- published: 17 May 2013
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An opinion poll, sometimes simply referred to as a poll, is a survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals.
The first known example of an opinion poll was a local straw poll conducted by The Aru Pennsylvanian in 1824, showing Andrew Jackson leading John Quincy Adams by 335 votes to 169 in the contest for the United States Presidency. Since Jackson won the popular vote in that state and the whole country, such straw votes gradually became more popular, but they remained local, usually city-wide phenomena. In 1916, the Literary Digest embarked on a national survey (partly as a circulation-raising exercise) and correctly predicted Woodrow Wilson's election as president. Mailing out millions of postcards and simply counting the returns, the Digest correctly predicted the victories of Warren Harding in 1920, Calvin Coolidge in 1924, Herbert Hoover in 1928, and Franklin Roosevelt in 1932.
View full lesson: http://ed.ted.com/lessons/pros-and-cons-of-public-opinion-polls-jason-robert-jaffe How do public opinion polls work? And, more importantly, are they accurate? Jason Robert Jaffe reveals the complexities and biases of polls and provides tips on how to think about polls as we make everyday decisions. Lesson by Jason Robert Jaffe, animation by Flaming Medusa Studios.
For more like this subscribe to the Open University channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCXsH4hSV_kEdAOsupMMm4Qw Free learning from The Open University http://www.open.edu/openlearn/science-maths-technology --- Ever wondered how opinion polls work? As election fever grows - so does the importance of opinion polls which today are an essential part of modern political life. Political strategists, voters and the media all lap up the data generated - but where does it come from? How many people do you need to interview to get trustworthy data? and just how easy is it to predict the future based on the opinions of the present? Who carried out the first opinion poll and why are they so popular? This lighthearted and revealing clip examines the real purpose of polling voters and how you ens...
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The BJP is poised to bag 170 to 183 constituencies if elections were to be held today for the 403-seat Uttar Pradesh assembly, inching ahead of Mayawati's BSP and the ruling Samajwadi Party, according to an opinion poll by Axis-My-India for the India Today Group. India Today Television marks the entry of the nation’s most credible name in journalism - India Today into news television. Powered by a future-ready look and backed with the 40 year legacy of the India Today brand, the channel addresses the news consumption habits of an evolved digital-savvy audience while staying true to the journalistic principles of the India Today Group. With a paradigm shift in terms of television workflows and technology, the channel sets a new benchmark with a differentiated look. Innovative content form...
Please watch: "PM Modi on Frankly Speaking with Arnab Goswami | Exclusive Full Interview" ►http://bit.ly/297mDAR -~-~~-~~~-~~-~- Opinion polls conducted by various poll agencies have predicted a big win for the ruling Trinamool Congress in West Bengal, lead for the ruling AIADMK in Tamil Nadu, win or lead for the BJP-AGP alliance in Assam and a clear victory for the CPM-led LDF in Kerala. Subscribe to Times Now | Click Here ► http://goo.gl/U9ibPb ‘Download the official TIMES NOW mobile app – Give a missed call on 1800 4190 300. Stay updated, stay ahead.’ Subscribe Now To Our Network Channels :- The NewsHour Debate : http://goo.gl/LfNgFF ET Now : http://goo.gl/5XreUq To Stay Updated Download the Times Now App :- Android Google Play : https://goo.gl/zJhWjC Apple App Store : https://go...
The BJP's dream run in Uttar Pradesh continues with the party expected to win 170-183 seats though the verdict is likely to throw a hung Assembly in the elections due in less than six months, the India Today-Axis Opinion Poll has revealed. Follow us: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/aajtaktv?sub_confirmation=1 Twitter: https://twitter.com/aajtak Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/aajtak Tags: Fast News,Breaking News,Top Headlines,Super fast news,Khabare Superfast,Superfast!,news,sensational news,political news,sports news,Super fast,Jawaharlal Nehru University,controversy,students,union leader,sedition,anti-national’ slogans,Parliament attack,Kanhaiya Kumar,Rohith Vemula,Manish Sisodia,Nirbhaya Case,protests,Juvenile,Delhi Gang Rapist,DUSU,Delhi University Students Union,Jawaharlal N...
Akhilesh-Mayawati equally popular for CM post, get preference of 24% voters each. Watch UP Opinion Poll conducted by ABP News-Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS). For latest breaking news, other top stories log on to: http://www.abplive.in & http://www.youtube.com/abpnewsTV
During political elections, news organizations often use public opinion polls to help gauge which candidate is the front runner, and why. University of Michigan's Dr. Vincent Hutchings explains the science of random sampling that makes it possible to query a few hundred or thousand people and use that data to accurately determine how the general public might vote. "Science Behind the News" is produced in partnership with NBC Learn. Provided by the National Science Foundation & NBC Learn
Please watch: "PM Modi on Frankly Speaking with Arnab Goswami | Exclusive Full Interview" ►http://bit.ly/297mDAR -~-~~-~~~-~~-~- Almost a month remaining for Kerala Assembly Elections 2016, a fresh survey conducted by C-Voter aired on television channel shows United Democratic Front (UDF) winning 53 seats, Left Democratic Front (LDF) is all set to come in power by winning 86 seats. In Kerala Assembly Elections 2016 there is a neck-to-neck battle between UDF and LDF. Subscribe to Times Now | Click Here ► http://goo.gl/U9ibPb ‘Download the official TIMES NOW mobile app – Give a missed call on 1800 4190 300. Stay updated, stay ahead.’ Subscribe Now To Our Network Channels :- The NewsHour Debate : http://goo.gl/LfNgFF ET Now : http://goo.gl/5XreUq To Stay Updated Download the Times Now A...
Mark Masai interviews Macharia Gaitho a communications consultant and Victor Rateng a pollster on the Trump upset and what it says about the opinion polls. Watch more NTV Kenya videos at ntv.co.ke and nation.co.ke. Follow @ntvkenya on Twitter and like our page on Facebook: NTV Kenya.
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Please watch: "Putin Congratulates Trump as Russian Establishment Celebrates!!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oNCia46QN2g -~-~~-~~~-~~-~- First Presidential Polls Close in Parts of Kentucky, Indiana Trump vs Clinton When will the 2016 election results be announced A woman drops her ballot during the presidential election at L.A. County Registrar Office in Norwalk, California, November 8. Polls began to close in the long and bitter race for the White House between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump on Tuesday, with last-minute opinion polls giving Clinton the edge in the final hours of the race. Polls in the Eastern time zones of Indiana and Kentucky were the first to close, at 6 p.m. EST. The rest of Indiana and Kentucky's polls will close at 7 p.m. Indiana has 11...
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Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections 2017: Watch Exclusive Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll by C-Voter with Yashwant Deshmukh. Opinion poll predicts close fight between BJP and SP in UP Polls. Present CM Akhilesh Yadav is the first choice of voters as CM Candidate. Watch the exclusive opinion poll survey to know the fate of Congress, BJP, SP and BSP parties. SUBSCRIBE to India TV Here: http://goo.gl/fcdXM0 Follow India TV on Social Media: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/indiatvnews Twitter: https://twitter.com/indiatvnews Download India TV Android App here: http://goo.gl/kOQvVB
The BJP's dream run in Uttar Pradesh continues with the party expected to win 170-183 seats though the verdict is likely to throw a hung Assembly in the elections due in less than six months, the India Today-Axis Opinion Poll has revealed. Follow us: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/aajtaktv?sub_confirmation=1 Twitter: https://twitter.com/aajtak Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/aajtak Tags: Fast News,Breaking News,Top Headlines,Super fast news,Khabare Superfast,Superfast!,news,sensational news,political news,sports news,Super fast,Jawaharlal Nehru University,controversy,students,union leader,sedition,anti-national’ slogans,Parliament attack,Kanhaiya Kumar,Rohith Vemula,Manish Sisodia,Nirbhaya Case,protests,Juvenile,Delhi Gang Rapist,DUSU,Delhi University Students Union,Jawaharlal N...
BJP chasing SP in UP, BSP runners up, Congress a distant straggler. Watch UP Opinion Poll.For latest breaking news, other top stories log on to: http://www.abplive.in & http://www.youtube.com/abpnewsTV
Please watch: "PM Modi on Frankly Speaking with Arnab Goswami | Exclusive Full Interview" ►http://bit.ly/297mDAR -~-~~-~~~-~~-~- AIADMK chief Jayalalithaa is going to win the assembly election due in state next month, according to opinion poll. Subscribe to Times Now | Click Here ► http://goo.gl/U9ibPb ‘Download the official TIMES NOW mobile app – Give a missed call on 1800 4190 300. Stay updated, stay ahead.’ Subscribe Now To Our Network Channels :- The NewsHour Debate : http://goo.gl/LfNgFF ET Now : http://goo.gl/5XreUq To Stay Updated Download the Times Now App :- Android Google Play : https://goo.gl/zJhWjC Apple App Store : https://goo.gl/d7QBQZ Social Media Links :- Facebook - http://goo.gl/CC7rGc G+ - http://goo.gl/O1iEp5 Twitter - http://goo.gl/uHYsqP Also visit our website...
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