Reinvent: Determining Bargaining Power in the Platform Economy: Our political system has been hacked by time, circumstance, chaos, and disaster...
Continue reading "Reinvent: Determining Bargaining Power in the Platform Economy" »
Reinvent: Determining Bargaining Power in the Platform Economy: Our political system has been hacked by time, circumstance, chaos, and disaster...
Continue reading "Reinvent: Determining Bargaining Power in the Platform Economy" »
December 23, 2017 at 05:55 PM in Economics: Information, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (15)
Note to Self: This is your reminder:
January 01, 2018 at 04:14 PM in Streams: Across the Wide Missouri, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (37)
Ezra Klein: @ezraklein on Twitter: "I don’t know what the [New York] Times should’ve done with Thrush. But I watched the efforts to plant oppo and smear @lkmcgann in the aftermath of her reporting. Anyone who thinks coming forward with these experiences is easy, even now, is wrong. I am beyond proud to be her colleague..."
Free Exchange: A decade after it hit, what was learnt from the Great Recession?: "The success of those policies, and the relatively bearable recession that resulted, allowed governments to avoid more dramatic interventions...
Laura J Keller, Ben Steverman, and Charles Stein: Inside Wall Street's Towers, Traders Grouse Over Trump Tax Plan: "Many are figuring out greater benefits will go to billionaires. One, sipping a Bloody Mary, vows to quit the Republican party...
Söhnke M. Bartram and Mark Grinblatt: Agnostic fundamental analysis works: "We take the view of a statistician with little knowledge of finance...
Heather Boushey: The tax bill should've been called The Inequality Exacerbation Act: "Policymakers should reform the corporate tax system while maintaining or increasing the level of revenues it raises...
Morgan C. Williams: Gun Violence in Black and White: Evidence from Policy Reform in Missouri: "On August 28, 2007 the Missouri General Assembly repealed an 86 year-old 'permitto-purchase' (PTP) law...
John Maynard Keynes (1924): Tract on Monetary Reform: "Inflation and Deflation... inflicted great injuries...
Robert E. Hall and Thomas J. Sargent Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address: "The immediate effect of Friedman's 1968 AEA presidential address on the economics profession was the introduction of an adaptive term in the Phillips curve...
Some Fairly-Recent Links:
Continue reading "Some Fairly-Recent Must- and Should-Reads..." »
December 31, 2017 at 09:19 PM in Streams: Highlighted, Weblogs | Permalink | Comments (72)
Yes, this feature was dropped on the floor during chaotic December. Why do you ask?
But it is now time to pick up the slack:
Worth Highlighting at Grasping Reality:
December 28, 2017 at 09:43 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: The Winklevii's line is that BitCoin disrupts gold: that BitCoin is currently undervalued by a factor of two if only one-fifth of the world's gold bugs decide that it is appropriate to move half of their hoard into gold. And since the goldbugs of the world ain't too tightly wrapped, it could happen. That it could happen is why there has not been a crash yet. But his is nuts—there is still no compelling use for a blockchain, ingenious as it is, and no compelling reason why BitCoin would be the and they only blockchain in whatever blockchain future might emerge: Kai Stinchcombe: Ten years in, nobody has come up with a use for blockchain: "For the person paying for a product, the key feature of a new payment system...
December 28, 2017 at 08:25 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: When I consider how much time people spend on their smartphones—and how incredibly expensive it would have been in any previous decade to actually produce what the smartphone does—I do wonder about the math behind slow measured economic growth. The pessimists must die on the hill that everything smartphones do are close substitutes for things that were done cheaply in the past. But is that really the case? I want to see a sample of representative daily smartphone use patterns to assess this. And, of course, the very sharp Greg Ip thinks we ain't seen nothin yet: Greg Ip: A Tech-Driven Boom Is Coming; Please Be Patient: "There isn’t a paradox: automation hasn’t advanced nearly as far as evangelists claim, and where it has, it’s often created more jobs than it’s destroyed...
December 28, 2017 at 06:40 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: Originally dense populations had to be located in productive agricultural regions and on water trade routes. Then with the coming of the railroad and manufacturing we added raw material locations and transport routes to the mix. Now? Weather, local recreational amenities, density and amenities created by past cycles, and opportunity—opportunity for immigrations, both immigrants to the place and immigrants to the human capital-based economy—are where it is at. And the Trumpist Midwest looks as hosed as does Appalachians expecting the coal mining jobs to somehow come back: Noah Smith: A Road Map for Reviving the Midwest: "John Austin believes that there are 'two Rust Belts'...
December 28, 2017 at 06:33 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (1)
Live from the Journamalists' Self-Made Gehenna: Nate Silver is wise and correct here. Go interview some swing voters instead. And if you must interview Trump die-hards, let them speak for themselves—as I do not believe the current crop of reporters and reports do: Nate Silver: @natesilver on Twitter: "Part of what bugs me about these stories is that the conclusions seem preordained...
December 27, 2017 at 04:20 PM in Information: Better Press Corps/Journamalism, Moral Responsibility, Politics, Streams: Across the Wide Missouri | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: Söhnke M. Bartram and Mark Grinblatt: Agnostic fundamental analysis works: "We take the view of a statistician with little knowledge of finance...
December 27, 2017 at 06:57 AM in Economics: Finance, Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (1)
Should-Read: Heather Boushey: The tax bill should've been called The Inequality Exacerbation Act: "Policymakers should reform the corporate tax system while maintaining or increasing the level of revenues it raises...
December 27, 2017 at 06:53 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: Morgan C. Williams: Gun Violence in Black and White: Evidence from Policy Reform in Missouri: "On August 28, 2007 the Missouri General Assembly repealed an 86 year-old 'permitto-purchase' (PTP) law...
December 27, 2017 at 06:46 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Must-Read: John Maynard Keynes (1924): Tract on Monetary Reform: "Inflation and Deflation... inflicted great injuries...
December 27, 2017 at 06:39 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (2)
Should-Read: WTF?! Real economic outcomes are not invariant to the monetary policy rule. A gold standard, a silver standard, adoption or non-adoption of Bagehot's Rule, a constant stock of high-powered money rule, a constant broad money stock rule, a k% growth rate rule, a k% growth rate rule with base drift, a k% growth rate rule with catchup after unexpected shortfalls, inflation targeting, price level targeting, inflation targeting switching to price level targeting with catchup at the ZLB—to claim that "real outcomes are invariant to the monetary policy rule, not just to the trend in inflation" is to ignore most of monetary economics. Why are these people writing this?: Robert E. Hall and Thomas J. Sargent Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address: "The immediate effect of Friedman's 1968 AEA presidential address on the economics profession was the introduction of an adaptive term in the Phillips curve...
December 27, 2017 at 06:37 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: BitCoin has no good endgame: Charlie Stross: Unforeseen Consequences and that 1929 vibe: "We're going to run out of new BTC to mine... [then] the incentive for mining (a process essential for reconciling the public ledgers) will disappear...
December 26, 2017 at 11:56 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (3)
Should-Read: José Azar, Ioana Marinescu, Marshall I. Steinbaum: Labor Market Concentration: "A product market is concentrated when a few firms dominate the market...
December 26, 2017 at 11:53 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (1)
Should-Read: Nouriel Roubini: The Mystery of the Missing Inflation: "The recent growth acceleration in the advanced economies would be expected to bring with it a pickup in inflation...
December 26, 2017 at 06:19 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (1)
December 24, 2017 at 06:57 AM in Streams: (Friday) for the Weekend..., Streams: Cycle | Permalink | Comments (0)
Project Syndicate: America’s Broken Political System: From an Olympian perspective, the "tax reform" bill is not the biggest of deals. It is medium-sized news. The big news is elsewhere—but related.
December 24, 2017 at 05:36 AM in History, Philosophy: Moral, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (9)
Should-Read: Peter Leyden: California is the Future-of American Politics: "The 21st-century hit California early, and the innovative state adapted quickly...
December 23, 2017 at 05:41 PM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (2)
Live from Near Gehenna: Whether or not the Trump camarilla is involved in this, the entire Middle East believes that it is because of the timing of the Jared Kushner visit to Saudi—and the absence of any public reason for the visit Mohammed Ayesh: Arabic press review: Saudi Ritz Carlton prisoner dies after torture: "According to London-based newspaper Al-Quds Al-Arabi, major general Ali Alqahtani...
December 23, 2017 at 11:54 AM in Streams: Across the Wide Missouri | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: I think the very smart Jeffrey Friedman gets this... not quite right. The case for the empirical benefits of capitalism is very strong—but only if one is willing to remove libertarian blinders and focus on eliminating the market failures (in distributions, in aggregate demand, in externalities, in information, etc.) that keep the function the market maximizes from being a good proxy for societal well-being. And once one has the market properly supported and disciplined, the philosophical discussion can commence: Jeffrey Friedman: What's Wrong with Libertarianism: "Libertarian arguments about the empirical benefits of capitalism are, as yet, inadequate...
December 23, 2017 at 07:50 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (3)
Should-Read: You really cannot do the history of economic thought without being willing to do counterfactuals! Now it is true that many times the counterfactual will be "somebody else would have done exactly this same work five or fifteen years later: it was immanent in the structure of the theory and in the empirical data being fed to the profession by the world". But not always: John Maynard Keynes: Essays In Biography "If only Malthus, instead of Ricardo, had been the parent stem from which nineteenth-century economics proceeded, what a much wiser and richer place the world would be to-day!...
December 23, 2017 at 05:49 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (1)
Should-Read: Murat Iyigun, Nathan Nunn, and Nancy Qian: The Long-run Effects of Agricultural Productivity on Conflict, 1400-1900: "A newly digitized and geo-referenced dataset of battles...
December 23, 2017 at 05:29 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (1)
Should-Read: Zeynep Tufekci: @zeynep on Twitter: "Anyone who is concerned about security online...
December 23, 2017 at 05:21 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: Noah Smith: How Affordable Urban Housing Stays Affordable: "San Francisco’s black population has declined... Hispanic population has... fallen in some historically Hispanic neighborhoods like the Mission District...
December 23, 2017 at 05:19 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (3)
For the Weekend: Stephen Vincent Benét: John Brown's Body I: INVOCATION
American muse, whose strong and diverse heart
So many men have tried to understand
But only made it smaller with their art,
Because you are as various as your land,
As mountainous-deep, as flowered with blue rivers,
Thirsty with deserts, buried under snows,
As native as the shape of Navajo quivers,
And native, too, as the sea-voyaged rose.
Continue reading "For the Weekend: Stephen Vincent Benét: John Brown's Body I" »
December 22, 2017 at 03:26 PM in Streams: (Friday) for the Weekend..., Streams: Cycle | Permalink | Comments (3)
Weekend Reading: From Sidney Blumenthal: Wrestling With His Angel: The Political Life of Abraham Lincoln: "In 1836, the legislature granted a charter for a railroad running from Galena in the northwest corner to the southernmost tip of Illinois at the confluence of the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers...
December 21, 2017 at 10:50 PM in History, Streams: (Weekend) Reading, Streams: Cycle | Permalink | Comments (1)
Ken Murphy asked me for three books for 2017. Mine are: Amy Goldstein: Janesville: An American Story, Jean Tirole: Economics for the Common Good, and James Kwak: Economism: Bad Economics and the Rise of Inequality:
Continue reading "Three Books for 2017: Economics for the Common Good, Janesville, Economism" »
December 21, 2017 at 10:49 PM in Berkeley, Economics: Growth, Economics: Inequality, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (0)
Live from... Well, Near Gehenna: The downward spiral of Israel continues. A long way yet to fall, but the direction is not good: Associated Press: Palestinian Girl Praised as Hero After Confronting Soldiers: "Soldiers had fired a rubber bullet from close range at 15-year-old Mohammed Tamimi...
December 21, 2017 at 06:12 AM in Moral Responsibility, Streams: Across the Wide Missouri | Permalink | Comments (3)
Must-Read: Ezra Klein: @ezraklein on Twitter: "I don’t know what the [New York] Times should’ve done with Thrush. But I watched the efforts to plant oppo and smear @lkmcgann in the aftermath of her reporting. Anyone who thinks coming forward with these experiences is easy, even now, is wrong. I am beyond proud to be her colleague..."
December 20, 2017 at 03:50 PM in Information: Better Press Corps/Journamalism, Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Must-Read: If you are neither a plutocrat nor an activist seeking validation of your ethno-cultural grievances, you are not of concern to today's Republican Party. We're looking at you, the entrepreneurial and enterprising white upper-middle class who were both Teddy Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan's core supporters: Laura J Keller, Ben Steverman, and Charles Stein: Inside Wall Street's Towers, Traders Grouse Over Trump Tax Plan: "Many are figuring out greater benefits will go to billionaires. One, sipping a Bloody Mary, vows to quit the Republican party...
December 20, 2017 at 08:36 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (3)
Should-Read: FYI, IMHO Cornel West has not read even the first page of Ta-Nehisi Coates's "We Were Eight Years in Power": An American Tragedy. The very first words of the book are:
December 20, 2017 at 08:06 AM in Books, Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (2)
Hoisted from the Archives: Karl Polanyi, Classical Liberalism, and the Varieties of "Neoliberalism": Virtual Office Hours from Espresso Roma CCXXVI: July 25, 2014: Karl Polanyi's The Great Transformation is certainly the right place to start in thinking about "neoliberalism" and its global spread. But you are right to notice and do need to keep thinking that Polanyi is talking about pre-World War II classical liberalism, and that modern post-1980 neoliberalism is somewhat different.
First, as I, at least, see it, there are three strands of thought that together make up the current of ideas and policies that people call "neoliberalism":
December 19, 2017 at 07:19 PM in Economics: History, History, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: (Tuesday) Hoisted from Archives, Streams: Cycle, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (2)
Should-Read: From 20 years ago... Cosma Shalizi (1997): Review of Pierre-Gilles de Gennes and Jacques Badoz: Fragile Objects: "Soft Matter, Hard Science, and the Thrill of Discovery... http://bactra.org/reviews/fragile-objects/
December 19, 2017 at 10:32 AM in Streams: (Tuesday) Hoisted from Archives, Streams: Cycle, Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (2)
Must-Read: Martin Wolf writes a better version of my appeals than I have managed to: Martin Wolf: Inequality is a threat to our democracies: "Between 1980 and 2016, the top 1 per cent captured 28 per cent of the aggregate increase in real incomes in the US, Canada and western Europe, while the bottom 50 per cent captured just 9 per cent of it...
December 19, 2017 at 10:10 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (3)
December 19, 2017 at 10:05 AM in Economics: Growth, Economics: Inequality, Moral Responsibility, Philosophy: Moral, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (2)
Should-Read: The end of the second volume of Sidney Blumenthal's Political Life of Abraham Lincoln: Sidney Blumenthal: Wrestling With His Angel: The Political Life of Abraham Lincoln Vol. II, 1849-1856: "When [Lincoln] hurtled on a train to Bloomington for the founding of the Illinois Republican Party on May 29, 1856, it was a familiar trip to a place he had visited many times to practice the law...
December 18, 2017 at 03:00 PM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (1)
Should-Read: JEC: The Taxonomy of Oligarchs: "Rich people in America have the luxury of indulging an astonishing variety of self-destructive fantasies...
December 18, 2017 at 09:42 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (5)
Weekend Reading: Richard Thaler: Behavioral Economics/a>: "Exactly 100 years ago, the JPE was poised to be at the forefront of the field that would eventually come to be called behavioral economics...
Continue reading "Weekend Reading: Richard Thaler: Behavioral Economics" »
December 18, 2017 at 08:40 AM in Streams: (Weekend) Reading, Streams: Cycle, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (2)
Should-Read: Thomas Robert Malthus: PPrinciples of Political Economy Considered with a View to Their Practical Application: "We cannot too highly respect and venerate that admirable rule of Newton, not to admit more causes than are necessary... but the rule itself implies, that those which really are necessary must be admitted...
December 18, 2017 at 07:26 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (1)
Should-Read: Free Exchange: A decade after it hit, what was learnt from the Great Recession?: "The success of those policies, and the relatively bearable recession that resulted, allowed governments to avoid more dramatic interventions...
December 18, 2017 at 07:18 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (3)
Should-Read: Alan Cole: @AlanMCole on Twitter: "Don't think this one's gonna pay for itself, guys:"
December 18, 2017 at 07:18 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Should-Read: Economist: Women and economics: Inefficient equilibrium: "Donna Ginther... has found telling evidence that women... in economics... face a thicker glass ceiling...
December 18, 2017 at 07:18 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (2)
Should-Read: Tim Duy: Is The Fed Finishing 2017 On A Dovish Note?: "An important implication falls out of this analysis: Relative to the 2018 economic forecast changes, the projected path of policy is dovish...
December 18, 2017 at 07:17 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Alan Cole: @AlanMCole on Twitter: "Don't think this one's gonna pay for itself, guys:"
Continue reading "Tax Foundation Score of the Tax "Reform" Conference Report" »
December 18, 2017 at 06:18 AM in Economics: Growth, Economics: Inequality, Moral Responsibility, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (1)
Susan Collins on Meet the Press, December 4, 2017:
SUSAN COLLINS: Apply [that] to [the] four-tenths of one percent increase in the GDP generates revenues of a trillion dollars, a trillion dollars.... I’ve talked four economists, including the Dean of the Columbia School of Business and former chairs of the councils of economic advisors and they believe that it will have this impact. So I think if we can stimulate the economy, create more jobs, that does generate more revenue...
December 17, 2017 at 07:13 PM in Economics: Finance, Economics: Growth, Economics: Inequality, Economics: Macro, Moral Responsibility, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (12)
OK. It appears likely that you will “win” this round. It appears more likely than not that the tax “reform“ bill will pass, and thus that you will redistribute an extra 0.5 percent of national income from the bottom 90% to your 0.1%-0.01%—depending on how exclusively you define yourselves—selves. That will move your share of America’s resources devoted to satisfying your desires up to 5-10%, from a baseline of back in the 1970s of 1.5-3%.
Continue reading "An Appeal to the Republican-Supporting Plutocrats of America" »
December 17, 2017 at 07:13 PM in Economics: History, Economics: Inequality, History, Moral Responsibility, Philosophy: Moral, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (5)
Your Jewish, African-American, Hispanic-American, and Asian American brothers and sisters do not need to hear this, so I address myself to you.
You and your predecessors have been the backbone of America’s Republican Parry since the Great Depression. Your predecessors did not give up hope and faith in the America of individual opportunity and the market economy during the Great Depression. They were always suspicious of oversocialism, overtaxation, overredistribution, overunionization, and overbureaucratization as pursued by Democrats using the Great Depression as a club to beat up those saying “wait a minute“ in response to policy proposals that advanced the interests of Democratic Party clients.
December 17, 2017 at 07:07 PM in History, Moral Responsibility, Philosophy: Moral, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (5)
Must-Read: This is the kind of thing that every Republican economist who ever wants to opine on economic policy and be received in polite society at any time in the future should be writing today, about their colleagues who are shilling, loudly or softly, directly or indirectly, for the tax "reform" bill: Brad DeLong: Notes on Gerald Friedman: Larry Summers's and my decision to set our hysteresis parameter η = 0.1 as the central case was merely a calculation followed by a belief and then extended by a guess. But the argument was strengthened by... American economic history....
December 17, 2017 at 08:04 AM in Streams: Equitable Growth | Permalink | Comments (0)
J. Bradford Delong: Notes on Gerald Friedman: Since 2010 fiscal policy austerity has been a disaster for both Europe and the United States. But how much better could things be? How much good could be done by a restoration of a sensible fiscal policy?
I take a sensible fiscal policy to be one that, in the words of Abba Lerner, recognizes the first principle of functional finance...
December 17, 2017 at 07:29 AM in Economics: Growth, Economics: History, History, Philosophy: Moral, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted | Permalink | Comments (7)
Looking Forward to Four Years During Which Most if Not All of America's Potential for Human Progress Is Likely to Be Wasted
With each passing day Donald Trump looks more and more like Silvio Berlusconi: bunga-bunga governance, with a number of unlikely and unforeseen disasters and a major drag on the country--except in states where his policies are neutralized.
Nevertheless, remember: WE ARE WITH HER!
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An Appeal to the Republican-Supporting Plutocrats of America
Comment of the Day: JEC: An Appeal to the Republican-Supporting Plutocrats of America: "I've written more about this in my own space, but the short version is: 'Would somebody please remind the plutocrats that they are not the kleptocrats' natural allies; they are the kleptocrats' natural prey?'...
Continue reading "An Appeal to the Republican-Supporting Plutocrats of America" »
December 18, 2017 at 09:35 AM in Streams: Comment of the Day | Permalink | Comments (4)