Environment

Sydney weather: Heat relief is on the way but won't last long

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Sydney's latest summer heatwave will crest around the middle of Tuesday but any ebbing in temperatures won't last long with another hot spell building.

The Bureau of Meteorology lifted its forecast top for the city to 38 degrees, with similar temperatures expected across the basin. Bondi is one place to avoid the worst of heat, with a maximum of 33 degrees predicted for the popular beach.

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The mercury already topped 30 degrees at Sydney's Observatory Hill by 8am after another unusually mild night with a minimum of 25.4 degrees - almost 7 degrees above the January average.

A total fire ban is also in force for the greater Sydney and Hunter regions for Tuesday.

A slew of heat records are set to be rewritten for the month, with the city easily having its hottest January in terms of mean and minimum temperatures. 

If the mercury tops 36 degrees, maximum temperatures will also set a new high mark above the 29.5 degrees set all the way back in 1896, Rob Sharpe, a meteorologist with Weatherzone, said.

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Relief won't be too far off, with a cool change due to sweep in from the south by early afternoon.

"We'll see a sudden drop in temperatures by around lunchtime," Mr Sharpe said. For western suburbs, though, it's likely to be only a "slow descent" compared with the eastern parts of the city, he said.

There's also a chance of thunderstorms and showers in the Blue Mountains and western suburbs ahead of the change.

"It's quite a shallow change," Mr Sharpe said, noting that the mountain ranges are likely to block much of it from reaching inland parts of the state that have had searing heat for days.

Because the change is so weak, temperatures during the day and night are likely to remain above average for another week. 

The bureau is forecasting most of NSW will remain in at least a low-intensity heatwave for days to come, with severe conditions covering the eastern parts of the state for the three days from Friday:

On current forecasts, the city is expected to have maximums of at least 28 degrees for the next seven days, making it 10 in a row.

If that threshold is reached, it will be the longest run of such days for the city for any time of the year in records going back to 1858. The previous longest run were the nine days between February 3-11 in 1949, according to the bureau.

2016 was Sydney's hottest year on record. With last month the city's second-hottest December and now January going one better, this summer is well on course to be Sydney's warmest.

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Weatherzone is owned by Fairfax Media, publisher of this website.