents to Bermuda, The Bahamas, the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico, and the U.S. east coast. Jose may bring up to 1” of rain to North Carolina’s Outer Banks on Monday, and heavier rains of 2 – 4” to Eastern Massachusetts beginning on Tuesday. The U.S. coast from Long Island, New York to Maine is at the edge of Jose’s 5-day cone of uncertainty.

• published: 16 Sep 2017
• views: 903