Appreciate the threads since they are convenient reference points toward the prior results.

2006 and 2012 were favorable cycles. While next year holds the same promise, since whites have shifted away from us and we have to defend the vast majority of senate seats up for grab, I would expect tighter races across the board. The opposition won't shy away from any tactic and Koch brothers money will back all of those tactics.

Trump will probably be involved more than any president in modern history. He's not going to shy away, no matter his approval numbers or the location. After winning as such an underdog he'll be convinced nothing is out of his reach.

Stabenow-MI,Casey-PA, and Manchin-WV win by a 10 to 15 percent margin.
Nelson-FL,McCaskill-MO,Brown-OH and Baldwin-WI will win by a 5 to 10 percent margin.
Donnelly-IN,Tester-MT,and Heitkamp-ND will win by a less than 5 percent margin.

With all the money that'll be spent against her, I'm expecting a nail-biter. Razor-thin. MO was a pretty red tRumpf state, but Kander and Koster did fairly well.

I know that it was because of Akin's legitimate r-word gaffe.
I know that Trump's 2016 margin of victory in MO was much larger than Romney's 2012 margin of victory in MO.
Do you think that McCaskill's 2018 Republican opponent will be any better than McCaskill's 2012 Republican Challenger?

I don't think McCaskill's margin of victory in 2018 is going to be in the double digits.
McCaskill ending up like Carnahan in 2002 is McCaskill's floor.

And yes, I think they WILL do better. They WILL have a better candidate than Akin; I don't expect them to pick another knuckle-dragging troglodyte. Not sure who it will be, but if there is a detectable pulse, it will be better than Akin.

I think she would leave tire treadmarks on Vicky Hartzler's carcass, but Ann Wagner, Sarah Steelman, or Luetkemeyer could be more formidable. Jay Ashcroft has the family name and would have a lot of friends, but may still be a bit inexperienced; nevertheless, he would be a difficult opponent, I think. I think it'll be a tough battle when you add in the Koch money.

nt

McCaskill could win or lose by a margin no more than 5 percent.

I wouldn't count any chickens hatching considering the environment.

All The Votes will be counted on the New Opt-Scanned Voter Machines with Ballot Backup to check each and every vote. Not a fan of our Governor Rick Snyder or our Secretary of State (R) Ruth Johnson BUT....both refused to have the electronic voting machines that nearly no one wanted in this State.