Iowa is fed up with Donald Trump and the Paul Ryan agenda. First Sen. Chuck Grassley took it on the chin at a town hall today, and now Sen. Joni Ernst is on video fleeing a town hall after only a handful of questions. The crowd erupted in anger chanting “Do your job!” as she fled through a side door. The Iowa Starting Line blog was there to capture the moment:
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The crowd jeers and chants after Joni Ernst ends her forum after only 45 minutes, few questions pic.twitter.com/aHrcbPMxv2
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Daily Kos Elections recently completed calculating the 2016 presidential election results by congressional district. With ticket-splitting rates at historic lows, and presidential results highly correlated with congressional results, these numbers serve as a strong predictor of future House election outcomes. Accordingly, the districts that saw Hillary Clinton’s margin improve the most compared to Barack Obama’s 2012 margin could point toward future trends in House races. Below we’ll take a look at the 25 districts that swung hardest toward Clinton, all of which moved by at least 13 points.
As shown on the map above (see here for a larger image), the vast majority of these 25 seats are heavily suburban, well-educated, diverse, and concentrated in Sun Belt states like California and Texas. Twenty of them ranked in the top fifth of all districts by the share of adults with a college degree, and college-educated white voters in particular voted much more strongly Democraticthan whites without a degree did in 2016 when compared to past elections. Two of the remaining seats were majority Latino, and the last three were in Utah, where socially conservative Mormon voters who usually lean heavily Republican were exceptionally hostile to Trump.
Overall, Clinton won 15 of these districts, although six of those were already dark blue. Trump won the other 10, including four of them by double digits. However, six districts flipped from Romney to Clinton, while another six saw the GOP margin shrink from greater than 20 percent to less than 10 points. Congressional Republicans hold 17 of these seats and Democrats just 8. However, all of those House Republicans performed much better than Trump did, and only two prevailed by less than 10 points. However, many of their seats could be particularly vulnerable if the 2016 presidential trend filters further downballot, or if they retire.
A prefatory note on Utah is necessary. As a Mormon, Mitt Romney was unusually popular in the Beehive State for a Republican, while Donald Trump was even more uniquely despised by Republican voters there. Many of them abandoned Trump for conservative independent Evan McMullin, himself a Mormon, magnifying the state’s swing away from Republicans in 2016. In fact, McMullin even came in second over Clinton with 24.5 percent in the Provo-based 3rd District. That seat saw the biggest drop in the Republican margin over Democrats of any seat, with Trump’s 25 percent margin a giant 35 percent smaller than Romney’s 59-point victory in 2012.
Surely its not too much to ask for Trump to put Ben's degrees in science to good use.
Surely its not too much to ask for Trump to put Ben's degrees in science to good use.
Trump has found supporters among some of the most dangerous and disreputable members of society. We know that white supremacists, Russian presidents, xenophobes, and homophobes all consider him an ally. And among the latest group to see him as a champion are the members of the anti-vaccine movement.
President Trump’sembrace of discredited theorieslinking vaccines to autism has energized the anti-vaccine movement. Once fringe, the movement is becoming more popular, raising doubts about basic childhood health care among politically and geographically diverse groups.
To be fair, parents certainly have the right to make choices for their children that they think are appropriate and in the best interests of their health and well-being. But when these choices endanger others and are discredited by science, at what point do they become unreasonable? And when exactly did science and medicine become the enemy of the right? Is it when they became the Moral Majority? Surely, they can find a way to believe in religion and science at the same time.
Public health expertswarn that this growing movementis threatening one of the most successfulmedical innovations of modern times. Globally, vaccines prevent the deaths of about 2.5 million children every year, but deadly diseases such as measles and whooping cough still circulate in populations where enough people are unvaccinated.
Of course, Trump has no knowledge of such matters as science, public health, or even facts, but that has never stopped him from supporting ridiculous conspiracy theories. Even with renowned neurosurgeon Ben Carson as a potential cabinet pick. Perhaps now would be a good time to make Ben’s experience in medicine useful.
Politico has a story explaining how Donald Trump's staffers are locked in a constant, daily battle to keep the barely coherent man-child from launching one of his famous incoherent tantrums. It's pathetic. It's deeply embarrassing. It's the story of a team constantly attempting to feed praise of Donald Trump to friendly outlets so that they could turn around and show it back to their boss, a constant scramble to feed his unending need for public praise. Because if they didn't do it he'd get sullen and cranky and lash out like a petulant little child.
The key to keeping Trump’s Twitter habit under control, according to six former campaign officials, is to ensure that his personal media consumption includes a steady stream of praise. And when no such praise was to be found, staff would turn to friendly outlets to drum some up — and make sure it made its way to Trump’s desk.
So whenever there were negative stories about Trump, which has been All The Damn Time, they'd go to outlets like "Breitbart, Washington Examiner, Fox News, Infowars and the Daily Caller" with alternative story ideas for how freakin' swell Donald Trump was, and then once they got one of those friendly (Infowars!) outlets to take the bait, the staff would tweet those stories out, then print out, for Trump, that friendly coverage to make the idiot manchild feel like he was getting sufficient praise for his little pronouncements and wars and fits. That, and only that, would calm him.
The whole thing reads like Trump's staff treats him like a dangerous zoo animal let loose in the White House. Gotta keep him happy. Gotta rub his belly when he says to. Don’t let anyone rattle the bars of his little cage or we’re all dead. And never, never leave him alone:
The pond at Mesilla Valley Bosque State Park, New Mexico, along the Rio Grande. See Desert Scientist's essay on water below.
The pond at Mesilla Valley Bosque State Park, New Mexico, along the Rio Grande. See Desert Scientist's essay on water below.
This is the484th editionof the Spotlight on Green News & Views (previously known as the Green Diary Rescue). The spotlight usually appears twice a week, on Wednesdays and Saturdays. Here is the Feb. 18 Green Spotlight. More than 26,480 environmentally oriented stories have been rescued to appear in this series since 2006. Inclusion of a story in the Spotlight does not necessarily indicate my agreement with or endorsement of it.
OUTSTANDING GREEN STORIES
Desert Scientist writes—Water!“This diary begins a series of four diaries on the old “elements.” We know now that these are not elements. Water, for example, consists primarily of one Oxygen and two Hydrogen atoms (both of which are elements), plus various other compounds as impurities, such as the combination of salts in salt water, and in many cases pollutants. That said, the four old “elements,” Air, Earth, Fire and Water, will serve well as symbols of the required necessities of life on this planet. I start with water because as a long-time South-westerner I developed a strong attachment to this scarce resource (See my diary on desert water atwww.dailykos.com/...). I am now living in the Pacific Northwest, but water is still an issue, especially drinking water, although not as much as it was in New Mexico and Arizona. Here the streams have been damed and are often polluted, and even Puget Sound, that vast southern part of the Salish Sea, is stressed. Yet many of us in the United States worry more about money than water, as is well illustrated by the current difficulties at Standing Rock. The slogan “Water is life” used by the demonstrators at Standing Rock is so much of a truism as to be overlooked by those requiring quick profits in the present year. They often act as if water was an unlimited resource.”
John Chapman writes—Infrastructure and Resource Extraction Projects Slow under Trump Administration (the NEPA freeze): “While much of the discussion so far has focused on regulation and funding, the federal government also plays the lead role in planning the projects that improve our infrastructure and allow for resource extraction. Interestingly, preliminary data shows that the federal government is actuallyslowing downin its approval of projects relating to infrastructure and resource extraction. This type of slowdown was not seen in the first few weeks of the Obama or George W. Bush administrations—what is going on now is not a general feature of a transitioning administration. Now, I do not claim to have tracked down every single project related to infrastructure or resource extraction. However, it is possible to get a general picture of how these activities are progressing by taking a look at one important step in the process required formajorprojects that need to be approved by the federal government. By looking at ‘Notices of Availability’ of Environmental Impact Statements (which are published in the Federal Register) we have a snapshot of the progress that the government is making on some of their largest and most controversial projects.”
While defending the need to build a costly wall along the southern U.S. border, Rep. Trent Franks (R-AZ) claimed on Wednesday that nuclear bombs could be hidden inside bales of marijuana smuggled into the United States through Mexico.
“I can suggest to you that there are national security implications here for a porous border,” Franks told CNN host Brianna Keilar on Wednesday. “We sometimes used to make the point that if someone wanted to smuggle in a dangerous weapon, even a nuclear weapon, into America, how would they do it? And the suggestion was made, well, we’ll simply hide it in a bale of marijuana.”
Yes. Yes, of course. That is exactly how a foreign terrorist group would want to smuggle a nuclear weapon into this country—by wrapping it in a gigantic bale of the thing that all the United States border agencies are furiously searching for in the first place. Ideally, something that all the security dogs could smell from 100 yards away.
This seems a perfectly logical plan that all the bright terrorists would be super-duper eager to carry out, so long as there is no border wall to stop them. Quick, wrap everything in marijuana! The Americans will never find it then! Ha ha ha!
Ahem. You know, these are supposedly the best our nation has to offer—the people chosen by our citizens as the most capable, the brightest, the keenest minds we can bring to bear on our national problems.
That is the theory, anyway. We probably need to re-evaluate that.
The problem: You have to like Donald Trump at least this much to be allowed to work in government. And it's getting harder and harder to find those people.
The problem: You have to like Donald Trump at least this much to be allowed to work in government. And it's getting harder and harder to find those people.
In the seemingly unending list of tasks and duties Donald Trump and his team are systemically screwing up, among the biggest screw-ups is the team's inability to properly staff his own government. Donald Trump has more than 500 Senate-confirmed offices sitting empty because he hasn't nominated anyone for those positions—and he hasn't nominated anyone for those positions because the chief requirement for each and every one of them is that the nominee must never have criticized Trump or worked against him in any capacity, and there just ain't 500 qualified people in the country who meet that test.
The result is a hiring effort stuck up to its axles in Donald Trump's ego, and it's wreaking havoc as his senior cabinet officials try to staff their departments only to have their choices shot down by the White House.
When an informal adviser to Education Secretary Betsy DeVos recently recommended a candidate for a high-level Senate-confirmed position at the agency, the adviser was told that the candidate had little chance of getting the job because the person had previously worked for an organization that was seen as being at odds with Trump’s policy positions, one person familiar with the issue said.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has clashed with White House officials over top officials in his department, sources say. The White House saw some of Mnuchin’s picks as too liberal or not supportive enough of Trump, sources say. Trump has yet to name Mnuchin’s No. 2, nor has he tapped any undersecretaries or assistant secretaries at the department.
Secretary of State Rex Tillerson has struggled with the White House to appoint his own aides, with significant pushback from the White House over deputy positions and ambassadorships. Several high-level people were delayed or scuttled because they didn't agree with Trump during the campaign or because the White House preferred someone else [...]
And on and on. If it seems like this administration continues to be staggeringly incompetent, there's a fine reason for that: they still don't have anyone who actually knows what they're doing on the team. People like Tillerson and DeVos were picked for their ideologies, but know nothing about the departments they're supposed to be leading. Underlings who might know more are being nixed because anyone who might know what the hell they're doing probably wasn't a Trump supporter during the campaign, and therefore Trump's team doesn't want to risk letting them in the building.
Donald Trump with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto
Donald Trump with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto
If there's one thing you can count on, it's the Trump administration's ability to put its best two left feet forward in the realm of diplomatic dances with America’s closest allies. This week, Donald "Winning" Trump has done it again! Because he hadn't thoroughly tanked relations with Mexico during his last go 'round over who's paying for his precious border wall (Answer: Not Mexico), Nahal Toosi writes:
The Trump administration riled Mexican officials by choosing Tuesday — on the eve of visits by the U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Homeland Security Secretary John Kelly to Mexico City — to release sweeping guidelines on deportations and a border wall.
As Mexican officials rushed to contact the State Department for more information, the timing of the guidelines' release threatened to severely hinder what could have been a diplomatic make-up session, U.S. and Mexican officials and analysts said.
Not to worry! From the cone of alternative facts known as the White House briefing room, press secretary Sean Spicer called U.S.-Mexico relations "phenomenal right now." Back in reality, Mexican Foreign Minister Luis Videgaray had a different take, roundly rejecting the Department of Homeland Security's new deportation policies.
"I want to say clearly and emphatically that the government of Mexico and the Mexican people do not have to accept provisions that one government unilaterally wants to impose on the other," the Mexican foreign minister said. "We will not accept it, because there's no reason why we should, and because it is not in the interests of Mexico."
The new memos outline plans to return all undocumented immigrants who illegally enter the U.S. through Mexico back to Mexico (regardless of their country of origin) and to hold U.S. asylum seekers in Mexico until their cases can be heard. It’s worth noting that Mexico has been a good partner in trying to stem illegal immigration into the U.S. But Team Trump is batting zero right now.
Surely, the “winning” will be starting any day now.
Here's a good basic summation from the New York Times of the Department of Homeland Security’s new deportation guidelines:
Documents released on Tuesday by the Department of Homeland Security revealed the broad scope of the president’s ambitions: to publicize crimes by undocumented immigrants; strip such immigrants of privacy protections; enlist local police officers as enforcers; erect new detention facilities; discourage asylum seekers; and, ultimately, speed up deportations.
And here are at least five reasons Donald Trump's new sweeping anti-immigrant policies defy logic on every policy point imaginable:
1) If Trump's nativist base thinks undocumented immigrants are killing the economy, just wait until they quit contributing to it
President Donald Trump’s sweeping crackdown on undocumented immigrants will strain an already tight U.S. job market, with one study suggesting that removing all of them would cost the economy as much as $5 trillion over 10 years.
That represents the contribution of the millions of unauthorized workers to the world’s largest economy, about 3 percent of private-sector gross domestic product, according to a recent paper issued by the National Bureau of Economic Research. At an average of $500 billion in output a year, removing all such immigrants would be like lopping off the equivalent of Massachusetts from the U.S. economy, said study co-author Francesc Ortega.
2) Only in the delusional world inhabited by Trump and his rabid nativist supporters are immigrants more dangerous than native-born Americans.
No reason for Scott Pruitt not to be smiling. His ties to the Kochs and the oil and gas industry made no never-mind to the senators who voted for him to head an agency he despises and has long made clear he would like to eviscerate.
No reason for Scott Pruitt not to be smiling. His ties to the Kochs and the oil and gas industry made no never-mind to the senators who voted for him to head an agency he despises and has long made clear he would like to eviscerate.
The Center for Media and Democracy has posted online 7,564 searchable pages of Scott Pruitt’s emails and other records. The watchdog organization pried them loose from the Oklahoma attorney general’s office with a lawsuit. But not in time for U.S. senators to read them before voting last week to confirm Pruitt as administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency that he wants to demolish or, at the very least, hamstring. What those emails show is unsurprising given what was already publicly known: Climate science-denier Pruitt is going to be no friend of the environment or the agency he has been chosen to lead.
The oil and gas lobby group American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM) coordinated opposition in 2013 to both the Renewable Fuel Standard Program and ozone limits with Pruitt's office. While AFPM was making its own case against the RFS with the American Petroleum Institute, it provided Pruitt with a template language for an Oklahoma petition, noting "this argument is more credible coming from a State." Later that year, Pruitt did file opposition to both the RFS and ozone limits.
In a groundbreakingNew York TimesPulitzer winning series in 2014, Eric Lipton exposed the close relationship between Devon Energy and Scott Pruitt, and highlighted examples where Devon Energy drafted letters that were sent by Pruitt under his own name. These new emails reveal more of the same close relationship with Devon Energy. In one email, Devon Energy helped draft language that was later sent by Pruitt to the EPA about the limiting of methane from oil and gas fracking.
In 2013, Devon Energy organized a meeting between Scott Pruitt, Leonard Leo of the Federalist Society and coal industry lawyer Paul Seby to plan the creation of a "clearinghouse" that would "assist AGs in addressing federalism issues." Melissa Houston, then Pruitt's chief of staff emailed Devon Energy saying "this will be an amazing resource for the AGs and for industry."
Progressive groups continue to unite around Jon Ossoff as he runs for Congress in the special election to replace Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Price. Daily Kos is closing in on $1 million raised for Ossoff in the April special election for this suburban Atlanta seat, and now Ossoff has picked up an endorsement from End Citizens United:
“We need an anti-corruption reformer like Jon Ossoff in Congress to lead the fight against President Trump and his allies, who are doubling down on a rigged system,” said Tiffany Muller, Executive Director of End Citizens United. “Since taking office, Trump has surrounded himself with mega-donors and corporate special interests, and his policies cater to their needs. Jon Ossoff will put the needs of Georgia families ahead of big money and push for reforms to our campaign finance system so it works for everyone. Our members are passionate about these issues and eager to get to work electing him to Congress.”
While Price won easily in Georgia’s 6th District, Donald Trump barely eked out a win in the district. That means an opening for Democrats if they can unite behind Ossoff and help him run a strong campaign.
To streamline the process of identifying Waters of the United States on parcels of land, the EPA and corps jointly developed a set of rules that defined regulated bodies of water within the U.S. They produced an initial document based on scientific expertise and research. Public review followed, involving over one million comments and more than 400 meetings. [...]
But before it could be fully implemented, the rule was quickly challenged in the courts by Republicans, nearly 30 states, and a range of business interests, all claiming that it represented a major overreach of federal power. It remains in litigation.
Men outnumber women by more than 2-to-1 among top aides toPresident Trumpso far, according to the White House and an analysis by USA TODAY.
If that ratio holds as the president finishes filling out his staff, the percentage of women in the West Wing would be smaller than at least five of the last six presidential terms, the analysis shows.
Funding for housing, health, and social services block grants has fallen significantly over time, an examination of several decades of budget data demonstrates. This is a red flag, since Congress may soon consider proposals to convert more programs into block grants. This includes programs that serve families and individuals who are low income or otherwise vulnerable, such as Medicaid, which President Trump and some Republicans in Congress have called for block-granting.
Welcome to the largely unregulated industry of consumer spyware—powerful, malicious software for computers and mobile phones that jealous lovers, commercial competitors, or crooked cops can buy online.
More preferable to Cuban is beefing up job-creating programs like Americorps, a federally-subsidized program that slots workers in full- or part-time positions, he said. President Trumprecently announcedAmericorps is one of the programs he's considering shutting down.
"There are plenty of communities that need social support services that can be filled by qualified people who can add value," he told Business Insider.
• On today’s Kagro in the Morning show: Greg Dworkin rounds up news from the livelier town hall meetings, plus thoughts on shared values, the Milo crash, and Trump’s penchant for generals. The 4th Circuit upholds MD’s assault weapons ban. And an in-depth look at just WTF Comey was up to.